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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen

@landaffairs.bsky.social
633 followers 98 following 51 posts

Governance of natural resource investments; Political economy of energy transitions in Africa; Renewable energy; Oil, gas and land; Tanzania & Ghana. Working at the Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 15h
Free weekend update is out. Russia has a strategy for this winter--massive war crimes to make Ukraine unlivable. We need to speak the truth on that. One reason they need to do this is that they are struggling in other parts of the war--see Vivaldi. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Weekend Update #205: Russia’s Strategy In Two Words: “War Crimes”
Operation Vivaldi, Even More Robots; The Trump-Putin Quid Pro Quo
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The Danish state increases subsidies, carries a bigger part of the risk, to attract investments for green hydrogen pipeline to Germany borsen.dk/nyheder/baer...
borsen.dk
Milliardaftale skal redde brintrør til Tyskland
“En stor håndsrækning til brintbranchen” skal sikre, at brintrøret til Tyskland kan blive til virkelighed ved at lade staten løbe en større del af risikoen
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
The China-Global South Project @chinagsproject.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
China has put over $33 billion into 32 gigawatts of power projects across 30 African countries, mostly hydro and solar. chinaglobalsouth.com/analysis/afr...
chinaglobalsouth.com
Africa’s Energy Future: China’s Role and the Power of Data
As Africa confronts persistent energy gaps and mounting development challenges, China’s growing role in the continent’s electricity sector has far-reaching economic and geopolitical implications.…
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Stefan Andreasson @bstefan.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
My colleagues Fawwaz Alabdulhadi, @jacktaggart.bsky.social I have a new article published (open access) in @ripejournal.bsky.social, "The petrochemical pivot: geostrategic globalization and the future of oil and gas". I hope you will find it informative. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The petrochemical pivot: geostrategic globalization and the future of oil and gas
While demand for oil as an energy source is projected to decline, petrochemical demand is expected to grow significantly. Toward securing future profitability, oil and gas (O&G) firms are pivoting ...
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 16/09/2026
NEW ANALYSIS: Global fossil-fuel emissions are set to fall by around 0.5% in 2026 amid the ongoing Hormuz crisis We've all see the scare stories about a "return to coal" – but the "demand destruction" for oil is even bigger Here's how it stacks up: www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-glo...
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Edward Walker @gnuggat.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Good. NB: “Carney has instructed his special envoy to EUR to scope out the most ambitious possibilities short of full membership in the EU or its common market… the reorienting of an economy and a society that for half a century has been dominated by the US.”
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Derek R. Peterson @unseenarchive.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Colleagues will be sorry to hear that historian John Iliffe has this morning passed away in Cambridge at age 87. Iliffe was a maker of the academic field of African history. He took up a post at the University of Dar es Salaam shortly after Tanganyika's independence. 1/
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Chatham House Africa @africaprog.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
🌍 | “China increasingly sees Africa as one of the few remaining large-scale spaces where industrial expansion, urbanisation, infrastructure deployment and consumer growth can still unfold simultaneously over decades,” Prof Carlos Lopes tells @scmpnews.bsky.social: www.scmp.com/news/china/d...
scmp.com
How Africa is becoming a ‘strategic hub’ for Chinese industrial expansion
Countries including Zimbabwe and Guinea are ending the pit-to-ship model that saw them exporting raw minerals with limited local gains.
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Have we noticed no one has warned North Korea to stop supplying ballistic missiles to Russia?
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
People are missing the real story here. It is this. If Putin is thinking of testing NATO, he knows that the USA would do nothing to protect Europe. In other words, he knows what Trump will do. If he thought the USA would fight, he would never consider this. www.wsj.com/world/europe...
wsj.com
Exclusive | U.S. Intel Finds Putin Could Test NATO’s Resolve With Limited Incursion
The new assessment updates past forecasts that Russia’s leader wouldn’t provoke the alliance during the Ukraine war.
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
The most consequential geopolitical shift since the advent of China: www.ft.com/content/a4c6...
ft.com
The UAE’s imperial push into Africa
The Gulf state is investing heavily in land, ports and influence across the continent. But its entangled goals come at a price
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
www.ft.com/content/221a...
ft.com
China pours funding into green energy deals as Iran war hits oil demand
Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative takes advantage of rise in appetite for renewables as Middle East conflict drags on
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Axel Dreher @adreher.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Do higher oil prices fuel conflict? New column with Maximilian Herrmann and Jingke Pan: organized violence moves toward oil locations and away from nearby areas, while protests spread outward. Aggregation can hide the resource curse:
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
EADI @eadi.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
❓Is "Development" becoming a dirty word❓ ✍️ Many blogs from events read like school essays, this one doesn't! 🔎 @heinerjanus.bsky.social & Michael Roll ( @idos-research.bsky.social) discuss the main arguments made at a recent @globaldevinst.bsky.social conference www.developmentresearch.eu?p=2626
developmentresearch.eu
What to Play Next: Development after the End of Development
By Heiner Janus and Michael Roll Manchester embodies reinvention like few other places. It built the world’s first industrial economy, watched it rust, and recast itself as the capital of Eng…
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
www.ft.com/content/e025...
ft.com
World Bank drops climate finance target under US pressure
Donor and client nations lobbied against concession to Trump administration’s ‘voodoo science’
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Rasmus Corlin Christensen @phdskat.org · 13/06/2026
This looks like an instant hit from Troels Krarup and Peter Karnøe who find that - across decades of technological, political, and economic changes - preeminent government-advising Danish economists consistently ignore dynamics of political economy and innovation to advocate (only) for carbon taxes.
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Peter Bofin-Kilusungu @swahilistreet.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
US State Dept sanctions Tanzanian cop Snr Asst Commissioner Faustine Mafwele www.state.gov/releases/off...
state.gov
Designation of Tanzanian Police Force Official for Involvement in Gross Violations of Human Rights - United States Department of State
The Department of State is designating Tanzanian Police Force (TPF) Senior Assistant Commissioner Faustine Jackson Mafwele under Section 7031(c) based on credible information that he was involved in g...
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Dave Jones @cleanpowerdave.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
A NEW TWIST in Africa's soaring solar story: It's now manufacturing its own panels. The factories use imported Chinese cells, which are 40% of the value of panels, keeping much of the value domestically. 9 GW of cells+wafers in Mar/Apr alone🧵
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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Solar exploded across Africa in 2025: apnews.com/article/sola...
apnews.com
Africa leads growth in solar energy as demand spreads beyond traditional markets, report says
A report shows that Africa has emerged as the world's fastest-growing solar market even as global growth slowed last year, driven by a 60% surge in imports of solar panels from China.
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Jeg har et indlæg i Globalnyt med min gode kollega, Ole Winckler globalnyt.dk/der-er-behov...
globalnyt.dk
Der er behov for en bedre balance i investeringer i elektricitet i Afrika | Globalnyt
Ole Winckler Andersen er senioranalytiker og Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen er seniorforsker – begge ved Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier. Vi hører ofte ...
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Peter Bofin-Kilusungu @swahilistreet.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
Desperate Searches and Arrests Continue to Define Tanzania’s Post-Election Crackdown thechanzo.com/2025/12/30/a...
thechanzo.com
Desperate Searches and Arrests Continue to Define Tanzania’s Post-Election Crackdown - The Chanzo
As loved ones vanish and online dissent is silenced, a chilling climate of fear takes hold across Tanzania.
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Peter Bofin-Kilusungu @swahilistreet.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
Retired Prime Minister Joseph Sinde Warioba - more Tanzanians were killed in the election troubles than in the Kagera war….
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Ken Opalo @kopalo.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
www.africanistperspective.com/p/firms-or-f...
africanistperspective.com
Firms or Families? Another installment in the Mission 300 electrification debate
On the politics and logics of policy tradeoffs
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Rosie Collington @rosiecollington.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
My article in @ripejournal.bsky.social now has an issue number! 🥳 It shows how derisked decarbonization leads governments to build state capacity where transitions create bankable growth opportunities while leaving other crucial sectors (forestry, mining) behind www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The limits to derisked decarbonization: state capacity unevenness in domestic green transition strategies
With the adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015, governments around the world committed to developing national plans to reduce emissions and limit average global temperatures to below 2 °C above p...
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Damian Carrington @dpcarrington.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Hydrogen dreams meet reality as oil and gas groups abandon projects - BP and Exxon are some of the big companies that have halted plans for low-carbon #hydrogen plants in recent months HT @carbonbrief.org www.ft.com/content/b098...
ft.com
Hydrogen dreams meet reality as oil and gas groups abandon projects
BP and Exxon are some of the big companies that have halted plans for low-carbon plants in recent months
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Denmark's EIFO provides EUR 100 million loan for strategic lithium production in Germany www.eifo.dk/en/knowledge...
eifo.dk
EIFO provides EUR 100 million loan for strategic lithium production in Germany
The Export and Investment Fund of Denmark (EIFO) has participated in the financing of Vulcan Energy’s Phase One Lionheart Project, signing an export loan of EUR 100 million.
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Joshua Kirshner @joshkirshner.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Pleased to share our new article, which examines Mozambique's energy transition as multiple, socially/ spatially uneven, and contested -thanks to @marcusjpower.bsky.social for leading this, and Lorraine Howe and Carlos Shenga for your many insights www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Uneven development and the geographies of energy transition in Mozambique
In Mozambique, sustainable energy access is an increasing priority for a diverse range of actors seeking to improve livelihoods and stimulate economic…
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Call for Conference Papers: International Conference on the Political Economy of Energy Transitions and Inequality in Africa. Join us at this conference, which will take place 30-31 March 2026, University of Ghana, Accra. Please see the full Call via: www.ug.edu.gh/announcement...
ug.edu.gh
Call for Conference Papers - International Conference on the Political Economy of Energy Transition and Inequality in Africa | University of Ghana
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Ben Taylor @benmtega.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
What Went Wrong in Tanzania? How the “island of stability” in a turbulent region descended into chaos - and where it goes from here. foreignpolicy.com/2025/11/06/t...
foreignpolicy.com
What Went Wrong in Tanzania?
How the “island of stability” in a turbulent region descended into chaos—and where it goes from here.
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Peter Newell @peternewell.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
My new book is out States of Transition: From Governing the Environment to Transforming Society published by @universitypress.cambridge.org With thanks to @carolinelucas.bsky.social @profjohnbarry.bsky.social & Jennifer Clapp for generous endorsements
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
www.economist.com/middle-east-...
economist.com
Tanzania has its Tiananmen moment
A post-election crackdown that killed hundreds has changed the country forever
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BISA - British International Studies Association @mybisa.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
'States of transition? From governing the environment to transforming society' 🌍 What is the role of the state in supporting transitions towards a more sustainable world? A new Environment and Climate Politics Working Group article by Peter Newell 🌟 Read now! 👉https://ow.ly/OFk250XmhCN
Papilio arcturus Westwood, 1842 - Blue Peacock.
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Carbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 05/11/2025
NEW – Interactive: Who wants what at the COP30 climate change summit | @arunacsekhar.bsky.social @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org Read here ⬇️
carbonbrief.org
Interactive: Who wants what at the COP30 climate change summit - Carbon Brief
In order to track parties’ positions on negotiating points at COP30, Carbon Brief has analysed nearly 100 submissions to the UN and captured them in a table
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The Continent @thecontinent.org · 02/11/2025
The election on Wednesday was supposed to cement President Samia Suluhu Hassan’s legitimacy as president of the United Republic. According to the story told by the country’s electoral authority, and state-run media outlets, it did exactly that. The story on Tanzania’s streets is very different.
continent.substack.com
Hundreds reportedly killed in post-polls violence
Unified Tanzania has never experienced unrest on this scale before.
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Sara Rich Dorman @srd.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Huge, unprecedented protests in Tanzania yesterday. I've found literally one post on bluesky. This is why some of us can't fully shut our twitter accounts, much as we might wish to.
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Dave Vetter @davidrvetter.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
"The world remains in an energy addition mode, rather than a clear transition." Quite a comprehensive summary of the solar revolution from the FT.
ft.com
The global boom in solar — with or without the US
Despite the scepticism about renewables in Washington, falling prices for new panels are making a compelling business case around the world
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Peter Bofin-Kilusungu @swahilistreet.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Tightening repression guarantees Samia Suluhu Hassan’s victory, but has strained her own party. Will she and her party come out stronger?
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
The race for nuclear power in Africa continues: www.theafricareport.com/393986/kenya...
theafricareport.com
Kenya vs Ethiopia: Who will blink first in nuclear power race? - The Africa Report.com
Addis is clearly in front post-GERD Dam … but Nairobi is trying to catch up with new nuclear deals.
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
worldoil.com/news/2025/10...
worldoil.com
Eni approves $7.2 billion Coral Norte LNG project offshore Mozambique
Eni has approved the $7.2 billion Coral Norte floating LNG project offshore Mozambique, which will add 3.6 million tons per year of LNG capacity and double the country’s production. Set to start in 20...
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
'China signed a $1.4 billion agreement with Zambia and Tanzania on Monday to upgrade the TAZARA railway' www.ecofinagency.com/news-infrast...
ecofinagency.com
China Pledges $1.4B to Upgrade Zambia-Tanzania Rail Amid Global Minerals Race
• 30-year concession includes new locomotives, wagons, and freight upgrades • Deal strengthens mineral export routes as US, EU push Lobito Corridor China signed a $1.4 billion agreement with Zambia an...
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 27/09/2025
Yes, what a graph but there may be a downside to it toddmoss.substack.com/p/africa-nee...
toddmoss.substack.com
Africa needs solar farms, not just solar islands
The downsides of a Chinese panel import boom
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Reposted by Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen
Jonas Meckling @jonasmeckling.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
🌍 New in @nature.com: The geoeconomic turn in decarbonization, with data from Simon Evenett et al. and @industrialpolicy.bsky.social @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social @natureatcal.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41... 🧵
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
www.ft.com/content/24c6...
ft.com
Donald Trump pushes World Bank to finance more fossil fuel development
The US is applying pressure to lenders to drop restrictions on projects contributing to climate change
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
Read our comment on the NDCs in Africa prior to the COP in Brazil: 'A faltering process: Unpredictable funding undermines the development of ambitious African climate plans' www.development-today.com/archive/2025...
development-today.com
A faltering process: Unpredictable funding undermines the development of ambitious African climate plans | Development Today
Within a few months, the COP30 climate summit will take place in the city of Belém in Brazil. One of the main issues on the agenda in November will be the plans...
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Ken Opalo @kopalo.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Mission 300, championed by the World Bank & the AfDB, among others, needs a new mission. Electrifying African firms for growth and development: open.substack.com/pub/kenopalo...
open.substack.com
Electrifying African firms for growth and development
On the urgent need to rethink the core goals of Mission 300
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tomlavers.bsky.social @tomlavers.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
As #Ethiopia finally gets ready to inaugurate the #GERD, read about the history of Ethiopian dam building and the story of the GERD in this open access book (download link below) or a shorter thread below.
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Dave Jones @cleanpowerdave.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
NEW: The first evidence of a solar take-off in Africa☀️✈️ x33 rise in Algeria solar panel imports in the 12 mths to June 2025, compared to previous 12 mths. x8 in Zambia x7 in Botswana x6 in Sudan x3 in each of Liberia, DRC, Benin, Angola, Ethiopia 🧵
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Rasmus Hundsbæk Pedersen @landaffairs.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Orca Energy Group Inc. announces arbitrations against the United Republic of Tanzania and Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation over US$1.2 billion Project www.globenewswire.com/news-release...
globenewswire.com
Orca Energy Group Inc. announces arbitrations against the United Republic of Tanzania and Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation over US$1.2 billion Project
Orca announces arbitrations against the United Republic of Tanzania and Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation over US$1.2 billion Project...
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
US & Russia coercing countries to lock in carbon. But "countries w green industrial bases & supportive domestic political coalitions are more resilient to such pressure." Two policy briefs: 1 plataformacipo.org/en/publicati... 2 www.netzeropolicylab.com/brics-going-... bsky.app/profile/bhbr...
plataformacipo.org
“BRICS and the Green Industrialization of the Future” – Volume 2, No. 2, 2025 - Plataforma CIPÓ
Plataforma CIPÓ has just released the policy brief “BRICS and the Green Industrialization of the Future”, authored by researchers Benjamin H. Bradlow and Alexandros Kentikelenis. The publication discu...
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 15/07/2025
New Paper Alert!📢 "Foreign Aid and Targeted Political Violence" by @adreher.bsky.social‬ Jingke Pan @cjschneider.bsky.social To understand how foreign aid can unintentionally fuel political violence in fragile democracies, read the full study here: 🔗 www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...
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