Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Labour gain in 2029 without any increase in vote share 110
Reposted by Leo BarasiDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 28/09/2026This new tool, the Carbon Impacts Tracer, which translates carbon emissions into real-world climate impacts like heat exposure and coral bleaching, looks super useful. ➡️ carbonimpactstracer.comtheguardian.comNew tool directly links carbon emissions to amount of environmental and economic damage causedCarbon Impacts Tracer can be used to estimate climate impact from emissions across eight different factors, including lost food production 424095
Reposted by Leo BarasiNathan Ley @nathanley.com · 26/09/2026cllrdrnathanley.substack.com/p/the-roofs-...cllrdrnathanley.substack.comThe roofs won’t be enough“Just put them on roofs instead” is the most comfortable argument in British politics. It is also the one that quietly hands the bill to our children. 42417
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 25/09/2026The FA charges require a whole new tense. How do you describe something that currently isn't true, but in the future will have been true now? It will is 10 years since Guardiola won a trophy 040
Reposted by Leo BarasiOliver Morton, Eater of Sun @eaterofsun.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Really helpful climate graphic—can't remember seeing a plot quite like this before. www.theclimatebrink.com/p/my-new-nyt... 21510
Reposted by Leo BarasiSteve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 17/09/2026NEW: How did the summer heatwaves and wildfires change attitudes to climate and Net Zero, if at all? A short thread on analysis of tracker polling now summer is winding down. 🧵 (for @persuasionuk.bsky.social with @yougov.co.uk) 37451
Reposted by Leo BarasiGlen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 27/08/2026I have lots of thoughts and emotions, but I really wonder what the "climate is not that important" crowd think when they watch what is unfolding in Nepal. They will surely deny any climate link. If they admit any climate link, would that mean they need to change their world view too? 98218
Reposted by Leo BarasiOliver Morton, Eater of Sun @eaterofsun.bsky.social · 26/08/2026Just heard @rory-stewart.bsky.social on @therestpolitics.bsky.social say that "we [the UK] still consume more carbon than we have ever done—we just have the t-shirts made in China". I've heard this point being made elsewhere recently too. And it is simply not true. 917997
Reposted by Leo BarasiSteve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 19/08/2026Sometimes neglected thing about the Conservative's hard turn against Net Zero is that as an issue it actually splits their voter coalition a fair bit more than Labour's. Con-Reform swing voters are hostile to climate action and clean energy, but Con-Lib Dem type swing voters are pro. 45615
Reposted by Leo BarasiLeo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 18/08/2026New Labour attack ad on Reform's Richard Tice for saying we should enjoy climate change. I think this is the first time Labour has ever published an ad attacking another party for opposing climate action 53718
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Comes the day YouGov's tracker poll shows the environment is now the second-most important issue for Labour (and Lib Dem) voters - you can see why the party might be taking a new approachyougov.comThe most important issues facing the country 2011-2026Which of the following do you think are the most important issues facing the country at this time? Please tick up to three. 001
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 18/08/2026New Labour attack ad on Reform's Richard Tice for saying we should enjoy climate change. I think this is the first time Labour has ever published an ad attacking another party for opposing climate action 53718
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Environment at highest level of UK public priorities since 2023, now joint 3rd most important issue along with defence and health. Among Labour and Lib Dem voters it's now the 2nd most important issue, only behind the economyyougov.comThe most important issues facing the country 2011-2026Which of the following do you think are the most important issues facing the country at this time? Please tick up to three. 001
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 14/08/2026A Labour PM takes over from his colleague. Opposition in disarray. Speculation about early election. Extreme weather derails his plans but gives him the chance to establish himself as a national leader news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england... 020
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 14/08/2026UK harvest set to be smallest on record, according to new analysis from ECIU. When will this ideological obsession with stopping climate change finally end?eciu.netUK harvest even worse than previously thought – new dataUpdated figures released by the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) suggest the UK's arable harvest is now expected to be even smaller than previously forecast. 02918
Reposted by Leo BarasiProf Richard Betts @richardabetts.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Still just speculation, but a train derailment on the hottest day of the year also makes me wonder whether heat-induced track buckling or subsidence played a role It’s a growing climate change risk to UK infrastructure I hope those injured make a full recovery www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...telegraph.co.uk 64312
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Science work filling gaps between emissions and impacts, eg: www.nature.com/articles/s44... www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comQuantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making - npj Climate Actionnpj Climate Action - Quantifying the regional to global climate impacts of individual fossil fuel projects to inform decision-making 020
Reposted by Leo BarasiGaby Hinsliff @gabyhinsliff.bsky.social · 11/07/2026This on schools in heatwave is pretty upsetting but have also heard some horror stories about nursing homes & hospital waiting rooms. Both ends of the age spectrum struggling www.theguardian.com/education/20...theguardian.com‘Children were calling for their mummies’: UK pupils struggle in 40C-plus classroomsTeachers call for schools to be urgently adapted for hot weather amid reports of nausea, fainting and heatstroke 2224883
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Not really: warming stops when we reach net zero, so in that case this summer - which is still unusually hot at current warming levels - would still be one of the hottest 130
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Is 20,000 deaths in a week a lot? It sure sounds like a lot 020
Reposted by Leo BarasiNahel Belgherze @wxnb.bsky.social · 25/06/2026Paris, the capital of France, has recorded more days above 40°C this week than during the 147-year period spanning from 1872 to 2019. Historic is an understatement. 5562406
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 25/06/2026Monday was the planet's hottest 22 June ever recorded 010
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 24/06/2026Yes they are doing it well in places but not systematically, and mostly only when climate specialists get involved, not in general news reports 100
Reposted by Leo BarasiLeo Hickman @leohickman.carbonbrief.org · 24/06/2026++BREAKING++ Leading climate scientists in the UK have written to senior editors in broadcast media - and OFCOM and IPSO: "To express our concern about recent media coverage of extreme weather, climate change and net-zero and to urge you…to inform public audiences of the scientific links" 451588792
Reposted by Leo BarasiAndrew Sissons @acjsissons.bsky.social · 21/06/2026It seems to have become commonplace to blame net zero for Britain’s high energy bills and/or weak job market… … and I guess I’ll have to explain again why there is very little evidence of this. Britain has plenty of economic problems; net zero is not high on that list (though climate change is) 🧵giftarticle.ft.comEd Miliband would be ‘noose around neck’ of job creation as chancellor, union boss warnsComments by Sharon Graham come as Burnham team explores key government appointments 13524267
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 20/06/2026And you know what else was happening when I was born? Oil companies knew the truth about climate science but funded campaigns to create public doubt climateintegrity.org/deception-do... 1216
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 20/06/2026The UK's next carbon budget is being voted on this Weds. Can you imagine standing in London, the day after we've once again seen another heat record smashed, and saying net-zero is a stupid cult? 2233
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 20/06/2026Extreme heat in the UK is hotter, faster, than climate models projected. This wasn't supposed to happen so soon - even 35C was supposed to be very unusual by now. Only last year the Met Office said there was a 50-50 chance of another 40C day in the next 12 years. Looks like underestimate now surelymetoffice.gov.ukMet Office report details rising likelihood of UK hot daysNew study highlights how UK heatwaves could become longer and hotter due to escalating climate trends. 1176
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 20/06/2026When I was born this would have been the UK's hottest ever day by more than 3C, now it's just yet another brutally hot day on the way to another temporary record 1306
Reposted by Leo BarasiDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 19/06/2026This heatwave brought to you by TotalEnergies.lemonde.frHeatwave hits more than half of France's populationNearly 36 million French people, more than one in two, were affected by an orange heat alert issued by the weather office, the second-highest such warning urging residents to be 'very cautious.' 310830
Reposted by Leo BarasiKate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026This might be one of the funniest chart about energy scenarios I’ve seen. You can hardly see “actual” for gas 513152961
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 17/06/2026The kids have zero immune system against ads, ITV is blowing their minds 010
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 11/06/2026A decade+ on, still taking his cues from right-wing vibes 100
Reposted by Leo BarasiTorsten Bell @torstenbell.bsky.social · 27/05/2026Blair putting on full display what is in many ways his special ability - to lay out a political argument grounded in his own view of global trends (globalisation in the 2000s, tech in the 2020s). But… institute.global/insights/pol...institute.globalThe Labour Party Is Playing With Fire Over Its Future and the Future of the CountryIn this essay, Tony Blair sets out the need for a new agenda for Britain. 34496174
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 26/05/2026Expect 250+ additional deaths from the heatwave, says health statistician at Imperial, Dr Garyfallos Konstantinoudis 140
Reposted by Leo BarasiLeo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 25/05/2026I sometimes think about how climate models say the UK normally won’t get any days above 35C at current global warming and we’ve now had them in 3 of the last 5 years 1239
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 26/05/2026Did they keep billing you after you left - that's what they did to me. Have switched energy cos a lot and they're the only ones who've done that. Odd as otherwise their service was pretty good. 000
Reposted by Leo BarasiJohn Gibbons 🇵🇸 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 @thinkorswim.bsky.social · 26/05/2026Looks like one of those terrifying 2050 #climate projection graphics, but no, that’s a short-term forecast for France until… May 29th. 1442397997
Reposted by Leo BarasiMika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 25/05/2026London Heathrow new all-time May heat record 34.4 °C (Data from climexp.knmi.nl available since 1960) 28334
Leo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 25/05/2026I sometimes think about how climate models say the UK normally won’t get any days above 35C at current global warming and we’ve now had them in 3 of the last 5 years 1239
Reposted by Leo BarasiJeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 25/05/2026Is climate change change making the European heat more likely? Yup! Deep red is at least 5X more likely. 311957
Reposted by Leo BarasiLeo Barasi @leobarasi.bsky.social · 25/05/2026It will be record hot today because of climate change. It will keep getting hotter until the world reaches net zero emissions. These are the facts of the case and they are undisputed. 12212
