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padub.bsky.social

@padub.bsky.social
555 followers 1.5K following 39 posts

Geek. #CovidIsntOver #CovidIsAirborne

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Eric Levai @ericlevai.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Now THIS is how you write a story. Devastating.
Screenshot from this article: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/08/us/politics/fort-hood-execution-streamed-public.html?unlocked_article_code=1.HVE.Rw7O.Sj-0_s5YONzL&smid=nytcore-android-share
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 26/09/2026
Does my Speak-n-Spell feel pain when I type O-U-C-H? The jury is out. Philosophers and neuroscientists say that's fucking stupid, but I called a guy from the Center for Pretending that Household Electronics Are Sentient and he said there's no way to know for sure.
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
One of the most important issues of our time is that the future of humanity is presently being authored by people who have nothing but total contempt for humanity and seek the erasure of everything that gives being a human meaning. It’s not just annoying. It doesn’t just suck. It’s existential.
Sam Altman: cool use case of chatgpt work i heard last night:

connect your family calendars and explain your kids' interests.

every morning for the drive to school, have it make a podcast that talks about one kid's soccer game that afternoon, one kid's upcoming birthday, some news, etc.
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shanley @shanley.com · 10/06/2026
What happened to critical thinking? What happened to journalists covering material reality? What happened to the fucking FACTS of the matter? What happened to NOT trusting every suspicious op-shaped thing fascists say? What happened to NOT letting fascists tell you what to do and say and write?
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
It was wrong what the wealth class in America did to people around the world. It was wrong what they did to our vulnerable populations before this widespread, accelerating fascism. It was a rot and a cancer that prepared this country for the direction it's now in. We have to see that.
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
Continuing to trot out politicians who just keep telling everyone that nothing is actually wrong and that we need more trust of institutions is the quickest way to ensure the Right and the wealth class who bankrolls them will continue to grow more powerful and gain more control.
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
After studying conspiracy theories and capitalism for years, what sticks out is that the Right always takes distrust of capitalism and redirects the rightful anger from the people who deserve it to vulnerable populations in order to create faux-populism to further their own agendas.
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
It’s important to recognize that paranoia and distrust are natural and rightful feelings to have in an era of manipulation, surveillance, oppression, and exploitation. What matters though is that we don’t allow the Far Right to harvest and redirect it on behalf of the wealth class.
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Kelly @broadwaybabyto.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
You wouldn’t tell someone with cancer that they could cure themselves with “mind body therapies” You wouldn’t suggest that someone with HIV made themselves sick with “negative thoughts” The psychologizing of patients with complex chronic illness is one of the most damaging parts of being disabled
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Boxo McFoxo @boxobark.ing · 19/05/2026
> Confronting Silicon Valley > Anthropic Onstage Pick one. Tired of this thing where progressives think Anthropic are good guys just because Hegseth beefed with them. Anthropic didn't have any problem at all with how Palantir was actually using Claude for the Pentagon.
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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 15/05/2026
AI companies currently subsidize their users $3 to $25 for every dollar of subscription. As a result, users are very sensitive to *any* price or rate limit changes, and have no idea what their actual token burn is. Token-based billing will be lethal at scale. www.wheresyoured.at/premium-what...
So, the current “value” of AI software is mostly driven by the deception of subsidized monthly subscriptions, and even those that have made changes to their business models to improve their margins are still losing money. For example, in October 2025, Augment Code moved everybody to a new “credits” based model from a requests-based one, citing one user that was approaching $15,000 in costs a month on its $250-a-month plan. 

Even then, Augment Code still sold a money-losing product. Users get 40,000 “credits” that still obfuscate their actual value. Augment gives an example of one task on Claude Opus 4.6 taking up 488 credits, but a “task” could mean anything, and the credit-based system only exists to mask how much you’re actually spending. It turns out the reason is because, per Kilocode, Augment appears to be charging anywhere from 2x to 5x the cost of the actual tokens being burned. 

The reason that somebody like Augment Code doesn’t want to charge the actual token rates — despite effectively choosing to do so! — is that the moment you go token-based, your users suddenly have to judge your product based on its actual merits. By obfuscating costs using “credits,” Augment Code is attempting to con users into believing they’re getting more for their money than they are.

The initial reaction was extremely negative, and now Augment’s Subreddit is a bit of a ghost town, with one user complaining about how arbitrarily Augment burns through credits and another complaining about how buggy the product is.
Right now, the vast majority of people’s experiences — I’d say 95% or more — are based on subscription-based AI services that deliberately hide the amount that they cost. As a result, most users are utterly prepared for the move to token-based billing. As I discussed a few weeks ago, users are already revolting when subsidized products are less-generous with their subsidies…how do you think they’ll react to paying the actual rates? Quoting myself:

If you’re about to say “well they’ll just raise the prices,” perhaps you should check Twitter or Reddit, and notice that Anthropic’s customers are screaming like they’re being stung to death by bees because of new rate limits that only let them burn $10 of compute in five hours. Do you think these people would be comfortable with a $130-a-month, $1,300-a-month or $2,500-a-month subscription? One that performs the same way (if not worse) as their $20, $100 or $200-a-month subscription did?


The first AI startups to move will be deep industrial ones like legal software companies Harvey and Legora, who charge anywhere from $399 to $1,200 a month while still losing money because the very nature of legal work is extremely document and text-heavy. Harvey has raised $960 million since February 2025, meaning that its services — which are already sold into a relatively cost-sensitive industry — already burn way too much capital to make sense.

These changes will be subtle. As I said above, it’ll be sold as “you pay $200 and get $220 worth of credits!” taking a small hit and Harvey likely working with Anthropic and OpenAI to buy discounted tokens at scale so that it doesn’t lose shit-tons of money. 

The problem will be that even enterprise customers used to spending inordinate sums on software will notice if their costs increase from, say, $400 a month to $1000 a month per user. While a braindead Fortune 100 executive might be willing to burn 10% of headcount on LLM tokens, a named partner at a law firm will notice when AI starts costing the equivalent of a few hours of an associate’s pay a month. Or a day. 

Honestly, if an associate is absolutely banging the shit out of Harvey’s services, they’re potentially burning $50 or $100 a day, and if anybody gets up to the $300 or $400 range, that will begin to legitimately eat into billable hours in a way that even the most braindead, disconnected partner will flinch at.
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
This right here. I abhor capitalism but it always tickles me when there’s a capitalist trend, everyone in the market does the same bullshit, homogenous thing, and then somebody steps out and innovates in the other direction and everything swings. It’s the most predictable thing imaginable.
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T. Ryan Gregory 🇨🇦 @tryangregory.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Preventing fear seems to be the #1 priority for a lot of public health people. Preventing disease is a distant #2.
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shauna @goldengateblond.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
i’ve worked in tech more than 20 years. it has never been more ridiculous.
exchange on X 

Christoffer Bjelke @chribjel 
We hired a junior developer to write the simple code, so we don't have to spend a ton of money on tokens for those basic/primitive tasks

Sameer goel @sameer_goel
Great, so now we're optimizing LLM costs by inventing employees again.
Full circle innovation.
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Chad Loder @chadloder.dev · 18/04/2026
The desperate campaign to push AI down our throats is just what Nestlé did with baby formula, or Monsanto with patended seeds. Manufactured Intermediation—inserting a corporate tollbooth into a process that used to be self-sustaining, using a low initial barrier to entry to destroy the alternative.
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Puff the Magic Hater @mskellymhayes.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
You have more in common with the people of Iran than you do with anyone in this administration, any member of the technocracy, anyone who is profiting from this war, or any billionaire. When you see Iranians forming human chains outside key infrastructure sites, you should feel a sense of kinship.
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Katie Mack @astrokatie.com · 07/04/2026
This is the face of a lunar scientist who has just been told that the #Artemis II crew saw SEVERAL impact flashes (the flashes when meteors hit the lunar surface) in real time 😃 🌓💥
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Daniel S. Goldberg @profgoldberg.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Sorry I know the world is in a terrible fix but I've been laughing at this for ten minutes now
Optical illusion of a woman bent over some papers. Her sunglasses are pushed up and she is wearing a hair band so the top of her head looks exactly like a Muppet face
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Jeff Sharlet @jeffsharlet.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
There’s a genuine gaslighting element to forcing faculty to debate whether to teach with AI. If someone broke into my house & stole from me, my employer wouldn’t ask me to work with them. But that’s what AI did. So, no.
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Kathryn Tewson @kathryntewson.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
I am starting to wonder if people who spend a lot of time talking to LLMs lose their stamina for actual critical analysis because they're so used to having their own priors reflected back at them in the guise of another's voice.
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Eleanor from outside @theboatfromjaws.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
I've had my This Is Fine mug so long that the dog has become a ghost and all that remain are flames
A mug depicting KC Green's This Is Fine dog comic, but tragically faded
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
sure the pedophile felon president just illegally bombed a country that may have nukes while federal forces under his command murder and harass people in america and immigrants are tortured and he moves forward with plans to build concentration camps and sorry idk where i was going fuck all of this
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Dom Ervolina @dominicervolina.com · 27/02/2026
The thing about these broligarchs saying things like "AI will get companies to layoff 40% of their workers" is that their ultimate plan is to kill us all off and live forever in robot bodies they can transfer their consciousness into They don't care if you starve
Block lays off nearly half its staff because of Al. Its
CEO said most companies will do the same
UPDATED 2 HR AGO V

By Ramishah Maruf

Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Block, announced the company is cutting its staff by 40%. (Eva Marie
Uzcategui/Bloomberg/Getty Images)

O61

New York - Block, the company behind Square, Cash App and Afterpay, is
cutting its staff by 40%. The reason: "intelligence tools," according to a letter
to shareholders by co-founder Jack Dorsey.

Dorsey thinks most companies will follow suit in the near future.

The company is laying off more than 4,000 people, reducing the workforce to
just under 6,000.
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Taylor Lorenz @taylorlorenz.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Overstating the efficacy of our current vaccines and lying to people about the limitations, as Michael and many in the COVID denialist movement do, is actually the number 1 driver of anti vaxx sentiment. People are told they can’t get covid if they get a shot, they get it and immediately lose trust
thegauntlet.news
Liberals joined conservatives to mainstream anti-vax beliefs about viruses and public health
Viruses are bad for kids' health. Public health is a collective effort. Liberals no longer believe either.
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Taylor Lorenz @taylorlorenz.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
I don’t know why Michael fell into Covid denialism years ago and hasn’t found his way out but this is false. Our current vaccines do not meaningfully reduce transmission, and they certainly do not meaningfully prevent long covid. This is what any long covid treatment center will tell u day 1
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Taylor Lorenz @taylorlorenz.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Calling a very well known vaccine advocate “anti vaxx” because she VERY correctly calls for people to take supportive measures like masking since our current vaccines do not stop transmission is wild. As someone who actually does vax outreach in LA the lines Michael is pushing feed anti vax ideology
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
This idea of powerful people not being able to get away with enjoying the privileges of their status was offensive to our “populist” overlords who successfully convinced millions people that they had something similar to lose
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
all this stuff makes much more sense if you understand “anti wokeness” as a general backlash to elite accountability more generally, even if you have criticisms of left wing egalitarianism bsky.app/profile/kevi...
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Nathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
“More than 60 days … going to the doctor and that the only thing they tell you is to drink more water and the worst thing is that it seems the water is what makes people sick here.” - 12 year-old imprisoned for 60+ days in Texas concentration camp
Ender
A 12-year-old from Venezuela who was living in Austin, Texas 
Detained for 60 days

“More than 60 days … going to the doctor and that the only thing they tell you is to drink more water and the worst thing is that it seems the water is what makes people sick here.”
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Chantzy @chantzy.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
I am a simple woman begging liberals to understand that death isn't the only bad outcome when ~48 million people in the U.S. have experienced long Covid, which has no cure
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Black Aziz Anansi @blackazizanansi.blacksky.app · 13/02/2026
So uh, is it just me or has the general ability for people to communicate in writing fallen dramatically over the last few years?
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Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Every photo from Minneapolis looks like this. Cops decked out with guns and full tac gear facing off against people in bathrobes, parkas, and sweatpants armed only with whistles and cell phones. Yet every verified MAGA chode on X dutifully calls it a riot or violent insurrection.
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
A desperate plea sent to me by a Minneapolis resident who's been on the front lines since the beginning of the ICE occupation:
Just a quick update from the Twin Cities. (Please forgive the unsolicited message). THINGS ARE NOT BETTER IN MINNEAPOLIS. The media is mostly moving on, Trump is focused on other stuff, BUT NOTHING HAS CHANGED ON THE GROUND. More than 2,000 DHS thugs continue to roam the streets, abducting people 24/7, assaulting legal observers with impunity, and routinely denying 1st, 4th, and 5th amendment rights. Drones and helicopters are overhead every day. Hundreds and hundreds of terrified families have not left their homes since mid-December ... relying on the community to bring them food and help with rent and other necessities. (Those people are NOT violent drug cartel sex offending murderers, as DHS would tell you. Most are legal residents or citizens.)  If anything, things have just become more stressful and intractable (think trench warfare as a suitable metaphor): The resistance is better organized and numerous, but DHS has become more clever and better at disguise... and the county sheriff's office is increasingly supporting them . Do not let anyone tell you that Homans (the new person in charge of the occupation) is making anything better. Do not let anyone tell you that 700 ICE agents leaving the city has made much of a difference; the remaining force (again, ~2,000) is still larger than the entire city's police force (which is legally unable to do anything). Please call your congressional reps ... especially if there is any chance the administration might listen to them.
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Christopher Crawford @myohwhy.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Fuck ICE
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Dr. Bradley Onishi @bradleyonishi.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
This Sunday on Straight White American Jesus @ardenthistorian.bsky.social interviews @sethcotlar.bsky.social:
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padub.bsky.social @padub.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
🧵
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Esther @elhopkins.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
This awful virus can impact us anywhere we have blood vessels. bsky.app/profile/davi...
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Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Yes. The folks who study election rumors and conspiracy theories are worried that a forced (and false) confession by Maduro (of 2020 election fraud) is a real possibility, and we’ve already seen some (wink, wink) foreshadowing of such a move.
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Sarah Kendzior @sarahkendzior.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
"If careerists had not been so easy to bribe and blackmail, ordinary people would not have to suffer under this group of sadistic oligarchs and politicians. Our era is the culmination of complicity." sarahkendzior.substack.com/p/jackhammer...
sarahkendzior.substack.com
Jackhammering Into the Sewer
A look through the Epstein files.
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Chad Loder @chadloder.dev · 31/01/2026
Jeffrey Epstein, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and Marc Andreessen share an enduring fascination with eugenics, race science, and transhumanism and there is an entire generation of public intellectuals who benefited and continue to benefit from their patronage. Pinker, Huberman, Attia, Weinstein, etc.
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Mar Hicks @histoftech.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
AI coding tools are showing me more and more the clear differences between good programmers and poor ones. There are more shitty programmers than I realized.
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Shiv Ramdas Mens Rice Activist @nameshiv.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
An entire political movement founded on uncovering hidden messages in documents to discover the powerful secret pedophiles and meanwhile the powerful pedophiles out here sending gmails saying "Hi fellow pedophile when are we meeting to do pedophilia again"
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Nome @nome.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
It turns out, /Pol/ wasn't just the random offshoot of 4chan, a board set up to kind of contain the right-wing chuds and keep them off the other boards... ... but was, instead, created THE DAY that 4chan's founder met with Epstein.
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Karen K. Ho @karenho.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
You know how much you have doomscrolled today and whether that is too much. You deserve time to rest and recover. Try not to stay up too late tonight.
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Nome @nome.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
I genuinely feel like this knowledge might be an infohazard. I genuinely feel like this might be the revelation that breaks me. "Epstein is responsible for /pol/."
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maple cocaine @maplecocaine.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
It makes you sound crazy to say this out loud, but it's becoming increasingly clear that the United States government has been effectively toppled by a group of overt pedophiles
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Leah McElrath @leahmcelrath.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Courage is largely a product of empathy, which they deride as a weakness.
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ElieNYC @elienyc.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
A major newspaper publishing guide to help people identify the munitions their government is using against them is a real "Late Republic America" timepeice that future historians will comment on.
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