Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Come for the science, stay for the beach! 082
Reposted by Matt PattersonMike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Atmospheric circulation over land in a changing climate 💨🌎🌡️ PhD @uniofstandrews.bsky.social w/ Chris Taylor and @simonleewx.com suitable for quant students (physics, math, meteorology). Pls share! iapetus.ac.uk/studentships... @earthscista.bsky.social @iapetusdtp.bsky.social @ukceh.bsky.social 01211
Reposted by Matt PattersonCarlos Moffat @carlosmoffat.com · 09/10/2026This is excellent, and a friendly reminder money in Silicon Valley is abundant but often going to the wrong places.23.socialleyrer (@leyrer@23.social)Attached: 1 image This is wild - somebody did a deep dive into the real stories behind this famous XKCD: https://sheets.works/data-viz/holding-up-the-internet 011
Reposted by Matt PattersonDaan van den Broek @daanvandenbroek.com · 09/10/2026Today is, climatologically, the fastest-cooling time of the year in Helsinki: the average seasonal temperature curve declines most rapidly around 9 October. For the nerds: this shows the time derivative of the 31-day-smoothed mean daily temperature. Winter is coming!❄️ 3275
Reposted by Matt PattersonMike Berners-Lee @mikebernerslee.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Delighted to welcome Scotland’s First Minister, @johnswinney.bsky.social to deliver a keynote at a screening of the People’s Emergency Briefing at Holyrood yesterday. He committed in his address to working collaboratively to ensure the film is “𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧 𝐒𝐜𝐨𝐭𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝”. 13416
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 28/09/2026We still get some snow and the Met Office calls it a white Christmas whenever snow falls anywhere in the UK, but that will become uncommon in the not too distant future. 001
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 28/09/2026A lot of our white Christmas mythology, at least in the UK, comes from Charles Dickens' writing, but he lived in quite an unusual period, growing up when the Thames froze over and the Tambora eruption gave us the year without a summer. 100
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Only 40 years ago, average winter daily minimum temperatures were below freezing across Scotland. 1103
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Having recently moved to Scotland, I am struck by how many towns have road names referencing curling ponds. It is a clear sign of how our climate has changed because it’s rarely cold enough now for a pond to freeze over sufficiently to safely walk on. 2142
Reposted by Matt PattersonNick Lutsko @nick-lutsko.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I agree that trust comes from verification, in the absence of which we need auditable steps, but the rest is somewhat one-sided (and unfair to end-to-end ML models). CliMA is set up to address one source of model uncertainty. Bjorn Stevens could write a similar essay about… 111
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Had to look up why the difference! "The difference is due to the Sun’s apparent size and atmospheric refraction, which slightly extends daylight on the equinox itself." weather.metoffice.gov.uk/learn-about/...weather.metoffice.gov.ukUnderstanding equinoxes and solsticesEquinoxes and solstices are key astronomical events that mark the changing of the seasons and are directly linked to Earth’s orbit around the Sun. 150
Reposted by Matt PattersonMika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Composites of winter (DJF) temperature anomalies of moderate-to-strong ENSO events (RONI threshold ±1.0 °C) in Europe. Note, these are detrended temperature anomalies. The pattern is cold for northeastern Europe but closer inspection reveals that two winters (1987 and 2010) push the average down. 1152
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 18/09/2026I learned a lot from paper discussions in my phd. Everyone brought a different perspective and learning from each other was valuable in critically evaluating new work. Better than reading one vanilla summary and delegating our thinking to an LLM. 031
Reposted by Matt PattersonSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 14/09/2026Significant water scarcity for Fife, per latest SEPA report beta.sepa.scot/water-scarci... The region has seen a prolonged rainfall deficit, with drier-than-normal conditions since March.beta.sepa.scot10 September 2026 | Beta | SEPA | Scottish Environment Protection AgencySEPA is the Scottish Environment Protection Agency. Our role is to make sure that the environment and human health are protected, to ensure that Scotland’s natural resources and services are used as s... 172
Reposted by Matt PattersonSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 14/09/2026I've received 3 paper review requests and 1 reminder to do a review *just this morning* 🤯🤷♂️ This could be ameliorated if review requests were managed through a central system assigned to the individual (something like ORCiD) rather than by individual journals. 281
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Yes, please this! It would also make giving credit for reviewing papers easier (rather than every publisher having their own system). 110
Reposted by Matt PattersonDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 12/09/2026I wrote this quickly at a bus stop and didn't realize it would go viral, or else I would have worded it better. But the point is that the media is too credulous about AI killing everyone in 10 years (how?) when climate change is killing people now and will only get worse (we know exactly how). 4156761559
Reposted by Matt PattersonCarl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 11/09/2026"...solving problems is only a tool and proxy for achieving the primary goal of conceptual understanding and insight. Forgetting this in the world of AI may turn the tool against the primary goal." 231788
Reposted by Matt PattersonAGU (American Geophysical Union) @agu.org · 09/09/2026BREAKING: The Arctic Report Card, after the loss of core support from NOAA, will continue under its independent editorial team, led by researchers at @cires.colorado.edu and @uafairbanks.bsky.social, with new support from AGU. Read our news release: spklr.io/63320ETBFs 13314
Reposted by Matt PattersonNever stop poasting @persistentpoasting.bsky.social · 08/09/2026WE GOT A TERRY TAO THREAD. mathstodon.xyz/@tao/1172373...mathstodon.xyzTerence Tao (@tao@mathstodon.xyz)I wrote recently about how the collection of good, fruitful open problems is now being mined in a non-renewable fashion, leading to the potential scenario of these problems becoming scarce. This may ... 111224
Reposted by Matt PattersonMatt Luongo @luongomatt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Hiatus v2?? Check it out! Our recent work, led by Shang-Ping Xie & Ayumu Miyamoto, suggests that internal variability has strongly influenced satellite-era (~1980-present) tropical Pacific SST trends. www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....pnas.orgPNASProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans... 274
Reposted by Matt PattersonProf Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 26/08/2026A few thoughts after reading this Guardian piece: 1. Europe has had a brutal summer: extreme heat, wildfires, record temperatures and deaths linked to the heat. ...and yet you barely hear many political leaders talking about climate change. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...theguardian.comWhy are European leaders staying silent after our summer of climate shock?Lethal temperatures and wildfires have exposed a widening gulf between voters demanding action and politicians unwilling to confront the long-term choices global heating requires 414660
Reposted by Matt PattersonSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 25/08/2026Interannual variability in global mean temperature is most strongly related to temperatures in the tropics, here shown by correlating detrended global and gridpoint temperatures. There is very little relationship with temperatures over Europe and many parts of Asia. 1276
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Interesting! Presumably the shifting of the uk population more towards the (very hot) south-east also affects this exposure to 30C+ days. 100
Reposted by Matt PattersonErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Projection has become reality 22 years ago, Christoph Schär et al. published a landmark paper in Nature explaining that the 2003 heatwave was a harbinger of things to come. The study featured an iconic figure - shown in countless lectures - illustrating how outlandish the event was at the time 218976
Reposted by Matt PattersonJames Murray @james-bg.bsky.social · 20/08/2026It’s just unanswerable, isn’t it? We know what the right thing to do is and yet we’re allowing people to present the objectively wrong thing to do as the rational choice. 66519
Reposted by Matt PattersonRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 14/08/2026With record-breaking heatwaves, France just had both its warmest June and July on record. Systematic collection of weather data basically began in Western Europe, giving Europe the longest thermometer-based histories in the world. After more than 250 years, we have changed the climate. 🧪 4202100
Reposted by Matt PattersonGuy Shrubsole @guyshrubsole.bsky.social · 14/08/2026Why is Burnham so reluctant to talk about the climate crisis? Good piece by Sandra Laville I hope the PM breaks his climate silence soon and levels with the country about how bad things are, & what his plan is to tackle climate impacts and fossil fuels www.theguardian.com/politics/202...theguardian.comHot topic: why is Burnham so reluctant to talk about the climate crisis?Extreme heat is harming wellbeing of ordinary people the PM champions, yet little has been said on the topic 3224199
Reposted by Matt PattersonNational Centre for Atmospheric Science @ncas-uk.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Even though hot weather and drought can make it seem as though an area is becoming drier, climate change can also increase the likelihood of heavy rainfall and flooding. ncas.ac.uk/why-is-clima... _ #earth-science #SciComm 🧪ncas.ac.ukWhy is climate change causing drought and heavy rainfall? - NCASClimate change is increasing weather extremes, so a location can experience both severe drought and severe flooding within the same month, season, or year. 1148
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026True and inevitably it won’t be, theres still in my mind a big question about how much of the recent circulation trend is forced vs natural variability. Perhaps my point is that we can be much more confident in the attribution of the thermodynamic change to fossil fuel burning. 160
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026thats true. I felt a lot of answers I gave to the journalist were highlighting things we don’t yet understand! 130
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026this year would have been a hot one with the same circulation and no climate change but instead it’s record breaking. 151
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026That is true, and an important point is how climate impacts can be non uniform and affected by natural variability of circulation. However, the point about novelty suggested to me a limitation of journalism in communicating long-term problems and how events can be normalised. 1101
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026I’m not sure what the solution is here but it’s critical that people understand these basic points. 1161
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026What I want journalists to write is heat waves are more intense due to fossil fuel burning, they're having impacts now and will continue to get more intense until we reach net zero greenhouse gas emissions. 1386
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Was talking to a journalist about the recent heat waves in Europe and the role of atmospheric circulation. They said heat waves were becoming difficult to cover because of the lack of novelty! No wonder we struggle to deal with long-term problems as a society. 89024
Reposted by Matt PattersonColin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 10/08/2026I wrote about a reason not to use generative AI in your writing that I haven't seen anyone talking about. Once I realized this, banning GenAI in our lab's writing became a no-brainer. Feel free to share, I think this is probably useful especially for trainees: www.carlsonlab.bio/thoughts/the...carlsonlab.bioThe only reason you’ll ever need not to write with AI — The Carlson LabOver the last year, our lab has been developing a policy on AI use. To do this, we did three main things: We read a lot of academic publications and tech news. We set up an #ai channel on our la... 351564633
Reposted by Matt PattersonZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 10/08/2026With all August model runs now in (except for SINTEX-F), we now expect this year's El Niño event to peak sometime between October and December at a stunning 4C in the Niño3.4 region. To see all the latest numbers, check out the Climate Dashboard: dashboard.theclimate... 512765
Reposted by Matt PattersonMike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 10/08/2026Warming temperatures + decreasing relative humidity = more water being sucked from soil / reservoirs = DROUGHT. Simple physics. Europe + UK are on the frontline because they are warming so rapidly – it will get worse until 'net zero' is reached. That's my TED talk 🌍 www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...bbc.co.ukUK weather: More than two-thirds of England now in drought with conditions set to worsenThe National Drought Agency adds the East Midlands, Kent, East Sussex, and other parts of England to the areas officially in drought conditions. 13118
Reposted by Matt PattersonSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 10/08/2026"It always rains in the UK" Except it doesn't, and we really need to stop thinking it does. We've been extremely lucky to avoid catastrophic droughts several times in recent years. We must be far better prepared for those extremes, even before considering any climate change-related impacts. 1256
Reposted by Matt PattersonDaniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Aug update from ECMWF predictive ensemble is genuinely extraordinary from extreme #ElNiño perspective. One implication: it is now indicating not only 70-100% odds of above avg winter precip California-wide, but also 70-100% odds of DJF 26-27 being among the top 20% of wettest CA winters (!). 217875
Reposted by Matt PattersonSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 03/08/2026Meanwhile, north of the border: "Scotland has recorded 69% of its average rainfall and is the only nation not to come close to breaking records." "Scotland has not seen mean temperatures within its top 10 on record." 1103
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 29/07/2026And Scotland is still being hit by climate change this summer - the cairngorms are on fire and until the rain arrived recently, highly populated regions of the east were at risk of drought. 000
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Interesting regional differences in perceptions of summer heat especially the ‘v unhappy‘ group - we all experience climate change differently (a baking hot day in SE England but pleasant conditions in Scotland) and this makes comms harder. We’re all impacted, just not in the same way. 150
Reposted by Matt PattersonNational Centre for Atmospheric Science @ncas-uk.bsky.social · 29/07/2026With prolonged hot weather, and wildfires burning across the UK and Europe, what does this mean for air quality in the affected areas or places downwind? ncas.ac.uk/what-do-wild... #earth-science #SciComm 🧪ncas.ac.ukWhat do wildfires mean for air quality? - NCASWildfires can have significant impacts on air quality, as wildfire smoke contains a mixture of hazardous air pollutants. 11613
Matt Patterson @mattpattclimate.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Indeed! It looks like that will be 7 days >1mm for July (including tomorrow and Friday). 010
Reposted by Matt PattersonMet Office - weather and climate @metoffice.gov.uk · 28/07/2026Wednesday sees the peak of the heat this week, with temperatures likely reaching 35 Celsius in eastern England📈 This would mark the 7th day of 2026 when the UK has recorded 35°C or higher. Prior to this year, the record was 5 days of ≥35°C, set in 1976 and 2020🌡️ 56627