Reposted by New Left EViewsNew Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 7hI had the pleasure of joining Joe and Tracy on the great Odd Lots podcast to talk about Europe. The short version: I’m bullish on Europe’s position relative to the US but bearish on trade with China. Link: t.co/curFVPwT7N 0126
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 7hI had the pleasure of joining Joe and Tracy on the great Odd Lots podcast to talk about Europe. The short version: I’m bullish on Europe’s position relative to the US but bearish on trade with China. Link: t.co/curFVPwT7N 0126
Reposted by New Left EViewsNew Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/07/2026I’m in the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social today, trying to account for Brexit’s role in Britain’s long decline. The verdict: it killed the recovery from austerity, which had killed the recovery from the crisis. Rejoining single market maybe worth the political capital one day—but not now. Link👇 1128
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 06/10/2026I had great fun talking about the political economy of football with in light of the Man City scandal with the guys from @endofsportpod.bsky.social 093
Reposted by New Left EViewsNina Zeelen @ninazeelen.bsky.social · 05/10/2026"A short profile and comment on Merz, a chancellor with no ideas and remarkably unfit for the job of steering the sclerotic German economy through the increasingly hostile waters of a two-front trade war." - @newlefteviews.bsky.social (2025)jacobin.comGermany’s New Chancellor Is a Man Without QualitiesFriedrich Merz, Germany’s new chancellor, is the worst possible man for the job. Throughout his career, he has held a dogged commitment to a neoliberal ideology that has destroyed Europe’s social fabr... 131
Reposted by New Left EViewsNathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Very fun and informative episode with @newlefteviews.bsky.social on the political economy of the Prem. 382
Reposted by New Left EViewsJacobin @jacobinmag.bsky.social · 16/09/2026The primacy of the dollar is considered one of the pillars of American might, conferring exorbitant financial privileges and coercive power. But what maintains the global dollar system is in fact inseparable from what’s driving American domestic decline.jacobin.comDoes Dollar Supremacy Help Americans?The primacy of the dollar is considered one of the pillars of American might, conferring exorbitant financial privileges and coercive power. But what maintains the global dollar system is in fact inseparable from what’s driving American domestic decline. 0127
Reposted by New Left EViewsUnHerd @unherd.com · 02/07/2026Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority — which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years. | Dominik Leusder unherd.com/2026/07/the-...unherd.comThe great British housing conSpectators watch a demolition in Glasgow in 2025. (Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images) 033
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Provost of Kings College, Cambridge, ladies and gentlemen. The college that produced JM Keynes 090
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026.. which you are undermining but reducing debt through fiscal measures, and on not having a central bank that isn’t deliberately unaccommodating. 021
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026This invariably involves greater debt but there is *zero* reason to focus on the numerator of some dumb ratio or other arbitrary some debt stock measures rather than focusing on whether the debt can be sustainably serviced in the long run which again depends on the growth trajectory.. 122
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026At a time when public investment is more needed than ever. Reminder: the best way to reduce debt in the long term is growth, long term growth depends on investment, smart public investment crowds-in and increases the returns on private capital formation through demand, infrastructure upgrades etc. 141
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 18/07/2026The FT should be ashamed of this disgracefully ignorant piece that rehashes long discredited notions about public debt, fear-mongering about ‘a truly devastating debt explosion’ and wishing for a bond market ‘jolt’ to ‘concentrate minds’. I won’t even link to it. 1110
Reposted by New Left EViewsLauri Donahue @lauridonahue.bsky.social · 05/07/2026futurism.com/future-socie... lol 178105212957
Reposted by New Left EViewsJo Michell @jomichell.bsky.social · 07/07/2026“Obviously nonsense, rightwing propaganda,” says Portes. “He is clearly capable. The idea that he’s some sort of communist or that he’s going to be fiscally irresponsible is just stupid.” 👍👏 02911
Reposted by New Left EViewsKarl Schamotta @karl-schamotta.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Mbappé shows how to achieve work/life balance by quitting when his team is well ahead. In this LinkedIn post I will… 073
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026When comparing advanced economies, there is a hard limit to how meaningful current output levels are. But let’s be accurate, especially when commentators make huge inferences from poor data. Here: the best measure of real output we have for this context, along with key wellbeing indicators. 083
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Productive investment is what drives long-run real growth. Any country that wants to maintain living standards and sustainably service its debt needs to maintain adequate levels of capital formation: investment in the things with which the economy creates more things: equipment, buildings, IP etc. 050
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Arguably no advanced economy struggled more to invest and build than the United Kingdom. And the picture doesn't materially change for real GFCF, whether as a share of output, per capita or per hour. Have a piece on this later this month. 0104
Reposted by New Left EViewsYusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 26/06/2026I don’t deny that a level of decoupling between growth and environmental impact has taken place (as argued in chart below). But the reason I take degrowth seriously is because I’m not sure decoupling is sufficiently fast/widespread/persistent to avoid (even more!) terrible warming scenarios. 4258
Reposted by New Left EViewsYusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 07/07/2026"If austerity killed the recovery from the crisis, Brexit killed the recovery from austerity." – @newlefteviews.bsky.social www.newstatesman.com/business/eco...newstatesman.comYou can't blame Brexit anymoreOur economy was broken long before the referendum 043
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/07/2026Link: www.newstatesman.com/business/eco...newstatesman.comYou can't blame Brexit anymoreOur economy was broken long before the referendum 022
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 07/07/2026I’m in the @newstatesman1913.bsky.social today, trying to account for Brexit’s role in Britain’s long decline. The verdict: it killed the recovery from austerity, which had killed the recovery from the crisis. Rejoining single market maybe worth the political capital one day—but not now. Link👇 1128
Reposted by New Left EViewsNew Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026«Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority—which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years.» Me in @unherd.com on the heels of @andyburnham.bsky.social’s speech. Link👇 153
Reposted by New Left EViewsNew Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026«In economic terms, removing barriers to construction and restricting openness to global investors are viable responses [...]. But politically the problem runs deeper. Britain has reconfigured its economy in a way that is difficult to unwind.» unherd.com/2026/07/the-...unherd.comThe great British housing con 041
Reposted by New Left EViewsFlamman @flamman.se · 06/02/2025Trumps tullar slår hårdast mot hans fattigaste väljare – men lär berika USA:s elit. Ekonomen Dominik Leusder om ett dödfött projekt: flamman.seTrumps tullmani löser knappast USA:s problemGör Amerika dyrt igen – och lär inte stoppa landets nedgång 0177
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026«In economic terms, removing barriers to construction and restricting openness to global investors are viable responses [...]. But politically the problem runs deeper. Britain has reconfigured its economy in a way that is difficult to unwind.» unherd.com/2026/07/the-...unherd.comThe great British housing con 041
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026«Any viable solution to the British housing question requires a deliberate diminution of the housing wealth held by the current voting majority—which is why such solutions have been politely set aside for 40 years.» Me in @unherd.com on the heels of @andyburnham.bsky.social’s speech. Link👇 153
Reposted by New Left EViewsAlbert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 28/06/2026Imagine if hundreds of people died in hurricane or floods smashing through Europe Heatwaves have already killed that many ppl. They are a silent killer in that they dont generate outrage or fear. Hope this by @economist.com helps save lives as Europeans wake up to danger bsky.app/profile/eate... 331252674
Reposted by New Left EViewsAlbert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 28/06/2026EU AC debate feels partly like a op... Reminder Fossil capital fed climate denial narratives @doctorvive.bsky.social Stage 1: Deny the Problem Exists 2: Deny We're the Cause 3: Deny It's a Problem 4: Deny We can Solve It 5: It's too Late, and it’s all your fault. phenomenalworld.org/analysis/glo... 24513
Reposted by New Left EViewsYusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 02/07/2026“I don’t think it’s right to apportion blame,” McSweeney says, arguing that everyone was responsible for wasting the valuable first months in power and losing the faith of voters. lmfao 011
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/07/2026I had crunching some numbers on Iran's external liabilities for Bourse & Bazaar. Thanks very much to @yarbatman.bsky.social. www.bourseandbazaar-substack.org/p/irans-econ...bourseandbazaar-substack.orgIran’s Economy Can Absorb $300 Billion Targeted in MOUIran’s economy is large relative to its current external liabilities stock, which sits at a miniscule 2.5% of GDP. 130
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 12/06/2026The Mississippi versus UK thing is funny and I think it's worth discussing in a longer essay that I'm writing on Britain's decline, so I've removed the thread from yesterday for now. But for now here are the headline graphics. 162
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/06/2026The link at the end of the thread was broken so here it is: open.substack.com/pub/leusdero...open.substack.comEurope, America, PPPs and a (possible) natural experiment in deflator harmonisationA little empirical test, why both current and constant PPPs are conceptually inappropriate, why chained PPPs are the approrpiate methodological compromise, and why probably none of this matters. 010
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 02/06/2026Sorry: open.substack.com/pub/leusdero...open.substack.comThe US is poorer than Belgium and Europe is not falling behindBoth Europe and America are in decline—but not relative to each other and from very different levels of development and material wellbeing. 100
Reposted by New Left EViewsNew Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Europe vs America: Supplemental Once more with feeling: here’s a small test that strengthens the case that the productivity wedge since 1995 in the constant PPP series is a deflator asymmetry mirage and that the chained PPP series adjusts for along with Balassa-Samuelson: 1/ 164
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Many more details here: please do subscribe. Shoutout to @arindube.bsky.social whose tweet I borrowed towards the end. END open.substack.com/pub/leusderofl…open.substack.com 120
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026In which case I feel more confident about this narrative: there is no relative decline until 2020 and thereafter it’s not ICT driven capital deepening but big fiscal. Europe is stagnating and needs reforms—but not Americanisation. 14/ 111
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026The chained PPP might be doing exactly what it’s meant to do. Chained and current (blue) series might just indicate that Europe and US are tracking each other, ICT raises productive on both sides, and Balassa-Samuelson is small until the Biden stimulus, which is plausible: 13/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Here’s how the wedges compare graphically. This seems familiar. 12/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Here are the group means and the changes between vintages: 11/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026This is post harmonisation: the UK and US gap collapses to 2.3pp from 8.4pp and huge gaps open up between UK and Europe. To make this clean: I’m using the PWT’s own multi-benchmark constant series RGDPn to compare to RGDPo. 10/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Here’s are the PWT10.0 wedge means: large between US and UK and the Europe and US ones are much larger than the Europe and UK wedges. 9/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Helpfully, the ONS backdated the series and the PWT10.0 and PWT11.0 vintages are on either side of the harmonisation, with 11.0 incorporating the new series. So we can test how the ‘wedges’ between the UK and Europe / US change in each vintage for constant and chained PPPs. 8/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026But there’s an outlier: the UK. Until 2021 it had not really harmonised its accounts: it used single deflation and matched models. Then it switched to double-deflation and hedonic adjustment for ICT, clothing etc. This harmonisation made it more ‘American’, methodologically. 7/ 110
New Left EViews @newlefteviews.bsky.social · 01/06/2026If, as is the case, the US uses hedonic deflation and uses it more aggressively and Europe tends to be more on the matched model / less aggressive hedonic adjustment side, then a lot of the ‘wedge’ could be a pure artefact of backward extrapolation. 6/ 110