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jmaamieas.bsky.social

@jmaamieas.bsky.social
785 followers 200 following 421 posts
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Reposted by @jmaamieas.bsky.social
Judah Grunstein @judah-grunstein.bsky.social · 42m
Stellar piece by Giorgio Cafiero on why Israel and Turkey are on a collision course in Syria: Israel wants a weak and fragmented state to its north, while Turkey needs a stable and centralized one to its south. Gift link.
worldpoliticsreview.com
Israel and Turkey’s ‘Cold War’ Is Heating Up in Syria
Shifting geopolitical dynamics are fueling a rivalry between two regional powers with competing visions for post-Assad Syria.
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David Seaver @davidseaver.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
A MAGA election-fraud pusher committing election fraud? Say it ain't so. www.sfgate.com/politics/art...
sfgate.com
MAGA candidate in small Calif. town convicted on 9 counts of election fraud
It turns out this conservative candidate wasn't following election laws herself.
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J. Nathan Matias @natematias.bsky.social · 1h
The Pew team report using multiple models, and based this report on the best-performing model at the time, Opus 4.6. "Across nearly 300 individual survey questions, the estimates produced using our AI respondents differed from their human counterparts by an average of 12 percentage points."
Headline: AI-generated surveys consistently miss results of human polls.
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J. Nathan Matias @natematias.bsky.social · 1h
In case you've been wondering about the viability of AI simulated surveys, Pew has offered in-depth reporting on their experiment with simulated survey participants. By Athena Chapekis, Arnold Lau, Samuel Bestvater, Sono Shah, Andrew Mercer, Aaron Smith www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/20...
pewresearch.org
Can AI Stand In for Human Survey-Takers? Not Really
Synthetic surveys using digital twins do a poor job estimating the public mood and are especially error-prone for some subgroups, including Republicans and Black adults.
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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 38m
Maybe the single most important topic in Smith's Wealth of Nations is just his account of *what it means for a nation to be wealthy.* The mercantilist idea is a giant pile of gold; Trump's talk of 'saving' billions by not trading is the same. Smith says wealth is having more of the stuff for living
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lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 19h
It is actually interesting to see a real life early modern Mecantalist monarch, to see someone who actually just sincerely believes that worldview. Bit odd that he graduated from one of the most prestigious business schools in the world tbh.
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lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 19h
The ghosts of Adam Smith and Ricardo teaming up for one last job
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jon christian @jonchristian.net · 51m
This seems bizarre, right? (OpenAI is now insisting its comments were "on background," which they absolutely were not) futurism.com/artificial-i...
futurism.com
OpenAI Says Teens Can Talk About Suicide for Hours Before ChatGPT Will Notify Parents
OpenAI admitted that teen users can talk to ChatGPT about topics like suicide for hours before parents are notified.
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witgezicht666.bsky.social @witgezicht666.bsky.social · 30m
TINY and his goons want to make deals and they can't if they shut Russia down .
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 32m
claim that we are in some kind of diplomatic stalemate. We are not in a diplomatic stalemate. Shut down Russia’s entire economy. Shut Russia's mouth. Stop feeding them through your sales. Impose sanctions on their weapons."
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 33m
President Zelenskyy’s comment on US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s remarks that the war in Ukraine is at a "strategic stalemate" and that there are now "no prospects for a negotiated settlement": "You cannot negotiate future economic projects with Russians on the one hand and, on the other,
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Donald K. Sherman @donaldonethics.bsky.social · 34m
The OSC won't discipline agencies for messages blaming last year's government shutdown on Democrats, saying they couldn't consult OSC for clarification because its Hatch Act Unit was furloughed. Sorry, but a shutdown isn't a free pass to violate the law.
govexec.com
Watchdog won’t discipline agencies over partisan shutdown posts but warns against ‘derogatory’ messaging
Many departments blamed congressional Democrats for last year’s funding lapse by posting banners on agency websites and modifying furloughed employees’ out-of-office messages.
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 33m
The more you unravel this story, the louder the alarm bells sound. Need I remind everyone that Jared Kushner is NOT A GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEE?
newyorker.com
Jared Kushner’s Dollar Diplomacy
Jared Kushner represents the kind of Washington figure for whom public office serves as a means to extraordinary wealth.
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Dana Siler @danasilerpgh.bsky.social · 1h
U.S. Citizens getting detained by poorly trained and hastily hired ICE agents who have insane quotas. Who would have thought? projects.propublica.org/american-cit...
projects.propublica.org
More Than 500 U.S. Citizens Have Been Detained, Including Handcuffed or Held at Gunpoint, in Trump’s Immigration Crackdown — ProPublica
The government doesn’t track how often immigration officers detain U.S. citizens. So ProPublica did. We’ve found more than 500 Americans who were held against their will during this Trump administrati...
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 33m
ICYMI, last night a federal court in Arizona ordered ICE to "facilitate the return" of an Egyptian man currently imprisoned incommunicado by the Equatoguinean government. Mr. Soliman was sent to Equatorial Guinea with no notice. ICE refused his request for a torture screening.
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 19h
Greene-Placentia's opponent's campaign site (he's the current incumbent):
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Arizona Right Watch @azrww.bsky.social · 18h
Link: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2026/07/23/hamadeh-backs-manosphere-influencers-andrew-and-tristan-tate/91012644007/

Abe Hamadeh defends Andrew and Tristan Tate against sex crime charges
Laura Gersony.

Arizona Republic

Updated July 23, 2026, 8:03 a.m. MT
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Rebecca Solnit @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social · 14h
Part (but far from all) of what's horrific here is: a woman weighing the consequences of speaking up about being sexually assaulted, because speaking up imposes burdens and costs (and so does not speaking up).
phoenixnewtimes.com
Congressional candidate is raped while repairing her campaign signs
Embarrassed, she initially didn’t want to report attack. Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office's investigation is ongoing. A Phoenix New Times exclusive.
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 11h
Regulators have linked Mark McAfee’s raw dairy farm to more than a dozen recalls and outbreaks that left hundreds of people ill. “I’ve put a couple kids in the hospital,” McAfee said. “But here’s the thing: I’m a pioneer.” (Published June)
propublica.org
He Profits Off Raw Milk That’s Making People Sick. The Government Isn’t Stopping Him.
With Raw Farm, the largest raw-milk dairy in the country, Mark McAfee has capitalized on a once-fringe product that’s been thrust into the mainstream in recent years and backed by Health Secretary Rob...
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Zoomer Antimillenarian @surcomplicated.bsky.social · 10h
Evergreen.
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Liz Szabo @lizszabo.bsky.social · 12h
CDC moving forward with “wholly unethical trial” in African babies. www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
rollingstone.com
CDC Is Moving Forward With a Previously Shelved Controversial Hepatitis B Vaccine Study
“It’s a wholly unethical trial, and it shouldn’t be allowed,” says Dr. Paul Offit of Guinea-Bissau study
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Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 11h
I'm sure the NY Times tomorrow will have another story about Hasan Piker, and not a mention of the VP's "intellectual guru" saying this...
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Norm Eisen @normeisen.bsky.social · 12h
Most people use AmEX for the points. In the Amb. Kimberly Guilfoyle texts, it's so the money "won't show" I was an ambassador myself & I've never seen anything like this She denies it, but you can smell this one from Athens! More on @CNN.com 👇
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 11h
Caitlin Flanagan viciously attacked a friend of mine for being sexually assaulted. She’s the scum of the earth.
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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 12h
Sources close to Jared and Ivanka say, privately, the couple disapproves of letting Iran obliterate LA and San Diego.
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Heather @alainnfocail.bsky.social · 10h
idk feels like we could use a guy like this but what do I know
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Julie DiCaro @juliedicaro.bsky.social · 13h
Every woman who comes forward and lays her trauma bare for the world to see does so hoping it will lead to a better world for women. It never does. And yet, we keep trying.
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Super Shoe @shoe.bsky.social · 10h
A societal cancer. Also so is online betting.
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Sarah Langs @slangsonsports.bsky.social · 10h
Save in each of team’s first three games of a postseason (saves official since 1969): 2026 Bryan Baker 2007 Manny Corpas 1996 Mark Wohlers 1996 Dennis Eckersley 1988 Dennis Eckersley
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ve, the ghost of info past @vortexegg.com · 11h
We have invented the mythical man month from classic software engineering book Don’t Invent the Mythical Man Month.
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Alan Elrod @aselrod.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Shapiro runs The Daily Wire. It’s not the powerhouse it was, but he still has considerable power in right-wing media world. And Hanania isn’t some fringe guy. He writes regularly for The Boston Globe. He gets invited to chat on mainstream podcasts. www.liberalcurrents.com/the-illusion...
Consider what Walsh's Daily Wire colleague and boss Ben Shapiro has said. Shapiro laid the problem squarely on feminism, insisting the case offers no evidence of rape but that "The terrible thing that happened here is people consented to acts that are inherently degrading. The woman in this particular case degraded herself. The men treated her in unbelievably degrading ways."

Shapiro cites a litany of issues that anyone familiar with the criminology of rape knows to be entirely typical, including the victim communicating with her assailants and an evolving view of events. I'm sure Shapiro would insist he would believe some other woman under other circumstances, but I doubt he would. The argument here is about the stripping away of anything like a woman's capacity to say no by refusing to even imagine the possibility. It's the same one being put forward by Hanania, who has asserted the case is an instance of regret and self-loathing by a young woman who had “casual sex" and couldn't live with the fallout. "Maybe she was assaulted, maybe not," Hanania posted, "either way it was a terrible decision to make. Women need to be told the truth."
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 11h
WHOA. This is big news. Mr. Soliman is a 31-year-old gay man from Egypt who came here at 3 with a green card. He lost his green card after a conviction, but an immigration judge found that he would be persecuted in Egypt and barred sending him there. He's locked in a hotel in Equatorial Guinea now.
A federal judge has ordered the Department of Homeland Security to return Ahmed Soliman to the United States, five months after he was expelled to Equatorial Guinea, a country where he has no ties, in a decision that could have far-reaching implications for thousands of others subjected to the Trump administration’s third-country removal scheme.

Arizona District Court Judge John C. Hinderaker, a Trump appointee, ruled that DHS violated the Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment and “must facilitate Plaintiff’s release from custody in Equatorial Guinea and return to the United States and must ensure his case is handled as it would have been had he not been improperly sent to Equatorial Guinea.”
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Justin @sitkaworldsfair.bsky.social · 13h
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Justin @sitkaworldsfair.bsky.social · 14h
remember this?
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Justin @sitkaworldsfair.bsky.social · 14h
are you fucking kidding me
Curtis Yarvin
• @curtis_yarvin • 1h
What if OpenAl solves the Jewish problem
...
roon
@tszzl • 23h
Replying to @tszzl
unified field theory / quantum gravity
within the next 12 months?
25
{7 16
• 258
ıll 9K
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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 11h
Here is a link to the CourtListener page. I've purchased all of the relevant documents to make them available to anyone here: www.courtlistener.com/docket/74798...
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T. Greg Doucette @gregdoucette.bsky.social · 11h
$100K could buy a lot of guillotines
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Andy Kostka @afkostka.bsky.social · 11h
Bryan Baker earns the save to eliminate the Yankees and send his team to the ALCS
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 11h
New, from me: Kimberly Guilfoyle was caught soliciting money for government favors. Normally we call that a bribe. If she is corrupt, it is only because she has adapted to Trump's corrupt environment, where everything is for sale. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/stop-paper...
donmoynihan.substack.com
“Stop Papering Things”: Corruption in Trump's America
Kimberly Guilfoyle is one more symptom of endemic graft under Trump
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Mom for Ghoulberty👻 @fakegreekgrill.bsky.social · 11h
They didn't do it. Saying they did it is slander. But if they would have done it, it was normal and fine and just what they do.
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Gillian Brockell @gillianbrockell.com · 12h
BREAKING: A Trump-appointed judge has ruled DHS violated the Due Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment when it removed Ahmed Soliman to Equatorial Guinea and must facilitate his return to the US. prospect.org/2026/10/07/f...
prospect.org
Federal Judge Rules DHS Must Bring Back Gay Arizona Man Imprisoned in Africa - The American Prospect
A Trump-apppointed judge ordered Ahmed Soliman must be returned to the United States.
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Charlie Warzel @cwarzel.bsky.social · 11h
At the very least, what I appreciate about David Robinson's resignation press tour is that he's very clearly laying the ground work to throw the book at this company and its executives if some really bad stuff happens.
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Charlie Warzel @cwarzel.bsky.social · 11h
If you believe that soon you will not be able to adequately evaluate or vouch for what you product might do out in the world (saying nothing of the ways *other* people might use it) then one might think you need to completely rethink how your company operates or you cannot operate.
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Charlie Warzel @cwarzel.bsky.social · 11h
I am trying to think of AI from a standard corporate accountability perspective and I found this line from the safety policy employee who quit to be the most succinct explanation of the concern. it doesn't need you to buy into any sci-fi narratives. it's all about scale/scope:
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The UnPopulist @theunpopulist.net · 13h
Late last year, U.S. Catholic bishops voted 216 to 5 to oppose indiscriminate mass deportation, and Pope Leo XIV backed them. Now DHS has a Catholic theologian as a spokesman.
theunpopulist.net
A Catholic Theologian Signs Up for Mass Cruelty
Yet another thinker puts his faith in the service of monstrous deportation policies
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Julie K. Brown @jkbjournalist.bsky.social · 14h
NEW: Maybe it's time to take a good look at all these deaths in the Epstein-Trump orbit. jkbjournalist.substack.com/p/dead-men-t...
jkbjournalist.substack.com
Dead men tell no Epstein-Trump tales
When witnesses, whistleblowers and accusers die, it’s time to look at whether they have anything in common. Here is a list of some of the recent deaths.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 14h
The carpets were covered with stains while the wallpaper was faded and peeling. Everything smelled stale and musty. And, in what grossed me out the most, the poker chips were so dirty and grimy that they actually stuck together. You had to pry them apart like an Oreo.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 14h
I've played poker at dozens of casinos in my life, from the fanciest palaces in Las Vegas to crappy riverboats in the Midwest, and I can say that the Trump Taj Mahal in Atlantic City was -- by a fucking mile -- the dirtiest, dingiest, cruddiest casino I have ever experienced in my life.
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e.w. niedermeyer @niedermeyer.online · 07/10/2026
there's a lot going on right now, but the ability to buy elections in order to stay out of prison is on the ballot whether you realize it or not
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Critical Bill. @criticalbill76.bsky.social · 14h
First row. Leon Botstein. 🔯
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