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New Left EViews

@newlefteviews.bsky.social
4.7K followers 495 following 215 posts

Economist, researcher, writer etc • Int'l & European political economy, geoeconomics, climate, history • 1/3 of 'Eurotrash' and host of 'States and Markets', writing a book on trade

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Jacobin @jacobinmag.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The primacy of the dollar is considered one of the pillars of American might, conferring exorbitant financial privileges and coercive power. But what maintains the global dollar system is in fact inseparable from what’s driving American domestic decline.
jacobin.com
Does Dollar Supremacy Help Americans?
The primacy of the dollar is considered one of the pillars of American might, conferring exorbitant financial privileges and coercive power. But what maintains the global dollar system is in fact inseparable from what’s driving American domestic decline.
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UnHerd @unherd.com · 02/07/2026
Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority — which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years. | Dominik Leusder unherd.com/2026/07/the-...
unherd.com
The great British housing con
Spectators watch a demolition in Glasgow in 2025. (Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images)
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
This place have group chats now or what?
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Provost of Kings College, Cambridge, ladies and gentlemen. The college that produced JM Keynes
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
The FT should be ashamed of this disgracefully ignorant piece that rehashes long discredited notions about public debt, fear-mongering about ‘a truly devastating debt explosion’ and wishing for a bond market ‘jolt’ to ‘concentrate minds’. I won’t even link to it.
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Lauri Donahue @lauridonahue.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
futurism.com/future-socie... lol
As one New York financier told Financial Times journalist Gillian Tett, new hires who were seen as “AI natives” are turning out to have alarmingly shallow ideas. So much so, the anonymous finance worker admitted, that his firm now actively avoids seeking out AI-literate STEM graduates, and opts to comb through humanities students instead.
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Jo Michell @jomichell.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
“Obviously nonsense, rightwing propaganda,” says Portes. “He is clearly capable. The idea that he’s some sort of communist or that he’s going to be fiscally irresponsible is just stupid.” 👍👏
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Karl Schamotta @karl-schamotta.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Mbappé shows how to achieve work/life balance by quitting when his team is well ahead. In this LinkedIn post I will…
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
When comparing advanced economies, there is a hard limit to how meaningful current output levels are. But let’s be accurate, especially when commentators make huge inferences from poor data. Here: the best measure of real output we have for this context, along with key wellbeing indicators.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Productive investment is what drives long-run real growth. Any country that wants to maintain living standards and sustainably service its debt needs to maintain adequate levels of capital formation: investment in the things with which the economy creates more things: equipment, buildings, IP etc.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Arguably no advanced economy struggled more to invest and build than the United Kingdom. And the picture doesn't materially change for real GFCF, whether as a share of output, per capita or per hour. Have a piece on this later this month.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
I’m in the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social today, trying to account for Brexit’s role in Britain’s long decline. The verdict: it killed the recovery from austerity, which had killed the recovery from the crisis. Rejoining single market maybe worth the political capital one day—but not now. Link👇
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Yusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 26/06/2026
I don’t deny that a level of decoupling between growth and environmental impact has taken place (as argued in chart below). But the reason I take degrowth seriously is because I’m not sure decoupling is sufficiently fast/widespread/persistent to avoid (even more!) terrible warming scenarios.
Financial Times chart

Title: Growth used to come with increased environmental impact; now rich countries are growing while reducing their footprints

Subtitle: Trajectory of per-capita environmental impact and GDP, high-income countries, 1960-2022

Text beneath chart: Emissions are adjusted for trade and thus do not reflect offshoring of manufacturing. Source: 'Developed economies are growing while reducing many of their environmental impacts' (Dancer et al, 2026)
FT graphic: John Burn-Murdoch / @jburnmurdoch

Chart shows 4 faceted connected scatter plots, each with their own relative y axis.

On x axis is GDP per capita 

On y axis you have - 
1. CO2 emissions (t)
2. Material footprint (t)
3. Primary energy (MWh)
4. SO2 emissions (kg)

ALL PER CAPITA

The trends show all y axis variables peaked and declined (but all at different rates) as GDP per capita increases over time. This is meant to argue and illustrate the decoupling case.
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Yusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 07/07/2026
"If austerity killed the recovery from the crisis, Brexit killed the recovery from austerity." – @newlefteviews.bsky.social www.newstatesman.com/business/eco...
newstatesman.com
You can't blame Brexit anymore
Our economy was broken long before the referendum
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
I’m in the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social today, trying to account for Brexit’s role in Britain’s long decline. The verdict: it killed the recovery from austerity, which had killed the recovery from the crisis. Rejoining single market maybe worth the political capital one day—but not now. Link👇
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
«Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority—which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years.» Me in @unherd.com on the heels of @andyburnham.bsky.social’s speech. Link👇
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
«In economic terms, removing barriers to construction and restricting openness to global investors are viable responses [...]. But politically the problem runs deeper. Britain has reconfigured its economy in a way that is difficult to unwind.» unherd.com/2026/07/the-...
unherd.com
The great British housing con
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Flamman @flamman.se · 06/02/2025
Trumps tullar slår hårdast mot hans fattigaste väljare – men lär berika USA:s elit. Ekonomen Dominik Leusder om ett dödfött projekt:
flamman.se
Trumps tullmani löser knappast USA:s problem
Gör Amerika dyrt igen – och lär inte stoppa landets nedgång
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
«Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority—which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years.» Me in @unherd.com on the heels of @andyburnham.bsky.social’s speech. Link👇
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Imagine if hundreds of people died in hurricane or floods smashing through Europe Heatwaves have already killed that many ppl. They are a silent killer in that they dont generate outrage or fear. Hope this by @economist.com helps save lives as Europeans wake up to danger bsky.app/profile/eate...
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
EU AC debate feels partly like a op... Reminder Fossil capital fed climate denial narratives @doctorvive.bsky.social Stage 1: Deny the Problem Exists 2: Deny We're the Cause 3: Deny It's a Problem 4: Deny We can Solve It 5: It's too Late, and it’s all your fault. phenomenalworld.org/analysis/glo...
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Yusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 02/07/2026
“I don’t think it’s right to apportion blame,” McSweeney says, arguing that everyone was responsible for wasting the valuable first months in power and losing the faith of voters. lmfao
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I had crunching some numbers on Iran's external liabilities for Bourse & Bazaar. Thanks very much to @yarbatman.bsky.social. www.bourseandbazaar-substack.org/p/irans-econ...
bourseandbazaar-substack.org
Iran’s Economy Can Absorb $300 Billion Targeted in MOU
Iran’s economy is large relative to its current external liabilities stock, which sits at a miniscule 2.5% of GDP.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
The Mississippi versus UK thing is funny and I think it's worth discussing in a longer essay that I'm writing on Britain's decline, so I've removed the thread from yesterday for now. But for now here are the headline graphics.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
The link at the end of the thread was broken so here it is: open.substack.com/pub/leusdero...
open.substack.com
Europe, America, PPPs and a (possible) natural experiment in deflator harmonisation
A little empirical test, why both current and constant PPPs are conceptually inappropriate, why chained PPPs are the approrpiate methodological compromise, and why probably none of this matters.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Europe vs America: Supplemental Once more with feeling: here’s a small test that strengthens the case that the productivity wedge since 1995 in the constant PPP series is a deflator asymmetry mirage and that the chained PPP series adjusts for along with Balassa-Samuelson: 1/
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Europe vs America: Supplemental Once more with feeling: here’s a small test that strengthens the case that the productivity wedge since 1995 in the constant PPP series is a deflator asymmetry mirage and that the chained PPP series adjusts for along with Balassa-Samuelson: 1/
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Reposting this from the other site: So this new paper (by very smart, well-meaning scholars) builds an elegant structural transformation model whose central virtue is that it reproduces the apparent timing of US-Europe productivity divergence, that is 1995 (as highlighted in the Draghi report) 1/
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
I'm afraid this story by @martinsandbu.ft.com is a total fudge that repeats the errors of this debate: www.ft.com/content/8bdb...
ft.com
A tale of two EU-US comparisons
There is no well-defined single answer to whether the US has been outgrowing Europe
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Draghi: European productivity converged on US till 1995, then diverged. But the data series especially designed to limit price-output growth confounding effects (Balassa-Samuelson) and national accounting asymmetries (ICT deflators) shows no such thing: tinyurl.com/5n8858yt
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Equator @equatormag.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
There are still tickets left for Thursday online event, featuring @newlefteviews.bsky.social and @mona-ali.bsky.social – who will discuss the fallout of the war in the Middle East and the end of American hegemony. Register here! www.equator.org/events/after...
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Angus Bylsma @angusbylsma.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
This week’s review!—back to Daunton, this time on the demolition of Bretton Woods and the potential lessons within. A guest post by the brilliant @samthorpe.bsky.social.
open.substack.com
Slouching Towards Liberalization
The Economic Government of the World, Martin Daunton, 2023 (Pt.II).
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Draghi: European productivity converged on US till 1995, then diverged. But the data series especially designed to limit price-output growth confounding effects (Balassa-Samuelson) and national accounting asymmetries (ICT deflators) shows no such thing: tinyurl.com/5n8858yt
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Essay on Euro-American Decline: Part 1 The first instalment deals with a debate that recently re-emerged on but which in my view is still a bit confused: [link below]
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Reposting this from the other site: So this new paper (by very smart, well-meaning scholars) builds an elegant structural transformation model whose central virtue is that it reproduces the apparent timing of US-Europe productivity divergence, that is 1995 (as highlighted in the Draghi report) 1/
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
One of my favorite pieces of recent months. Draws so many things together.
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Fabian Schmidt @fabschmidt.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
The gap between European and US “economic success” indicators around GDP or GDPpC are to a large extent a statistical artefact.
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JP Ahonen 🇪🇺 @jpahonen.eurosky.social · 23/05/2026
The same health outcome that costs $15,000 in the US adds $15,000 to US GDP. The same outcome costing €3,000 in Finland adds €3,000 to Finnish GDP. The US “produces” five times more healthcare GDP for the same health result. This is not productivity. It is rent extraction measured as output.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Europe does need urgent reforms but we need to be serious about what reforms. If we conclude that we need to emulate the US economic model we risk doubling down on the very things that have wilfully damaged Europe’s growth and productivity trajectory. leusderoflastresort.substack.com/p/the-us-is-...
leusderoflastresort.substack.com
The US is poorer than Belgium and Europe is not falling behind
Both Europe and America are in decline—but not relative to each other and from very different levels of development and material wellbeing.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Essay on Euro-American Decline: Part 1 The first instalment deals with a debate that recently re-emerged on but which in my view is still a bit confused: [link below]
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Equator @equatormag.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
On 28 May, @equatormag.bsky.social will host a free online event featuring @newlefteviews.bsky.social and @mona-ali.bsky.social – about the fallout of the war in the Middle East and the end of American hegemony. Register here! equator.org/events/after...
equator.org
After America: Oil, War, and the New World Order • Events • EQUATOR
13 May 2026, Online, 2PM EST / 7PM BST
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Andy Burnham recently identified the “four horsemen” of UK decline as deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit. I argue the country's dreadful performance relative to its peers is in fact down to overreacting to its post-imperial decline, betting the house on finance and losing. 1/n
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Andy Burnham recently identified the “four horsemen” of UK decline as deindustrialisation, privatisation, austerity and Brexit. I argue the country's dreadful performance relative to its peers is in fact down to overreacting to its post-imperial decline, betting the house on finance and losing. 1/n
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 28/04/2026
while we're in the mood for some out-of-the-box thinking on energy markets, fyi this line from Goldman this week: www.ft.com/content/016f...
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
Admittedly, recent events are forcing me to view this website in a more sympathetic light.
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
No amount of hand-waving gibberish—which is indeed the kind of sophistry that the world of “political risk consulting” incentivises—can obscure attempts to define neoliberalism in a way that allows them to simply delineate between things they like and don’t like. It’s a meaningless slop definition.
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
NEW @phenomenalworld.bsky.social @katemac.bsky.social & I "global commodities markets are in Road Runner mode, and afraid to look down at the abyss... www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/war...
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
152/ The whack-a-mole game that Israeli and American air force is playing with the Iranian missile men is not going well. “Tehran has become adept at producing simpler, more easily constructed missile launchers to replace those lost in strikes.” www.ft.com/content/b2b3...
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New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Did you guys also argue about causal inference all day?
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