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Marianne Dahl

@mariannedahl.bsky.social
2.8K followers 875 following 53 posts

Senior researcher @PRIOresearch and deputy editor @JPR_journal, Non-violence, security force behavior, democratization & peace processes. Opinions are my own. Webpage: www.mariannedahl.com

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Reposted by Marianne Dahl
Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Remember this picture, & others like it, every time you hear someone in your city say "we're not Amsterdam." This was #Amsterdam in the 1970s. Many of the cities we admire made tough choices regarding cars in the past, and are still making better choices today. Better choices instead of excuses.
Wide Amsterdam Road filled with jammed colourful cars, stuck in traffic congestion.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
📢 New article 🌟 👥 Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social , Mauricio Rivera Celestiono, Scott Gates (ISV), & Tora Sagård 👉 Security force disloyalty in nonviolent and violent campaigns, 1970–2013: introducing a new dataset 📗 Published in Journal of Peace Research 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jopr...
doi.org
Security force disloyalty in nonviolent and violent campaigns, 1970–2013: introducing a new dataset
Abstract. Loyalty shifts within state security forces critically impact dissent campaign outcomes and have frequently precipitated regime breakdowns. Exist
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Some thoughts about the President of the United States speaking about ending a civilization. The president speaks genocide. Anyone who has been involved in that conversation or associated actions would be complicit. And so we too must speak. Not only about crimes, but about their legal punishment.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” These are the words of the president of the United States, today. The president speaks genocide. And so we too must speak. Not only about crimes, but about their legal punishment. snyder.substack.com/p/the-presid...
snyder.substack.com
The president speaks genocide
The words, the law, the future
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Trump lost this war in every possible sense — morally, legally, politically, economically, reputationally, and strategically.
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Pete Buttigieg @petebuttigieg.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Regardless of whether it’s all talk, when the leader of our country expresses plainly genocidal intent, everyone has to do something. For citizens of all political stripes, it means rejecting this madness. For Congress, it means taking action to rein him in. Now.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
“A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” -Trump Article III The following acts shall be punishable: (a) Genocide; (b) Conspiracy to commit genocide; (c) Direct and public incitement to commit genocide; (d) Attempt to commit genocide; (e) Complicity in genocide.
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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
In an age of creeping relativism, a universal moral law still exists. Threatening to end an entire civilization of 90 million people in order to bend a nation’s conduct to your will is grossly morally wrong. It is evil. And we should say this loudly.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
There is something you can do about all of this — make your plans for May 1. This country needs a united show of power, energy, and hope. indivisible.org/events/may-d...
indivisible.org
May Day Strong: No Work, No School, No Shopping | Indivisible
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Kashana @kashana.blacksky.app · 07/04/2026
Armageddon is terrible, but our only other option was diversity trainings at work.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 31/03/2026
Trump knows his war with Iran is unpopular. Trump knows Americans are angry that he's made everything more expensive. Instead of reversing course, Trump is trying to rig the next election. It's illegal - and we will fight back.
apnews.com
Trump signs order directing creation of a national voter list, a move sure to face legal challenges
President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to create a nationwide list of verified eligible voters and to restrict mail-in voting.
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The Atlantic @theatlantic.com · 30/03/2026
President Trump helped pull off his improbable comeback with the help of manosphere podcasters, @elainegodfrey.bsky.social reports. Now many of these men seem to feel—by varying degrees—duped by the president they helped elect. theatln.tc/Mz2E3Grm 🎨: The Atlantic
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
I was at a #NoKings rally yesterday and rather than writing another essay about why this matters I will just say that it is pure joy to meet the people who want to stand out and the people who are doing the work. Thank you.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 28/03/2026
What could we do with the $12B Trump spent on the first week of war with Iran? - Housing help for ~1 million Americans - Lower prescription drug costs - Fund national parks for 3+ years - Give Pell grants to 1.6 million students - Pay the salaries of 100,000+ teachers and nurses
youtube.com
What could we do with the $12B Trump spent on the first week of war with Iran?
YouTube video by Senator Elizabeth Warren
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Megan Kate Nelson 📚 @mkn.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
A white poster board sign sporting a checklist - NO KINGS but green checks for books, art, empathy, love, and tacos
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Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Springsteen: Well, this past winter federal troops brought death and terror to the streets of Minneapolis. They picked the wrong city. Your strength and your commitment told us that this is still America. And this reactionary nightmare and these invasions of American cities will not stand.
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Phoenix Rising @62walterp.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
#NoKings
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Indivisible ❌👑 @indivisible.org · 28/03/2026
We are estimating more than 200,000 people at the flagship No Kings rally in the Twin Cities. #NoKings
A screengrab of the huge crowd at the flagship No Kings rally in the Twin Cities.
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50501: The People’s Movement ❌👑 @50501movement.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Holy New York.
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Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
To whoever did this at the #NoKings in Boston: Thank you.❤️ It made me tear up. And we must to be reminded of needless damage to humanity that results directly from the careless, bellicose bluster coming from the Pentagon and White House.
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Hoodlum 🇺🇸 @nothoodlum.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Now get out and vote in the midterms like your life depends on it, because it does. #NoKings
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Today's the day. America has no king. Come out and stand together in solidarity for freedom. #NoKings Find your event: www.nokings.org
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Indivisible ❌👑 @indivisible.org · 28/03/2026
Atlanta is showing up to say no ICE, no war, No Kings. #NoKings
A photo of the gigantic No Kings crowd in Atlanta, Georgia.
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Amy Klobuchar @amyklobuchar.com · 28/03/2026
Tens of thousands filled the Capitol Mall in St. Paul with a clear message: NO KINGS. In America, liberties matter and power belongs to the people.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Hard to win a war when your business model is selling your own war plans. www.offmessage.net/p/expose-all...
offmessage.net
Expose ALL Of Trump's War Profiteering
It can serve as a downpayment to the world on our commitment to restore accountable democracy to America.
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Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
New data from V-Dem, which tracks democracy worldwide, points to a sharp decline in US democracy in 2025. Checks on the government and the freedom of expression have especially declined. But the data also points to what could halt and reverse the decline. Here’s what the data shows. 🧵
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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
When protests remove autocrats, the regime’s security forces have often defected. In a new Journal of Peace Research article we introduce the DDC dataset—the first disaggregated global dataset tracking security force disloyalty during dissent campaigns (1970–2013). 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/jopr...
doi.org
Security force disloyalty in nonviolent and violent campaigns, 1970–2013: introducing a new dataset
Abstract. Loyalty shifts within state security forces critically impact dissent campaign outcomes and have frequently precipitated regime breakdowns. Exist
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Anita Gohdes @argohdes.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
Always appreciate the sharp analysis on the @crisisgroup.org podcast, operation epic folly indeed: podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/h...
podcasts.apple.com
Operation Epic Folly? Trump’s and Netanyahu’s War on Iran
Podcast Episode · Hold Your Fire! · 7 March · 59m
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Gravel Influencer @gravelinfluencer.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The whole "war on cars" whining is really the perfect example of, "When you're accustomed to privilege, equality feels like oppression."
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Taken together, an overall look at protest patterns in 2026 reinforces the sense of a growing, durable, and disciplined pro-democracy movement increasingly mobilized at the grassroots.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The next common claims concern US foreign policy (primarily as it relates to Gaza, Venezuela, Iran, Ukraine, & Greenland), the economy, & health care.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
What are the protests about? The top three claims expressed during the protests are concerns about the presidency, democracy, and immigration. These themes dominate the protest landscape.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
These are tiny fractions for a movement of this historic size and geographic dispersion. This discipline is part of why clear instances of lawless brutality by govt authorities tend to backfire—a dynamic that @owasow.bsky.social recently described in the NYT: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/28/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | We’re Seeing the Weakness of a Strong State
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The movement is extraordinarily disciplined, despite escalatory rhetoric, threats, & violence against the movement, immigrants, and observers. Over 99% of reported protests featured no arrests, 99.8% had no participant injuries or property damage, and 99.9% reported no injuries to law enforcement.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Participation is likewise robust. For counts for just 41% of our events, we tallied well over 10.3M participants across explicitly anti-Trump protests, < 111k across pro-Trump protests, and over 387k across other protests.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Overall, we have tallied 4x more protests through Jan 31, 2026 than we had through Jan 31, 2018
Line graph that shows a blue line of # protests since Trump's 2nd inauguration surpassed, showing these to have exceeded 42k by the end of Jan 2026. A green line counts # of protests during the same time period in Trump's first term and just exceeds 10k.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The two No Kings protests (6/14 & 10/18) were among the largest single day protests in history, but we are tallying protests all over the country every day in locally coordinated protests, too, particularly in opposition to ICE - an increasingly large share of the total #.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.
Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
My team at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman.bsky.social, Soha Hammam, & Chris Shay) has shared a big data update, covering all recorded US protests through Jan 2026. Some key takeaways 🧵:
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håvard mokleiv nygård @havardmn.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
It’s -10 degrees (yes, minus, that’s 14 Fahrenheit) in Oslo. This is an outdoor football cup for *10 year old girls*. Maybe you don’t really want to f*** around with the Scandinavians 🤷‍♂️
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Agnete Schjønsby @agnete.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
🎙️PRIOs @mariannedahl.bsky.social gjester podcasten «Ut i Verden» I denne episoden snakker Marianne om protester, generasjon Z, autoritære ledere – og hva som faktisk skal til for å starte en bevegelse som får gjennomslag. 🎧 Lytt til episoden her: open.spotify.com/episode/0fQG...
open.spotify.com
#24 - Gen Z-spesial!
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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Jeg var så heldig å bli invitert til Ut i Verden for å snakke protester, generasjon Z, autoritære ledere – og ikke minst hva som faktisk fungerer hvis du vil starte en bevegelse. Veldig gøy å få snakke med Trine Østereng og Mathias Slettholm. open.spotify.com/episode/0fQG...
linkedin.com
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Sara Kallis @sarakallis.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Back from my mini-stay in Oslo! 🇳🇴 I attended the fabulous PhD course taught by @mariannedahl.bsky.social and @idarudolfsen.bsky.social & later was lucky to receive amazing feedback on some early work from folks at @prioresearch.bsky.social and @statsvitenskap.bsky.social 🌟 Tusen takk!
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Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
PRIO is hiring! Specifically, we're looking for two post-docs for the project "Rituals in combatant-to-civilian transformation”, led by my excellent colleague Júlia Palik More information here: www.prio.org/about/career... www.prio.org/about/career...
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Agnete Schjønsby @agnete.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
I et Venezuela der undertrykkelse og politisk mørke preger hverdagen, er María Corina Machado som et symbol på sivil motstand og håp. Les PRIOs @mariannedahl.bsky.social om hvorfor årets pris treffer tidsånden: www.aftenposten.no/meninger/kro...
aftenposten.no
Fredsprisen til María Corina Machado treffer tidsånden
Årets fredspris er en påminnelse om at demokratiets fremtid hviler på dem som våger å protestere uten vold.
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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Årets Nobel Fredspris er delt ut i demokratiets navn. Den demokratiske tilbakegangen er blant vår tids største utfordringer – nivået i dag er som i 1986. María Corina Machado risikerer livet i kampen for demokrati – med ikke-voldelige midler. Link til kronikk👇
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Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
"Årets fredspris er en påminnelse om at demokratiets fremtid hviler på dem som våger å protestere uten vold" PRIOs egen @mariannedahl.bsky.social i Aftenposten www.aftenposten.no/meninger/kro...
aftenposten.no
Fredsprisen til María Corina Machado treffer tidsånden
Årets fredspris er en påminnelse om at demokratiets fremtid hviler på dem som våger å protestere uten vold.
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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
📢 New paper alert: How does war shape democratic values? Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine by @kristinmbakke.bsky.social, Marianne Dahl & Kit Rickard. 📖 Published in the @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social special issue on Political Violence in Democracies. 👇🧵
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Amalie Nilsen @amalienilsen.bsky.social · 07/09/2025
I’m very happy to share that the first paper of my PhD, «From the streets to the ballots: Protests, polls and Polarization in Hong Kong» has been published online in @democratization.bsky.social It is open access, and you can read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
From the streets to the ballots: protests, polls and polarization in Hong Kong
Social movement research indicates that protests can influence voting behaviour through several informational and psychological mechanisms. Yet, we know little about the individual variation in how...
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