Sign in

Liran Harsgor

@liranharsgor.bsky.social
814 followers 705 following 81 posts

Senior Lecturer l University of Haifa Political behavior, electoral politics, generational gaps, gender and politics, Israeli politics liran.harsgor.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
An interesting article by The Guardian about Israeli voters and the upcoming election. They also cite my findings about the generational divide over the two state solution, showing the low support among Israeli Jews www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...
020 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Thanks for sharing!
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
bit.ly/GenderPoliti...
010 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
65:3 🐟️ Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead
buff.ly
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis - Volume 65 Issue 3
098 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Join our terrific panels on the Elections, Parties, and Voters section at the #ECPG conference, Newcastle!
020 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Very excited to be at #ECPG until Wednesday! If you're also here, do check out the incredible Elections, Parties, and Voters section I'm co-chairing with @gefjonoff.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social and @jess-smith.bsky.social ! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
ecpr.eu
Elections, Parties and Voters
European Consortium for Political Research
293 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
📢 We're hiring for my project RESPOL on residential mobility & electoral realignment 📍 University of Hamburg 📅 4y, 75% FTE 🔍 pol behavior, comp politics, regional inequalities 📊 quant, administrative & survey data Please share with talented MA students! 🔗 www.uni-hamburg.de/en/stellenan...
uni-hamburg.de
Job advertisement
04946 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Share your nomination with us for this year’s Lawrence Longley Award, awarded by the Representation and Electoral Systems section at APSA. The Award is for the best article on representation and electoral systems published in the previous year. Deadline: May 1, 2026 www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/j75dh...
dropbox.com
020 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 27/03/2026
2026 David Howell Award for Best Conference Paper Using #CSES Data The Award ($250 honorarium) recognizes the outstanding conference paper presented during 2025 that makes substantial use of CSES data. The award is named in honor of David Howell, former CSES Director of Studies.
143 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Happy to be part of the national leading team supporting this important infrastructure! Thank you @jenny-oser.bsky.social for you efforts :-)
041 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
15 שנים ללכתו של פרופ' הרסגור. זה זמן לעילאי להיות דווקא אופטימי
040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Had a great time presenting my project with @ayakter.bsky.social on public opinion, voting behavior and party positions in Israel at @vanderbilt.edu. Thanks to @noamlupu.bsky.social and the department of political science for hosting me this week!
090 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Congratulations! Looking forward to reading it
010 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Political Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
The year 2024 confirmed a global environment defined by: ↔️ pronounced political fragmentation 🗳️ heightened electoral activity 📈 + a deepening wave of autocratisation that continued a 25-year trajectory. ⬇️ Read the 2025 yearbook now! buff.ly/lSheCuB
267 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
Fascinating!
030 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead. 📖
buff.ly
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
077 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Political Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow? 📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social. ➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v
033 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
In Israel, parties have merged and voters have been strategic; but then coalition formation with fewer (larger) parties has been very ineffective at delivering voters' preferences.
010 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Roi Litvak-Zur @roizur.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Israel: Political Developments and Data in 2024
In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie...
084 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator. We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Israel: Political Developments and Data in 2024
In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie...
093 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Or Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 02/10/2025
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨 In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party? The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty 1/4
cambridge.org
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
1144 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister? In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do! Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur @ortuttnauer.com doi.org/10.1017/S147...
0115 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
I wish you could be there! ❤️
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26. Deadline: November 7 💪
142 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
#OpenAccess from July 2025 - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV - ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
042 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social
02310 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.
060 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social
0144 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Alon Yakter @ayakter.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
1184 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
NEW - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV "...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise" - ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
084 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Title page of article "Electoral Hope" in journal Political Studies.
36931 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 29/06/2025
חובבת גדולה של שלמה ארצי. אנשים תמיד מתפלאים
040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid. Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around. See you next year at EPSS!
140 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Thanks for sharing! I just presented the exit polls based graph in my presentation yesterday. This provides a better picture of the results
110 0
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵
4374208 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings. ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
ecpr.eu
Youth and Populism in Europe: Understanding Generational Trends
European Consortium for Political Research
0157 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Thanks Maria! It was a pleasure having you in the workshop ☺️
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Ah, director's duty calls!
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
While I was in the bathroom 😉
110 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...) Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓 #ecprjs25 @ecpr.bsky.social
0121 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Thank you Carol!
020 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
See you soon 🧡
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉
0110 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward... @roizur.bsky.social
040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman). Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review. www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...
062 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
סוגיות נוספות כולל תמיכה במדינה פלסטינית (המנבא החזק ביותר של הצבעה!) ועוד ניתן למצוא במאמר המלא. ספר הבחירות בישראל 2022, להורדה חינם www.idi.org.il/books/58945
idi.org.il
הבחירות בישראל 2022
הבחירות בישראל – 2022, הספר ה־17 בסדרת הפרסומים
010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
במאמר אנחנו מנתחים את סקר הבחירות 2022. למשל, האם לבית המשפט העליון צריכה להיות הסמכות לבטל חוק שחוקקה הכנסת? בנתונים נראה חוסר הסכמה בסוגיה מהותית זו: 48% סברו כי לבית המשפט העליון לא צריכה להיות הסמכות לבטל חוקים, לעומת כ– 52% הסבורים כי צריכה להיות לו סמכות. בוחרי הליכוד חצויים בסוגיה זו.
110 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?
121 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל. אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל
tandfonline.com
Special votes and voter turnout in Israel’s 2022 elections
This article analyzes special voting arrangements, known in Israel as ‘double envelope votes’, in the 2022 Knesset elections. The share of Israeli voters casting their ballots through special votin...
030 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school. I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷‍♀️
070 0