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Niclas Poitiers

@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
415 followers 454 following 13 posts

OECD, former Bruegel, researching value chains and the global economy.

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Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
New article with @juanmejinoecon.bsky.social : Europe’s dependence on US foreign military sales: evidence for policy makers from a new database (first 50 downloads without paywall) www.tandfonline.com/eprint/JV94K...
tandfonline.com
Europe’s dependence on US foreign military sales: evidence for policy makers from a new database
Public concerns about Europe’s dependence on the United States military industrial base have increased with the worsening security situation in Europe and the deterioration of the transatlantic rel...
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 25/03/2026
❗ LAST CALL FOR APPLICATIONS! Bruegel is looking for: 1️⃣ Research Assistants on all areas of economic research. 2️⃣ a Research Assistant on Energy and Climate. Deadline for applications: Sunday 29th March 2026, 23:59 CET Expected starting date: 01 September 2026 🔗 Apply here: buff.ly/4hEcomK
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 13/03/2026
❗CALL FOR RESEARCH ASSISTANTS❗ Bruegel is looking for: 1️⃣ Research Assistants on all areas of economic research. 2️⃣ a Research Assistant on Energy and Climate. 📑 Deadline for applications: Sunday 29th March 2026, 23:59 CET 🔗 Interested? Apply here: buff.ly/4hEcomK
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Ugne Keliauskaite @keliauskaite.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
🆕@bruegel.org analysis "Dependence on fossil fuels, not on the United States, is Europe’s worry” US leverage over the EU is far smaller than Russia’s in 2021, but persists indirectly via EU’s fossil-fuel dependence 1/5 www.bruegel.org/analysis/dep... @bmcwilliams.bsky.social @gzachmann.bsky.social
bruegel.org
Dependence on fossil fuels, not on the United States, is Europe’s worry
The US has replaced Russia to a great extent as an energy supplier to the European Union, but this has not so far created a new vulnerability
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Georg Zachmann @gzachmann.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
www.bruegel.org/first-glance...
bruegel.org
Five reasons why attacking the EU carbon market is economic self-sabotage
When discussing the EU emissions trading system, policymakers should remember five risks of undermining the system
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Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
The inability of Germany to create a decent private pension product for the masses is mind-blowing. In the 2000s, *maybe* we didn't know how, not enough precedents. But now? Literally next door. 🇳🇱🇸🇪
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Rob Francis @robfranciseu.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Industrial accelerator act delayed…until March. Rejected by 9 DGs and von der Leyen
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Simone Tagliapietra @tagliapietra.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
💪 One million Europeans work in clean tech jobs. That is 2 jobs per 1,000 people and twice the level of 2010. But clean tech employment varies across countries - Lithuania leads with 5.4 jobs per 1,000 people. Find out more in our European Clean Tech Tracker (link in the comments).
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 10/02/2026
🏭 ‘Made with Europe’ not ‘Made in Europe’ should guide EU industrial policy 💡 Read the First Glance by Ignacio García Bercero, @bmcwilliams.bsky.social, @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and @tagliapietra.bsky.social 🔗 www.bruegel.org/first-glance... #EconSky
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Today's Eurobarometer survey is a touch gloomy, but the kids are alright 72% are worried about wars, 69% disinformation, 68% hate speech While 52% are pessimistic about the world's future, 80% of 15-30 yr olds are optimistic about their future, 65% about the EU, 50% the world
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Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
This time, Europe’s leaders played the EU-US trade game well. From the Franco-German tough line to Meloni’s off-ramps, backed by a credible €93bn retaliation threat, they made escalation for Trump costly, and de-escalation easy. Markets and US politics did the rest — Rutte scoring on the assist.
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
I think deterrence... worked. Europe's response was actually strong. They sent forces to Denmark, they threatened to retaliate with tariffs, they talked about selling US debt, they made markets nervous and it looked like Trump TACO'd... for now.
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Stanley Pignal @spignal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
European GDP in current USD has just gone up 1%. 1% GDP growth in just 24 hours, who needs Mario Draghi?
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Ben McWilliams @bmcwilliams.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
The unfortunate consequence of tariffs and the uncertainty they create is that Transatlantic trade is slowly disappearing. For clean tech products, EU - US exports have fallen by two-thirds this year while imports from the US are down by a half. european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/s/vREcWw
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Jérôme Cartillier @cartillier.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
#BREAKING Trump threatens 200% tariffs on French wine and Champagne over France's intentions to decline invitation to join his Board of Peace @afp.com
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 16/01/2026
The decline of child mortality, in one picture— Some weeks ago, our colleague @bastianherre.bsky.social went to El Escorial, a royal palace near Madrid. Many of the Spanish kings are buried there, along with their family members.
A photo of a tomb for Spanish royalty at El Escorial.
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 13/01/2026
You can discuss many aspects of this data, you may find a different measure that leads to a (slightly) different conclusion. But German negativity is extremely excessive. So the next time when you are confronted with typical German pessimism, use these facts to counter the narrative.
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Nicolas Veron @veron.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)
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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Most important is that Ukraine gets the money. Huge deal for EU: 1) if you want to do EU foreign policy, you need EU resources and debt. #EUCO delivered 2) First time this EU debt was decided without unanimity as far as I can remember www.consilium.europa.eu/media/wqmkno...
consilium.europa.eu
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
There’s gonna be a lot of hyperbolic talk about EU failing to meet the moment, yada, yada. But a 90 BILLION EU loan is a huge step for the EU and Ukraine! Europe just borrowed for war! EU crossed the joint borrowing rubicon. And they can still do the reparations loan in 2026.
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Holger Hestermeyer @hhesterm.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Here's a quick reminder of the composition of the economy of countries that are all too often perceived as agricultural: Italy: 65.6% services, 21.7% industry - 2% agriculture France: 70.4% services, 17.5% industry - 1.4% agriculture Austria: 65.3% services, 23.1% industry - 1.2% agriculture
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 16/12/2025
GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states since 2000— Since 2000, GDP per capita has doubled in all three Baltic states: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania (where it has nearly tripled).
The Baltic states all doubled their GDP per capita since 2000. Slope chart showing GDP per capita for Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia with data points at 2000 and 2024. In 2000: Estonia $21k, Lithuania $16k, Latvia $15k. In 2024: Lithuania $47k, Estonia $42k, Latvia $39k. Each country’s two points are connected by a line showing roughly a doubling from 2000 to 2024. Data source: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2025). Note: this data is expressed in international dollars at 2021 prices. License: CC BY to Our World in Data
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Lucas Guttenberg @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
Is Germany again dragging its feet and undermining a "simple" solution to the Ukraine financing problem, instead pushing the ubercomplex reparations loan? It's a tempting eurocrisis reflex that if only there were a will in Berlin, there would be a better way. But there isn't. Here is why:
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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
One big topic this week: the #Mercosur agreement. It would be absolutely appaling if the #EU again delayed. France should drop its absurd call for yet another delay. We have been debating this agreement for 25 years and yes, there are lot's of safeguards for special interests already.
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Gabriel Zucman @gabrielzucman.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new “euro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US This view is wrong A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧵
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Sarah Cohodes @cohodes.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
When we focus on the "brilliance" of unaccountable perpetrators, we are forgoing the brilliance of the young people deterred from their fields bsky.app/profile/coho...
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
Germany's unlikely new China hawk - president of central bank, has found his wings. Nagel says EU should be ready to retaliate against Beijing If retaliation is a last resort, “I would say, okay, we have to be strong and have to take a bold decision"
bloomberg.com
Bundesbank Head Says EU Must Be Ready to Retaliate Against China
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said he hopes that Europe can overcome trade difficulties with China, but should be ready to take firm action if necessary.
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Niclas Poitiers @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social · 24/10/2025
This was always a central flaw in the European chips policy: it chased the flashy smartphone chips whereas what Europe industry really depends on is much more mundane
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
European Council summits are often treated by outside observers as foreign policy-style summits, especially when issues like frozen Russian assets are discussed. But really this is like domestic legislating. There's always haggling. This is how the EU sausage gets made.
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Etienne Höra @etiennehoera.d-64.social · 22/10/2025
High time to get rid of the 'bazooka' framing. The ACI is not a magic weapon. It's a new procedural way of threatening retaliation and then imposing it. The effect really depends on the threats the EU is willing to make. Currently we're mainly deterring ourselves with the military analogies.
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Luca Léry Moffat @lucalerymoffat.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Ukraine's central bank has held the country's exchange rate relatively stable in the last year after the initial volatility caused by Russia’s full-scale invasion. But that might be about to change. Read more: kyivindependent.com/will-ukraine...
Ukraine’s average daily official and market exchange rates.
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Simone Tagliapietra @tagliapietra.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
🏠 Heat pumps are a key enabler of buildings decarbonisation. After a jump during the energy crisis, their deployment has slowed-down. Reversing this is key for climate, security and competitiveness, as Europe is a leading manufacturer of the technology. See: european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org
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Ludger Woessmann @woessmann.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
⚡9.-Klässler:innen 2024 vs. 2018: Mathe -24⬇️ Bio -24⬇️ Chemie -24⬇️ Physik -23⬇️ Die neuen Ergebnisse des IQB-Bildungstrends. Ganz grob gesprochen: 9.-Klässler:innen liegen heute etwa auf Niveau der 8.-Klässler:innen noch vor 6 Jahren. 1/3
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
Bloomberg: EU considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over tech to European companies if they want to operate locally. as part of a legislative proposal called the Industrial Accelerator Act - expected in November
bloomberg.com
EU Considers Forced Tech Transfers for New Chinese Investments
The European Union is considering forcing Chinese firms to hand over technology to European companies if they want to operate locally, in an aggressive new push to make the bloc’s industry more competitive.
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 13/10/2025
🎉 Congratulations to former Bruegel Fellow Philippe Aghion for being awarded the @riksbank.se Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences 💡 In 2009, Aghion co-authored a Policy Brief on 'No green growth without innovation', co-authored with Reinhilde Veugelers and David Hémous 🔗 buff.ly/yXNJqEg
buff.ly
No green growth without innovation
This Policy Brief is a reissue of a Policy Brief published by Bruegel in November 2009
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
Looking back at yesterday's motions of censure against the EU Commission, they really drove down how France's political crisis is spilling over into the EU: -> Both the far-left and the far-right motions of censures came from French MEPs, uploading their fight against 'centrists'
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Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
As #France is without government once more, it is worth remembering that its total bilateral support for #Ukraine is less than that of Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands. Not combined. Individually, and in €bn not % of GDP.
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Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
So much of the coverage of the EU is hyper-micro. It's all about the sausage making. So story out of Copenhagen European Council is "dithering," "all talk, no action," nothing fully agreed, etc. It's an effing meeting! Take a step back... they are moving on Eurobonds/frozen Russian assets. 1/
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 26/09/2025
💢 COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock ⛓️💥 How can vulnerable countries better withstand shocks in an era of heightened uncertainty? 🖊️ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and Costanza Greppi Maturana 🔗 buff.ly/Tj41aPW #EconSky
buff.ly
COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock
COVID-19 hit low-income exporters hard, exposing risks from weak diversification and straining trade, supply systems and financial stability
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RETHINK-GSC @rethink-gsc.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
💡 𝗜𝗻𝗻𝗼𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗹𝘆 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀! Stronger research investment, better knowledge transfer, + policies linking trade, tax + innovation are key to resilience. 📽️More: www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6P7... #SupplyChains #Innovation #EUResearch @horizoneu.bsky.social
youtube.com
Rethinking Global Supply Chains | Complexity matters
YouTube video by Kiel Institute for the World Economy
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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Whether it wants to or not, the EU is quickly being drawn into a mode of needing to contribute to the security of its members. Here we have von der Leyen proclaiming that "We" will respond to every provocation and signaling the further investments in the EU's & NATO's Eastern flank:
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 17/09/2025
🎙️ EU foreign direct investment, explained @rebeccawire.bsky.social discusses with @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social & Damien Levie from European Commission's DG Trade on what is at stake as talks start on how to revise the FDI rules. #EconSky Listen to the podcast:
buff.ly
EU foreign direct investment, explained
How can the EU coordinate national screening procedures in key sectors when outside investors want to buy in?
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Garvan Walshe @garvanwalshe.org · 15/09/2025
Important stuff here by @jeremycliffe.bsky.social on the regional elections in NRW, Germany. You’ll see a lot of stories about a “far right surge” (the FT has one this morning). But that happened a couple of years ago. These results record voter shifts that already happened. 1/
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Simone Tagliapietra @tagliapietra.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
JOB POSTING 💼 As we keep expanding our work on energy, climate and clean tech, we at Bruegel - Improving economic policy are now searching for a climate economist to complement our team. Please share/apply! www.bruegel.org/careers/clim...
bruegel.org
Climate economist
Deadline for applications: applications will be reviewed on a rolling basis
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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 09/09/2025
🌱 Towards a Green Procurement Union: trade-offs and strategic choices 📅 24 Sep 2025 13:00-14:00 CET On a new Bruegel paper about public procurement and green transition w/ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, Anna Cavazzini, @francesconicoli.bsky.social, Oliver K. Saltoft & Marta Toporek 🔗 buff.ly/MIEhPwz
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Ben McWilliams @bmcwilliams.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
🚗 Electric vehicle sales grow steadily across Europe. In June, 26% of newly registered cars were electric (compares to 20% in Jun24). Italy and Spain lag the average. Germany edges in front. Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark are far ahead. european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/technology/e...
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Alicia Garcia Herrero 艾西亞 @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Some reflections from @bruegel.org #BAM. I am sorry for #Draghi, #Letta, and others trying to wake up #European leaders. Complacency reigns as the economic and political situation deteriorates. We are responsible for our mess and cannot expect any support, on the contrary.
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, a trade expert at Bruegel, a Belgian think tank, said the EACO description was “a bit harsh” but acknowledged “there’s some truth to it”. “It doesn’t matter whether it’s fair, the point is deterrence. If it’s not a credible threat... it’s not a deterrent"
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Dave Jones @cleanpowerdave.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
NEW: The first evidence of a solar take-off in Africa☀️✈️ x33 rise in Algeria solar panel imports in the 12 mths to June 2025, compared to previous 12 mths. x8 in Zambia x7 in Botswana x6 in Sudan x3 in each of Liberia, DRC, Benin, Angola, Ethiopia 🧵
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Finbarr Bermingham @fbermingham.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
NEW: EU and US publish joint statement on trade deal. Language relating to China in this short thread: policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/news/joint-s...
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu
Joint Statement on a United States-European Union framework on an agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade
The United States and the European Union are pleased to announce that they have agreed on a Framework on an Agreement on Reciprocal, Fair, and Balanced Trade ('Framework Agreement').
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