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The worth of boast worlds

@josefka.bsky.social
2.1K followers 1.6K following 1.2K posts

Did a bit on O&G projects for 20 years+. Now into cleaner stuff. Don’t shine that torch in my face, mate. I’ve just lost a pint of blood.

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Pwnallthethings @pwnallthethings.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This is a good example of how you need quite a lot of detail of how these systems *actually* work to understand what the risks are, and how over-indexing on sci-fi can lead you a bit astray on what the future looks like
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Two birds with one stone. Supporting an excellent organisation committed to a noble cause, and a small 2 fingered salute to the idiots who presumably think desperate people should be left to drown. rnli.org
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Adam Schwarz @adamjschwarz.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Every new prime minister gets to celebrate their 50th day in office by restoring Liz Truss's rightful title of 'UK's shortest serving prime minister'. Congrats, Andy Burnham.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
A dizzying array of moving parts and interests, what ifs, what thens, for the UK Right, more than capably made understandable in this ever excellent value, high output Substack.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Trump, his apologists’ madman explanation, his bullying overseas, and ultimately his tiresome, mean-spirited predictability. Plenty of his antics to recall and quotable bits in here.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Risks were known, regime can’t be removed from air, angering ME allies, alienating international ones, strangling energy exports, econ fight with neighbour, draining own resources. Could see ‘some’ reasoning in Iraq. Can’t here. Trump is so utterly out of his depth on complex issues…what is his out?
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
I appreciate he’s good on politics, but dismantling the basis of the right’s latest philosophical ‘hot take’ is something I hope Sam will do more of. One of the blog’s best in quite some time, imo (& I’m usually more of a Team Lawrence subscriber)
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Interesting (as always) and dispassionate piece on what both sides are targeting, the scale of the attacks, and what the Ukrainians are up against, almost daily. Just how long can Ukraine hold on with its lesser stock of munitions?
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
My latest post looks at alarmist literature about security threats and how best to engage with it - from William Le Queux before WW1 to Graham Allison on nuclear terrorism and war with China to Anne Jacobsen on nuclear and biological war. (£/free trial), samf.substack.com/p/always-loo...?
samf.substack.com
Always Look on the Dark Side of Life
Warnings of doom from German spies to the Thucyides Trap to a biological war
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
“Verify your age” Going to a rental shop, hoping not all copies of a Jean-Claude Van Damme/Arnie film were rented out. Occasionally getting the fantastic, massive box with plot summary back home to realise the shop had put the wrong cassette in.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Process safety engineers do not consider dozens of flying bombs potentially hitting critical equipment when designing refineries. And there’s no obvious solution other than heavy air defences (Refineries don’t need hydrocrackers ofc, but it’s tricky producing jet fuel, distillates etc without them.)
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Giles Wilkes @gilesyb.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
SpaceX market cap $2.1tn Microsoft market cap $2.8tn SpaceX revenue ~$20bn Microsoft revenue ~$300bn Incredible.
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Times reports on far right support of Restore Britain. Report did not mention that Steve Laws - vocal racist advocate of 'total remigration' of all minorities from UK - is a party member, not just urging support. Party refuses to set any racism boundary for members www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
thetimes.com
Neo-fascist leaders back Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain and not Reform
Simon Birkett and Steve Laws urge followers to support the MP in move that could harm Nigel Farage’s prospects of an overall majority
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Latest post looks at why Putin persist with a failed strategy against Ukraine, and why he needs Russia’s current, struggling offensive to succeed this year (£/free trial), open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/p...?
open.substack.com
Putin and the Cliff-Edge Fallacy
Over the past few weeks there has been a definite shift in the narrative surrounding the Russo-Ukraine War.
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Josiah Mortimer @josiahmortimer.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Nigel Farage tells The Sun's Harry Cole that Elon Musk offered to give Reform loads of money "if we said certain things" and he refused. "I can't be bought." Two things: 1. This is an allegation of attempted bribery. Very serious. 2. It shows the obvious: donors expect something for their money.
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Henry Mance @henrymance.ft.com · 13/05/2026
Must we keep holding our politicians to such impossible standards?
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
I think there may be a lesson in there about stating overly ambitious and specific objectives. The efforts to demilitarise Ukraine have turned it into one of the most militarised nations in the world, along with ‘forcing’ it to become a (the?) leading centre for military drone technology.
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👻 Jack Djinn Wail 🧞 @jacktindale.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Happy London Marathon Day and congratulations to all those competing. I’m not doing it myself this year but as a sub-three hour Marathoner, here are some top tips to make your day go gangbusters. 1. Treat yourself to a brand new pair of running shoes as a treat for your feet.
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
Is the full extent of the current crisis appreciated? Not just the coming economic hit but also the impact of Trump’s erratic behaviour. All allies are adjust to US incompetence. Latest post argues this makes increased defence spending more urgent. (£/free trial), open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...?
open.substack.com
The US no longer leads
The changing context for UK defence policy
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
This. Wells & refineries aren’t like light switches to be turned on/off at a moment’s notice. Oil companies will want a period of peace before they fire up wells again. A few filled tankers might make the journey during a ceasefire, but need more certainty than currently the case for full flows
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
“Iraq, Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain face near-total export shutdowns, suffering major revenue losses and infrastructure damage estimated at over $25 billion.” Over 60% of Iraq’s GDP is from oil exports. www.ogj.com/general-inte...
ogj.com
Gulf oil, gas exporters grapple with losses from closed Strait
Extensive damage from the Iran war, estimated at over $25 billion, underscores the current dependence on the Strait of Hormuz and the need for alternate transport solutions.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 12/04/2026
Orban concedes defeat. The support of Trump, Vance, Putin, Lavrov, Weidel, Milei, Le Pen, Fico, Babis and many others could not overcome Hungarian anger at a stagnant, corrupt regime www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
theguardian.com
Hungary election live: Viktor Orbán concedes defeat in Hungarian election after 16 years in power
Long-serving prime minister beaten by opposition after early results showed clear lead
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
“This war confirmed…the folly of focusing on how much the enemy is being hurt rather than on whether political objectives are close to being met.” I’m not sure Trump & Hegseth- a rank amateur steeped in the illusion that he has a divine right to bring Iran to heel - are capable of understanding this
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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Hungary's election on Sunday may well be the most important European vote this year. @ecfr.eu's New Politics Project is following it closely. ecfr.eu/npp
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Dr Karen Pinder 🇨🇦 🔬 @drkarenpinder.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
Picture of the century. 😍 📷 credit: Science Tube
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
1. Extracted oil is owned by the oil companies, not the UK, and is sold at market price 2. The UK takes ~80% in tax on the oil 3. The UK NS is around 90% dead - it doesn’t move oil prices 4. Extracting more NS oil only increases tax receipts, jobs So, no, you wouldn’t get cheaper energy
Richard Tice demonstrates he knows nada about NS oil, or he’s lying about it
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
“We have Complete and Total Regime Change”- hence the reason the ayatollah’s son is governing the country with the support of the IRGC, and Iran is still firing missiles across the Middle East. PS: probably best not to announce upcoming war crimes on social media.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
How to end a war: picking out the signal from the noise. It’s curious that Trump still thinks there’s a solely military solution to bring Iran to heel. Also curious that Trump thinks he can simply walk away, as if ignoring physical oil in the SoH doesn’t affect US oil prices & the US’s global trade.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
A depressing, and no-doubt heartfelt piece. I’ve never understood the hatred toward Jewish people beyond some vague paranoia about ruling the world and the suggestion that Jewish = pro Israel gov. This ‘acceptable’ racism should be stamped out just as racism based on skin colour is.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Some of the more technical aspects of the problems with halting oil production. Much of the stuff found in oil reservoirs is great at corroding equipment, and the geology gets troublesome. It’s not just an on/off tap, and new stuff can take months to replace and commission 🧵
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
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Paul Fairie @paulisci.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
A Brief History of People Have Lost Their Sense of Humour 🧵
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
#iran #iranwar #hormuz www.rystadenergy.com/insights/oil...
rystadenergy.com
The oil market did not underreact. It just had buffers
The global oil market has been on a rollercoaster since late February, but the price reaction to the largest supply disruption in history has been relatively muted. The calm was not complacency; buffe...
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Trump is saying this now because he's angry that other NATO members aren't doing what he wants. But there are also medium- and longer-term questions about NATO's viability that everyone needs to face up to. 🧵
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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
🫡
The Economist cover: Xi looking at Trump - NEVER
INTERRUPT YOUR ENEMY
WHENHE'S
MAKING A MISTAKE
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Andy Bruce (Reuters) @bruceandy.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
UK food inflation heading towards 10% due to Iran war, industry says www.reuters.com/business/uk-...
reuters.com
UK food inflation heading towards 10% due to Iran war, industry says
Britain's food prices will be ​rising by almost 10% by the end of this year due to ‌the Iran war, the country's food and drink manufacturers' lobby warned on Wednesday, around three times faster than ...
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
If ‘the hard part is done’ why not finish the ‘easy’ part, given it’s crippling the world economy?
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Europe providing practically all aid to Ukraine, while Trump is just making a complete mess of the Middle East.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Iran summary. A US president living in an alternate reality, a Secretary of defence who acts like a disgruntled junior officer. The US can pound Iran all day, but as long as Iran maintains enough missiles to block the Strait it continues to hold the world economy over a barrel (no pun intended).
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Somebody just told Badenoch that North Sea oil is sold on the market at market prices.
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
If you’re interested in the military and geopolitical sides of Ukraine and Iran, you could do a lot worse than sign up to @ldfreedman.bsky.social ‘s (and Sam’s for domestic policy) very regular newsletters/blogs. Essential to making sense of the seeming chaos. Less than the price of a pint.
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Clare Mulley @claremulley.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Wonderful that @faberbooks.bsky.social are releasing an updated editn #AnitaLaskerWallfisch’s memoirs, #InheritTheTruth. Now 101, Anita is the last survivor of the enforced women’s orchestra of Auschwitz, which we shld all know about. (See also the excellent grp history by @annesebba.bsky.social)
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Strange situation we’re in where the health of the US (and world) economy is largely dictated by what Iran says and does, and the US president *really* doesn’t have a response. Art of the deal™️
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
A better world is possible 🐱 🐶 #Caturday
A cat laying comfortably on the ground next to a large dog which is also laying down, on its side
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Good piece that cuts a fairly broad swath about what Iran/Hormuz means for the UK (& poorer countries). I don’t think many Brit appreciate how hard this crisis will hit the UK - it isn’t just another far away conflict & the gov would do well to tell the public times may be tough, before it’s blamed.
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ChristianG @mryeswecan.eurosky.social · 23/03/2026
So, about those Eid prayers in London... "What's the highest thing in Trafalgar Square?" "Nelson's column, innit?" "And the highest thing on the column?" "Nelson." "And on Nelson?" "His hat." "And the highest thing on his hat?" "That bit that sticks up." 1/8
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
“I grew up in an oil-rich country so I know a thing or two about the extraction and economics of O&G” You’d think reading the 2014 Wood Review (which the Cons commissioned) would put this tiresome debate to bed.
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George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 @gtconway.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
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The worth of boast worlds @josefka.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Ossoff’s line of questioning isn’t difficult to follow, yet Gabbard seems lost. Last year Iran’s nuclear programme was obliterated? Yes They’ve made no attempt to rebuild? No Why is the White House saying this war is about an imminent Iranian nuclear threat then? Errrrr…….
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