Reposted by Lukas WarodeŠtěpán Jabůrek @stepanjaburek.bsky.social · 11/08/2026🚨New Data🚨 We just released the "Machine-translated ParlSpeech V2" on Harvard Dataverse! It contains 3.5M parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, NL, SE) translated into English using open-source models. w/ Adam Černý @chrauh.bsky.social @janschwalbach.bsky.social ⬇️ 13817
Reposted by Lukas WarodeAndrew Martin @andrewmartin.bsky.social · 24/06/2026Political ideology is the strongest predictor of Messi-Ronaldo preference. Authoritarians who like short-form video are more likely to think Ronaldo is the GOAT. 721566370
Reposted by Lukas WarodeMatthew Kling @matthewkling.bsky.social · 27/05/2026Announcing #RStats package ggcube, now on CRAN -- make 3D #ggplot2 figures using `coord_3d()` matthewkling.github.io/ggcube/ 812831
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 24/02/2026Mr. President, a second pipe has just hit the tidyverse 050
Reposted by Lukas WarodeOr Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 17/02/2026A few years ago, as parlgov.org discontinued its dynamic website, I created my own minimalistic Parlgov Lookup to quickly show which cabinet governed when. Since parlgov itself is now kinda-discontinued, I wanted to move my web-app to rely on www.repdem.org. How? ChatGPT Codex to the rescue!media.tenor.coma man with a mustache is saying attention ladies and gentlemen can i please have your attention ?ALT: a man with a mustache is saying attention ladies and gentlemen can i please have your attention ? 152
Reposted by Lukas WarodeWill Lowe @conjugateprior.org · 09/02/2026Perhaps you received a mysterious noreply email asking you to evaluate some publications 'for novelty'. Looked kinda dubious? Yup, that's the one. So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵 73117
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 28/01/2026partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard. install.packages("partycoloR") 09820
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 21/01/2026The app shows how German politicians associate words with "left" or "right" based on ideological in- and out-group narratives and contested concepts. For example, both ideological sides claim the term "freedom." 020
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 21/01/2026This question became the topic of my 2nd dissertation paper. I also considered creating an app to communicate the results efficiently and allow you to explore the patterns yourself. I’ve used Shiny for years, but "AI-assisted agentic engineering" (aka vibe coding 😂) really helped here a lot. 150
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Words like "patriotism" and "racism" are often associated with the right, while "solidarity" and "socialism" are associated with the left. But who uses these associations, and how do political positions matter? 📊 App: lukas-warode.shinyapps.io/lr-words-map/ 📄 Paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1143
Reposted by Lukas WarodeJournal of Politics @thejop.bsky.social · 21/01/2026"When Conservatives See Red but Liberals Feel Blue: Labeler Characteristics and Variation in Content Annotation" by Nora Webb Williams, Andreu Casas, Kevin Aslett, and John Wilkerson. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 021
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Serienempfehlungen: Fargo, The Sopranos, vielleicht noch Narcos :) 010
Reposted by Lukas WarodeThe COMPTEXT Association @comptext.bsky.social · 17/12/2025The Call for Papers and Panels for #COMPTEXT2026 in Birmingham (23-25 April) is out; feel free to circulate: shorturl.at/gRg0p! Deadline: January 16! 12215
Reposted by Lukas WarodeRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 19/11/2025“You see, the endless renovation of the Stuttgart train station is a symbol of our late-capitalist condition: the project is always ‘in progress,’ yet nothing ever progresses. The construction site itself becomes the true destination.” 2557
Reposted by Lukas WarodeMarius Sältzer @msaeltzer.bsky.social · 17/10/2025Job Alert! We are hiring two post-docs (full time, 4+ years) in our project SCEPTIC - Social, Computational and Ethical Premises of Trust and Informational Cohesion with @annanosthoff.bsky.social @guzoch.bsky.social and Prof. Andreas Peters (uol.de/informatik/s...) 32832
Reposted by Lukas WarodeTanise Ceron @taniseceron.bsky.social · 29/09/2025📣 New Preprint! Have you ever wondered what the political content in LLM's training data is? What are the political opinions expressed? What is the proportion of left- vs right-leaning documents in the pre- and post-training data? Do they correlate with the political biases reflected in models? 24613
Reposted by Lukas WarodeJamie Cummins @jamiecummins.bsky.social · 18/09/2025Can large language models stand in for human participants? Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. THREAD 🧵arxiv.orgThe threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human data: A call to attentionSocial scientists are now using large language models to create "silicon samples" - synthetic datasets intended to stand in for human respondents, aimed at revolutionising human subjects research. How... 11342159
Reposted by Lukas WarodeJoachim Baumann @joachimbaumann.bsky.social · 12/09/2025🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**. Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825 6303106
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025Implications for political behaviour, communication, and representation are manifold, as 'left' and 'right' are central categories in polarised public discourse – which is particularly evident in pejorative usage, such as labelling political opponents as 'racist' or 'socialist'. 010
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025Both in- and out-ideological associations are externally validated by serving as seed words to scale parliamentary speeches. The resulting ideal points reflect party ideology across different specifications in the German Bundestag. 110
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025The mapping is based on associations from open-ended survey responses in German candidate surveys. Words are mapped into a semantic space using word embeddings and weighted by frequency. Construct validity is ensured by using alternative embeddings and frequency weightings. 110
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025Words associated with both left and the right are mapped to the semantic centre, where connotations can vary: 'freedom' has a positive connotation (it is primarily used by the respective in-group to describe left and the right), while 'politics' has a rather neutral connotation. 110
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025This framework yields associations that are driven by positive (in-ideology) and negative (out-ideology) associations. Examples: 'justice' (left) and 'patriotism' (right) are in-ideological associations; 'socialism' (left) and 'racism' (right) are out-ideological associations. 110
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025Left and right are essential poles in political discourse. We know little about how they are associated across the spectrum. I propose a 2-dimensional model that accounts for both semantics – is a term left or right – and position – are associations coming from the left or right. 110
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 26/08/2025My 2nd dissertation paper is out in @nature.com Humanities and Social Sciences Communications: www.nature.com/articles/s41... I study and explore how associations with 'left' and 'right' vary systematically by semantic and political position. 1223
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 25/08/2025youtu.be/4VTBMznLrWs?...youtu.beSitcom Laugh TrackYouTube video by SamGordonRHK 110
Reposted by Lukas WarodeConstantin Wurthmann @wurthmann.bsky.social · 13/08/2025📢 New Publication Alert! Our (@msaeltzer.bsky.social) latest article, "Issue congruence between candidates' Twitter communication and constituencies in an MMES: Migration as an exemplary case", has just been published in Parliamentary Affairs. academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a... 12311
Reposted by Lukas WarodeOscar Stuhler @oms279.bsky.social · 07/08/2025Now out in Social Networks Network analysis aspires to be “anticategorical,” yet its basic units—relationships—are usually readily categorized ('friendship,' 'love'). Thus, a nontrivial cultural typification is asserted in the very building blocks of most network analyses. doi.org/10.1016/j.so... 1317
Reposted by Lukas WarodeOr Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 22/07/2025Calling all parliaments experts! Say there's a debate in parliament, and a related vote. How frequently would these be on different days? different weeks? I don't mean different readings of bills, because these will also have different debates. @sgparliaments.bsky.social #polisky #parliskymedia.tenor.coma cartoon character from south park says " i m gonna need your help "ALT: a cartoon character from south park says " i m gonna need your help " 011
Reposted by Lukas WarodeDanbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 10/07/2025Can banning political ideologies protect democracy? 🛡️🆚🗣️ Our (w. @valentimvicente.bsky.social) paper finds: punishing individuals might backfire. We study a West German policy banning "extreme left" individuals from working for the state. #Democracy #PoliticalScience 🧵 url: osf.io/usqdb_v2 611237
Reposted by Lukas WarodeClaire Burchett @cburchett.bsky.social · 07/07/2025Happy to share my first published article based on my PhD in Party Politics with @journals.sagepub.com in open access! doi.org/10.1177/1354... 58125
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 10/07/2025Congrats, that is very interesting and great work! I work on something similar, but from a broader ideological perspective, in other words how ideological associations are asymmetrically used across the spectrum. Your work adds strong particular evidence for my overall argument, happy to see that! 110
Reposted by Lukas WarodeToni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 09/07/2025Local reactions to wolf attacks in Germany are not powerful enough to influence the election decisions of many voters www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comThe East in wolf’s clothing. Wolf attacks correlate with but do not cause far-right votingThe resurgence of wolves in Germany has sparked intense debate, particularly in rural areas where wolf attacks on livestock are frequent. Prior resear… 23212
Reposted by Lukas WarodeReto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 09/07/2025Quite a strong final statement: "Descriptive research is important and it is a pity that the general obsession with causal estimates disincentivizes researchers from attempting to publish careful and detailed description." 48830
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 29/06/20252/2 In the second paper, which I will present in Barcelona @sgparliaments.bsky.social next week, @ortuttnauer.com and I investigate the dynamics of how and when parliamentary voting and speech-making align. I’m only hoping for good air conditioning, as I‘m sure about an amazing crowd again 🙂↔️ 060
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 29/06/20251/2 Another year, another @epsanet.bsky.social This year I had two papers accepted, but no visual proof that I presented joint work with Thomas Bräuninger on (the problems of) dynamic scale usage. I hope some nice people will capture 📸 me again next year in the Post-EPSA era @epssnet.bsky.social 2131
Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 29/06/20252/2 In the second paper, which I will present in Barcelona @sgparliaments.bsky.social next week, @ortuttnauer.com and I investigate the dynamics of how and when parliamentary voting and speech-making align. I’m hoping for good air conditioning, as I’m sure the crowd will be amazing again! 000
Reposted by Lukas WarodeNicolai Berk @nicolaiberk.bsky.social · 29/06/2025So is it pronounced EPSS or EPSS? #epsa2025 2171
Reposted by Lukas WarodeOr Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 28/06/2025In 1/2 an hour at #epsa2025, I’ll explain @lwarode.bsky.social and my approach to measuring divergence in gov-opp relations measurement based on parliamentary votes and speeches. The panel’s hidden at -1.A.05, so I hope you’ll find your way there (as will I) 1132
Reposted by Lukas WarodeNature Human Behaviour @nathumbehav.nature.com · 03/06/2025A large-scale study of academics’ tweets shows disparities in who shapes academic discourse and how it reaches the public. @prashantgarg.bsky.social @trfetzer.com @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social @uni-of-warwick.bsky.social #AcademicTwitter #ClimateAction www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comPolitical expression of academics on Twitter - Nature Human BehaviourAn analysis of nearly 100,000 academics on Twitter reveals strong progressive stances on climate and social issues, driven by a small, vocal subset. The study highlights potential gaps between academi... 1167
Reposted by Lukas WarodeLukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 12/05/2025www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comHow do elites view ideology? Analysing candidates’ associations of left and rightPolitical ideology is a fundamental aspect of politics and a well-researched area of political science, but difficult to measure. By examining the sentiment of political elites’ associations with ‘... 043
