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Javier Sajuria

@sajuria.com
2.6K followers 402 following 310 posts

Professor of Comparative Politics @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social . I walk with @pepagonzal.bsky.social, E&C. Host of www.bicameral.cl Director @espublicocl.bsky.social Editor @repjournal.bsky.social www.sajuria.com namedrop.io/javiersajuria

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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In our latest article, Johanna Jormfeldt and Erik Wångmar ask, does the populist radical right threaten female representation in Nordic parliaments? Find out now! #FemaleRepresentation #PopulistRadicalRight www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A Half-Century Analysis of Female Representation and the Rise of Populist Radical Right in Nordic Parliaments
This study examines female parliamentary representation in Nordic countries from 1969 to 2023, with particular focus on populist radical right (PRR) parties. Using a novel Party Gender Balance Scor...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
What has led to the party system in Taiwan since democratic transition? Find out in our latest paper, by John Fuh-sheng Hsieh! #Representation #Taiwan www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A Stable Two-Party System? The Case of Taiwan
Party system matters, which may affect, among other things, the formation of cabinet and the relationship between the executive and legislative branches of government. Taiwan as a democracy is no e...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
How does municipal size shape local representation? In our latest paper, @thepeiru finds that as municipal size decreases, citizens perceive their interests to be more aligned with their councillors and view them as more intrinsically motivated See more! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Trust-based or Sanction-based Dynamics? Size and Representation in Local Government
Political representation in local government is a fundamental feature of modern democracies that exhibits distinct characteristics when contextual factors are considered. The size of the political ...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Edward Wong @ewong.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
NEW: Trump and his aides are building a rationale for more military strikes across Latin America and the Caribbean. They're getting 14 countries to designate crime groups "terrorist" organizations. That's expected to happen this week, during UNGA in NY. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/09/22/w...
nytimes.com
Mirroring Trump, Allies Are Expected to Label Latin American Cartels ‘Terrorists’ at U.N.G.A. (Gift Article)
On the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly, 14 countries are expected to follow Washington’s lead by designating 25 criminal groups as terrorist organizations.
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 12/09/2026
I'd like to think that the lack of pics and posts from me about #ecprgc26 means that I had a blast. And I did. My favourite conference, with lots of amazing colleagues and papers, and in an impressive city.
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 11/09/2026
Midnight, our sons and daughters Were cut down and taken from us Hear their heartbeat We hear their heartbeat 11/09/1973
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I'm sure there's a pattern here but I'm damned if I can make it out.
How misperceptions divide along party lines
Reform UK supporters think half of London’s population is Muslim. Their median guess of 50% is notably higher than the equivalent figure for Conservatives (40%), who guess next-highest, and more than three times the reality of 15%.
Different parties’ supporters misperceive London's ethnic make-up in different ways. Green and Labour supporters most overestimate the White British share, guessing 50% against a reality of 37%, while Reform supporters most overestimate the Black and Asian populations, estimating each at 30% against realities of 14% and 21%.
On the crimes that have genuinely risen, it is supporters on the left who are most often wrong. Violence and sexual offences have both increased in London, even if rates of both are still among the lowest in the country, yet fewer than half of Labour and Green supporters recognise that either has gone up – compared with majorities of Reform and Conservative supporters.
Reform supporters have the most inflated view of the risk of crime in London, guessing that 40% of Londoners were victims of crime in a single year – more than three times the reality (12.2%) – and are most likely to wrongly think total crime has risen since 2019, with nine in 10 (87%) holding this misperception.
Reform supporters also most overestimate how unsafe Londoners feel, guessing that 70% do not feel safe walking alone after dark – 10 points above Conservatives (60%), the next-highest, and almost double the reality of 37%.
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Mile End Institute @mileendinstitute.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Most of the Mile End Institute and @qmulsse.bsky.social’s experts on British politics, political history and policymaking are now on Bluesky! Follow our experts for their analysis of all the major developments in British politics, government and public life ⬇️ go.bsky.app/9tTXo9i
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Our latest paper is a comparative study that analyzes two Italian constitutional reform attempts — Renzi-Boschi and Meloni-Casellati — using an original Institutional Populism Index to measure their impact on executive power and checks and balances www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Populist Constitutionalism in Italy? A Comparison of the Renzi-Boschi and Meloni-Casellati Reforms
In recent years, Italy has witnessed two attempts at constitutional reform: the Renzi-Boschi reform and the Meloni-Casellati reform. Both aim to reshape the system of government, but differ signifi...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
In our new paper, Susanne Wallman Lundåsen examines whether the representation and governing status of local political parties influence citizen satisfaction with local democratic governance in Sweden. #Representation #Sweden #Politics www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Does Local Representation Matter? The Impact of Independent Parties on Citizens’ Political Efficacy at the Municipal Level
This study examines whether the representation and governing status of local political parties influence citizen satisfaction with local democratic governance in Sweden. Drawing on a large dataset ...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Local disability representation is important but understudied. In an experiment on German disability representatives, @MoritzRaykowski finds that representation can boost access, but may come with inflated policy claims #DisabilityRights #Representation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Disability Representation in Germany: The Role of Shared Experiences in District Disability Representatives
Descriptive and substantive representation of disability in parliaments is low. Local district disability representatives represent one of the decentralised and non-parliamentary efforts to enhance...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Does the populist radical right threaten female representation in Nordic parliaments? Not yet — parliaments remain gender-balanced despite radical right parties having few female MPs finds Joanna Jormfeldt and Erik Wångmar #FemaleRepresentation #Populist www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A Half-Century Analysis of Female Representation and the Rise of Populist Radical Right in Nordic Parliaments
This study examines female parliamentary representation in Nordic countries from 1969 to 2023, with particular focus on populist radical right (PRR) parties. Using a novel Party Gender Balance Scor...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Teresa Völker @tevoelker.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Wednesday, at 18:15: we’ll have the business meeting of the @ecpr-ead.bsky.social. Do join us — it’s a very supportive community of scholars, very valuable in such challenging times! @leoniedejonge.bsky.social @larboe.bsky.social @dafnoukos.bsky.social @sajuria.com
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 06/09/2026
The 8.55am flight from London to Krakow was the ECPR express. And the immigration queue is a painful reminder of Brexit
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Incl @mileendinstitute.bsky.social / @qmul.bsky.social London polling.
standard.co.uk
James Cleverly strong Tory candidate for London Mayor but odds on a Sadiq Khan win
Commentary: This remains Labour's election to lose, especially if Sir Sadiq runs again as London is still a Left-leaning city
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Eoghan Kelly @eoghanly.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
More from our latest @mileendinstitute.bsky.social poll: Labour are stabilising under Burnham, but are still down from 2024 which will cost seats. This includes a sneak peak at an upcoming projection from @devolvedelections.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/news/london/...
standard.co.uk
Reform, Tories and Greens to hammer Labour with 'loss of up to 18 London MPs'
Tories could gain eight seats, the Greens four and Reform three from Labour
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 25/08/2026
My kids will never forget the beautiful books they were given by Dolly Parton's Imagination Library. They learnt about this amazing woman through her kindness, and then became fans of her music. Through then, I learnt to appreciate and admire an amazing woman, a true pioneer. RIP
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Musa Okwonga @okwonga.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Yes. I feel the same. I have experienced this all my life but this is a dangerous new level. The mass violence being directed against people who look like us at Europe‘s borders will soon come inland. It’s only a matter of time.
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
"Government has got to stop wasting money on extraordinarily high-margin generic intermediaries to buy in teaching it could commission directly from the starving universities that already provide it."
ft.com
Letter: Don’t pay consultants if universities can do the job
From Amanda Goodall, London EC1, UK and Andrew Oswald, Coventry, Warwickshire, UK
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Andy Burnham is setting out to convince the public that ending rough sleeping is possible. He needs to: despite wide acceptance in commentary at the time of its announcement as being a feasible goal, voters think he is less likely to fulfil this pledge than any other – as I found in my polling 👇🏻
Politico playbook newsletter saying that Andy Burnham is attempting to flesh out his ambitious plans to end rough sleeping
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 15/08/2026
Let's never forget that he was targeted by the same people that spout eugenic nonsense calling for a white supremacy in Academia. And we shouldn't also forget those who defended them in the name of free speech. This is sad, and terrifying. RIP Prof. Arday
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
In our latest paper, Shiran Tayeb Elmakias examines how lived experience is translated into political articulation by elected representatives based on interviews with former Members of the Israeli Parliament. #Representation #Israel www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
From Presence to Meaning: Lived Experience and the Limits of Substantive Representation
This study moves beyond the question of whether descriptive representation leads to substantive outcomes, and instead examines how lived experience is interpreted, framed, and translated into polit...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
How did Western European political parties legitimize their claim to represent “the people” in the postwar decades? Find out in our latest article by @zokergomard.bsky.social & Damir Skenderovic #Switzerland #Representation #politics www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Contested Representation. Swiss Political Parties in Post-war Election Campaigns
The current debate on ‘post-democracy’ or the ‘crisis of representation’ in Western European democracies often draws on comparisons with a more representative, and hence more legitimate and stable ...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
In our latest article, Jaeu Im and Sinjae Kang examine how substantive geographic representation affects both party nomination and electoral success among South Korean legislators from the 17th to 21st National Assemblies #Korea #Politics #Representation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Speaking for Votes: The Electoral Returns of Region-Focused Rhetoric in Korean Legislative Committee
This study examines how substantive geographic representation – measured by the frequency and concentration of regional references in committee speeches – affects both party nomination and electora...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Why did the Kuomintang (KMT) remain electorally competitive in Taiwan despite decades of political change and the rise of a stronger Taiwanese identity? Find out in our latest article by Paula Perez Romero #Representation #Taiwain #Politics www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Authoritarian Legacies and the Kuomintang's Electoral Performance in the 2024 Election
Following the Kuomintang's defeats in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the party's decline was attributed to the rise of a stronger Taiwanese identity and its pro-China image. However, the...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
In our latest article, Zsófia Papp examines how citizens in five European democracies (France, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, and Poland) evaluate multidimensional legislative responsiveness. #Representation #Politics www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Asymmetric Accountability: A Causal Test of Multidimensional Legislative Responsiveness in Five European Democracies
This study examines how citizens in five European democracies (France, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, and Poland) evaluate multidimensional legislative responsiveness. Utilising a conjoint experiment wit...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Dr Simona Guerra @drspguerra.eurosky.social · 03/08/2026
Just out and open access doi.org/10.1075/jlp.... on #Euroscepticism & how the antagonized discourse used by the mainstream in the EP reinforces #populism and provides for its consolidation, while weakening the possible impact of thr legitimizing representation of #Euroscepticism in the EP
doi.org
It takes two to tango
Abstract Recent analyses examine the role of crisis in the emergence of the populist/anti- populist discourse and the confluence of populism and Euroscepticism at the party level. In this article, the study focuses on the analysis of the main political actors in the EU institutions, by examining the channels and discourses adopted by different actors in the (de)legitimation of the EU. The focus is on the transnational contestation (DiEM25, Democracy in Europe Movement 2025 and VOLT), following the model of analysis of the mutual construction and reproduction. The analysis shows that the antagonized discourse used by the mainstream narrative further reinforces populism and provides a breeding ground for populism to consolidate itself, while weakening the possible impact of the legitimizing representation of Euroscepticism in the EP.
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Glad someone senior from the sector is pushing back. Labour MPs need to understand the serious real anger from graduates and the people who produce them. And the dangerous financial situation they have allowed to fester, or indeed worsened, in one of Britain’s leading sectors.
ft.com
Labour has harmed universities as much as Trump, London School of Economics head says
LSE vice-chancellor Larry Kramer points to domestic student fees freeze, international student limits and rise in employers’ national insurance
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
In our latest paper, Zsófia Papp examines how citizens in five European democracies (France, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, and Poland) evaluate multidimensional legislative responsiveness #Europe #Politics #Representation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Asymmetric Accountability: A Causal Test of Multidimensional Legislative Responsiveness in Five European Democracies
This study examines how citizens in five European democracies (France, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, and Poland) evaluate multidimensional legislative responsiveness. Utilising a conjoint experiment wit...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Does non-voting incur a partisan bias? Relying on the 2019 & 2021 Canadian Election Study, @mattpolacko.bsky.social finds non-voters have a predicted higher intention of #voting for leftist parties because young & low earners are much less likely to vote. #cdnpoli www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Partisan Bias of Non-Voters in Canada and the Consequences for Representative Democracy
Low turnout incurs greater turnout inequality and can induce partisan bias. Canada suffers from low turnout and large disparities in turnout. The close margins of recent federal elections raise que...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
In our latest paper, Judith de Jong constructs a typology of not feeling politically represented by drawing on experiences of negative political representation across minoritised groups in Western European countries – France, Germany, and the Netherlands www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Not Feeling Politically Represented: A Typology and Comparison
Scholarship considers that political representation fails when the identities and interests of minorities are invisible in legislative bodies. But what does ‘not feeling politically represented’ me...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
In our latest paper, Paula Perez Romero draws on electoral and survey data to show how legacies help authoritarian successor parties remain competitive and persistence of these legacies in Taiwan's political system #Taiwan #Politics #Representation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Authoritarian Legacies and the Kuomintang's Electoral Performance in the 2024 Election
Following the Kuomintang's defeats in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the party's decline was attributed to the rise of a stronger Taiwanese identity and its pro-China image. However, the...
001
Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Do MPs win votes by speaking for their region? Jaeu Im and Sinjae Kang analyze 1,600 Korean legislators' committee speeches and find party elites reward breadth of regional talk as competence, but voters barely respond #KoreanPolitics #Representation www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Speaking for Votes: The Electoral Returns of Region-Focused Rhetoric in Korean Legislative Committee
This study examines how substantive geographic representation – measured by the frequency and concentration of regional references in committee speeches – affects both party nomination and electora...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
This article makes an obvious point but offers a shallow analysis. You cannot understand MAGA’s victory without academia’s transformation under neoliberalism and without the relentless “anti-woke” propaganda of reactionary centrists in key “liberal” institutions like The Atlantic and NYT.
newrepublic.com
The Campus Free Speech Wars Are Over. MAGA Won.
The right spent years trying to convince us that campus lefties were authoritarians in waiting. But then an actual authoritarian became president.
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Why do fewer people want the government to do more about climate change than five years ago? Maybe because the government is doing something about it. I wrote about how public opinion on net zero is (ironically?) like a thermostat: open.substack.com/pub/drmatthe...
open.substack.com
The Global Warming Thermostat
Why the public has stopped turning up the heat on climate policy action
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 19/07/2026
Was Messi playing?
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 19/07/2026
What a brilliant example of self-promotion from the BBC
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Using the Canadian Election Study, David Talukder & Ruth Dassonneville investigate if citizens consider political representation as important, whether expectations are met, and the consequences for satisfaction with democracy #Representation #Politics www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Expectation Gap: Citizens’ Expectations for and Evaluations of Democratic Representation
Concerns about a potential erosion of political support in established democracies have motivated scholars to study the failure of democratic institutions in realising democratic representation. Ye...
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Javier Sajuria @sajuria.com · 15/07/2026
Well, that was shit
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Eoghan Kelly @eoghanly.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Our latest Mile End Institure/Savanta poll finds Labour on course to win the next Mayor of London election & remain the largest party in the Assembly. @savanta.bsky.social @standard.co.uk.web.brid.gy @mileendinstitute.bsky.social @devolvedelections.bsky.social www.standard.co.uk/news/london/...
standard.co.uk
Sadiq Khan 'on course' to win fourth term as London Mayor
Exclusive: Sir Sadiq would be re-elected to City Hall in 2028 after second preference votes are transferred, according to a new poll
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Morning! Don't let this be the first face you see, mind. Me for @the-independent.com
independent.co.uk
There’s one thing that could revive Nigel Farage’s flagging fortunes
For years, I’ve watched the Reform leader’s remarkable political rise – and yet, says Professor Tim Bale, even after a string of poor by-election showings and the simmering scandal over a £5 million ‘...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Lisa Zanotti @lisazanottiphd.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Quoted by @afp.com and @barrons.com on Latin America’s resurgent right after Colombia’s election. The key point: these victories are less a uniform ideological shift than the rise of personalistic leaders able to build contingent anti-incumbent coalitions. www.barrons.com/news/latin-a...
barrons.com
Latin America's Resurgent Right Notches Another Win In Colombia
Populist leaders are sweeping into power across Latin America, with Colombian voters the latest to embrace hardline right-wing politics -- but will the trend last?
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Four people in hospital after knife attacks in Edinburgh. An arrest made. BBC report say man shouted about "protecting the country". Sone signs the attacks near a mosque at petrol station & pizzeria may have had anti-Muslim or anti-migrant/minority motives (tbc) www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Four in hospital after bare-chested man with weapon roams around Edinburgh
A man was seen battering the door of a pizzeria as members of the public run away on Friday night.
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Daniel Gover @danielgover.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
I was on Radio 4’s Today in Parliament yesterday, discussing the assisted dying bill. We talked about how the Parliament Acts might be used to pass the bill, and how changes can still be made to it. Around 7:35 in: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 17/06/2026
From @theathleticfc.bsky.social: World Cup contenders England beat Croatia 4-2 in the best match of the tournament so far. nyti.ms/4owNQ1k
England players celebrate
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Today is the tenth anniversary of the assassination of Jo Cox. Her sister Kim, who has since become the MP in Batley and Spen, talks about Jo's legacy and the need to find more common ground today www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Kim Leadbeater urges country to find 'common ground' 10 years after Jo Cox murder
Spen Valley MP Kim Leadbeater reflects a decade after her sister was murdered in Birstall.
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Zamira Rahim @zamirarahim.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Possibly time to reconsider the phrase "anti-immigration protesters" tbh www.thetimes.com/uk/scotland/...
thetimes.com
Muslims locked in mosque ‘for their safety’ amid Glasgow violence
John Swinney has condemned anti-immigration protesters who targeted minorities, as demonstrations over the Belfast stabbing spread to Scotland
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Representation @repjournal.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
In our latest article, Georg Wenzelburger argues that policy responsiveness has been discussed in political science, but it should also include theories of representation, political psychology, political communication research & policy studies Take a look! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Emotional Responsiveness in an Age of Insecurity A Conceptual Proposal and a Research Agenda
Policy responsiveness to the preferences of the citizen’s has been a major topos of academic discussions in political science in recent years. Much ink has been spilled on questions like whether re...
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Reposted by Javier Sajuria
Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Is it rational to expect to win elections? @mbarnfield.bsky.social argues so-called "wishful thinking" about election outcomes is part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/IbHauRb @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
Abstract
It is well established in political science that those who favour an election outcome tend to say it has a higher chance of success than those who oppose it. This tendency towards so-called ‘wishful thinking’ is often treated as a problem for democracy because it shows that voters are, as the term suggests, irrational. In this article, I make the case that partisan electoral expectations are significant not because they demonstrate widespread irrationality, but because they show how voters make sense of their role in democracies. I provide an alternative account of partisan electoral expectations as following a principle of electoral hope. On this account, partisan electoral expectations are rational in a practical, if not necessarily theoretical, sense.
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