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Oleg Urminsky

@olegurminsky.bsky.social
2.2K followers 1.3K following 150 posts

Prof @ UChicago Booth. Trying to learn how people think. Not a statistician but not exactly a psychologist either. You kids keep me young. Find my stuff here: home.uchicago.edu/~ourminsky

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Reposted by Oleg Urminsky
Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Again, today of all days is an important time to recognize that the Democratic Party's 2026/2028 platform must be institutional reform. <Every policy> everyone wants <follows> from that, not the other way around. There will be <one> chance to fix things. We can't waste it again.
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Journal of Consumer Research @jcrnews.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Editorship announcement: We are saddened to announce that Giana M. Eckhardt has decided to step down as Co-Editor of the Journal of Consumer Research, for personal reasons. She has been an outstanding Co-Editor, and has worked tirelessly for the journal...
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 09/04/2026
Our PhD student Kennedy Orwa, who studies applications of AI to health care, was hastily deported today to Kenya along with his 13-year-old son without opportunity to speak to legal counsel. King 5 reports that he held a valid visa that was rescinded without explanation.
king5.com
UW graduate student deported through SEA as protesters demand answers
A union representing University of Washington graduate student workers says Kennedy Orwa’s student visa was rescinded without explanation.
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Very excited that this @chicagoboothreview.bsky.social interview and our paper on the "Narrow Search Effect" are both out: www.chicagobooth.edu/review/podca... 🧵
chicagobooth.edu
Should AI Disagree with You?
Research suggests we shape our online queries in a way that confirms our views.
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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
People’s spontaneous searches are narrow, intended to produce results in line with their prior beliefs—which tend to persist, but when presented with broader information, they tend to update their beliefs more, research by Leung & @olegurminsky.bsky.social suggests:
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
When you collect data online, are the results from humans or AI? In a project led by Booth PhD student Grace Zhang, we estimate the prevalence of AI agents on commonly used survey platforms: osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵
osf.io
OSF
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Kianté @kiante.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Worth a look if you're running online studies. Happy to be a part of this, great work led by Grace. Check out Oleg's thread; feedback welcome!
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
When you collect data online, are the results from humans or AI? In a project led by Booth PhD student Grace Zhang, we estimate the prevalence of AI agents on commonly used survey platforms: osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵
osf.io
OSF
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Melissa Gira Grant @melissagiragrant.com · 13/02/2026
“I've said to a couple of my colleagues, like, man, what would it have looked like in 2024 when we're in the thick of the campaigns, if we stopped being so defensive on immigration and we went on the offensive; had we all collectively rang the alarm when we saw it start.”
thehandbasket.co
"The day of accountability will come": Rep. Delia Ramirez on abolishing and prosecuting DHS
The Handbasket spoke with the congresswoman who called out ICE long before it was popular.
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Malte Elson @malte.the100.ci · 13/02/2026
From this follow simple recommendations: as a default, meta-scientific studies of published research artefacts need to include 1) a full, identifiable list of included studies, 2) the full coding instrument and decision rules, and 3) the individual ratings together with a codebook.
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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Our instinct to seek confirmation leads to ‘narrow’ internet search behaviour. Chatbots, trained to be helpful, tend to go along with this, but could be trained to help us update our beliefs. @olegurminsky.bsky.social researched this and explains what he found: buff.ly/0eafZ78
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Chicago Booth Review @chicagoboothreview.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
"It's a general issue in lots of technology that the technology is designed to try to be helpful to us and around our needs, but often it takes a simple view of what those needs are and leaves out some of the needs." - @olegurminsky.bsky.social www.chicagobooth.edu/review/podca...
chicagobooth.edu
Should AI Disagree with You?
Research suggests we shape our online queries in a way that confirms our views.
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Reposted by Oleg Urminsky
𝐔𝐧𝐛𝐥𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐆𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐫𝐚𝐛 @johnxuandou.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
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Eric Geller @ericjgeller.com · 27/10/2025
"ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Grok are serving users propaganda from Russian-backed media when asked about the invasion of Ukraine, new research finds." www.wired.com/story/chatbo...
wired.com
Chatbots Are Pushing Sanctioned Russian Propaganda
ChatGPT, Gemini, DeepSeek, and Grok are serving users propaganda from Russian-backed media when asked about the invasion of Ukraine, new research finds.
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Daniel Abraham @abraham.bsky.social · 26/10/2025
If I were running the DNC, there would be Democratic Party sponsored food relief banks across the country right now that specifically welcomed anyone regardless of party affiliation. Along with the food, there could be voter registration and links to runforsomething.net
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sjdm-tweets @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
Today's HotFresh recommended paper is: Pleskac, T. J., Kyung, E. J., Chapman, G. B., & Urminsky, O. (2025). Blinded versus Unblinded Review: A Field Study on the Equity of Peer-Review Processes. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
doi.org
Blinded versus Unblinded Review: A Field Study on the Equity of Peer-Review Processes | Management Science
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eileen chengyin chow @chowleen.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
The South Korean Ministry of Defense has awarded medals of merit to 11 officers for disobeying direct orders of superiors during the martial law fiasco, orders that they deemed to be contrary to the constitution and endangerment to democracy. www.chosun.com/english/nati...
chosun.com
National Defense Ministry Honors 11 Soldiers for Refusing Illegal Orders
National Defense Ministry Honors 11 Soldiers for Refusing Illegal Orders Honored for rejecting illegal orders during martial law, Marine death probe
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Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
We must stand resolutely against political assassination and political violence of all kinds, and just as resolutely against everyone who exploits acts of violence as the pretext or excuse for political repression of political opponents.
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Andrea Matranga @andreamatranga.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Italy is doing something interesting with it's admission to medical school. Anybody with a high school diploma can enrol for the first semester (actually two months of intensive all day coursework). They take three course: Chemistry, Biology, and Physics. Mostly taught remotely.
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Jen Bendery @jbendery.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), top Dem on the Senate health committee, on this evening's chaos at CDC: “We cannot let RFK Jr. burn what’s left of the CDC and our other critical health agencies to the ground—he must be fired."
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
Ruby Sales, who Daniels saved, went on to get degrees at Tuskegee Institute, Manhattanville College, and Princeton University. She's still alive Daniels' murderer, who killed Daniels and wounded another activist (a Catholic priest), was never convicted and died peacefully in his late 80s
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
A story: 57 years ago, the Soviet Union invaded then Czechoslovakia, to stop the modest liberalization and increased tolerance for western perspectives that had been occuring. The invading soldiers were told that the country needed to be saved from Nazis who had taken over.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Now THIS is field work
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Dannagal Goldthwaite Young @dannagal.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Along with his text he sent me this. Ps: Dems, he’s a 21 yr old white male attending college in South Carolina. Get on this. Stat.
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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Today’s unsigned, unexplained #SCOTUS ruling clearing the way for removals of migrants to third countries without any additional process is a disaster—not just on the merits, but because of the government misbehavior that it not only refuses to punish, but effectively rewards. Me, via “One First”:
stevevladeck.com
161. The Court's Disastrous Ruling in the Third-Country Removal Case
The majority did not just greenlight an especially odious immigration policy without any explanation; it did so in a case in which the government defied the district court—twice—with no consequence.
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Robert Black @hurricanexyz.bsky.social · 21/06/2025
The thing about the Khalil case is that it's very very good that he's free now but you can't have it take three months between "the government kidnaps you off the street for no basis reason whatsoever" and "a judge makes them let you go." You just can't.
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Dilip Soman 🇨🇦 @dilipsoman.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Sorting matters! @ericjjohnson.bsky.social @olegurminsky.bsky.social @katymilkman.bsky.social @angeladuckworth.bsky.social
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Edward Nirenberg @enirenberg.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
If you are an academic institution that has a dismissed ACIP member- it is time to grow a spine. Not speaking out will not spare you from this administration, but speaking out will at least shed light on what is happening to people who are not aware.
The ousted members of the ACIP are reeling from their unexpected dismissals, and many are laying low at the request of academic institutions that fear reprisals from the Trump administration.
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
The military isn’t being employed to carry out an immigration policy. The immigration policy, and especially the way the administration is choosing to carry it out, is an excuse to call out the military.
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Journal of Consumer Research @jcrnews.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
The June issue of JCR is now up on consumerresearcher.com, with a special section on "Gen AI and Consumer Research".
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Chad Loder @chadloder.dev · 31/05/2025
Heavily armed paramilitary forces stormed a local San Diego restaurant today, deployed stun grenades against a crowd of onlookers, and kidnapped a handful of kitchen workers.
Heavily armed DHS HSI agents clad in full desert camo tactical gear including plate carriers and Kevlar helmets stand in the middle of the street like soldiersHeavily armed DHS HSI agents clad in full desert camo tactical gear including plate carriers and Kevlar helmets stand in the middle of the street like soldiers.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Deporting a gay man to Russia is beyond horrific, and yet this admin is happy to do it. And the verbal abuse he describes is abhorrent; and not new. Guards at detention centers, jails, and prisons get away with crap like this all the time. It’s appalling, it’s not new under Trump, just worse now.
On Wednesday, Maksim was handed a deportation order. Final decision. No appeal. His ICE officer told him flatly that if he refused to board the plane back to Russia, he'd be locked up in U.S. federal prison for “four or five years”—where, the ICE officer laughed, Maksim “will be raped.”
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Trump administration: We’ll beat China by destroying everything that makes us competitive with China.
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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
There are 2 previous historical cases of countries destroying their science and universities, crippling them for decades: Lysenkoism in the USSR and Nazi Germany. The Trump administration will be the 3rd. It's not just budgets but research, institutions, expertise, and training the next generation.
Graphs showing 25 years of budgets for the National Institute of Health, NASA, and the NSF. In all cases, the proposed budget for next year is far, far below any year of the previous quarter century.
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Amazing. www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBUw...
youtube.com
Hawaii's Kīlauea volcano spews molten lava more than 1,000 feet in the air
YouTube video by KOMO News
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jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 29/05/2025
now is the time for universities to announce that they collectively will not disenroll any international student who has their visa revoked, and that they will ensure remote degree completion is possible
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ryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 26/05/2025
“This cunning strategy of hiding in plain sight and constantly wandering around in remote locations by myself where I could have been easily dispatched and left for the vultures worked brilliantly.” prospect.org/world/2025-0...
prospect.org
How I Survived White Genocide in South Africa
To be safe: Live openly among Black folks, wander around by yourself, and take public transport everywhere.
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Same as it ever was: "In 1927, Albert Johnson said of the act he sponsored that it protected America from 'a stream of alien blood, with all its inherent misconceptions respecting the relationships of the governing power to the governed.'"
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George Wu @geowu.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Wow. Revoking tenure is something that Harvard has not done before it seems (though some have resigned so Harvard did not have to act). Gino is now off the HBS faculty list: www.hbs.edu/faculty/unit...
hbs.edu
Negotiation, Organizations & Markets Faculty - Faculty & Research - Harvard Business School
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Prof Sheena Cruickshank @sheencr.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
US conferences are being cancelled or relocated as speakers decline, science discourse is limited and others not allowed to attend. Certainly I would avoid going under the current regime
nature.com
Scientific conferences are leaving the US amid border fears
Some meetings have been put on hold in response to foreign researchers’ travel concerns.
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Julia Carrie Wong @joolia.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
welp I sent an email
Hi Tripp,
I'm a reporter with the Guardian US, based in New York. I hope this finds you well.
I'm reaching out about your most recent article and its inclusion of the claim, "Young Chinese women have small fingers." What is the source of this information? The full sentence attributes the claim that such small fingers make them "nimble" and therefore "valuable" to iPhone manufacturing to unnamed "supply chain experts", but it's unclear whether those same experts are the source of the claim that young Chinese women have small fingers in the first place. Are they? How do they know? Is there a study you can cite? And are we talking length? Circumference? Is it question of muscle strength? Or bone density? What is the normative range for finger size, to what extent do young Chinese women fall outside of it, and how do you - or your sources - know this?Incidentally, how are you defining "Chinese" in this sentence? As I'm sure you and your supply chain experts know, China is a large country with dozens of ethnic minorities. It is hard to imagine that hand size is a trait linked to national identity, but the lack of specificity leaves the question open. Did hand size among Han Chinese living in Taiwan vs the PRC diverge after the civil war? Could this be a function of political economy rather than a genetic trait? So many questions. Relatedly, how are you defining "young"? Do Chinese women's fingers grow as they age? Or is size not actually the meaningful characteristic? It's hard to tell from the information you provided!
I ask all these questions because unless you have answers to them, I am afraid that you may have portrayed racist pseudoscience as if it were fact in an article for the New York Times. If that wasn't your intent, I hope you will reflect upon the long history of certain forces using race science claims to attribute suitability for certain types of labor to certain types of people, and amend your article.
Best,
Julia Wong
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Suresh Venkatasubramanian @geomblog.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
This is bravery.
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Tomer Ullman @tomerullman.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
they should invent an opposition party that exists
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Kevin Gardner @nmrkaygee.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Outstanding presentation of the devastating cuts at NSF and their impact across multiple areas of scientific research and training. Angry at the impact now and in the long-term to US research. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
nytimes.com
Trump Has Cut Science Funding to Its Lowest Level in Decades (Gift Article)
The lag in funding extends far beyond D.E.I. initiatives, affecting almost every area of science: chemistry, computing, engineering, materials and more.
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
This isn't about whether you like Harvard or not. This is about whether any organization in our country has a right to exist without bending the knee to Donald Trump.
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
This framing is all wrong Our international students are not a “crucial funding source” They are our STUDENTS They are the reason we EXIST We teach STUDENTS
By Michael S. Schmidt and Michael C. Bender
May 22, 2025
Updated 2:17 p.m. ET
The Trump administration on Thursday halted Harvard University's ability to enroll international students, taking aim at a crucial funding source for the nation's oldest and wealthiest college in a major escalation in the administration's efforts to pressure the elite school to fall in line with the president's agenda.
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
Crimson update on detained Harvard researcher What is missing is that her HARVARD BOSS told her to bring these items into the country (see Guardian piece) Harvard owns this & should be doing the work of defending her www.thecrimson.com/article/2025... www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
According to The New York Times, the lawyers said at the hearing - held in Vermont - that the government would move to deport Petrova to Russia despite concerns that it would be dangerous for her to return to the country, where she was arrested in 2022 for protesting Russia's war in Ukraine. Gregory Romanovsky, her attorney, said returning to the country would be "suicide" for Petrova in a March interview with The Crimson.Petrova's boss, Leon Peshkin, said in an interview on Thursday that the researcher had good reason to fear being returned to Russia because she had publicly protested the Russian invasion of Ukraine in its first days, called for the impeachment of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, and was arrested.
She managed to flee, first to the former Soviet republic of Georgia and then to the United States, to continue her research on genomes.
Peshkin said that Petrova was a highly skilled researcher - "she is spectacular, the best I've ever seen in 20 years at Harvard,, - and had a visa that enabled her to work in the US and travel abroad freely. In February, however, when she was in Paris on vacation, her boss "made a huge mistake". He asked her to pick up a box of frog embryo samples from colleagues in France and bring them back to the lab at Harvard.
The import of these samples, Peshkin said, was legal, but Petrova made some sort of paperwork mistake on the US customs declaration form and was stopped by customs officers on her return to Logan airport in Boston.
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