iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 17h

If Seth Bodnar were smart he'd look toward the Lib Dems for inspiration.

Lib Dem style leaflet of the Montana Senate race, complete with a bar chart, reading:

It's a two horse race in Montana this November
ONLY INDEPENDENT SETH BODNARCAN BEAT REPUBLICANS HERE

Kurt Alme 44%
Seth Bodnar 32%
Alani Bankhead 14% (Can't win here!)

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The air pressure forces the molecules to go tiny

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I did it. It was as boring as you'd expect.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Eight years later, this election result still hurts.

Wikipedia infobox for the 2018 South Dakota gubernatorial election, which Kristi Noem won with 50.97 percent of the vote to Billie Sutton's 47.60 percent.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

I'm searching through the results of the word "COVID" in my photo library, and they just keep getting better and better. This was from a university building.

Whiteboard with several things written on it:

- "Beware! Presence of asbestos, nuclear waste and COVID" with most of it rubbed out so it looks like it says "Beware! COVID"

- "CORONAVIRUS IS FROM [illegible]"

- "#TEAMBIMINI"

- Some sort of circuitry diagram with messy and unreadable handwriting next to it

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Just uncovered a screenshot from 2022 of my Google search history from when I was stuck at home with COVID.

nancy pelosi
increase in appetite after covid
random number 1 to 20
report Ift
do pcr tests expire
burgess road post box
covid paracetamol
how much would it cost to buy out
amazon
fair representation act
indigenous meaning
lincoln chafee spotify
heads or tails
kjb
vaccine data uk

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

It's interesting how much cohesion there is between the four major Independent Senate candidates. They're genuinely acting like a political party.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

My cousin: "Can you walk my dog while I'm away?" Me: "Of course, no problem!!" The dog:

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Current GOP Rep Amodei in NV02 again says he won’t back the GOP nominee to succeed him

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Logomachist Elections @logomachistelections.com · 24/09/2026

Not saying I fully believe it, but Phil Scott losing would be one of the biggest upsets of the cycle and I'm not kidding.

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Minnesota - 1st House Polling: 🔵Johnson: 47% 🔴Finstad: 46%* GBAO / Sept 2026 (Trump +12 District) (Current model result in MN-1 is GOP 51% - DEM 48%) usapolling.substack.com/p/the-democr...

usapolling.substack.com

The Democratic Wave Is Growing

Post-Labor Day polling continues to point toward a difficult midterm environment for Republicans

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 23/09/2026

Yes. here you go. Trump’s approval is significantly below where it was in 2018

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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 22/09/2026

Tyrannosaurus xkcd.com/3300/

Comic. [Person with long hair pointing to diagram with Tyrannosaurus Rex standing next to a person.] PERSON: We now believe the primary prey of Tyrannosaurus Rex was these humans who kept standing next to it for scale.

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Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/09/2026

While we're all huffing hopium, here's a chart from my forthcoming @pspolisci.bsky.social article using data from @the-downballot.com. In the last three midterms, special election overperformance in swing districts closely tracked swing district overperformance in the general. Now look at 2026.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I feel like it should be possible to translate from one language to another using a calculator.

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

It is September 21, push your fucking undecideds already

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First Wordle Problems @fwordleproblems.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

On the one hand, outliers gonna outly. Consider this poll for a moment, absorb it, and move on. On the other hand, IT REALLY HAPPENED. Somebody got a number below 30! We’re getting into exciting new territory.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

RIP to the guy who died. He may not have been a good man, or an honest man, but I did agree with him politically.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

I'll put it on the record that I do not buy into the Kansas hype at all. I'd be delighted to be proven wrong, but people are treating Adam Hamilton like some sort of prodigy when in reality he's painfully average.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Congratulations to Senator-elect Peltola

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

CNN going to great lengths with their thumbnails to show people just how insane Harry Enten is.

Thumbnail with two shots of Harry Enten looking completely unhinged.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

The fact that polling in Texas is so consistent for Senate yet so inconsistent for governor isn't something we see a lot.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Turning on post notifications for @usapolling.bsky.social has made me go just a tiny bit crazy, but like hell I'm going to turn them off.

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Texas Polling: Senate: 🔵Talarico: 49% 🔴Paxton: 43% Governor: 🔵Hinojosa: 49% 🔴Abbott: 45% ReaconMR/Siena / Sept 11, 2026

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Alaska - Governor Polling: 🔵Kreiss-Tomkins: 55% 🔴Wilson: 45% AARP / Sept 11, 2026

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Ok now this is just getting silly.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

This is starting to feel like a pattern

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Ohio Polling: Governor: 🔵 Acton: 48% 🔴 Ramaswamy: 45% Senate: 🔵 Brown: 48% 🔴 Husted: 45%* YouGov / Sept 10, 2026

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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

25% of voters in the BGSU poll think that Sherrod Brown is the incumbent Senator drive.google.com/file/d/16DCS...

drive.google.com

BGSU0019_tabs (4).pdf

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Well, it's been a fun day of hating empirical prognosticators but I'm going to sleep now.

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Oh come ON, what are they smoking?

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

The @fiftyplusone.news House forecast has Democrats with a 97 percent chance of winning a majority, with the median seat at Likely D. fiftyplusone.news/forecast/house

fiftyplusone.news

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Texas - Senate Polling: 🔵 Talarico: 46% 🔴 Paxton: 43% ⚪ Brown: 3% Mason-Dixon / Sept 10, 2026

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Generic Ballot Polling: 🔵 Democrats: 51% 🔴 Republicans: 39% YouGov / Sept 14, 2026

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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

🚨🚨🚨 Dem +12 in the new Economist/YouGov poll with LV & named Congressional candidates. Lord have mercy...

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Polling USA @usapolling.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Florida - 27th House Polling: 🔵Rodriguez: 45% 🔴Salazar: 45%* Bendixen & Amandi / Aug 30, 2026 (Democratic Internal) (Current model result in FL-27 is DEM 52% - GOP 47%) usapolling.substack.com/p/midterms-a...

usapolling.substack.com

Midterms Are Turning Into a Nightmare for Republicans

Rising gas prices could make an already difficult midterm environment even worse for the GOP

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Daniel Gilmore @gilmored85.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

The worst political instincts in the game

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 14/09/2026

Trump is taking the 10% side of a 90-10 issue on AI/data centers. Talked about this on the podcast two weeks ago www.gelliottmorris.com/p/donald-tru...

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Nick 🐋 @njmt.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

My annual salary may seem high, but when you take out all of the money spent on expenditures that make my life more convenient, as well as all the money I put into savings, it's basically zero.

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Matthew Downhour @matthewdownhour.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

One thing I don’t think I realized fully at the time was what an impact Harris losing the popular vote would have, psychologically. I felt it even if I tried not to - the sense that America just wasn’t behind us, that it wasn’t worth fighting for things that Americans had rejected. Its bad…

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