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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Why we need more EU-Ukraine defence cooperation: - it would strengthen both Ukrainian and European security. - testing weapons in real combat in Ukraine will give European defence firms an advantage. - innovation that comes out of Europe-Ukraine cooperation will not stay within the defence sector.

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Intereconomics @intereconomics.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

JOIN US in BERLIN on 7 OCTOBER for our joint conference on EUROPEAN SECURITY ARCHITECTURE with @guntramwolff.bsky.social @stevenblockmans.bsky.social @corneliawoll.bsky.social @general-ben.bsky.social @schularick.bsky.social & more. Program and registration at www.zbw.eu/en/about-us/...

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Good to hear that at #SOTEU, the president mentioned a European Article 4 procedure. Security is under threat due to constant Hybrid + attacks

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 08/09/2026

🕰️ Europe’s climate-resilience moment has arrived As global warming impacts are increasingly felt, the EU should turn climate adaptation from a national responsibility into a genuine European policy ✒️ @tagliapietra.bsky.social & @guntramwolff.bsky.social #EconSky

bruegel.org

Europe’s climate-resilience moment has arrived

As global warming impacts are increasingly felt, the EU should turn climate adaptation from a national responsibility into a genuine European policy

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Intereconomics @intereconomics.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

NEW ONLINE: "Reforming European Defence Procurement to Boost Military Innovation and Startups" by E. Kapstein, @javier-ospital.bsky.social & @guntramwolff.bsky.social. Despite a wave of new European defence startups, most still can't breakthrough. Read why here www.intereconomics.eu/contents/yea...

intereconomics.eu

Reforming European Defence Procurement to Boost Military Innovation and Startups

Intereconomics is an academic journal that publishes articles by experts on current economic and social policy issues affecting Europe.

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 14/07/2026

🔔UPDATED: #US Foreign #Military Sales🪖 💡With data up to June 2026 🔗 buff.ly/3G3OLbg 🖋️ @juanmejinoecon.bsky.social, @javier-ospital.bsky.social & @guntramwolff.bsky.social #EconSky

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Christian Volpe Martincus @christianvolpem.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

It was also a pleasure to participate in the Symposium in Honor of Jürgen von Hagen’s 70th Birthday at the @unibonn.bsky.social, moderating a session on European Governance and Geopolitics. Many thanks to the organizers and panelists for the insightful discussion.

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 08/05/2026

🪖 Who controls the defence industry? ❗ The #defence industry is gaining importance in Europe, but the methods by which states exercise control over it are poorly understood 📑 Working Paper by Marco Becht, @juanmejinoecon.bsky.social and @guntramwolff.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/KmMPtn4 #EconSky

buff.ly

Who controls the defence industry?

The defence industry is gaining importance in Europe, but the methods by which states exercise control over it are varied and poorly understood

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Big spending, little future: Germany is rearming differently from Poland and the UK - our new report is out: www.kielinstitut.de/publications...

kielinstitut.de

Leading in spending, lagging in innovation: German defence procurement compared to the UK and Poland - Kiel Institute

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Georg Weizsäcker @georgweizsaecker.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

Dear 🇩🇪 government, it *is* in your job description to shield us from future energy crises. Not only a French thing. But 👏 to 🇫🇷

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Georg Weizsäcker @georgweizsaecker.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Interesting and very fast analysis on the economics of a possible toll paid to Iran 👇🏼

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Noah Barkin @noahbarkin.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

WSJ editorial board: "What a spectacle: America’s second-in-command campaigning on behalf of a Prime Minister who may lose, in a small central European country, while America is prosecuting a war in Iran" www.wsj.com/opinion/jd-v...

wsj.com

Opinion | JD Vance Stars in Our Man in Budapest

The Veep meddles in a Hungarian election to help himself in 2028.

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Could a Hormuz toll solve the oil crisis? I show that 80-95% of the toll would be paid by the Gulf states, meaning that the rest of the world is largely indifferent to a toll as long as oil supply is restored. (it's a simple tax incidence analysis) www.bruegel.org/analysis/cou...

bruegel.org

Could a Hormuz toll solve the oil crisis and who pays?

With a return to the pre-Iran conflict energy status quo unlikely, a Hormuz toll may be the next best option – but Gulf states would pay the most

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Adam Schwarz @adamjschwarz.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Starmer is asked directly by @jessicaelgot.bsky.social whether the UK will rejoin the Single Market. He does not rule it out.

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

New: Alex Burilkov&I analyse the financial asymmetry of asymmetric warfare and argue that Europe, like the Gulf, needs to learn two important lessons from Ukraine: - invest in cheap air defence - build strike capabilities to disrupt military production . www.bruegel.org/first-glance...

bruegel.org

The costs and failures of air defence in the Iran conflict and what they mean for Europe

Shoring up Europe’s defensive capabilities needs to focus on cheap interceptors and offensive capability to target military industries

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

looking forward to the debate tomorrow. Please join!

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

"Vladimir Putin’s administration has endorsed a plan by the Social Design Agency, a Kremlin-linked media consultancy under western sanctions, to bolster Orbán’s Fidesz party by flooding social media with messages designed in Russia and posted by influential Hungarians." www.ft.com/content/34df...

ft.com

Kremlin backs covert campaign to keep Viktor Orbán in power

Vladimir Putin endorses plan drawn up by Russian consultancy that is under western sanctions

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

Soon we can forget discussing the closure of Strait closure. Quatar LNG exports are down for many years

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

“Deeper defence co-operation across European countries is necessary to reduce costs for taxpayers and ensure technology is developed and controlled in Europe. This new initiative is a right step and I hope more countries will eventually join,” Wolff told the FT. www.ft.com/content/3dcd...

ft.com

Trio of European states set up new fund to boost defence spending

UK, Netherlands and Finland join forces to reduce procurement costs through economies of scale

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 05/03/2026

🪖Reforming European defence procurement to boost military innovation and startups European defence procurement practices must evolve to embrace innovative startups and small firms, in order to meet modern battlefield needs. 🖋️Ethan Kapstein, Javier Ospital @guntramwolff.bsky.social #EconSky

buff.ly

Reforming European defence procurement to boost military innovation and startups

European defence procurement practices must evolve to embrace innovative startups and small firms, in order to meet modern battlefield needs

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

German gov't making a big strategic mistake. Instead of diversifying away from gas and oil, this will keep the country trapped in geopolitical dependencies.

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 01/03/2026

Sehr schade, dass sie anscheinend den SVR verlassen wird

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Noah Barkin @noahbarkin.bsky.social · 03/02/2026

Well done Spain. This should be EU-wide. A first (but hopefully not last) signal to the tech bros that their dystopian vision has no place in Europe giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

giftarticle.ft.com

Spain to ban social media access for under-16s

Move follows Australia’s decision to introduce age-based restrictions over child safety concerns

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

Eine sehr interessante Studie meiner @ulbruxelles.bsky.social Kollegen Micael Castanheira, Giovanni Paolo Mariani und Clemence Tricaud. Sie zeigen, dass bei der Bereitstellung vieler öffentlicher Güter wie zB guter Schulen und Krankenhäuser die Ungleichheit eher erhöht wird

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 18/01/2026

The EU cannot accept being coerced into selling Greenland. As the narcisist power grab of President Trump expands, it is important to say no. US lawmakers are being more vocal and so are European lawmakers and countries. Will Europe have to pay a price? - yes.

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Sophie in't Veld @sophieintveld.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

Nog niet zo lang geleden werd een Europees leger smalend afgedaan als luchtfietserij. Vandaag is een meerderheid van de Europeanen vóór. Alleen nationale politici stribbelen tegen. Defensie expert @guntramwolff.bsky.social in @nrc.nl “burgers zijn verder dan nationale politici”. Must-read artikel!

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Caroline de Gruyter @carolinedegruyter.bsky.social · 14/01/2026

“De Amerikanen hebben weinig goeds met ons voor. Veel burgers snappen wat er op het spel staat, dat we voor een Europese defensie moeten gaan. Zij zijn verder dan de meeste Europese leiders.” Interview @guntramwolff.bsky.social www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/...

nrc.nl

‘We moeten af van onze militaire afhankelijkheid van de Amerikanen’

Guntram Wolff | economisch defensie-expert: Europese leiders zijn bang om voor Europese defensie te kiezen en minder met de Amerikanen te doen. Maar er is weinig keus, zegt defensie-expert Guntram Wol...

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Adam Schwarz @adamjschwarz.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen: "If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU." "Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US" he later added.

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Melissa Chan @melissakchan.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Estimates for number killed in the Tiananmen Square massacre are greatly debated more than 30 years later. Experts say likely between 1,000-3,500. If CBS News warnings are true for Iran's 12,000-20,000 — we are looking at something 5x to 15x greater. A historic horror.

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 07/01/2026

❄️ Greenland is not marginal: the US takeover threat is a strategic test for Europe ❓How should Europe respond to threats over Greenland? 📑 Read the First Glance by @guntramwolff.bsky.social 🔗 buff.ly/bffJUuG

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

Natürlich könnten sich die USA, wenn sie denn wollten, Grönland einverleiben. Die politischen und militärischen Kosten würden aber für die USA massiv steigen, schreibt Guntram Wolff. Mein Kommentar im Handelsblatt www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/gast...

handelsblatt.com

Gastkommentar: Warum Europa zusätzliche Truppen nach Grönland entsenden sollte

Natürlich könnten sich die USA, wenn sie denn wollten, Grönland einverleiben. Die politischen und militärischen Kosten würden aber für die USA massiv steigen, schreibt Guntram Wolff.

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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

amazing how the entire machine can pivot within 24 hours. no need to slowly upsell the argument; just issue new marching orders

Matt Walsh tweeted last year: "We've spent the last 25 years bringing "freedom" and "democracy" to countries around the globe while our own country has been systematically invaded and now our largest cities are run by foreigners and communists. If you want to know why I'm so avowedly non-interventionist, this is why."

Then he tweeted today: ""This is a war for oil!!!!!"

First of all, the "war" lasted like 90 minutes. Second, going to war to secure vital resources for your own people is totally legitimate. Why should we allow some third world communist shithole to control trillions of dollars worth of oil?"

Laura Loomer tweeted last year: "I’m America First, I don’t support “Regime Change”. I went on @Bannons_WarRoom to talk about Chinese aggression in Venezuela and why we need to designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a foreign Islamic terrorist organization."

Then she tweeted yesterday: "Maduro has arrived at the DEA office in Manhattan. He was transported in an armored motorcade after being transported in a blindfold via helicopter & then by plane to New York after his compound in Caracas was raided by US Special Forces.

Proud to be an American today!

USA 🇺🇸"

Catturd tweeted last year: "Name one U.S. inspired regime change that hasn’t ended in absolute disaster."

Then he tweeted yesterday: "Venezuela is now more free than New York City."

Will Chamberlain tweeted last year: "The Republican Party is no longer the party of regime change and endless wars

If you want to be its standard-bearer that is a non-negotiable position"

Then he tweeted yesterday: "I can think of few better uses of my tax dollars than black-bagging the head of a foreign narco-trafficking organization that enriches itself by addicting and poisoning my fellow Americans"

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European Central Bank @ecb.europa.eu · 31/12/2025

In just a few hours, Bulgaria will adopt the euro. To mark this special moment, we are illuminating our main building in Frankfurt. We’re excited to welcome Bulgaria to the euro family 🇪🇺🤝🇧🇬 📸 by ECB

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 21/12/2025

"Möchten Sie die Bundeswehr beliefern? Als Zulieferer der Bundeswehr müssen zahlreiche gesetzliche Vorgaben beachtet werden." ---> so die einführenden, werbenden Sätze auf der Seite des Bundesamts für Beschaffung #baainbw ---> Perfektes Marketing 😅 www.bundeswehr.de/de/organisat...

bundeswehr.de

Vergabe

Vergabe öffentlicher Aufträge; Grundlagen der Beschaffung; Vergabeplattform; Werden Sie Lieferant der Bundeswehr.

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 21/12/2025

“It’s not great to come home without Mercosur or the plan on Russian assets,” said Guntram Wolff, senior fellow at Bruegel. “The question for Macron is whether it is smart to impose political losses on Merz on two big issues.” www.ft.com/content/99d2...

ft.com

Role reversal: how foot-dragging France blindsided newly assertive Berlin

As Friedrich Merz pushed to finalise a deal on Russian frozen assets, it became clear that he was missing one key ally

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Ben Williamson @benpatrickwill.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵 Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...

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Nicolas Veron @veron.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

A few quick thoughts about this morning's decision. Don't believe the spin from various Russians & others: it's a big deal. The EU has now unambiguously demonstrated that it is able and willing to provide the external financial support Ukraine needs, for as long and as much as it takes. (1/N)

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

Most important is that Ukraine gets the money. Huge deal for EU: 1) if you want to do EU foreign policy, you need EU resources and debt. #EUCO delivered 2) First time this EU debt was decided without unanimity as far as I can remember www.consilium.europa.eu/media/wqmkno...

consilium.europa.eu

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Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

One big topic this week: the #Mercosur agreement. It would be absolutely appaling if the #EU again delayed. France should drop its absurd call for yet another delay. We have been debating this agreement for 25 years and yes, there are lot's of safeguards for special interests already.

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Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

Senator Kelly is correct. Plus a Public Service Announcement: KEY section of Department of Defense's Law of War Manual is 18.3.2.1. The VERY rule on the "requirement" to refuse illegal orders gives as its paradigmatic example of what is "clearly illegal: "orders to fire upon the shipwrecked."

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 30/11/2025

Mark Kelly on the Trump/Hegseth boat strikes: "If orders are illegal, not only do they not have to follow them, they are legally required not to follow them."

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Bruegel @bruegel.org · 26/11/2025

🎙️ Ukraine talks: peace progress or dead end? @rebeccawire.bsky.social discusses Ukraine peace talks with @veron.bsky.social & @guntramwolff.bsky.social, and how the EU can manage the high-stakes standoff between Kyiv, Moscow and Washington. #EconSky Listen here:

buff.ly

Ukraine talks: peace progress or dead end?

How should the EU manage negotiations with Ukraine, the US and Russia?

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