WoSHBODS tipped 7 from 9 winners this week, as did the bookmakers. Its Margin MAE was 17.9 points per game, compared to 18 and 17.9 for the two bookmakers, and its Total MAE was 21.9 points per game,...

The contrarian Head-to-Head Tipsters - the MoS twins, Bookie Knows Best and Consult the Ladder - were ultimately unsuccessful this week, but only after the Lions staged an astonishing comeback after m...

Please, please, please do not use ‘dplyr::ntile()’ in an analysis that will be submitted to a regulatory agency. It’s secretly an ill-conceived SQL tool that doesn’t do what you probably want it to, a...

WoSHBODS tipped only 3 from 9 winners this week, while the bookmakers tipped 7. Its Margin MAE was 22.4 points per game, compared to 15.1 and 15 for the two bookmakers, and its Total MAE was 24.9 poi...

MoSHBODS changed the ranking of all four Preliminary Finalists this week, lifting Fremantle into 1st and Brisbane Lions into 4th, and dropping Sydney into 3rd and Hawthorn into 5th. MARS swapped only...

Both favourites won again this week, but both found their own unique ways to make it difficult. Such was the level of contrarian head-to-head tipping that only Bookie Knows Best and Consult the Ladder...

Over 10 years ago I wrote a piece based on a paper by Brendon Brewer from the University of New South Wales that provided a way to model batter’s final scores in Test innings. In that paper he assu...

Back in 2020 I wrote a piece here about the comparative performance of UK and Australian Chasers , and I would refer you back to that piece if you want to know more about the data set I’m using for t...