iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

Here is a new NBER Working Paper by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social, @phoxie.bsky.social, and me on the effects of federal pandemic aid to school districts: www.nber.org/papers/w35447.

073

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 13/07/2026

COVID-era federal school funding may have had little impact on students, not because $ don't help, but because local govts reacted by reducing property taxes, leaving schools' overall funding levels unchanged. New @nber.org paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w35447

23413

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 13/07/2026

Great work by authors @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @stanveuger.bsky.social @phoxie.bsky.social Revives the old "flypaper effect" (money sticks where it lands) literature I first learned about when helping Jon Gruber write his undergrad public economics textbook in 2003!

282

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 29/03/2026

California’s $20 fast-food minimum wage raised restaurant prices approximately 3–4 percent. Other prices including food-at-home exhibit no differential movement, pointing to wage-driven pass-through, from Jeffrey Clemens, Olivia Edwards, Jonathan Meer, and Joshua D. Nguyen www.nber.org/papers/w34990

0105

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 16/11/2025

A surge in SNAP retailer participation during the Great Recession boosted adopters’ food sales and product variety while improving access, but welfare gains were modest, from Anne T. Byrne, Xiao Dong, Jessie Handbury, Erik James, Katherine Meckel, and Andrés C. Rovira www.nber.org/papers/w34467

022

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

In a new AEI Economic Perspectives paper, Tobias Peter and I propose that DC legalize redevelopment of large single-family lots into duplexes, triplexes, and townhomes. We also analyze the consequences of making such a change in terms of new housing production etc. www.aei.org/research-pro...

25614

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 08/11/2025

Low-income households denied SNAP due to administrative barriers suffer downstream consequences. Process-related denials increase debt, delinquencies, and decrease credit scores, from Tatiana Homonoff, Min S. Lee, and Katherine Meckel www.nber.org/papers/w34434

03119

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

This is painstakingly done, comprehensive work on the earnings of individuals who make minimum wage at some point in their careers (typically, though not always, at career onset). Recommended reading for anyone interested in how minimum wages fit into the big picture.

021

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

021

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 30/10/2025

Workers earning minimum wages typically show stronger future careers, and state minimum wage policies do not significantly alter these relative trajectories, from Sari Pekkala Kerr, William R. Kerr, and Louis J. Maiden www.nber.org/papers/w34405

142

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

David R. Agrawal @davidragrawal.bsky.social · 11/10/2025

Excited to receive our new 536 page book on tax competition and coordination in the mail today: "Policy Responses to Tax Competition" (w/ Poterba & @omzidar.bsky.social) I know everyone is looking forward to order it here: amazon.com/-/es/Respons...

1212

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 22/09/2025

links.springernature.com/f/a/zVudtQTb...

051

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 07/07/2025

Featured in the latest Digest: Federal Fiscal Aid to State and Local Governments and COVID-19 Mortality www.nber.org/digest/202507/federal-…

021

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 09/07/2025

Many thanks to the economists who signed on, including @dacemoglumit.bsky.social, @kylepomerleau.bsky.social, @michaelrstrain.bsky.social, @danieldbunn.bsky.social‬, @kclausing.bsky.social, and @jasonfurman.bsky.social, and to our magnificent counsel. Full brief here: www.aei.org/articles/ami...

aei.org

1161

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 09/07/2025

I organized an economist amicus brief in V.O.S. Selections Inc. v. Trump, the "Liberation Day" tariffs case in which the government's appeal will soon be considered by the Federal Circuit Appeal Court.

412029

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 19/06/2025

Thank you to the hundreds of business leaders who are standing against the unconscionable attacks on our university system. They know that was is being destroyed is future American innovation and prosperity.

wsj.com

Business Leaders Call Trump Attacks on Universities a Competitive Threat

More than 200 business leaders signed an open letter calling on the Trump administration to reverse its moves against colleges and universities, arguing that funding cuts and restrictions on [student

110429

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Wojtek Kopczuk @wwwojtekk.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

An unpopular view: new diff-in-diff methods have been a setback for empirical work. I see an increased flow of papers that do 5 variants of them plus extensive torturing of parallel trends robustness to "prove" that a weak research design is solid. That effort could've been spent more productively

911720

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 25/05/2025

Spirits: "US tariff uncertainty takes its toll" www.thespiritsbusiness.com/2025/05/us-t... "The problem with this administration is that you have to have a really loud voice in the ear of the White House to get anything done"

2115

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 07/05/2025

In the new issue of The American Enterprise, @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social and I have an article comparing the evolution of America’s system of fiscal federalism to Europe’s.

112

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 07/05/2025

Federal subsidies to state and local municipalities in the US during COVID-19 significantly improved individual #health outcomes as subsidies were channelled toward critical health care inputs. Jeffrey Clemens & Anwita Mahajan @ucsandiego.bsky.social cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky

Graph of COVID-19 mortality vs congressional representation. The greater the number of representatives per million residents, the lower the COVID-19 death rate per 100,000 residents.

As governments around the world combatted COVID-19, the US witnessed unprecedented levels of funding transfers from the federal government to state and local municipalities. This column examines how the influx of federal aid affected the population’s health. Leveraging the fact that states with excess representation in Congress received more assistance than underrepresented states, the authors show that federal subsidies significantly improved individual health outcomes. At the same time, aid to state and local governments evinced fewer economic benefits, suggesting that federal subsidies are more constructively channelled toward critical health care inputs.

074

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

I'm happy to report receiving the green light for promotion to full professor at UCSD economics effective July 1st! I'm feeling grateful to my family, mentors, co-authors, colleagues and many others who have helped to push and pull me along the way.

160

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

"US consumer confidence plunges in April" www.reuters.com/business/us-...

0235

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

Very happy to have this paper out in broad circulation.

051

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Gregory Daco @gregdaco.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

Melinda Pitts, research center director, Center for Human Capital Studies @atlantafed.bsky.social estimates that the potential reduction in the full federal workforce, including contract and grant employees, could be as high as 1.2 million www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macrob...

0197

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

Very happy to have this paper out in broad circulation.

051

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 21/04/2025

Michelle White was a wonderful friend, colleague, role model, and mentor to many of us at UCSD and beyond. She will be greatly missed.

020

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

Very happy to have this paper out in circulation in its final form! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

020

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Scott Shapiro @scottjshapiro.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

Having my doubts that 145% is the right tariff rate to impose on the second largest economy in the world.

51729101

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Wojtek Kopczuk @wwwojtekk.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

Perhaps good practical advice, but 1, 6, 8, and 11 are indicators of a bad equilibrium. They give too much power to referees based on non-essential things. Constructively, editors are in a position to counter that. Referees give advice, they don't make decisions.

2465

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Derek Thompson @dkthomp.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Unbelievable news. Pancreatic is one of the deadliest cancers. New paper shows personalized mRNA vaccines can induce durable T cells that attack pancreatic cancer, with 75% of patients cancer free at three years—far, far better than standard of care. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

13772111912

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Paper submission deadline tomorrow (the 27th) by midnight EST!

021

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Happy to see that this important project by some of my UCSD Econ colleagues is now circulating as a working paper.

072

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Happy to see that this important project by some of my UCSD Econ colleagues is now circulating as a working paper.

072

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

Reminder to submit your papers on topics related to the economics of state and local government finances, fiscal federalism, and related themes by February 27th: www.nber.org/conferences/... Conference to be held September 11-12, 2025.

nber.org

Fiscal Dynamics of State and Local Governments, Fall 2025

054

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

nber.org

Fiscal Dynamics of State and Local Governments, Fall 2025

054

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Marginal Revolution @marginalrev.blogsky.venki.dev · 18/02/2025

Does Peer Review Penalize Scientific Risk Taking?

marginalrevolution.com

Does Peer Review Penalize Scientific Risk Taking?

022

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

Many thanks to Alex Tabarrok for this generous discussion of my new paper with Melissa Gentry and Jonathan Meer, as well as a Journal of Economic Perspectives paper from a few years ago. 1/3

141

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

I'm keeping a running list of disappearing federal data in the 🧵 below. If there are others I missed let me know. crampell[at]washpost[dot]com or Signal username crampell.13

23768152745

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Marginal Revolution @marginalrev.blogsky.venki.dev · 30/01/2025

FDA Deregulation of E-Cigarettes Saved Lives and Spurred Innovation

marginalrevolution.com

FDA Deregulation of E-Cigarettes Saved Lives and Spurred Innovation

021

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

It’s hard to see the forest for the trees right now, but if you want a broader perspective, check out our @siepr.bsky.social Policy Brief (w/ @weakinstrument.bsky.social) on economic policy issues we expect to be front and center in the coming years open.substack.com/pub/nealemah...

open.substack.com

Framing the next four years: Tariffs, tax cuts and other uncertainties in the Trump administration

A cross-post of our SIEPR Policy Brief

155

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

NBER @nber.org · 29/01/2025

Combining survey and administrative data to measure the progressivity of taxes and transfers at the US federal level and separately for each state, from Johannes Fleck, Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten, and Giovanni L. Violante www.nber.org/papers/w33385

2156

Reposted by @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social

Thomas S. Dee @tomdee.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Today's NAEP results—& the apparent role of chronic absenteeism—are unsurprising to any close observer What's curious to me is this evidence-based sense of calamity doesn't really shape broader public sentiment. In fact, satisfaction is rebounding!👇 Is it crisis fatigue? Biases in info & judgment?

2179

jeffreypclemens.bsky.social @jeffreypclemens.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Some facts on federal grants to state and local governments, from a recent paper of mine with @stanveuger.bsky.social:

133