The most AI-exposed new college grads have initial employment declines of 5pp and earnings declines of 13%, partially driven by shifts to lower-paying sectors.

Early career hires in the industries most exposed to AI dropped by 9% after ChatGPT's release, explaining a 12% decline in employment through early 2025.

Using new Business Trends and Outlook Survey data, we find AI use prevalent in large firms and knowledge-intensive sectors; augments tasks; labor declines rare.

The EMRI program seeks to hire interns in economics, accounting and related fields to support the nation’s growing demand for information.

(Forthcoming Article) - For whom has earnings risk changed, and why? We answer these questions by combining the Kalman filter and EM-algorithm to estimate persistent and temporary earnings for every i...

This Policy Hub paper uses survey data to explore tariffs' potential inflationary impact and how it could spill over beyond those firms directly affected.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland will host the Fall 2025 Midwest Macroeconomics Meeting on November 13-14, 2025. All conference activities will take place at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland...

Did you know that the American Time Use Survey (ATUS) is up for renewal? Join us to learn: - What's in the ATUS? - Why is ATUS important? - What are the risks facing its continued collection and publi...

The Federal Trade Commission's Bureau of Economics and the Tobin Center for Economic Policy at Yale University will host the 18th Annual FTC Microeconomics Conference on November 13 and 14, 2025 in

This book introduces applied researchers to modern Differences-in-Differences (DID) methods, that they can use to obtain credible answers to hard causal inferen

Today we released our archive of data.gov on Source Cooperative. The 16TB collection includes over 311,000 datasets harvested during 2024 and 2025, a complet...

This paper considers a random search model where some locations provide sellers with better chances of meeting many buyers than other locations (for e…

Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes Coalition Request for Proposals to Fund Grants for Projects Using PSEO Data Overview and Background The Post-Secondary Employment Outcomes (PSEO) Coalition generate...

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2025 Northeast Labor symposium seeks to build community among junior faculty working on labor economic topics. Deadline to submit proposals is December 22, 2024.