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Victor Cha

@victordcha.bsky.social
3.5K followers 157 following 23 posts

Georgetown Professor, author, former USG, CSIS Geopolitics President, long-suffering Giants and hopeful Knicks aficionado.

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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Commencement is a beginning, not an ending. Congratulations to all of our graduates/class of 2026. Georgetown4Ever @georgetownuni.bsky.social
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 15/05/2026
🎙️ ICYMI I Foreign Affairs Podcast With Editor Dan Kurtz-Phelan @foreignaffairs.com, @victordcha.bsky.social @csis.org discusses his new article "North Korea as It Is: The Case for a Cold Peace." 🎧️ Listen: www.youtube.com/watch?v=ON15... 📖 Read: www.foreignaffairs.com/north-korea/...
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MS NOW Reports @msnowreports.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
President Trump said he made "no commitment either way" to China's President Xi Jinping about Taiwan. Trump also said he and Xi did not speak about tariffs. @victordcha.bsky.social and @stevenacook.bsky.social join Katy Tur with their analysis. www.ms.now/katy-tur/wat...
ms.now
Xi laying down 'red line in the sand' by warning Trump about Taiwan: Analyst
President Trump said he made "no commitment either way" to China's President Xi Jinping about Taiwan. Trump also said he and Xi did not speak about tariffs. President of Geopolitics and Foreign Policy...
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Here the quick down and dirty of the impact on the world of Trump’s losing to SCOTUS on tariffs today.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 22/01/2026
Thank you everyone for coming to our book launch for China's Weaponization of Trade. Thanks to @willtodman.bsky.social, Melanie Hart, @bethanyallen.bsky.social and @victordcha.bsky.social for an important conversation on economic coercion, and a shoutout to all our interns who worked on the book!
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
According to @nytimes.com China is contemplating rare earths coercion against Japan again. Time to stop China's economic bullying with a collective economic deterrence Article 5 pact among trading nations. We have leverage too. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | China’s trade bullying calls for an Article 5
Trade interdependence is a two-way street, and China is not the only one with leverage.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
New book for 2026! Just arrived in time for New Years
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Reports of the Russian Ursa Major being sunk last year off the coast of Spain that carried Russian nuke sub reactor components headed for North Korea. maritime-executive.com/article/report… Read our @csis book on NK's nuke sub ambitions and Russia's role. beyondparallel.csis.org/north-koreas-s…
beyondparallel.csis.org
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
China is now doing in the West Sea what it did in the South China Sea. And no one is paying attention — here is a quick explainer.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Part 1 of a 3-part story in the future of China and South Korea relations.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 16/10/2025
🚨 @victordcha.bsky.social’s latest op-ed is out now on Fortune. In this piece, Dr. Cha emphasizes that the U.S. and South Korea must salvage their tariff and investment agreement — for the sake of the alliance. Read more 🔽
fortune.com
The U.S. and South Korea need to salvage their tariff and investment agreement—for the sake of the alliance | Fortune
Seoul and Washington must see disagreements on investment and immigration as an opportunity to fine-tune a trade agreement they can both tolerate.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 16/10/2025
China's #2 official just visited North Korea for the first time since 2019. What does it mean? @victordcha.bsky.social, Bonny Lin, @andysaulim.com & Truly Tinsley analyze the renewed North Korea-China ties and what's at stake. 📊 New on @csis.org 🔽
csis.org
Renewed China-DPRK Diplomacy: Symbolism or Substance?
CSIS experts address critical questions regarding Chinese Premier Li Qiang’s recent visit to North Korea and its significance for bilateral ties.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 28/06/2025
China has deployed three maritime structures in the Korea-China PMZ—one management platform and two aquaculture cages. What does this mean for bilateral relations? Join @csis.org @VictorDCha.bsky.social for key insights on this developing situation. www.youtube.com/watch?featur...
youtube.com
What is China building in the PMZ?
CSIS Beyond Parallel and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative commercial satellite imagery and automatic identification system (AIS) data analysis provide t...
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 29/05/2025
To make a deal with Pyongyang, Washington will likely need to make significant compromises, writes @victordcha.bsky.social‬. “For example, Trump might abandon the goal of denuclearization in favor of arms control—a long-sought North Korean objective.”
foreignaffairs.com
Get Ready for a Big, Bold, and Very Bad North Korea Deal
Trump wants a win, and Kim has more leverage than ever.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
This about sums up what it’s like to work in this administration.
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CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies @csis.org · 04/04/2025
@korea.csis.org & @geopolitics.csis.org president @victordcha.bsky.social discusses South Korea’s “quiet crisis” of leadership and the vacuum in wake of President Yoon’s impeachment, plus the impact of President Trump’s tariffs while the ROK seeks to elect its next leader over the next two months.
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 04/04/2025
This morning, @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social joined @handrewschwartz.bsky.social to discuss South Korea’s “Quiet Crisis” of leadership and the vacuum in wake of President Yoon’s impeachment & impact of President Trump’s tariffs while the ROK seeks to elect its next leader over the next two months
youtu.be
South Korea’s Quiet Crisis and Trade with the U.S.
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
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Darcie Draudt-Véjares @darciedraudt.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Had a blast getting super wonky with @korea.csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social Andrew Yeo and Yoojin Kim on how to unpack the Korean impeachment process and what it means for the country going forward! www.youtube.com/watch?v=-vuw...
youtube.com
The Constitutional Court Decides Yoon's Fate | The Impossible State
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
The Korean President has been impeached. What does it all mean? Watch the Impossible State podcast LIVE for analysis from journalists and experts!!
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 04/04/2025
You can find all of our analyses and multimedia products on South Korea's political crisis in this handy page that we curated for you. cc: @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social @geopolitics.csis.org
csis.org
South Korea's Political Crisis | Projects | CSIS
Tracking the political, economic and social impact of South Korea’s political instability and constitutional crisis.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
As we await Verdict day in Korea, a bigger crisis looms. See my piece today on the quiet crisis in the alliance @csis.org @korea.csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/qui...
csis.org
The Quiet Crisis in the U.S.-Korea Alliance
The confluence of months-long political stasis in Seoul and the start of the second Trump administration have precipitated a quiet crisis in the U.S.-Korea alliance that neither side will admit to.
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 31/03/2025
Great to have the amazing @kristigovella.bsky.social, and our NextGen scholar join @csis.org as the new Japan Chair! An amazing addition to the growing team at @geopolitics.csis.org.
csis.org
CSIS Names Kristi Govella as Senior Adviser and Japan Chair
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) today announced Dr. Kristi Govella has been named senior adviser and Japan Chair.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 27/03/2025
Yesterday, @csis.org @geopolitics.csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee regarding shared threats between the U.S. and allies in the Indo-Pacific. Read/watch the full testimony below:
csis.org
Shared Threats: Indo-Pacific Alliances and Burden Sharing in Today’s Geopolitical Environment
The Indo-Pacific is vital to U.S. security, but alliances must modernize to counter evolving threats. As China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea challenge stability, allies must increase burden-sharing a...
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 17/03/2025
Join the Korea Society for a conversation on acting and activism with actress and North Korean human rights activist Minnie Mills. Featuring an introduction provided by @victordcha.bsky.social 📅 4/16 | 4 PM EDT Sign up here: www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-c...
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 20/03/2025
The #pinkbook just got a recommendation as "required reading" for a book every #kpop fan should read! Have you read @victordcha.bsky.social and Ramon Pacheco Pardo's book on Korea yet? More here: yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300...
bustle.com
5 Books Every K-Pop Fan Should Read
Giaae Kwon, author of 'I’ll Love You Forever: Notes From a K-Pop Fan,' recommends titles for her fellow bbasoonis.
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 21/03/2025
Russian security chief Sergei Shoigu arrived in North Korea today for talks with Kim Jong-un. Our @korea.csis.org team with @victordcha.bsky.social have been following this growing cooperation closely, below are some of our policy analyses and satellite imagery studies 🔽
nknews.org
Russian security chief Shoigu arrives in North Korea for talks with Kim Jong Un | NK News
This is a developing news story. Please check back for updates. (Last updated at 11:47 a.m. KST on March 21 with additional details throughout) Top Russian security official Sergei Shoigu arrived in P...
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 21/03/2025
In February 2024, @korea.csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social published the most detailed report yet documenting major munitions transfers from North Korea to Russia through satellite imagery analysis of Tikhoretsk Munitions Storage Facility, Mozdok Munitions Storage Facility and Yegorlykskaya Airfield
beyondparallel.csis.org
Major Munitions Transfers from North Korea to Russia - Beyond Parallel
Ammunition supplies have become critical in the Ukraine war. CSIS studied hundreds of commercially available satellite images since August 2023 on the continuing transfer of large quantities of muniti...
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Breaking news (sort of) #thepinkbook got endorsed on Bustle as “required reading” for all #kpop fans! @rpachecorpacheco.bsky.social tells me this is a big deal!!! www.bustle.com/entertainmen...
bustle.com
5 Books Every K-Pop Fan Should Read
Giaae Kwon, author of 'I’ll Love You Forever: Notes From a K-Pop Fan,' recommends titles for her fellow bbasoonis.
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 13/03/2025
Tomorrow, join the @mortaracenter.bsky.social and the Georgetown University Asian Studies Program for the launch of "The Black Box: Demystifying the Study of Korean Unification and North Korea" by @victordcha.bsky.social 3/14 | 12-1:30 PM EDT Register here: events.georgetown.edu/mortara/even...
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 11/02/2025
How should the U.S. fight back against China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea? @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social breaks down the growing threat and how the U.S. should respond to the authoritarian onslaught. Read here: www.bushcenter.org/catalyst/mem...
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 12/02/2025
Including our @csis.org experts on #Bluesky: @victordcha.bsky.social @willtodman.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social @ilariamazzocco.bsky.social + these fantastic programs! @geopolitics.csis.org @seasia.csis.org @mideast.csis.org @erep.csis.org @korea.csis.org
csis.org
U.S. Allies and Partners under the Trump Administration | CSIS Events
Please join the CSIS Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department for a discussion of the ways in which U.S. allies and partners in the West and in the Asia-Pacific region are navigating the new administ...
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
The prosecutor-turned-President’s arrest is a fate not unknown to Korean presidents historically. The timing re: economic conditions and the alliance however is less forgiving than in 2004 and 2016 (last 2 impeachments)
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
Struck me as a little off-pitch as well. Perhaps a pre-arranged call. Might have looked worse to call off the scheduled call than not. But agree that it’s not a good optic.
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CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies @csis.org · 23/12/2024
"Korea’s national crisis is far from over," warns @korea.csis.org expert @victordcha.bsky.social, noting that it could "leave Seoul woefully unprepared to address Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency." Read the full analysis in @theatlantic.com ⤵️
theatlantic.com
South Korea’s Crisis Is Nowhere Near Over
Ongoing political chaos will entrench the country’s economic and social problems—and leave Seoul woefully unprepared for Trump.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
My take on Korea crisis for @theatlantic.com Predictive timeline - snap elections June-July 2025? World could look very different by then w/ @donaldjtrump-maga.bsky.social in office & Korea leaderless on sidelines www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
theatlantic.com
South Korea’s Crisis Is Nowhere Near Over
Ongoing political chaos will entrench the country’s economic and social problems—and leave Seoul woefully unprepared for Trump.
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 17/12/2024
ICYMI We hosted another great discussion on South Korea's political crisis, President Yoon's martial law, his impeachment & what's next this morning with the great @darciedraudt.bsky.social, Bruce Klingner, moderated by @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social. Watch here www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVpa...
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
Chatted w/ @npr.org @allthingsconsidrd.bsky.social about the Korea political crisis. The political dysfunction/death struggle moves to the Constitutional Court now @csis.org www.npr.org/2024/12/14/n...
npr.org
What does the impeachment of South Korea's president mean for the country and its allies?
Sign in or register to see your station everywhere you enjoy NPR.
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 14/12/2024
📆 12/17 🕚 11:00 AM ET Join us on Tuesday as we discuss South Korea's political crisis, President Yoon's martial law, impeachment and much more. Speakers: 1️⃣ @darciedraudt.bsky.social 2️⃣ @victordcha.bsky.social 3️⃣ Bruce Klingner Watch here: www.csis.org/events/impos...
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 15/12/2024
Although this show was filmed before the 2nd impeachment vote, there are still plenty of great insights on the martial law, regional impact and much more from @victordcha.bsky.social, @myhlee.bsky.social , @sydseiler.bsky.social and Amb. Mark Lippert.
youtube.com
What Happened in South Korea? | The Capital Cable #102
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
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Andy Lim @andysaulim.com · 12/12/2024
“Trump will come firing out of the gate on Jan. 21. We could see troops draw down in Korea and Germany, blanket 10 percent tariffs on allies...but Korea will be leaderless and the alliance will be significantly disadvantaged.” - @csis.org @victordcha.bsky.social
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
This gets lost in the political crisis. We have new data on what happened in NK during the Covid lockdown in the current issue of Survival @csis.org
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Democracy test far from over in Korea . A 2nd martial law decree would be a travesty and compel a US response. My oped today in FY buff.ly/3ZrR4qK
buff.ly
The resilience of South Korea’s democracy remains in doubt
How this ends is uncertain, but the nightmare scenario would be a return of the military to the streets
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Trump and Allies…..
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CSIS Korea Chair @korea.csis.org · 06/12/2024
Drawing on @CSIS.org's unprecedented survey in DPRK during the pandemic, Katrin Katz and @victordcha.bsky.social explore how Kim could escalate external conflicts to distract his public from its domestic situation, worsened by the COVID lockdown. Read the full article here. buff.ly/3ZeS8hO
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
This pretty much sums it up. The adults were in the room but the emperor could not be stopped.
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
Trump and Allies…..
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Here is #DonaldTrump view on allies/partners in a simple graphic of trade and military spending. Pretty much everyone is in the hot seat….
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Here’s a DC-style fireside chat (without the fire place) we did with Deputy SecState Kurt Campbell and NSC Mira Rapp-Hooper on the Indo-Pacific www.c-span.org/video/?54017...
c-span.org
Deputy Secretary of State Campbell on the Indo-Pacific Alliance
Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell and National Security Council's East Asia and Oceania Director Mira Rapp-Hooper sat down for a conversation on strengthening Indo-Pacific alliances hosted by th...
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Victor Cha @victordcha.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Locker room @newyorkgiants.bsky.social is fractured and distracted by daniel jones debacle. Vets Dex and Slay speaking out. GM let best player Saquon walk. 2-8 record.
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