iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Thinking about Molina and Rudik, "The Social Value of Hurricane Forecasts." "Forecasts drive adaptive protective expenditures, and erroneous underforecasts result in a significant increase in total hurricane damage." renatomolinah.com/assets/docs/...

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 1h

Gotta go to Minnesota and get the real deal

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Kris Karnauskas @oceansclimatecu.bsky.social · 9h

Tenure-track faculty job alert at CU Boulder! Hire is through @cires.colorado.edu and departmental affiliation will be decided in consultation with the new hire. jobs.colorado.edu/jobs/JobDeta...

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Annie E. Casey Foundation @annieecaseyfdn.bsky.social · 12h

In the less than a year since New Mexico adopted its universal free childcare policy, the number of low-income mothers in the state who have full-time employment has increased by 23%.

the74million.org

Nearly a Year In, Universal Childcare Is Reshaping Work for Moms in New Mexico

A new study highlights some early impacts of universal childcare on labor supply for mothers in New Mexico.

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

James Franklin @franklinjamesl.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

A cool verification tidbit: since the Google DeepMind (GDMI) went "live" last year at NHC, it's been the most accurate track forecast 2-3 times as often as OFCL and 4-5 times as often as any of the physics models. For intensity, OFCL is still most frequently the best forecast, except at 5 days.

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 12h

You can’t electrify a cow 👇

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Garry Hayes @geotripper.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

geotripper.blogspot.com/2026/10/why-did-road-cross-san-andreas-fault-24.html Time for an update on the San Andreas where it crosses Hiway 25 near Pinnacles NP. Many geologic processes are slow, but given time they become more visible. Here's 24 yrs of change on the San Andreas! #SanAndreasFault

geotripper.blogspot.com

Why did the Road Cross the San Andreas Fault? 24 Years of Geologic Change (a new Update)

2002 I've been leading geology field studies trips to lots of places in the American West for 38 years and started to take digital pictu...

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Dang non tenure line to teach intro specialty and field? Thought the liberal arts schools were bucking this trend better than most... bummer

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Adam Sobel @adamsobel.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Great to be on Star Talk with Neil deGrasse Tyson and Chuck Nice, talking about El Niño. www.youtube.com/watch?v=mgPN...

youtube.com

The Biggest El Niño in Recorded History

YouTube video by StarTalk

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Bookmark @solarchase.bsky.social's annual energy opinions thread to sound like you know what you're talking about in energy world all year round.

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Jenny Chase @solarchase.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

40. Decarbonization offers financial savings as well as costs. Even our Economic Transition Scenario, a base case where change is driven by cost analysis and existing policy, has energy import dependence falling substantially for many countries by 2035. No paywall: about.bnef.com/insights/cle...

about.bnef.com

BloombergNEF’s New Energy Outlook 2026: Transition to Newer Technologies, Expanded Electrification to Strengthen Nations’ Energy Security | BloombergNEF

Global wind capacity additions hit an all-time high in 2025, marking a third straight year of record installations, according to BloombergNEF's annual Global Wind Turbine Market Shares 2025,

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Jenny Chase @solarchase.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Time for 2026 updates to my annual “opinions about solar” thread, now with storage. If you like these, you might like edition 2 of my book, Solar Power Finance Without The Jargon. A 30% discount code WSQ0437 is valid on publisher website til end of Nov 2026. www.worldscientific.com/worldscibook...

worldscientific.com

Solar Power Finance Without the Jargon

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

As noted earlier this summer, episodes like this in California will become less rare as climate (and, thus, tropical/subtropical oceans) continue to warm due to climate change. One of the first studies on this was just published earlier this summer.

nature.com

Increasing tropical cyclone rainfall and landslide risk in Southern California

Nature Climate Change - Southern California is rarely affected by tropical cyclones at present. Here the authors show that this could change with warming, leading to an increase in landslide risk...

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Preliminary track verification statistics for #Isaias show that the Google Deepmind model dominated the model guidance by a huge margin. The National Hurricane Center closely and wisely followed it. Details at bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2026/10/isai...

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Aaron Becker @aaronjbecker.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

The 1906 fire burned the heart of San Francisco, yet 1 in 8 buildings standing today is older than the quake: the Victorians of the Mission, Noe Valley and the Haight, outside the fire line. #dataviz #SanFrancisco #maps

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Historical Marker Ahead @historicalmarker.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Today is the anniversary of the infamous 1871 Chicago fire, as many as 300 dead. But it’s also the anniversary of the less famous Peshtigo, Wisc., fire, also in 1871, with as many as 2,500 dead. People jumped into the Peshtigo River to try to survive the 3-day fire that covered 1,875 square miles.

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Context for this story: As noted in the piece, her mother was hired and trained by Margaret Hamilton, who also coded early chaos work with Lorenz. Yes, that Margaret Hamilton.

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Dang what a quote. Sarah Gille: “One of my office mates in the general exam, the qualifying exam for doing research at MIT, was asked: How would you explain chaos theory to your mother?” Her mother coded chaos theory w Lorenz.

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Teddy Kareta @teddykareta.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

genuinely one of the most important people of the 20th century -- not just pioneer, not just moon landing programmer, but also a programmer on the project that first discovered chaos in the 1950s

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Steve Bowen @stevebowen.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

#Isaias poised to bring several feet of coastal storm surge and the possibility of inland flooding. Here's an update to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) take-up map through September 30. Potential landfall counties w/ 10-25% take-up. Translation: A lot of water damage will be uninsured.

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Dr. Levi Cowan @tropicaltidbits.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

🌀 Wednesday video analysis of Tropical Storm #Isaias, expected to strike the Gulf Coast as a hurricane late Friday Please forgive my slightly ill voice. www.youtube.com/watch?v=9INW...

youtube.com

[Wednesday] Isaias Forms; Expected to Strike Gulf Coast as a Hurricane

YouTube video by Tropical Tidbits

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Kris Karnauskas @oceansclimatecu.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Heard on a call this morning... For #AGU26 community, if you're presenting a poster this year, there are changes to the format! We're going square.

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Here's the link to official guidance, I had totally missed this. www.agu.org/annual-meeti... Stay within your taped out space? Sheesh

NEW FOR AGU26: Poster boards will be shared by two presenters.

Maximum poster size: 44 inches wide × 44 inches high (3.67 feet × 3.67 feet).
Allow for a 2.54-centimeter (1-inch) border
Posters are best positioned horizontally to match the layout of the display board.
Place images, text, logos, etc. at least 2.54 centimeters (1-inch) from the edge.
Shared boards: Two presenters will share each side of a poster board. Designated tape will distinguish each presenter’s assigned space.
Stay within your space: Your poster and all accompanying materials must fit entirely within your assigned area and may not extend into the neighboring presenter’s space.

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Who would ever cherry-pick such a thing

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Some important differences between the conventional physics-based models (European and American ensembles are 1st and 2nd panels) and the AI models (Google Deepmind operational and experimental ensembles are 3rd and 4th panels). The differences in both track and intensity are obvious. #Isaias

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

"The IOUs and policymakers may wish to emphasize alternative resilience strategies...particularly strategies that allow for localized backup generation and distribution system enhancements at the circuit level (e.g. a microgrid) or at the level of the individual consumer (e.g. a backup generator)."

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

"the persistence of relatively high PSPS recurrence rates and limited reductions in de-energization frequency suggests that these investments may yield modest improvements when evaluated against the customer impacts they are intended to avoid, despite high capital costs."

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Communications Earth & Environment @commsearth.nature.com · 14/09/2026

🔥Modelling future wildfires remains highly uncertain, despite improvements in fire-process representation and the introduction of hybrid frameworks integrating observations, process-based modelling, and machine learning. @bburnedscience.bsky.social 👉Read more here: www.nature.com/articles/s43...

nature.com

Current model capabilities and future predictive pathways of wildfires under a changing climate - Communications Earth & Environment

Modelling future wildfires across the world is highly uncertain despite improvements in fire-process representation and the introduction of hybrid frameworks integrating observations, process-based mo...

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Michael Andersen @andersem.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I have a confession to make. The townhomes I & others spent most of a decade trying to legalize are popping up all over Oregon & elsewhere...and I love that...but they're a problem in one big way. (get ready for a twisty thread about the housing report @sightline.org just published)

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

👀👀👀 This is what forecasting while living with uneven observations looks like...

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US CLIVAR @usclivar.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Join us on October 27 at 11:00 AM ET for the 6th webinar in the Usable Climate Risk Science series! This month we will hear from Ted Shepherd (University of Reading) and Conor Meenan (Centre for Disaster Protection). Missed a previous webinar? Catch up here: youtube.com/playlist?lis...

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I suck at parallel parking, but this whole article is Philly joy: "'Under Duress': parking while navigating various obstacles of Philadelphia street life, such as a trash fire or a crowd yelling 'Dallas Sucks,' judged by the final 'parallelness.'"

nytimes.com

Tight Competition: The Contest to Name Philly’s Best Parallel Parker (Gift Article)

Out of more than 900 applicants, 15 were chosen to compete in three rounds, including “Tight Squeeze” and “Under Duress.”

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Savannah Cox @savannahcox.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I don’t post a ton here these days but figured I would share that I’ll be giving a lecture on cities, finance, climate change, and hope (of all things). As ever, my thinking has changed a bit since writing the abstract, but you should get the gist. Register here: sheffield.ac.uk/urban-instit...

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Aaron Becker @aaronjbecker.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Every river in North America, every day for two years. The combined flow to the sea sinks as low as 53,000 m³/s in winter and swells past 290,000 by late June, more than quadrupling each spring. Data: GloFAS, @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social #rivers #dataviz #hydrology

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Mike Dettinger @mdettinger.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

What an animation! 25+ yrs ago, Dave Peterson (USGS Menlo) led us in characterizing organized flow pulses in West. But that work was entirely via statistical metrics, or comparing flows at a few distantly-spaced gages. So COOL to see it in motion! Old work e.g.: www.mdettinger.com/_files/ugd/3...

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Richard Dixon @catinsight.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Some excellent and thought-provoking stuff from Stephen Cusack - the leading light in Europe Wind / insurance loss crossover studies - on anthropogenic impacts on Europe Windstorm losses: nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/...

nhess.copernicus.org

Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of European windstorms in CMIP6 climate models

Abstract. A recently developed set of historical storm reconstructions were extensively validated by insurance loss data and revealed how European windstorm damages were three times higher in the 1980...

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Reposted by Kelly Hereid

Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Will the U.S. megadrought ever end? Spoiler: perhaps not A great explanation of why...and why this may be more than just a drought. www.sciencenews.org/article/unit...

sciencenews.org

Will the U.S. megadrought ever end?

For 27 years, the Southwest has been gripped by a historic drought. Scientists think it might be here to stay.

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👻 David Weiskopf believes in spooks 👻 @dave.bzky.team · 04/10/2026

"Ok explain again." "We have electronic beacons at the edge of the built environment, near the woods." "Right." "And they send data about potential fire conditions." "Ok." "And this new web tool lets you visualize the data and interact with it." "So it's..." "Yes sir. It's a WUI Buoy GUI."

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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Striking, and appropriate, that this piece comes from a professor from a business school. The business world relies on public research and universities for its talent pipeline. Cutting off international students with an unachievable degree deadline cuts that pipeline. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Taxing the talent that builds American science

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Warren Wells, AICP @warrenjwells.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Very cool. A program in NYC gave 2 kWh batteries to families in order to let them run the AC during peak demand and charging the battery at night when energy is cheap. I predict a time when it will be weird that houses didn't have batteries. arstechnica.com/gadgets/2026...

arstechnica.com

How I kept cool with NYC's free battery program for window AC units

Bonus: Every Electric’s batteries are beloved by household cats.

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Robert Simmon @rsimmon.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

With both Lake Powell and Lake Mead at record-lows, here’s a look at how their water levels have varied since Powell was filled in 1980. Neither has recovered from a severe drought in the early 2020s, while Colorado River flows continue to drop. #dataviz #climate #globalwarming

Two graphs of water stored in Lake Powell (left) and lake Mead (right). The data are measured over the water year, which runs from October 1st to October 1st. Years when the lake level increased are marked in blue, years when they decreased are marked in red. Levels in Lake Powell maxed out at about 24-million-acre–feet in the early 1980s, and are currently just over 5-million-acre-feet. Lake Mead was just over 25-million acre-feet in the early 1980s and late 1990s, but is now just under 7-million acre-feet.

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