Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 02/10/2026An interesting article by The Guardian about Israeli voters and the upcoming election. They also cite my findings about the generational divide over the two state solution, showing the low support among Israeli Jews www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o... 020 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEuropean Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 26/08/202665:3 🐟️ Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to leadbuff.lyThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis - Volume 65 Issue 3 098 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Join our terrific panels on the Elections, Parties, and Voters section at the #ECPG conference, Newcastle! 020 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorCeri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Very excited to be at #ECPG until Wednesday! If you're also here, do check out the incredible Elections, Parties, and Voters section I'm co-chairing with @gefjonoff.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social and @jess-smith.bsky.social ! ecpr.eu/Events/Event...ecpr.euElections, Parties and VotersEuropean Consortium for Political Research 293 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorArndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 30/04/2026📢 We're hiring for my project RESPOL on residential mobility & electoral realignment 📍 University of Hamburg 📅 4y, 75% FTE 🔍 pol behavior, comp politics, regional inequalities 📊 quant, administrative & survey data Please share with talented MA students! 🔗 www.uni-hamburg.de/en/stellenan...uni-hamburg.deJob advertisement 04946 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/03/2026Share your nomination with us for this year’s Lawrence Longley Award, awarded by the Representation and Electoral Systems section at APSA. The Award is for the best article on representation and electoral systems published in the previous year. Deadline: May 1, 2026 www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/j75dh...dropbox.com 020 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorGESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 27/03/20262026 David Howell Award for Best Conference Paper Using #CSES Data The Award ($250 honorarium) recognizes the outstanding conference paper presented during 2025 that makes substantial use of CSES data. The award is named in honor of David Howell, former CSES Director of Studies. 143 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 18/02/2026Happy to be part of the national leading team supporting this important infrastructure! Thank you @jenny-oser.bsky.social for you efforts :-) 041 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/02/202615 שנים ללכתו של פרופ' הרסגור. זה זמן לעילאי להיות דווקא אופטימי 040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 06/02/2026Had a great time presenting my project with @ayakter.bsky.social on public opinion, voting behavior and party positions in Israel at @vanderbilt.edu. Thanks to @noamlupu.bsky.social and the department of political science for hosting me this week! 090 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/12/2025Congratulations! Looking forward to reading it 010 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorPolitical Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 03/12/2025The year 2024 confirmed a global environment defined by: ↔️ pronounced political fragmentation 🗳️ heightened electoral activity 📈 + a deepening wave of autocratisation that continued a 25-year trajectory. ⬇️ Read the 2025 yearbook now! buff.ly/lSheCuB 267 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEuropean Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 20/10/2025🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead. 📖buff.lyThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis 077 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorPolitical Data Yearbook @pdyearbook.bsky.social · 20/10/2025💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow? 📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social. ➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v 033 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 17/10/2025In Israel, parties have merged and voters have been strategic; but then coalition formation with fewer (larger) parties has been very ineffective at delivering voters' preferences. 010 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorRoi Litvak-Zur @roizur.bsky.social · 17/10/2025Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.comIsrael: Political Developments and Data in 2024In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie... 084 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 12/10/2025Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator. We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history. ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.comIsrael: Political Developments and Data in 2024In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie... 093 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorOr Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 02/10/2025🚨New #polisky publication 🚨 In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party? The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty 1/4cambridge.orgThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge CoreThe effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis 1144 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister? In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do! Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur @ortuttnauer.com doi.org/10.1017/S147... 0115 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26. Deadline: November 7 💪 142 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 22/09/2025#OpenAccess from July 2025 - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV - @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social 042 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorCeri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 10/09/2025Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social 02310 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 17/08/2025My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her. 060 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorAvishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis) @avishaybsg.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social 0144 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorAlon Yakter @ayakter.bsky.social · 08/08/2025The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10 1184 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 31/07/2025NEW - Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV "...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise" - @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social #OpenAccess 084 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorMatthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 06/08/2025I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies. OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032... 36931 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 29/06/2025חובבת גדולה של שלמה ארצי. אנשים תמיד מתפלאים 040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/06/2025Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid. Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around. See you next year at EPSS! 140 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 27/06/2025Thanks for sharing! I just presented the exit polls based graph in my presentation yesterday. This provides a better picture of the results 110 0
Reposted by Liran HarsgorEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/06/2025🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵 4374208 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/06/2025Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings. ecpr.eu/Events/Event...ecpr.euYouth and Populism in Europe: Understanding Generational TrendsEuropean Consortium for Political Research 0157 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 28/05/2025Thanks Maria! It was a pleasure having you in the workshop ☺️ 010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 23/05/2025Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...) Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓 #ecprjs25 @ecpr.bsky.social 0121 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 07/05/2025Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉 0110 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 25/04/2025Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward... @roizur.bsky.social 040 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 22/04/2025Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman). Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review. www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal... 062 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025סוגיות נוספות כולל תמיכה במדינה פלסטינית (המנבא החזק ביותר של הצבעה!) ועוד ניתן למצוא במאמר המלא. ספר הבחירות בישראל 2022, להורדה חינם www.idi.org.il/books/58945idi.org.ilהבחירות בישראל 2022הבחירות בישראל – 2022, הספר ה־17 בסדרת הפרסומים 010 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025במאמר אנחנו מנתחים את סקר הבחירות 2022. למשל, האם לבית המשפט העליון צריכה להיות הסמכות לבטל חוק שחוקקה הכנסת? בנתונים נראה חוסר הסכמה בסוגיה מהותית זו: 48% סברו כי לבית המשפט העליון לא צריכה להיות הסמכות לבטל חוקים, לעומת כ– 52% הסבורים כי צריכה להיות לו סמכות. בוחרי הליכוד חצויים בסוגיה זו. 110 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 09/04/2025מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית? 121 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 11/03/2025מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל. אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראלtandfonline.comSpecial votes and voter turnout in Israel’s 2022 electionsThis article analyzes special voting arrangements, known in Israel as ‘double envelope votes’, in the 2022 Knesset elections. The share of Israeli voters casting their ballots through special votin... 030 0
Liran Harsgor @liranharsgor.bsky.social · 10/03/2025My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school. I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️ 070 0