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Mike Madowitz

@mikemadowitz.bsky.social
2.8K followers 901 following 1.9K posts

Now: Principal Economist @rooseveltinstitute.org & Roosevelt Forward. Then: @equitablegrowth |@JECDems | @amprog | @RFF | @UCSDecon | @BrookingsEcon. This = me+β(no_sleep)+ε rooseveltinstitute.org/authors/mich…

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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 33m
OMG, he invented a double dividend that’s happening even less than a carbon tax
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 4h
lol, tried Gemini for an OBBB stat between meetings—it answered so wrong I checked sources and it was going off a house majority press releases
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 8h
So great that this is recognized as incredible and shocking now
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9h
*I said Q2 PCE inflation was lower I did not say inflation is low, this map is brutal
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9h
Notch another win for those who think terrible consumer sentiment is about living in The Bad Place with good GDP. This is an S-tier GDP revision w/ lower inflation (almost entirely attributable to the PCE methodology change) www.bea.gov/news/2026/gd...
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Gregory Daco @gregdaco.bsky.social · 9h
💥Strong, but not sustainable consumer spending in August 🛒Consumer spending +0.9% ✅Inflation-adj +0.6% 💵Disposable income +0.3% 🔶Inflation-adj +0% 🏦Savings rate: 4.1% (-0.5pt) 📈PCE #inflation ↔️Headline inflation: 3.4% (flat) ↔️Core inflation: 3.0% (flat)
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9h
TBH this just makes me think AI is nailing the real record store experience. Playing dumb with the n00b is 💯
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 9h
If only we'd seen this coming in 2020: "A 200-kilometer journey for a diesel truck in the US would cost you about $101, compared with just $21 for a similar-sized vehicle in China charged during off-peak hours."
bloomberg.com
China Has an 18-Wheel Answer to Soaring Global Diesel Prices
Around a third of trucks sold in China this year will run on electricity, furthering Beijing’s goal of bolstering energy security.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 10h
That’ll get em
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 10h
I could not be less surprised! Love seeing folks gush bout Ellora Derenoncourt For followers of her work this is weird. It's like Genius Grant showed up & my first reaction was 'Car trouble?'
macfound.org
Ellora Derenoncourt
Uncovering the roots and ongoing drivers of racial disparities in wealth and income mobility in the United States.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 11h
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win
bloomberg.com
Bose Returns to Wired Earbuds With New $99 Noise-Canceling Pair
Bose Corp. introduced a $99 wired pair of noise-canceling earbuds, offering a rare feature at a time when corded earphones have seen a resurgence among younger shoppers.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Reviewer 2 is about to become dramatically more constructive /s
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Noah Kaufman @noahqkaufman.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
We started Resilient Energy Economies because we don't know enough about effective policies to support fossil fuel-reliant economies through a transition. Evaluating existing policies is a key way to change that. That's the topic of our webinar later today- join us! www.rff.org/events/webin...
rff.org
Resilient Energy Economies | Evaluating the Effectiveness of Local, Regional, and Federal Efforts to Support Fossil Fuel-Dependent Communities
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
🤞c'mon hiring!
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Catie Hausman @catiehausman.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I recently had the pleasure of speaking with Joseph Majkut of @csis.org about electricity transmission: www.csis.org/events/power...
csis.org
Powering America: Rethinking the Economics of Transmission | CSIS Events
Join ESCC for a virtual discussion with Catherine Hausman and Joseph Majkut on new research and emerging approaches to electricity transmission policy, including market integration, transmission inves...
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
With treasury interventions, it's an unusually bad time to overread yield curve inversion That said, it's OK to worry about how frontloading debt re-issuance raises short-term pressure on the fed and on upcoming FY budgets when gradual adjustments would be safer
bloomberg.com
An Inversion of the US Yield Curve Becomes New Risk as Fed Hikes
The bond market is on the brink of signaling that a series of Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes will start shifting the narrative toward the risk that the US economy stalls out.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
🤷
wsj.com
The Moves That Backfired on Trump and Drove Interest Rates and Inflation Higher
The president’s own agenda has helped undermine promises to fix the economy and get the deficit under control.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
As a fan of higher taxes on the wealthy, I urge CEOs to keep doing podcasts*! *not OddLots where Aldi guy awes you w/ narrow deep expertise, generalist ones where they try to sound smarter than they are
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Claudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
“I don’t see this ending soon,” said Firrincieli. “Chaos increases prices.” Plenty of chaos from the White House: war, restrictions on immigrants, and tariff threats are all raising transport costs now. www.wsj.com/business/inf...
wsj.com
The Cost of Transporting Pretty Much Everything Just Won’t Stop Going Up
Trucking and cargo-shipping rates are at their highest levels in years—and it isn’t just because of the price of fuel.
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Roosevelt Institute @rooseveltinstitute.org · 25/09/2026
Join us on 10/15 for a conversation with Professor Paul Osterman to discuss his new book Disposable Workers, alongside @mikemadowitz.bsky.social. Drawing on a survey of 6,000 workers, Osterman traces how employers redefined jobs to cut costs, and what it will take to reverse it. RSVP ⬇️
rooseveltinstitute.org
Roosevelt Institute Book Club: Disposable Workers with Paul Osterman
Join Paul Osterman and Roosevelt Institute economist Michael Madowitz for a conversation on how employment has changed, why more workers face insecurity and fewer benefits, and what policies could str...
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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Some takeaways from my new piece with @steveliesman.bsky.social. Warsh's new framework for setting interest rates is starting to become clear. It puts a lot of weight on financial conditions. As the market has sussed out in the past few days, that points toward more hikes while inflation stays hot
cnbc.com
Warsh's regime change at the Fed pushes ahead – and meets resistance
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh is driving rapid change in some areas, while his emerging policy framework suggests further rate hikes remain possible.
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Austin Clemens @austinclemens2.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Them: You can't pay for the debt by soaking the rich. Me and @dsmitch28.bsky.social: Maybe that's true in other countries but have you seen the concentration of wealth in the US?
equitablegrowth.org
Applying a debt-to-wealth lens internationally reveals subtle differences between countries’ fiscal capacities
A debt‑to‑wealth lens shows how wealth differences and inequality shape fiscal capacity and strategies for reducing government debt.
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Daniel Zhao @danielzhao.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
BLS employee tenure data shows that younger workers have slightly increased their median tenure at a job over the last 20 years while mid-career workers age 35–64 have decreased their median tenure. Source: www.bls.gov/news.release...
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
For years we sought to credibly commit to being irresponsible...
static.klipy.com
Mr. Burns Controls the Sun in Springfield
ALT: Mr. Burns Controls the Sun in Springfield
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Suzanne Kahn @suzmkahn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I learned so much from this new brief by @lbilik.bsky.social!
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
FWIW, I don’t have a dog in this fight yet but the headline is an iconic-worthy turn of phrase
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Guy Berger @econberger.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
After pausing for a few months, the 2026 labor market recovery has resumed
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Tax treaty ppl
static.klipy.com
Will Smith's 'Oooh I'm Telling'
ALT: Will Smith's 'Oooh I'm Telling'
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I like my job cuz they let me talk to smarter ppl. I’ll do good at this tho!
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Stolen valor for dad content tbh
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Hm, can’t hit this up due to soccer practice but Makes One Think
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Correction: “only” 263x median household income
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Recluse living his values on Free Speech, pulling back* from politics *spending only 35x median household income on 1 election
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
😬
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Monique Morrissey @moniquemorrissey.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
My @epi.org colleagues @elisegould.bsky.social & Hilary Wething put together a banger of a chartbook on wage suppression--the single biggest cause of the affordability crisis. Some of the charts are among EPI's greatest hits & some are new (at least to me). www.epi.org/publication/...
epi.org
Wage suppression in 10 charts
Wages for typical workers lag far behind productivity growth. It hasn't always been this way and does not have to be this way. These 10 charts outline the historical context of workers’ wage trajector...
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
FWIW my read is retail sales + hot PMI are broadcasting pricing power + higher costs. 10 year spike today is markets realizing Fed vs inflation could be more like trench warfare than we thought
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Inflation picture has not been great this month Fed picture getting worse by the day: now >50% chance of 2 more hikes by December (via www.cmegroup.com/markets/inte...)
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graham steele @grahamsteele.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
For @rooseveltinstitute.org, I wrote about the idea of AI industry self-regulation. I argue that regulation is fundamentally about power—who has it, how they use it, and who benefits from it. That means the public must be the ultimate decision-maker about the present and the future path of AI.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
longtime @jaredb-econ.bsky.social, more recent @weakinstrument.bsky.social fan, and generally skeptical of ad hoc energy policy, even from a more competent admin. But these anti diesel export ban takes are a reach to me at current crack spreads econjared.substack.com/p/shutting-i...
econjared.substack.com
Shutting in Domestic Diesel Through Export Controls Won’t Work
If the admin wants to lower energy prices, they need to end the damn war.
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Kevin Carey @kevincareywb.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The NBER Economics of Artificial Intelligence Program Conference starts today at 1:15PM US eastern time, with a YouTube livestream from the venue at the University of Toronto. www.nber.org/conferences/...
nber.org
Economics of Artificial Intelligence, Fall 2026
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David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Martin Wolf: We see a battle not just between the Fed and Trump, but between a fundamentally strong economy and an irresponsible government. How that ends is one of the most important issues of our era. www.ft.com/content/d2e5...
ft.com
The battle between the Fed and Trump
What happens when a fundamentally strong economy faces an irresponsible government?
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
TFW you understand PPI inflation
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
We must pass the SUSHI Act! This is peak backronym performance www.cbo.gov/publication/...
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Claude, write a miniseries option contract for this story Make no mistakes
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Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Fed paper: "We find that the Treasury market has become increasingly price-sensitive over time, driven by the declining participation of less price-sensitive foreign official investors and the rising role of more price-sensitive hedge funds and other private investors."
federalreserve.gov
Estimating Yield Impacts of Treasury Demand and Supply Changes
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
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John Rogers @johnrogers.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
As shocking as this case is I know @czedwards.bsky.social is shaking their head at the same thing I am - this is some PISS POOR MONEY LAUNDERING. Check 1001 of a brand new account? Jesus we used to be a proper country.
A check made out for
$150,000 to Susan Collins’s
PAC, check number 1001
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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
And, like basically every climate paper that hits the socials these days, lots of sharing here on bsky and a ghost town on Twitter:
Altmetric badge for NCA6+, with 109 bsky posters and 1 (one) on X
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Where I’m from you gotta be a top Vietnam fighter pilot to not get away with this
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Brb, going long orthopedic hand surgery practices
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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on CNBC declines to join some of his colleagues' attacks on the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh. "We are sure he will do the right thing to balance the growth mandate with the inflation mandate," Bessent said. (The Fed has a jobs mandate, not growth.)
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