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Crisis Group

@crisisgroup.org
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We're an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation, committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict.

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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 3h
Israelis go to the polls next month in what some are calling the most important elections in Israel’s history. But three years after the 7 October Hamas attacks and the chain of wars that followed are the most important issues to the outside world are actually being discussed? My latest newsletter.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 3h
📩 The Month Ahead | Israel Votes. What Next? Three years after the 7 October 2023 attacks, Israelis go to the polls in what some are calling the most important elections in their country’s history. @comfortero.crisisgroup.org looks at what, if any, change the vote could bring.
linkedin.com
Israel Votes. What Next?
Hello, Three years after the 7 October 2023 attacks and the chain of wars that followed, Israelis go to the polls at the end of next month in what some are calling the most important elections in thei...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 9h
✍️ NEW OP-ED | The New Forever War. Why America and Iran Fight On Without Victory Both have emerged weaker. Neither can win. But they fight on regardless, because they find the alternatives to be completely unpalatable. @alivaez.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com.
foreignaffairs.com
The New Forever War
Why America and Iran fight on without victory.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 9h
“This is a moment that calls for very active, serious, preventive diplomacy. Otherwise, you could have a region-wide conflagration.” Our Africa Director speaks with @cnn.com to talk about ways out of the dangerous escalation in northern Ethiopia.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 10h
NEW COMMENTARY | The U.S.-led Anti-ISIS Coalition is Leaving Iraq: What Happens Next? With the Middle East war bringing conflict to the country and questions surrounding the state’s capacity to assert its authority, the significance of the withdrawal is mainly symbolic.
crisisgroup.org
The U.S.-led Anti-ISIS Coalition is Leaving Iraq: What Happens Next? | International Crisis Group
The coming withdrawal of U.S.-led coalition forces marks a significant moment in Iraq’s tumultuous recent history. Yet with the Middle East war bringing conflict to the country and questions surroundi...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 29/09/2026
“We have to be clear that this is a war of choice among the various contending elites.” @crisisgroup.org's Africa Director on the latest Hold Your Fire! Episode on escalation in northern #Ethiopia.
crisisgroup.org
Back to War in Ethiopia? | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia, how the conflict could unfold, the risks of regional escala...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 29/09/2026
🎧 NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! This week, we discuss renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia, the risks of regional escalation and whether diplomacy can still stop the slide into all-out war. www.crisisgroup.org/pod/africa/e...
crisisgroup.org
Back to War in Ethiopia? | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group’s Africa director Murithi Mutiga about renewed fighting in northern Ethiopia, how the conflict could unfold, the risks of regional escala...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 29/09/2026
🗒️ NEW ANALYST'S NOTEBOOK | South Sudan’s President Jettisons Unity Government and Hardens Grip on Power @jongethon.bsky.social examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict.
crisisgroup.org
South Sudan’s President Jettisons Unity Government and Hardens Grip on Power | International Crisis Group
Crisis Group expert Daniel Akech examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict
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Cristal Downing @cristaldowning.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Progress on women’s representation in peacemaking is being reversed. Some govs still prioritise women’s representation in high-profile contexts, but the commitment is inconsistent across wider peacemaking. My op-ed in @Time on why this matters to us all. time.com/article/2026...
time.com
What Peacemaking Loses When Women Are Left Out
"Women hold communities together through wars but they are increasingly being left out of peace talks," writes Cristal Downing.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 25/09/2026
Northern Ethiopia is slipping into renewed war. African leaders backed by key outside powers notably the U.S. should urge both sides to deescalate, show restraint, and return to the negotiating table. Our latest statement: www.crisisgroup.org/stm/africa/e...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 25/09/2026
“There is no doubt that Ethiopia is back in a larger war.” Our Horn of Africa Director, Alan Boswell, speaks about the ongoing fighting on @aljazeera.com. More information in our latest statement: www.crisisgroup.org/stm/africa/e...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 25/09/2026
🚨Latest on Ethiopia: Beyond the risk of setting off an unpredictable spiral, a major escalation could push fighting close to the Ethiopia-Eritrea border, creating the potential for interstate conflict. www.crisisgroup.org/stm/africa/e...
crisisgroup.org
Arresting the Dangerous Descent Back into War in Northern Ethiopia | International Crisis Group
Long-simmering tensions have turned to large-scale fighting after armed opposition groups in Tigray, Amhara and Afar launched a multi-pronged offensive against Ethiopian government forces. It is not t...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 25/09/2026
NEW STATEMENT | Arresting the Dangerous Descent Back into War in Northern Ethiopia Large-scale fighting has erupted after armed opposition groups launched offensives on Ethiopian government forces. It is not too late to avert a return to bloody war. www.crisisgroup.org/stm/africa/e...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 25/09/2026
✍️ NEW OP-ED | What Peacemaking Loses When Women Are Left Out The United Nations has made halting but real progress in bringing women into peace negotiations and postwar reconstruction. Now that progress is being reversed. @cristaldowning.bsky.social in TIME.
time.com
What Peacemaking Loses When Women Are Left Out
"Women hold communities together through wars but they are increasingly being left out of peace talks," writes Cristal Downing.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 24/09/2026
"The U.S.-led coalition against ISIS is leaving Iraq. The paramilitary groups that fought ISIS will remain [and] their continued power poses a fundamental question for the country’s new government." @lahibhigel.bsky.social examines the challenges ahead for Iraq.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 24/09/2026
NEW OP-ED | The UN’s decline is a choice The selection of a new chief is an opportunity for governments to rally round the ailing organisation and choose a ‘general’, not a ‘secretary,’ to lead the charge, writes @comfortero.crisisgroup.org in @elpais.com. english.elpais.com/opinion/2026...
english.elpais.com
The UN’s decline is a choice
The selection of a new chief is an opportunity for governments to rally round the ailing organization and choose a ‘general’, not a ‘secretary,’ to lead the charge
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 24/09/2026
Great dialogue with DPM Mouauni, @liechtensteinun.bsky.social & @crisisgroup.org during #UNGA week. Appreciate the level of engagement and sharing of ideas at such a crucial time. Here’s to all our efforts to cause peace. @enripicco.bsky.social @fortid.crisisgroup.org @gingermjacobs.bsky.social
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 23/09/2026
From the war in the Middle East to China’s domestic and international concerns, what does each side actually want in Washington and Beijing as Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet? Our expert Ali Wyne explains more and unpacks what is at stake.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 23/09/2026
"Your future depends on reversing the sixty-five conflicts." What should the incoming UN Secretary-General tackle, and what should be delegated? @comfortero.crisisgroup.org explains.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Notable was the absence of China, which was only mentioned in Trump’s comments on what he referred to as “super intelligence.” While he reaffirmed that he would not seek to rein in AI, he had little else to say about what is the most consequential bilateral relationship in the world.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Even his attacks on “global government” were perfunctory, and while he called on nations to resign from the ICC, which he described as out of control, he offered little beyond pro forma criticisms.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
When he pivoted back to the Western hemisphere, Trump was bullish on Venezuela, crassly crowing that “to the victor go the spoils”, and insistent that change was coming to Cuba. But again, Trump covered no new territory on these fronts.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Jarringly, but expectedly, Trump packaged his boasts about his peacemaking prowess with by-now familiar, but still shocking threats to annihilate Iran in the absence of a deal. His prediction of an inevitable deal following midterm elections in November was characteristically short on details.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Despite his patchy record on peace and security, not to mention his decision to launch a war of choice against Iran, Trump remains keen on boasting about his track record on conflict resolution.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Instead, what Trump had to offer was a repackaging of familiar themes, some of which were aimed less at those gathered at the UN but to a restive U.S. public, frustrated by the economic impacts of the Iran war.
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Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
A few thoughts on Trump’s speech at the GA, which was short by his standards and notable for the lack of new initiatives or announcements. In that sense, those gathered might have breathed a sigh of relief.
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 21/09/2026
On #InternationalDayofPeace, as states rearm and multilateral channels face severe strain, the core challenge is clear: how do we reduce the mounting risks? Here are 7 practical steps for preventing and managing conflict in an era of hard power 🧵👇
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
Is the United Nations still fit for purpose? As world leaders gather in New York for UN General Assembly, I discuss with Caitriona Perry on BBC key challenges for the next leader of the UN.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 22/09/2026
"Be bold. Be radical." As world leaders convene for UNGA @crisisgroup.org's @comfortero.crisisgroup.org with @baysontheroad.bsky.social on why the UN still matters, and what the next UN Secretary-General must do.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 21/09/2026
NEW OP-ED | Shrink the UN The United Nations’ ambitious self-conception and its actual track record has grown too wide. A slimmer organisation may be the UN the world needs. @richardgowan1.bsky.social explains why in @foreignaffairs.com.
foreignaffairs.com
Shrink the UN
The next secretary-general must get back to basics
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 21/09/2026
The Houthi rebels’ have expanded Yemen’s conflict to both shores of the Red Sea and opened a new front in the Middle East war between Washington and Tehran. Our latest statement unpacks why a truce in Yemen is an urgent priority: www.crisisgroup.org/stm/middle-e...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 21/09/2026
On #InternationalDayofPeace, as states rearm and multilateral channels face strain, how do we reduce the risks? From deterrence with diplomacy to upholding international law, here are seven practical steps to prevent conflict in an era of hard power.
crisisgroup.org
Causes of Peace in an Era of Hard Power | International Crisis Group
With the post-World War II international order fading away and hostilities on the rise, the prospects for conflict prevention look dim. But the picture is not wholly dark. It is possible to identify t...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 20/09/2026
Good 3 heads defend necessity of multilateralism: “As we contend with a world order that is transforming fast, we call on other international leaders to join us in choosing co-operation over fragmentation by, law over power and shared responsibility over division.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
Multilateralism is not idealism, it is a necessity
We need to strengthen our system of co-operation, not replace it
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 20/09/2026
🎧 NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! Richard is joined by @richardgowan1.bsky.social and @fortid.crisisgroup.org to discuss the UN General Assembly high-level week and whether a new Secretary-General can revive the organisation’s peacemaking. www.crisisgroup.org/pod/global/u...
crisisgroup.org
The UN’s High Level Week, Secretary-General Selection and “Middle Power” Problem | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood is joined by Crisis Group experts Richard Gowan and Daniel Forti to discuss next week’s UN General Assembly high-level week and whether a new Secretary-Gen...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 19/09/2026
What to know what’s going on? We dissect how the Houthi rebels’ have expanded Yemen’s conflict to both shores of the Red Sea and opened a new front in the Middle East war between Washington and Tehran. 🎧 Essential weekend listening.
crisisgroup.org
The Houthis, the Saudis and the New Red Sea Politics | International Crisis Group
This week on The Horn, Alan talks with Crisis Group experts Yasmine Farouk and Ahmed Nagi about what’s behind the Houthi offensive in Yemen, Saudi Arabia’s response and the implications of emerging Sa...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 19/09/2026
In a special episode of Hold Your Fire!, we unpack the rapid Houthi advance, and explain how the 2022 truce between the Houthis, Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s internationally recognised government unravelled. 2/3
crisisgroup.org
Special Episode: Will the Houthis Shut Down the Bab al-Mandab Strait? | International Crisis Group
In this special episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group expert Ahmed Nagi about the rapid Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, what they mean for Saudi Arabia and the wide...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 19/09/2026
🧵 Houthi rebels have charged down Yemen’s western coast, threatening to tip the country back toward full-scale war and worsen what is already a catastrophic humanitarian crisis. 1/3
crisisgroup.org
Closing the New War Front in Yemen | International Crisis Group
The Houthis’ rapid advance on the western Yemeni coast has opened a new front in the Middle East war that began with February’s U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. A truce in Yemen is an urgent priority, so ...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 19/09/2026
“Democratic Europe needs its two nuclear states to get on. It also helps that Brexit has disappointed most surveyed voters. A routine has formed in Britain: the government makes modest overtures to the continent, the right screams betrayal, no one listens.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
The Anglo-French moment
And why it must endure
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Richard Gowan @richardgowan1.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Delighted to natter with @crisisgroup.org VP Richard Atwood and @fortid.crisisgroup.org about UNGA in this podcast 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/pod/global/u...
crisisgroup.org
The UN’s High Level Week, Secretary-General Selection and “Middle Power” Problem | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood is joined by Crisis Group experts Richard Gowan and Daniel Forti to discuss next week’s UN General Assembly high-level week and whether a new Secretary-Gen...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 18/09/2026
NEW COMMENTARY | Somalia Awaits a New Security Order as Mission Drawdown Looms The multilateral missions that have helped the Somali government fight Al-Shabaab for nearly two decades may be coming to an end. Mogadishu and its partners should get started now on developing a plan for what's next.
crisisgroup.org
Somalia Awaits a New Security Order as Mission Drawdown Looms | International Crisis Group
The multilateral missions that have helped the Somali government fight Al-Shabaab for nearly two decades may be coming to an end. Mogadishu and its partners should get started now developing a plan fo...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 18/09/2026
🎧 NEW EPISODE | The Horn This week, we discuss what’s behind the Houthi offensive in Yemen and the implications of emerging Saudi-backed security partnerships for the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa.
crisisgroup.org
The Houthis, the Saudis and the New Red Sea Politics | International Crisis Group
This week on The Horn, Alan talks with Crisis Group experts Yasmine Farouk and Ahmed Nagi about what’s behind the Houthi offensive in Yemen, Saudi Arabia’s response and the implications of emerging Sa...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 18/09/2026
NEW STATEMENT | Closing the New War Front in Yemen The Houthis’ rapid advance on the western Yemeni coast has opened a new front in the Middle East war that began with the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. A truce in Yemen is an urgent priority, so that hostilities do not spiral.
crisisgroup.org
Closing the New War Front in Yemen | International Crisis Group
The Houthis’ rapid advance on the western Yemeni coast has opened a new front in the Middle East war that began with February’s U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. A truce in Yemen is an urgent priority, so ...
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Richard Gowan @richardgowan1.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
What's going to be on top of the agenda at the UN General Assembly? @fortid.crisisgroup.org, our new @crisisgroup.org colleague Mariea Sekijima and I have ideas @justsecurity.org 👇 www.justsecurity.org/157177/un-ge...
justsecurity.org
At the U.N. General Assembly, Competition May Outdo Cooperation
The challenges facing the U.N. include recurrent financial shortfalls and political irrelevance to some of the world's major crises.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 18/09/2026
“Years of work in conflict prevention have taught me one thing: peace takes deliberate effort, not chance.” UN diplomacy aimed at halting wars and easing civilian suffering remains paralysed. Despite this, @comfortero.crisisgroup.org explains why the organisation remains essential for diplomacy.
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 17/09/2026
Our President and CEO, @comfortero.crisisgroup.org and @ishaantharoor.bsky.social discuss in @newyorker.com why the United Nations system is still the best that nations have for dealing with one another. No other architecture exists. www.newyorker.com/news/global-...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 17/09/2026
NEW COMMENTARY | A Pivotal Moment in Uniting Post-Assad Syria The Syrian Democratic Forces’ official dissolution marks the beginning of a new, critical phase in Syria. Further compromise would set a useful precedent for other parts of the country.
crisisgroup.org
A Pivotal Moment in Uniting Post-Assad Syria | International Crisis Group
The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces, which long enjoyed de facto autonomy in north-eastern Syria, have dissolved. But tensions in the region remain high as talks about integration with the centra...
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Richard Gowan @richardgowan1.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
It's out! @crisisgroup.org's annual reckoning with the state of the UN is here. Big congrats to @fortid.crisisgroup.org for pulling it together this year. www.crisisgroup.org/sbr/global/s...
crisisgroup.org
Ten Challenges for the UN in 2026-2027 | International Crisis Group
As the 2026 General Assembly begins, the UN remains hobbled by cost cutting and big-power wrangling. The new Secretary-General to be chosen soon cannot cure all that ails the organisation, but much ca...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 14/09/2026
NEW SPECIAL BRIEFING | Ten Challenges for the UN in 2026-2027 Leaders gathering at #UNGA will find a United Nations in need of revival. A new Secretary-General cannot resolve the world’s crises overnight, but they should work to address immediate challenges. www.crisisgroup.org/sbr/global/s...
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Comfort Ero @comfortero.crisisgroup.org · 14/09/2026
Myanmar possesses some of the world’s most valuable deposits of jade, tin, gold and heavy rare earth elements. In our new investigation, my colleagues show how international demand for these key critical minerals is helping sustain war economies. A must-scroll: crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...
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Crisis Group @crisisgroup.org · 12/09/2026
🎧 NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! In the first episode of the new season, Richard Atwood speaks with @olyaoliker.bsky.social about the role of nuclear weapons in Europe. www.crisisgroup.org/pod/europe/n...
crisisgroup.org
Nuclear Deterrence in Europe (and another round of U.S. Ukraine-Russia diplomacy) | International Crisis Group
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker about evolving nuclear calculations in Europe amid doubts about the U.S.’s NATO commitments. They also talk about the ...
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