Sign in

Marcelo Rinesi

@marcelorinesi.bsky.social
528 followers 195 following 6.3K posts

Cognitive architecture designer and consultant. On rinesi.com there are links to my blog and newsletters (one for articles, the other for original short-short SF).

PostsRepliesMedia
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
#AdversarialMetanoia #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction posted during September. "He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate."
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
@jonawils.bsky.social is, besides the best sports writer _qua_ writer I know, one of the few who has never turned a blind eye to the ethics of clubs being funded by authoritarians and murderers, and to the impact of money on the game, but I don't know if I've ever read him in this cold, stark tone.
100
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I don't particularly enjoy Herzog's movies but I love reading him and about him. He's the human definition of K. A. Applegate's phrase about ruthlessness: www.tumblr.com/aniquotes/15... (Yes, it's an Animorphs quote in a Tumblr post. The world is wild and beautiful.) via @dingdingpeng.the100.ci
231
Reposted by Marcelo Rinesi
Benjamin @benjaminschneider.ch · 30/09/2026
Werner Herzog will be the last human being whose next word no language model can predict
9559143
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Besides their intrinsic historical and cultural interest, I always find the juxtaposition of the "engineering mode" and the "biological' or "religious modes" aesthetically fascinating.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
One of my bugbears is that (1) this is endemic in public policy and both private and public finance, (2) it leads to a lot of unnecessarily bad outcomes, and (3) we have Bayes and computers so it's entirely on us.
020
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Just because "it's not as bad as it looks," "you can fight it later," "it's not massive" or 🤷 because the US has basically never had elections without some level of "voter suppression" [i.e. culturally accepted fraud] it doesn't mean it's not that. via @donmoyn.bsky.social @csissoko.bsky.social
111
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
"The Witch of the Future was the company psychologist. She had access to every sensor in your office, under your mattress, below your skin." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
Harry and the Three Witches
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Wherein I try to give more precision to "The impact of AI on your market: it depends."
blog.rinesi.com
Relative superintelligence and competitive dynamics: between collapse, progress, and breakthroughs
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Very interesting from @mehdighassemi.bsky.social and David Murakami Wood. I suspect this is a regime that extends beyond urbanism: the AI buildup, and underneath it the world economy as a retroactively causal nightmare/pitch/prediction, feels like a refined version of this dynamic.
120
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Applies beyond computational biology, too. I can't tell you how many production models I've seen that were just prima facie nonsensical because the analysts hadn't spared a thought for the underlying metric.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
When models choose metrics: Hidden geometry in computational biology - PubMed
Computational biology often turns biological measurements into fitted models, embeddings, or summaries and then compares them with a distance chosen largely by convention. That choice can shape the scientific question being answered, because different distances emphasize different assumptions about …
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
This is eerie. I wonder if you could do something similar with buoys on now dry lakes --using recorded data-- older sound recordings from deforested locations, etc. The difference between copying something real elsewhere and something real elsewhen can be small. via @kevinr.free-dissociation.com
172
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
There's more at play [sorry] here that comparing two predictors: Elo ratings are based on history and Transfermarkt valuations are a metric on inputs. This makes the paper potentially more interesting, but you have to be careful you understand the information flow.
arxiv.org
Match forecasts in UEFA club competitions: Elo ratings versus Transfermarkt valuations
The pre-season strengths of European football clubs are usually measured by two proxies in the literature. Football Club Elo Ratings provide strictly performance-based Elo ratings from the early days…
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The interesting finding here I think is the distribution across different topics. I don't think there's no overlap in "investor/bettor" populations, but it's not fully homogeneous either.
arxiv.org
The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket
The favorite--longshot bias (FLB) is one of the most persistent return patterns in betting markets, but its prevalence in modern prediction markets and its relation to recurrent longshot demand remain...
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
"It was with conflicted feelings that I watched Aunt Julia pick and eat the last scone. Up to that moment our conversation had been social, mostly mostly on intel regarding changes or lack of in the penelopean tapestry..." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
Last Tea with Aunt Julia
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Yes, it looks like you think it does. And, yes, I'm humming the theme song now[1]. From ETH Zurich's @softroboticslab.bsky.social . [1] OG show and movies. "Wednesday" IMHO totally misses the point. But I digress.
arxiv.org
Fingers as Legs: Learning Self-Supported Locomotion and Manipulation with an Anthropomorphic Hand
A walking robotic hand must use the same fingers to move its body, support its weight, and interact with the environment. We show how an anthropomorphic hand can learn these skills while retaining its...
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Absolutely love the quiet absurdist tone. via @jessehixxx.bsky.social @nicolashenin.net
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
"A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been Jane's life since her tenth birthday." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Unquiet
A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been…
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
China's helping Iran, so they can pressure them to slow down in ways other countries can't. In a way, the US blockade works insofar as it's blocking China's imports (of Iranian oil) rather than Iran's exports.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
"A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been Jane's life since her tenth birthday." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Unquiet
A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been…
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Trippy, and I can imagine it being useful in an educational context. by @dmitrybrant.com
rivendell.dmitrybrant.com
Relativity Park: Walking Speed of Light
Special relativity simulator in which light crawls along at a human speed, so Lorentz contraction, aberration and Doppler shift happen at walking pace.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Yeah, yeah, Paramount took over #StarTrekDay but they are too cowardly to acknowledge the truly important date: September 15, 1967 when "Amok Time" by Theodore Sturgeon planted on the hot sands of Vulcan a seed that would fundamentally change our culture. I'm tongue-in-cheek but not exaggerating.
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
It's not the most important thing -that's energy, w/AI + drone warfare now the focus and IMO biotech being the next big one and the latest one it shot itself on the face on- but the moment the US drops its denial of no longer being The Best At Cars it's going to go nuts in new and entertaining ways.
core77.com
Chinese Cars are Now Achieving 5-Star Safety Ratings - Core77
...in Europe, where standards are stricter than in the U.S.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I've been a DC fanemy since B:TAS And Therefore Have Many Opinions. Here's one: @hbomax.bsky.social 's #Lanterns is absolutely not the show the early trailers suggested. Don't think Buddy [Space] Cop, think True Detective. Both are valid genres! But I'm enjoying the show more than I thought I would.
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
"A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been Jane's life since her tenth birthday." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Unquiet
A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been…
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
An automatic rec. Partly out of nostalgia --I was fascinated by hypertext as a concept even before I was online-- but also relevance: my core software is a note-taking/PIM/long etc tool I've been (re)writing for 15+ years and would struggle without.
dl.acm.org
The Future Is Not What It Used To Be: Hypertext, Note-Taking, And Tools for Thought | Proceedings of the 37th ACM Conference on Hypertext
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
A very good article if any of the themes interest you.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Useful sort-of-negative-result for AI training. Also at least suggestive about more theoretical issues - I'd have expected otherwise (to be fair, I have a personal bias due to a lifelong fascination with both math and the historical search for "perfect languages.")
arxiv.org
Structural priors for data-efficient language learning
Efficient language learning requires methods to reduce the reliance on large data and computational resources. We investigate structural transfer: First training models on non-language data to induce ...
010
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
"A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been Jane's life since her tenth birthday." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Unquiet
A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been…
030
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
There's a lot of mutatis mutandis involved but the combination of "the State is the problem" and a "cultural battle" is pretty much at the root of Milei's triumph in Argentina - make of that what you will. by @adamtooze.bsky.social
adamtooze.substack.com
Chartbook 474: The state is the problem - the AfD’s anti-systemic diagnosis of contemporary Germany.
The German political system is in crisis and the position of Chancellor Merz is increasingly in question.
100
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
"A talking casket was cringe, a touring crypt an oxymoron, and living with your father on an RV so old it could still run on gas was a circle Dante had been too appalled to mention. That had been Jane's life since her tenth birthday." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Unquiet
020
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Replace mutatis mutandis with pretty much every industry that while not indifferent to profit was at least partially driven by some disciplinary, intellectual, artistic, or ethical ethos, and you could say more or less the same thing. via @jessehixxx.bsky.social
001
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
The impact of AI on math followed coding but it's deeper and --crucially-- mathematicians have much stronger disciplinary cohesion and a sharper understanding of means and ends. AI-assisted math, rather than vibe-agentic-everything, is the right exemplar of how to use AI. via @marypcbuk.bsky.social
131
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
By @simonefoxman.bsky.social. Note: the findings are consistent with "meetings are better than productivity for your career because people better at meetings than at productivity choose who gets promoted." _Pace_ lead author Deming, if coordination were the issue there are better ways to coordinate
bloomberg.com
Meetings Are the ‘Broccoli of Work,’ New Paper Finds
A survey of 9,000 workers in Norway revealed that “meetings are the strongest predictor of wage growth.”
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
By @mleembruggen.bsky.social and Caroline Martin. Not just funny and (and because) well thought-out but also something I'd use as the basis of an informal physics explainer on phase transitions, etc.
arxiv.org
What's for Lunch? A systematic ordering of foods in the Soup-Salad-Sandwich phase space
The statistical physics of phase transitions has been hugely successful at describing numerous natural, physical, and technological phenomena, and now a rigorous examination of the phase space of the ...
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
By @drodrik.bsky.social, a key issue of contemporary economics. You can argue about the assumptions behind "premature"(and I think economics are less of a political factor than anti-feminism and racism) but either way insufficient well-paid labor demand is a serious global problem...
drodrik.scholars.harvard.edu
100
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
To file under "I honestly thought it'd take a bit longer," which goes to show it's easy to mismodel China even when you're doing a deliberate effort not to. by @eortizospina.bsky.social
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
"I always turn to the sports pages first, which record people's accomplishments. The front page has nothing but man's failures." -- Chief Justice Earl Warren, fortune (6) files.
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
About half of everything going on is "even a little bit of feminism made a lot of creepy losers' dating life more difficult so they decided to destroy democracy over it."
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I've seen nothing to suggest these models are very useful for this sort of research [it'd be different for math] but they are quite helpful for lengthy BS like grants. So - pinch of salt. Being dangerous is about half of the industry's marketing positioning. via @agelston.bsky.social
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
"He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate. He's aware he was…
020
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
"He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate. He's aware he was…
011
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
A good technical look at what Anthropic's recent formalization of Fermat's Last Theorem is and isn't, by @xenaproject.bsky.social
xenaproject.wordpress.com
FLT: Anthropic has beaten me to it
I guess technically it was revealed to the world by a coffee shop in Islington on Insta, but an hour later it was officially announced by Anthropic: one of their internal models, using the prove2.m…
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Part of this is that Milei has openly declared himself a committed Zionist in multiple opportunities and has directed Argentinean diplomacy accordingly, never mind his other international far right alignments. He's not a great diplomatic asset but he's a reliable one. via @nathantankus.bsky.social
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Whether or not you're interested in math as such --I very much do-- math research is IMHO the contemporary frontier of what transformative AI use looks like. Things like this are "The Future Of" insofar as we want "The Future" to mean "radically better." 1/
github.com
IEANTN/docs/ARCHITECTURE.md at main · teorth/IEANTN
Contribute to teorth/IEANTN development by creating an account on GitHub.
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Without equating the ongoing shattering trauma of what some (many! way too many!) people are going through in their immediate environments, there's something here that's a synecdoche of the contemporary online experience, aka much of the contemporary experience. by @edcara.bsky.social
110
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
"He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate. He's aware he was…
011
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
"He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate. He's aware he was…
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
"He's standing in front of his favorite Rothko. He's not seeing a red stripe on a black background: everything is cracking and the blood-red fire behind is rising in hunger and hate." #ShortFiction #ScienceFiction #AdversarialMetanoia
blog.rinesi.com
The Untime Machine
000
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Still not beating the Everything Is Gender allegations. via @jessicacalarco.com
031