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Michael Wehner

@michaelfwehner.bsky.social
2.2K followers 93 following 149 posts

Climate scientist

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Reposted by Michael Wehner
Marc Alessi @marc-alessi.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
New Commentary out in Nature Climate Action: we now live in a fundamentally different climate system due to the burning of fossil fuels. Because of this, any extreme weather event now occurs in a changed climate and is influenced by fossil fuel-driven climate change to some degree.
nature.com
The next phase of climate attribution - npj Climate Action
Attribution science has transformed our understanding of how anthropogenic emissions shape extreme weather events, yet the field remains constrained by repeatedly demonstrating anthropogenic influence...
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Major Nor’easter! Also, Cat 5 Hurricane #Polo in context. And “Cool” #Florida weekend! It’s all packed into this short video. #noreaster
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Peter Stott @stottpeter.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I talk about my extraordinary experience in Moscow in 2004 in the latest edition of the Totally Cooked podcast as well as other aspects of my career in climate science. Includes extra details to what I wrote about in Hot Air including the Russian prostitutes. 21centuryweather.org.au/totally-cook...
21centuryweather.org.au
Peter Stott: Heatwaves, Show Trials & Climate Denial
Climate scientist Peter Stott on pioneering extreme-weather attribution, a Soviet-style Moscow show trial, Climategate and the fight against denial.
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Valérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Very sad news. www.downtoearth.org.in/climate-chan...
downtoearth.org.in
‘Major loss to Indian climate science’: Scientific community, civil society mourn demise of Krishna AchutaRao
Climate change experts and activists in the country have called the passing of Krishna AchutaRao, a Professor at the Centre for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS), Indi
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
I am pleased to be visiting IPSL-Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace in Paris @ipsl.bsky.social to work on extreme event attribution with Davide Faranda @davifaranda.bsky.social and colleagues. We also will be teaching a 4 session mini-course on extreme event attribution, starting in early October.
october.to
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Berkeley Lab Press @berkeleylabpress.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
“Snow-eater heat waves are caused by the buildup of atypical high pressure," says @berkeleylab.lbl.gov's Alan Rhoades. "Like a boulder diverting water in a stream, the unusual high pressure diverts storms away from mountains."
earth.com
Heatwaves called ‘snow-eaters’ are melting the West’s snowpack twice as fast as ever recorded
A newly defined type of heatwave is reshaping spring across the western U.S., with major consequences for snowpack, floods, and water supplies.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
After the hottest month on record
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
I've been talking a lot about the disastrous recent loss of American institutional capacity regarding climate science. But today, I'd like to announce something we've been working on, quietly, in the meantime to offer a lifeline to some of those affected. [Thread]
First page of a 2-page flyer describing the Climate Science and Communications Fund. It shows a map of gift recipient locations, and also summarize statistics regarding the program thus far (including over $3 million disbursed to date), with testimonials from individual recipients.Second page of a 2-page flyer describing the Climate Science and Communications Fund. It further describes the need for and goals of the program. It also includes a point of contact email: roshan@climate-talent.org
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Grist @grist.org · 12/08/2026
Scientists define a new category of heat wave: ‘Snow eaters’
dlvr.it
Scientists define a new category of heat wave: ‘Snow eaters’
Unseasonably warm weather that rapidly melts snowpack is becoming more widespread in the U.S. West and happening earlier in the year.
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Mark Lubell @envpolicycenter.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Port of SF just released their “study” (army corp term for “plan”) to protect against sea level rise. Cost: $17B to avoid damages of $23B. Big problem: Trump raised bar for design standards, so project cannot receive fed $ at this time. www.kqed.org/news/1209452...
kqed.org
San Francisco’s Waterfront Could Get a $17 Billion Climate Makeover | KQED
San Francisco has a $17 billion plan to save its waterfront from rising seas. Now comes the hard part: funding it.
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
I retired on Friday again. Also submitted a paper on Friday...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Is anybody else having trouble submitting abstracts to AGU26? I am not sure if "server error" is them or me. Thanks!
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Alyssa Stansfield @astansfield.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Come learn about some cool science my research group has been working on 🌧️❄️💧🌀! Virtual link on flyer.
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Mike Dettinger @mdettinger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
@agu.org is now accepting abstracts for presentations to its American Geophysical Union 2026 Annual Meeting, taking place 7–11 December. This year, the meeting returns to its iconic host city, San Francisco! Deadline for submissions is August 5. www.agu.org/annual-meeting
agu.org
AGU26 Annual Meeting | AGU
AGU’s annual meeting, the largest gathering of Earth and space scientists, convenes 20,000+ attendees from 100+ countries to share research, connect, collaborate, and inspire one another. Join us for...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
eos.org/research-spo...
eos.org
Glaciers May Flow into the Ocean More Quickly Than We Think - Eos
New research found that adjusting a key model variable may give more accurate predictions of glacial retreat.
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Ambarish Karmalkar @ambarish.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Abstract: The case is made that machine-learning statistical estimation neither can nor should be expected to supplant physics-based simulation for weather forecasting. journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
journals.ametsoc.org
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Poetry heard at the AMS Tropical Meteorological meeting : "Big whorls have little whorls, Which feed on their velocity, And little whorls have lesser whorls, And so on to viscosity." — Lewis Fry Richardson
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Ezra David Romero @climatedaddykqed.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future “Without a long-term warming trend, these events were previously either unlikely or statistically impossible. We kind of unlock that possibility” @kqednews.kqed.org @kqedscience.bsky.social www.kqed.org/science/2000...
kqed.org
‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future | KQED
An early spring California heat wave is feasting on what’s left of the Sierra Nevada snowpack, raising wildfire and drought concerns.
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ECMWF @ecmwf.int · 27/03/2026
How well do ML weather models capture severe storms? A new analysis of Storm Amy compares ECMWF’s forecasting systems. Read the blog ➡️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...
Graphic featuring a weather map with swirling green, yellow, and blue contours indicating storm systems over the North Atlantic and parts of Europe. Overlaid text reads: ‘ECMWF AIFS Blog – Severe storms in the age of machine learning’. Below, the authors’ names appear: Soufiane Karmouche, Tim Hewson, Linus Magnusson.
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
The American Meteorological Society seeks nominations for the 2026 Syukuro Manabe Climate Research Award. Nominations due 5/1/26. This award is granted to researchers who have made outstanding contributions to the fundamental understanding of Earth’s climate system. www.ametsoc.org/stac/committ...
ametsoc.org
Syukuro Manabe Climate Research Award - Scientific and Technological Activities Commission
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
New(ish) paper: journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
journals.plos.org
The combined effect of extreme heat and COVID-19 on agricultural labor supply in California communities
While growing bodies of scholars have examined the separate effects of extreme heat and COVID-19 on migrant farmworkers in the United States, we are unaware of any study examining their potential comb...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Latest paper on impact attribution. A must read for those interested in the topic doi.org/10.3389/fcli...
doi.org
Frontiers | Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts
The field of extreme event attribution (EEA) has rapidly developed over the last two decades. Various methods have been developed and implemented, physical m...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Not being an actual meteorologist, I have a question about the NCEP Stage IV radar precipitation dataset. The attached picture is a snapshot of the current SoCal radar. The concentric circles at Hanford and Santa Maria are clearly artifacts. Does NCEP correct for this?
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Juan Moreno-Cruz @jmorenocruz.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
It's happening! Canada launched two programs to recruit international researchers. Canada Impact+ Research Chairs (1 million/yr for 8 yrs +) Canada Impact+ Emerging Leaders. I will do my best to facilitate the process for those interested. Hit me up. www.canada.ca/en/impact-pl...
canada.ca
The Government of Canada introduces new programs for international researchers - Canada.ca
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
New paper: Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations at link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Assessing the performance of solar radiation management geoengineering simulations - Frontiers of Earth Science
Offsetting the global warming caused by anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases by deliberate injection of aerosols into the stratosphere is the most studied of solar radiation management geoengineering schemes. The long-term success or failure of such schemes in achieving their stated goals is assessed by comparing simulated geoengineered temperature, precipitation and tropical cyclones metrics to equivalent fields in the simulated targeted climate simulations. Results using available data sets from three single model stabilized climate target experiments and three multimodel climate change reduction experiments are presented and compared against a measure of internal variability. While all but one experimental scheme is successful in achieving their targeted global mean annual surface temperature, their success at regional scales varies significantly and is often larger than the internal variability metric used here.
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Reposted by Michael Wehner
Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they) @doctorvive.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
The attack on @frediotto.bsky.social was seeded years ago by Roger Pielke Jr, who started arguing that this table from a recent @ipcc.bsky.social report proved that climate science cannot attribute extreme weather to climate change. But Roger is of course lying. And we know this for 2 reasons. 🧵
CLIMATEWIRE
Climate critics try to discredit IPCC author for linking
disasters to global warming
By LESLEY CLARK, SARA SCHONHARDT, CHELSEA HARVEY | 10/09/2025
06:22 AM EDT Roger Pielke Jr. and oil industry supporters are attacking climate scientist Friederike Otto, whose
work has been used in lawsuits against polluters.Table 12.12 | Emergence of CIDs in different time periods, as assessed in this section. The colour contesponds to the confidence of the region with the highest confidence: white cells indicate where evidence is lacking or the signal is not present, leading to overal bu confidence of an emerging signal.
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IPCC @ipcc.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
📣 PRESS RELEASE Registration for experts interested in serving as Expert Reviewers and providing scientific comments on the First Order Draft of the Special Report on Climate Change and Cities is now open! Registration closes 30 Nov 2025. Read more 🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/09/17/p...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 26/07/2025
Thank you for posting. I have hundreds of hours into these (2,3,4,& 5) . At taxpayer expense, I might add.
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Tim Osborn @timosbornclim.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Delighted to announce that Ben Santer is now an Honorary Professor @ueaenv.bsky.social & the Climatic Research Unit (CRU). Ben is returning to his "academic home": he did his PhD in CRU before his stellar career developing "fingerprint" methods to identify human & natural effects on climate.
Photo of Ben Santer
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Prof Friederike Otto @frediotto.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
What caused deadly landslides in Colombia? Finding out, should be easier. Tropical climates are complex, but if data are held by companies & organisations hiding them behind walls of bureaucracy it becomes impossible. @wwattribution.bsky.social study: www.worldweatherattribution.org/growing-expo...
picture of a landslide in Medellin
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
It can get pretty hot.
bloomberg.com
How Hot Can It Get? Scientists Are Struggling to Find an Answer
Figuring out how anomalously high temperatures can rise is taking on added importance as the planet warms.
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Cabot Institute for the Environment @cabot-institute.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Heatwaves affect different places in different ways. Leafy suburbs are cooler than more built up, concrete heavy areas, which means that disadvantaged communities are more likely to be more severely affected. Watch our super short video on heatwaves to find out more... #heatwave
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
I explained what extreme event attribution is in this article. doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
doi.org
Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
The study by Xueke Li and colleagues was published here in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... (see their ref. 37 for our original Petoukhov et al. 2013 paper)
pnas.org
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
A resonance phenomenon is causing big waves in the atmosphere. And that has increased due to #globalwarming, causing wild summer extremes, a new data analysis finds. The mechanism was first identified in 2013 by the late Vladimir Petoukhov at the Potsdam Institute. apnews.com/article/extr...
apnews.com
Planetary waves linked to wild summer weather have tripled since 1950, study finds
A new study says climate change has tripled the frequency of atmospheric wave events linked to extreme summer weather in the last 75 years.
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Important postscript on our recent study: We can confirm now that the recent heat domes over North America & Europe were part of a resonant "wave 7" hemispheric pattern that emerged in mid June, persisting through most recent data [analysis by @xuekeli.bsky.social]
amplitude over time of planetary wave number 7  (15 day running mean). The dashed lines denote the starting and ending dates for which resonance conditions are detected. alternating pattern of meridional (north/south) wind associated with a high amplitude planetary wave 7 pattern that emerged in mid-June, peaking on June 23 2025 (for which pattern is shown above)
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
The flooding of the Guadalupe River in Texas was undoubtedly made worse because of climate change. I would estimate that there was 7-20% more rainfall than w/o the human interference in the climate. But w/o detailed attribution studies on the storm and associated runoff, we can't know for certain.
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Kate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
This is theft, plain and simple. They stole this from you. Every deletion, every erasure, every website that goes dark is a crime against the American public
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
It's an older clip (11/01/23) but I think worth posting. Senate Environment And Public Works Committe Hearing on Impact of Climate Change on Severe Weather
portal.nersc.gov
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Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
"Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century" | Our new article in @pnas.org by @xuekeli.bsky.social, @michaelfwehner.bsky.social, Shannon Christiansen & yours truly: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Increased frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past half-century | PNAS
We demonstrate a tripling in the frequency of planetary wave resonance events over the past halfcentury, coinciding with the rise in persistent bor...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
After a brief (6 week) retirement, I am pleased to be back at work on statistics, extreme weather and climate change. And even had a paper accepted (with @michaelemann.bsky.social) on my first day. 😀
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
A kid-friendly article explaining our recent paper on atmospheric river clusters! The Science Journal for Kids team did a fantastic job explaining to younger audiences how back-to-back “rivers in the sky” can drive extreme weather impacts. www.sciencejournalforkids.org/articles/how...
sciencejournalforkids.org
How can rivers flow through the air?  - Science Journal for Kids and Teens
Researchers wanted to know how dense atmospheric river clusters form and how climate change might increase their frequency and intensity.
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Announcing a special issue "Advancing the statistical modelling of weather and climate extremes and their meteorological drivers based on moisture and heat transport" in Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology & Oceanography (ASCMO)
advances-statistical-climatology-meteorology-oceanography.net
ASCMO - Scheduled SIs
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Our son is decarbonizing steel manufacturing. www.linkedin.com/posts/aipman...
linkedin.com
#sustainableinvestments #industrialdecarbonisation #aipmanagement | AIP Management
How do you generate strong investor returns while reducing global emissions?   At AIP Management, we see decarbonisation infrastructure not just to drive…
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Berkeley Institute for Data Science (BIDS) @ucbids.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Deb Agarwal was named as a 2024 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fellow. She hopes this recognition will bring greater visibility to informatics professionals within AGU. Read more on her dedication to advancing #EarthSciences through advanced computing & data science: cs.lbl.gov/news-and-eve...
cs.lbl.gov
Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow - Computing Sciences %
Data Science Pioneer Deb Agarwal Named 2024 AGU Fellow. This is a distinguished recognition honoring her impactful work in Earth and environmental science. This accolade highlights her dedication to a...
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Our new paper on the upper bound of temperature. The original title was “Impossible temperatures are not as rare as you think”. But reviewers thought that was too clever, so we have a boring title. But I hope that you find the paper interesting. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Data-driven upper bounds and event attribution for unprecedented heatwaves
The last decade has seen numerous record-shattering heatwaves in all corners of the globe. In the aftermath of these devastating events, there is inte…
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Gabriele Villarini @gabrielevillarini.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
📖🌀 New book alert! Gabe Vecchi, Enrico Scoccimarro and I have edited the book "Tropical Cyclones and Associated Impacts: A Global Perspective" It was great to work on it with my dear friends, and big thanks to the authors who made this project possible! environment.princeton.edu/news/new-boo...
environment.princeton.edu
New Book Presents Essential Expertise on Hurricanes and Their Global Impacts
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Today's Berardelli Bonus: 2024 was the hottest yr on record at ~3F higher than just 100 yrs ago. Also the wettest w/ moisture 7% higher than 30 years ago adding to more intense downpours & floods. The excess warmth is due mainly to the build up of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from fossil fuels
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
More on the attribution of the effect of climate change on wildfire from my 2023 testimony to the US Senate EPW committee in response to a question from Senator Merkley (D-OR).clip is 2 1/2 minutes. www.c-span.org/clip/public-...
c-span.org
User Clip: Senator Merkley (D-OR) fire
Senator Merkely (D-OR) asks Dr. Wehner about attribution of individual wildfires
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Michael Wehner @michaelfwehner.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
To be clear, attribution science makes quantitative statements about the influence of climate change on specific events. Complex events have complex causes & statements are statistical. The tragic LA fire is complex & such statements will be difficult. Details on attribution doi.org/10.1063/PT.3...
doi.org
Connecting extreme weather events to climate change
Advances in attribution science are improving understanding of human influence on our planet.
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