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lucia-petito.bsky.social

@lucia-petito.bsky.social
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Jeremy Labrecque @jeremylabrecque.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
When does associational language make sense and when does it not? Katrina Kezios and I cover this in "How and when to use causal and associational language" with 3 suggestions for which concepts require causal language and which can be described in associational language.
bmj.com
How and when to use causal and associational language
Deciding which concepts should be described in causal language and which should not Research questions fall into one of three categories: descriptive, predictive, or causal.1 The past decade has seen...
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Richard Riley (R²) @richarddriley.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
⭐ NEW PAPER ⭐ on a Bayesian approach to sample size calculations for external validation of risk prediction models - account for uncertainty in the assumed true performance of the model - plus calculate assurance probabilities & the value of information onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
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Mark Levin @levinchem.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Heart-wrenching.
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Maria Glymour @mariaglymour.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Interested in using data to tackle health inequalities? Join a 1-day, online hackathon for undergrad & grad students w/ at least 1 coding or stats class. Learn about epidemiology and how quantitative methods can answer urgent public health questions. Feb 28. Info: bit.ly/3MtiJFq #EpiSky #DataSciSky
bit.ly
Hackathon for Health Equity
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 20/01/2026
This is an excellent group, and look at all those videos you can find online 👀 So much stuff to learn! cls-data.github.io/CIIG/
Past seminars of the CIIG including titles and link to videos, see https://cls-data.github.io/CIIG/
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Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
My updated syllabus for Quantitative Text Analysis is available online. As I previous years, I made quite a few changes and added recent literature. Part 1 (still) covers classic text-as-data approaches; Part 2 focuses on transformers and LLMs. 📄 muellerstefan.net/teaching/202... (PDF)
Title page of syllabus: https://muellerstefan.net/teaching/2026-spring-qta.pdf
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LongitudinalAnalysis.com @longdata.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
I’m happy to share that the print version of Longitudinal Data Analysis Using R is now available on Amazon — designed for teaching, applied research, and self-study. 👉 www.amazon.com/Longitudinal... #rstats #HigherEd #Statistics #LongitudinalData #SocialScience #Statistics
amazon.com
Longitudinal Data Analysis Using R
Amazon.com: Longitudinal Data Analysis Using R: 9798261825210: Cernat, Alexandru: Books
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Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
It is utterly catastrophic that RFK Jr. plans to end CDC recommendations for most childhood vaccines. It’s a betrayal of science, ethics, compassion, and the people of the United States. And it was also a specific goal of Project 2025 (page 254).
Screenshot from project 2025 that says By statute or regulation, CDC guidance must be prohibited from taking on a prescriptive character. For example, never again should CDC officials be allowed to say in their official capacity that school children "should be" masked or vaccinated (through a schedule or otherwise) or prohibited from learning in a school building.
Such decisions should be left to parents and medical providers. We have learned that when CDC says what people "should" do, it readily becomes a "must" backed by severe punishments, including criminal penalties. CDC should report on the risks and effectiveness of all infectious disease-mitigation measures dispassionately and leave the "should" and "must" policy calls to politically accountable parties.
Conflicts of Interest. There was a time when the CDC could not take money
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Tim Feeney @tfeend.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
As an editor I often see authors fall into a trap of stressing some fancy statistical technique for estimating causal effects. Often neglected are the necessary assumptions to map the data to the estimand. @pausalz.bsky.social and I wrote about it here www.bmj.com/content/391/... #EpiSky
bmj.com
Causal inference is hard, and advanced statistical analysis is not enough
Health researchers need to fully understand the underlying assumptions to uncover cause and effect. Timothy Feeney and Paul Zivich explain Physicians ask, answer, and interpret myriad causal question...
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 09/12/2025
Big new blogpost! My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more. --> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful. www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...
screenshot of my post
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Snowden St. @snowden.st · 02/12/2025
Currently dorking out over this graph about child mortality with my brother. Just mind boggling to take in.
chart of child mortality in history, roughly 48% for all societies across the globe…until the 20th century, where it plummets to 4%
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Felix Thoemmes @felixthoemmes.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Rearranging variables can make this clearer. In plot below, it's relatively easy to see that total effect needs no adjustment, and that direct effect from A to Y needs to block the indirect path that traverses D and C. D is a collider, and C the child of the collider, hence adjustment on B is needed
DAG display
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/11/2025
”by = x” generates predictions for the data “as is“ and then averages them for each level of x (eg average of predictions for the men in the data) “variable = x” generates predictions for counterfactual datasets in which x is set to different levels (eg average prediction “if everybody was a man”)
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 19/11/2025
Confidence interval discussion time! The perfect opportunity to repost this blog post answering the question you haven’t dared to ask: www.the100.ci/2024/12/05/w...
the100.ci
Why you are not allowed to say that your 95% confidence interval contains the true parameter with a probability of 95%
A shibboleth is a custom, such as a choice of phrasing, that distinguishes one group of people from another. The term goes back to the Hebrew Bible, in which the inhabitants of Gilead identify members...
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Maria Glymour @mariaglymour.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
With a link that works for those not at BU!: bit.ly/43lEIn2
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Dan Lewer @danlewer.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
We wrote an article explaining why you shouldn't put several variables into a regression model and report which are statistically significant - even as exploratory research. bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/4/1/.... How did we do?
A "methods primer" article in the journal "BMJ Medicine", titled "Factors associated with: problems of using exploratory multivariable regression to identify causal risk factors"
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Björn Siepe @bsiepe.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
We built the openESM database: ▶️60 openly available experience sampling datasets (16K+ participants, 740K+ obs.) in one place ▶️Harmonized (meta-)data, fully open-source software ▶️Filter & search all data, simply download via R/Python Find out more: 🌐 openesmdata.org 📝 doi.org/10.31234/osf...
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
Just because an LLM can produce a report with various figures & charts doesn't mean it is good at statistics. Because good statistics is not about producing code. It's about deep knowledge of study design & conduct. In my opinion, 95% of all data science problems come from poor questions & design.
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Dr. Kareem Carr, Ph.D. @kareemcarr.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
Autism has gone up by a factor of five since 2000 but acetominophen use during pregnancy has been going down. Sorry but the math just ain’t mathing.
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Elijah Watson @elijahjwatson.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
Excited to share a new article with Delaney Glass & @lucia-petito.bsky.social in the American Journal of Human Biology! 🧬 We introduce a roadmap for causal inference with observational data in human biology & biocultural anthropology. (1/4)
doi.org
Toward New Directions in Human Biology: A Roadmap for Anthropological Causal Inference With Observational Data
Human biologists seek to understand how cultural, environmental, and biological forces shape observed patterns of human variation. Yet contemporary insights and approaches to observational causal inf....
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CAUSALab @causalab.org · 23/09/2025
2️⃣ weeks! 2025 Methods Series @ki.se continues. "Promoting the use of causal inference methods in applied health research by integrating causal reasoning into academic curricula: barriers and solutions." 📆 Oct 7, 2025 ⏰ 15.00 CEST/9.00 ET 📍 Online Register 👇 stats.sender.net/forms/e7JD1d...
October 7 Methods Series talk, "Promoting the use of causal inference methods in applied health research by integrating causal reasoning into academic curricula: barriers and solutions "
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Whitney Robinson @whitneyepi.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
🧵 I’m a public health researcher who wants to build bridges This podcast ep with #MAHA folks from May has been taking up brain space all summer the convo was illuminating & discouraging @meganranney.bsky.social @kkjetelina.bsky.social podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...
podcasts.apple.com
Special: MAHA Meets w Public Health, the 2nd Conversation: On RFK Jr., Vaccines, Corporate Influence, & More
Podcast Episode · Why Should I Trust You? · 05/20/2025 · 1h 34m
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Pausal Zivference @pausalz.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
I'm going to do a quick #MEstimatorMonday (36/52) to show how the pooled logit EE can be used to construct inverse probability of censoring weights (IPCW) This is based on the algorithm in my pre-print, but needs a few tweaks arxiv.org/abs/2504.13291
arxiv.org
Estimating equations for survival analysis with pooled logistic regression
Pooled logistic regression models are commonly applied in survival analysis. However, the standard implementation can be computationally demanding, which is further exacerbated when using the nonparam...
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Miguel Hernan @miguelhernan.org · 03/09/2025
When using observational data for #causalinference, the choice isn’t between emulating or not emulating a #TargetTrial, but between reporting or not reporting the target trial that we are emulating. For those who prefer to be explicit about what they do, we have developed the TARGET Statement 👇
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
The TARGET reporting guidelines for target trial emulation studies have arrived! #EpiSky #CausalSky jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com
TARGET 2025 Statement
This Special Communication introduces the Transparent Reporting of Observational Studies Emulating a Target Trial (TARGET) 2025 guideline, a consensus-based guidance for reporting observational studie...
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skelly @iid.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
It’s crazy that America just like. Destroyed science. Just looked at its golden goose and went “wow should we kill this? And not for the gold, but just because we fucking hate this thing” And if you tell random people about it they go “no, that doesn’t seem true” and just refuse to believe you
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Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
NEW 🚨 The violence is the point. Elected Dems must call for widespread resignations (RFK, Bhattacharya, Prasad) in response to the CDC shooting. Public health must demand this of them, and the public must demand that of us. With @publichealthguy1.bsky.social in STAT: www.statnews.com/2025/08/15/c...
statnews.com
The CDC shooting was public health’s Jan. 6
“In RFK Jr.’s America, it will never be safe to practice public health or medicine," write an epidemiologist and a former CDC staffer.
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 16/08/2025
Just in case there was any doubt, ChatGPT 5.0 still makes up completely random citations that don't exist and should not be used for literature search.
1. David Ackerly (UC Berkeley)

While his most-cited work is on leaf size and SLA, he also wrote explicitly about plasticity in leaf traits, including shape, in the context of ecological strategies.

Example: Ackerly (1997), “Allocation, leaf display, and growth in fluctuating light environments: A comparative study of deciduous and evergreen species” (Oecologia). This emphasizes how plasticity in leaf traits mediates adaptation to light.
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
A letter from myself and @jdwilko.bsky.social that expands on this a bit more. Thanks to Fertility and Sterility for the opportunity. doi.org/10.1016/j.fe...
Nonrandomized studies of
interventions - complementary or
just convenient?
Schwarze et al. (1) present recommendations to improve the
quality of nonrandomized studies of interventions (NRSIs).
Given the methodological errors we regularly encounter
when reading and reviewing NRSIs in assisted reproductive
technologies (ART), we support the need for such
recommendations to help researchers better design,
analyze, and interpret these studies. That said, we are
concerned that those who require such guidance will,
almost by definition, not understand when the use of
NRSIs is warranted, or mistake them as viable alternatives
to randomized controlled trials (RCTs), despite reassurances
from Schwarze et al. (1) that NRSIs should be viewed as
complementary. Our concerns are particularly relevant for
ART, where regulation is limited, commercial conflicts of
interest are common, and interventions are regularly
adopted before they are evaluated using RCTs. To be clear,
we do not see these as points of disagreement with
Schwarze et al. (1), but rather as additional points for
consideration.
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Jase Gehring @skyjase.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
a major argument in favor of LLMs is they will speed up scientific research, especially in human health. but when they are spending >10x the biomedical research burdget every year, it is very hard to argue that the money wouldn't be better spent simply paying for biomedical research.
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Peter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
SAVE THE DATE: The 2026 IEA European Congress of Epidemiology and 70th @socsocmed.bsky.social Annual Conference will take place in London, UK on 8th-11th September 2026! #EpiSky #EuroEpi2026
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Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
RFK Jr. has now officially stated that he will dismantle the United States Preventive ServicesTask Force (USPSTF). This is an independent body of expert scientists who volunteer their time to review data and provide guidance to Americans on important things like cancer screenings.
wsj.com
Exclusive | RFK Jr. to Oust Advisory Panel on Cancer Screenings, HIV Prevention Drugs
The task force determines which preventive services insurers must cover at no cost to patients.
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Noah Greifer @noahgreifer.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
A nice recent article on why you should abandon hazard ratios. #statssky #episky
doi.org
How hazard ratios can mislead and why it matters in practice - European Journal of Epidemiology
Hazard ratios are routinely reported as effect measures in clinical trials and observational studies. However, many methodological works have raised concerns about the interpretation of hazard ratios ...
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C&EN (Chemical & Engineering News) @cenmag.bsky.social · 12/07/2025
Less than a decade ago, reactions for adding, deleting, and swapping single atoms in complex organic molecules were almost unheard of. Now there’s a growing community of researchers working on them. cen.acs.org/synthesis/Sk... #chemsky 🧪
cen.acs.org
Skeletal editing: How close are we to true cut-and-paste chemistry?
Reactions that alter organic scaffolds by a single atom are already proving useful, but time will tell if they’ll fundamentally change how molecules are made
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uchichemistry.bsky.social @uchichemistry.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
We're thrilled to share Associate Professor Mark Levin has been named a recipient of the 2025 National Brown Investigator Award. This award provides up to $2 million over five years and supports fundamental science discoveries in chemistry and physics. physicalsciences.uchicago.edu/news/article...
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Physical Sciences Division, University of Chicago @uchicagopsd.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
🎉Congrats to Mark Levin, Associate Professor of Chemistry, who received a 2025 National Brown Investigator Award! 🎉 physicalsciences.uchicago.edu/news/…
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Cathy Gao-Howard MD MS @catgaohow.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
Northwestern has not received any NIH funds since March. No written communication about why or what can be done. Thank you Ben Singer for raising awareness at #ATS2025
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Frank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
What is the best minimal-assumption method for estimating the relationship between continuous x and probabilty of survival to a fixed time t? New blog article: fharrell.com/post/kmove #Statistics #RStats #StatsSky
fharrell.com
Minimal-Assumption Estimation of Survival Probability vs. a Continuous Variable – Statistical Thinking
There is no straightforward nonparametric smoother for estimating a smooth relationship between a continuous variable and the probability of survival past a fixed time when censoring is present. Sever...
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Max Kozlov @maxkozlov.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
“It’s extremely alarming that grants that have been vetted by the scientific community and deemed important and impactful to understand the world are now being cancelled because of political ideology,” says @lkfazio.bsky.social. “This is direct censorship of scientific research.”
nature.com
Exclusive: NIH to terminate hundreds of active research grants
Studies that touch on LGBT+ health, gender identity and DEI in the biomedical workforce could be terminated, according to documents obtained by Nature.
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