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NIcholas A. R. Fraser

@narfraser.bsky.social
535 followers 1.5K following 137 posts

(he/him) forensic systems auditor, political scientist, migration & multiculturalism expert @utoronto.ca; RT is not agreement/endorsement; #FirstGen nicholasarfraser.com

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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Evidence-based policy? I audited Canada’s processing of 178+ asylum cases. My Senate briefing is cited in the SOCI 6th report. #BillC12 is now law. Roll back procedural rights, get more litigation & waste. See my @ca.theconversation.com article: #CdnPoli #PolicySky #LawSky #AcademicSky
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Bill C-12 won’t save time and money. Why? It ignores how access to competent & ethical legal counsel: —> REDUCES withdrawn/abandoned (WA) asylum claims We tried this before Harper’s DCO policy: - triggered an 11% cost surge - WA claims increased by 46% #C-12 #Immigration #SenateofCanada
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Bill C-12 won’t save time and money. Why? It ignores how access to competent & ethical legal counsel: —> REDUCES withdrawn/abandoned (WA) asylum claims We tried this before Harper’s DCO policy: - triggered an 11% cost surge - WA claims increased by 46% #C-12 #Immigration #SenateofCanada
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
The Empirical Evidence for the Bill C-12 Debate 🧵 Many discuss the human rights risks. My analysis complements this discussion by looking at what makes immigration procedures more or less efficient. #C-12 #RefugeeLaw #Immigration #DataAnalytics #EvidenceBasedPolicy #SenateofCanada
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
The Empirical Evidence for the Bill C-12 Debate 🧵 Many discuss the human rights risks. My analysis complements this discussion by looking at what makes immigration procedures more or less efficient. #C-12 #RefugeeLaw #Immigration #DataAnalytics #EvidenceBasedPolicy #SenateofCanada
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Program on US-Japan Relations, Harvard University @harvardusjapan.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Read "Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content," in the Conversation @theconversation.com by Nicholas A.R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social (2022-23). theconversation.com/politically-...
theconversation.com
Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content
Being selective about the platforms that we spend our time on, and learning how to handle social media conflict will help the digital ecosystem for all of us.
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Sarah Longwell @sarahlongwell25.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
"Most members of Generation Z were still children when Trump came down the escalator…They don’t view Trump as sui generis or beyond the pale, because he’s been the dominant force in our politics for as long as they’ve been politically aware." www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
theatlantic.com
The Disappointment of Young Trump Voters
Americans under 30 swung to the right in 2024, but they’re not getting what they voted for.
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
We need this everywhere.
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content (below 👇🏻) theconversation.com/politically-...
theconversation.com
Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content
Being selective about the platforms that we spend our time on, and learning how to handle social media conflict will help the digital ecosystem for all of us.
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Phillip Lipscy @lipscy.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
I was interviewed by @asahi.com about the recent Japanese election (article is in Japanese) www.asahi.com/articles/ASV...
asahi.com
ポピュリズムの潮流下でも既存政党は踏ん張れる 米識者がみた衆院選:朝日新聞
■トロント大教授兼東京大教授 フィリップ・リプシー氏 自民党が圧勝した今回の衆院選を、海外の日本研究者はどう見るのか。日本政治が専門で、トロント大学と東京大学で教授を兼任するフィリップ・リプシー氏に聞…
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Nancy Levine Stearns @nancylevinestearns.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
🚨 Google Fulfilled ICE Subpoena Demanding Journalist’s Bank and Credit Card Numbers Trump admin is targeting journalists and those who dissent. Google is complicit. $GOOGL theintercept.com/2026/02/10/g...
theintercept.com
Google Fulfilled ICE Subpoena Demanding Student Journalist’s Bank and Credit Card Numbers
Amandla Thomas-Johnson didn't know how much information ICE requested in a subpoena now. Google never gave him a chance to fight it.
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content (below 👇🏻) theconversation.com/politically-...
theconversation.com
Politically aggressive social media users are creating most of the anti-immigrant content
Being selective about the platforms that we spend our time on, and learning how to handle social media conflict will help the digital ecosystem for all of us.
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The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 10/02/2026
Commentary: Takaichi’s landslide victory demonstrated that when candidates find compelling issues that affect their lives, young people show up.
ebx.sh
Japan’s youth are quietly securing their nation’s future
Young voters didn’t just express opinions in polls, they showed up at voting stations in increased numbers, many for the first time.
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
#JapanElection2026 🇯🇵 Takaichi’s big electoral win reflects desire for affordability, unity, stability in the face of uncertainties created by great powers (China 🇨🇳 and the US 🇺🇸) Voters turned to Japan’s 🇯🇵 dominant party: the LDP to navigate these uncertain times.
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 09/02/2026
2025 #ThrowBackPaper (open access): In (Western) Europe, #Islamophobia is closely linked to #farright attitudes. But both are unrelated to religiosity 📄🔁📊
journals.sagepub.com
Islamophobia in Western Europe is unrelated to religiosity but highly correlated with far right attitudes - Kai Arzheimer, 2025
The far right’s relationship with religion has become a major focus of current research. Even in Western Europe, one of the most rapidly secularising areas of t...
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The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 09/02/2026
Takaichi’s big victory might not be a mandate for big spending with fiscal hawks in the LDP and the bond market keeping a lid on stimulus spending.
ebx.sh
Takaichi’s big victory might not be mandate for big spending
Fiscal hawks in the LDP and the bond market are expected to keep a lid on stimulus spending.
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The Japan Times @japantimes.co.jp · 09/02/2026
After a crushing debut defeat, Japan’s Centrist Reform Alliance faces a long road back to relevance — starting with a change in leadership.
ebx.sh
The long road to recovery after the CRA’s election loss
The new party must find new leadership after a crushing debut defeat.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 07/02/2026
🟥The Impossible State | Feb 10, 11 AM ET In next week's episode, @csis.org @geopolitics.csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social, Senior Associate Adam Farrar, and Igor Khrestin unpack Trump’s 2026 National Defense Strategy—and what it means for the Korean Peninsula. Learn more: csis.org/events/impos...
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 07/02/2026
🎙️ In a new episode of @koreaeconinst.bsky.social Eye on Korea, Ellen Kim discusses China’s use of economic coercion and strategies for collective resilience, drawing on her new book coauthored with @victordcha.bsky.social and @andysaulim.com ▶️ youtu.be/vAGiQk6DMvk?...
youtu.be
How to Fight Back Against China's Economic Coercion | Eye on Korea Ep. 26
YouTube video by Korea Economic Institute of America
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Omg. WTF is Happening? @lalahaenzy.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Sir Ian McKellen performing a monologue from Shakespeare’s Sir Thomas More on the Stephen Colbert show. Never have I heard this monologue performed with such a keen sense of prescience. Nor have I ever been in this exact historical moment.TY Sir Ian, for reaching us once again. #Pinks #ProudBlue
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Can AI 'vibe research' replace social science? Experiments in research design, planning, data collection, analysis, & writing with Claude Code New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Andy Hall www.niskanencenter.org/can-ai-vibe-...
niskanencenter.org
Can AI ‘vibe research’ replace social science? - Niskanen Center
AI tool improvement is compounding fast enough for researchers to start using tools like Claude Code for real social science tasks.
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Join the Centre for the Study of the United States at Munk School on March 23 for “Backtalking to Save Democracy,” featuring Kimberlé W. Crenshaw, a pioneering scholar and writer on civil rights, Black feminist legal theory, race, racism, and the law. munkschool.utoronto.ca/event/backta...
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
#Minneapolis: @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @lucanway.bsky.social on ICE's largest immigration 'operation' ever and why we should not become complacent on @cbcradiocanada.bsky.social. www.cbc.ca/listen/live-...
cbc.ca
© CBC/Radio-Canada 2026. All rights reserved.
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Efrén Pérez @efrenpolipsy.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
theatlantic.com
Minnesota Proved MAGA Wrong
The pushback against ICE exposed a series of mistaken assumptions.
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Efrén Pérez @efrenpolipsy.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
All systems of oppression depend on the consensus of some of the oppressed. -Sidanius and Pratto (1999) See also recent, powerful work by Irene Vega (UC Irvine) and David Cortez (Notre Dame) www.propublica.org/article/alex...
propublica.org
Two CBP Agents Identified in Alex Pretti Shooting
The two federal immigration agents who fired on Minneapolis protester Alex Pretti are identified in government records as Border Patrol agent Jesus Ochoa and Customs and Border Protection officer Raym...
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
My favorite genre of Epstein emails are powerful people emailing WITH JEFFREY EPSTEIN about how MeToo has gone too far and the woke mob must be stopped.
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Efrén Pérez @efrenpolipsy.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
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Sherrilyn Ifill @sifill.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
More attention here, please.
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Alexander F. Gazmararian @agazmararian.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
New review article on the political economy of the clean energy transition: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
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Naheed Nenshi @naheednenshi.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Now we can confirm what we’ve always known: this is a separatist government. www.ctvnews.ca/politics/art...
ctvnews.ca
Smith says caucus members can sign any petition they want to, including on separation
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says members of her caucus can sign whatever petitions they want to, including one pushing for a referendum on the province’s independence from Canada.
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Canadians are seriously rethinking deep trade ties with the US. #Canada #Trade youtu.be/-1bBEj9biOo
youtu.be
Andrew Coyne interview: It's a New World. Canada Must Adapt
YouTube video by Energi Media
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Brennan Center @brennancenter.org · 01/02/2026
The federal government has no authority to demand confidential voter information from the states. Making it a bargaining tool to stem the violence in Minnesota is a gross abuse of power. bit.ly/4bj8dL3
brennancenter.org
Bondi Links Minneapolis Violence to Voter Data
The attorney general laid bare the administration’s plan to interfere with the midterms.
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Dee Chan @deechan17.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
We are all immigrants. Unless you came over on the Mayflower. I am an immigrant to Canada having grown up in the US. America was built by immigrants. Some people have forgotten that.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 29/01/2026
Ossoff: "This is a seismic event. This should have people across the country absolutely shook. This is a huge deal. This is an FBI raid on the Fulton County Elections office ... This is a shot across the bow at the midterm elections. He tried to steal power when he lost it in 2020."
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Adam Parkhomenko @adamparkhomenko.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Seems like a good video for his trial
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Pete Buttigieg @petebuttigieg.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Yes, it’s astonishing that Kristi Noem still has her job after the deaths, lies, and failures on her watch. But the American people have the final say when it comes to holding this entire administration - from the president on down - accountable for its cruelty and corruption.
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
How #Canada should be watching the situation in #Greenland as the U.S. angles to take control of the semi-autonomous territory of #Denmark according to @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social Janice Stein. www.cbc.ca/player/play/...
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
“With the Chinese, as with any bullies, you need to tell them where your boundaries are. That’s how you get respect.” @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social Lynette Ong comments on Canada's re-engagement with China @nytimes.com. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/14/w...
nytimes.com
Caught Between Superpowers, Canada Seeks a New Path in Beijing
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The Rundown @therundowntvo.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
"Strength is the only language Trump understands." — @seva.bsky.social (@uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social), @acoyne.bsky.social (@theglobeandmail.com), and former Canadian ambassador to NATO @kerrybuck.bsky.social speak with @jeyantvo.bsky.social about Greenland and Canada's role. | Producer: Preeti Bhuyan
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Opinion @hilltimes.com: Encore une fois: a constitution for #Quebec? @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social Professor Emeritus Nelson Wiseman talks about Quebec's provincial election ritual. www.hilltimes.com/story/2026/0...
hilltimes.com
Encore une fois: a constitution for Quebec?
In last April’s federal election, Quebecers and Québécois were more concerned about U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive threats to Canada’s independence. But perhaps association with those 'maudi...
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
The Price of American #Authoritarianism: the latest @foreignaffairs.com article from @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @lucanway.bsky.social @dziblatt.bsky.social and Steven Levitsky. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
The Price of American Authoritarianism
What can reverse democratic decline?
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uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
“The better Canada can embrace this approach to homeland defence,” says @uoft-poli-sci.bsky.social Aisha Ahmad, “the less likely all of these horrible scenarios that nobody wants will ever come to pass.” @the-independent.com www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...
independent.co.uk
Canada prepping response to hypothetical US military invasion, report says
The model is purely theoretical and precautionary, with officials stressing that a U.S. invasion is unlikely
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George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
How hateful rhetoric from politicians can erode tolerance and democratic norms.
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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 13/01/2026
"Having 80 percent of Republican voters actively supporting a fascist race war is meaningful for our societal prospects."
lnk.thebulwark.com
The Nazi Slogans Are Not an Accident
How many Americans actually want a race war?
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
State legislators that can more easily run for Congress cooperate less across party lines & vote in more extreme ways www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Liberal-Conservative ideological self-placement is an increasingly reliable summary of political views that increasingly predicts vote choice www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
journals.uchicago.edu
Revisiting Ideology Measures in Political Surveys | The Journal of Politics: Vol 88, No 1
The empirical evidence in this article demonstrates that responses to the regularly included questions in the American National Election Study asking respondents to place themselves on an Extremely Li...
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
It is happening here. How the Trump administration is using ICE to create a police state. youtu.be/5I1XwrYvrfg
youtu.be
ICE and the National Guard Are Acting with Impunity
YouTube video by The Atlantic
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NIcholas A. R. Fraser @narfraser.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Build things again youtu.be/Jhzky2iPRWg
youtu.be
America Is Losing Faith in EVERYTHING (w/ Oliver Libby) | How to Fix It
YouTube video by The Bulwark
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Rachel Maddow @maddow.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
"A citizens group in Ontario, California is spearheading an effort to make the community aware of incidents involving federal immigration agents. They're placing signs at the locations that read, 'ICE stole someone here'..." abc7.com/post/ontario...
abc7.com
Immigrant rights group placing 'ICE stole someone here' signs in Ontario
A citizens group in Ontario is spearheading an effort to make the community aware of incidents involving ICE agents detaining and arresting undocumented immigrants.
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