Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 10/10/2026I'm glad something good eventually came out of this. 000
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJulianne Dalcanton @dalcantonjd.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Like many scientists, I’ve been mulling over the impact of LLMs on our fields. I’ve not yet seen it articulated, but I think there is a largely unspoken “invisible labor underclass” framework at play. 1119251
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 07/10/2026This is a nice piece on AI and mathematics. One point I disagree with: "the ball is very much in OpenAI’s court". OpenAI invented a tool, and they're keen to show it off. But those who invent tools often have limited interest in actually using them. I think it is up to *us* to decide what is next. 000
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyDaniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/10/2026The Oct 1 ECMWF seasonal update is even wetter in California during Jan-Mar, and w/higher confidence, vs Sep 1 update. Nov/Dec are certainly leaning wet, but the real signal doesn't emerge until Jan-Mar. Jan and Feb have especially high potential to be extremely wet in CA. 112017
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 07/10/20262025 discourse: “AI will be super disruptive” “No, ha ha, LLMs are just fancy autocomplete” 2026 discourse: “Here are the solutions to a previously unsolved math problems done by AI” “OMG stop, this is super disruptive and unfair” Look, I do get it, but I’m not hearing real discourse yet. 100
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyPhil PlAIt @philplait.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Goddammit. The contempt these people have for everything wondrous and good and *human* is so grotesque. 351376498
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyMark Histed @markhisted.org · 03/10/2026Killed. NSF’s SBE was killed, in violation of law. The President does not have the power to choose to kill programs at a whim by defunding them. The imperial presidency was a mistake and we are in a separation of powers constitutional crisis. 151452529
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyPaul Kingsley @paulkingsley7.bsky.social · 03/10/2026🧪 “The National Science Foundation, one of the biggest sources of federal research funding, withheld $1.4 billion that Congress had intended for research over the course of the past year, according to internal data reviewed by The New York Times.” www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/u...nytimes.comNational Science Foundation Diverted $1.4 Billion in Science Funds Mandated by Congress (Gift Article)The move, affecting about one-fifth of the National Science Foundation’s primary research budget, is the latest sign of how the White House is asserting more control over grants. 39166
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Finally dropped Evernote, after nearly 10 years of usage. It had gotten slowly worse over the years, and the bump to nearly $300/yr was the final straw. 131
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyKris Karnauskas @oceansclimatecu.bsky.social · 23/09/2026My take on the current status, forecast, and impacts of El Niño 2026 - written for general audience I heard radio hosts laughing crazily about "Godzilla" El Niño this morning. I laugh about that, too. I don't even love the word "super" before El Niño. Anyway, here's what's up. 184
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Ubiquitous automated enforcement. It’s the only way we will get to safe streets. 020
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJoe Boomgard-Zagrodnik @joeboomzag.bsky.social · 18/09/2026I built a statistical model to forecast ski conditions using seasonal climate models. Summit at Snoqualmie in Washington has the worst ski forecast in the western US this winter. Makes sense given the “El Niño on steroids” model signal. Go south for better skiing ⛷️ Try it out: where2.ski 87829
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyRobert "The Bobby Yaga" McNees @mcnees.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This isn't even 5d chess, this is Hilbert Space chess. He sees moves in directions you can't even conceive. 3302
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 16/09/2026What if I told you 40k American will die due to AI every year, but that we will accept that loss because the technology is so convenient. Crazy right? 40k Americans die from automobiles every year but we accept that loss because the technology is so convenient. 011
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJennifer Ouellette @jenlucpiquant.bsky.social · 09/09/2026What OpenAI’s latest controversy tells us about the future of math www.technologyreview.com/2026/09/08/1...technologyreview.comWhat OpenAI’s latest controversy tells us about the future of mathAI companies are making impressive mathematical strides. Human mathematicians are losing out. 092
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 20/08/2026"In 2023...NSF spent $918 million on research in the directorate's three core areas—earth, oceans, and atmospheric/geospatial sciences. By comparison...$110 million to be available in 2027". Geosciences decimated. Why are we not talking about this more? www.science.org/content/arti...science.orgIs NSF’s new call for research proposals good news? Scientists and staffers have doubtsThe long-delayed 12 solicitations only cover some disciplines—and promise to give them much less money 021
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 31/07/2026If Washington, Oregon and California left the union they would be immediately better off and able to solve problems down to city level. King County is one of the richest places on earth in all of human history and yet… 000
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 05/07/2026Number of launches to deep space (beyond 150000 km) versus time in 5 year bins. We're not back to Apollo levels yet... 1588
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJohn Timmer @jtimmer.bsky.social · 02/07/2026I don't write a lot of editorials because my opinions are nothing special. But I feel the proposed OMB rule is a large enough threat that it merited one. I hope that you'll read it and act. 053
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 29/06/2026The other context here is that a historically low number of NSF grants have been awarded this fiscal year AND money has been redirected away from basic research 110
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 22/06/20261776: taxes moved money from the colonies to England. 2026: taxes move money from blue states to red states. 010
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyDan Baldassarre @evornithology.bsky.social · 21/06/2026Brutal grant-witness.us/posts/2026-0...grant-witness.usThe NSF is on Track for its Worst Year in Generations – Grant WitnessThrottling of science funding is utterly unprecedented and radical when compared to the past 50 years. 47147
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyRobert Mahon @bedform.org · 20/06/2026This is the whole thing. Basic, wonky, weird, non-applied, whatever you want to call it, science is usually the eventual foundation of everything you know as "technology" or "medicine". It's not even a case of "if they succeed" - the investment is in the voluminous incremental advancements 17427
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyThe Associated Press @apnews.com · 26/04/2026Sabastian Sawe of Kenya has become the first person to run a marathon in under 2 hours.bit.lySabastian Sawe of Kenya wins London Marathon in world-record time, first to finish under two hoursSabastian Sawe of Kenya has become the first person to run a marathon in under 2 hours. Sawe smashed the men’s world record by winning the London Marathon in 1 hour, 59 minutes and 30 seconds on Sunday. 181301332
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyShane Elipot @selipot.bsky.social · 23/04/2026USA Today also covered our recently published research! urldefense.com/v3/__https:/...urldefense.com2 studies warn 'Day After Tomorrow' ocean current is in troubleMore bad news for the ocean current at the center of the fictional (and scientifically inaccurate) "Day After Tomorrow" climate change disaster movie. 011
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyNick Pizzo @nickpizzooceans.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Our recent paper on using thermal imagery from geostationary satellites to infer surface currents was published! We call the method GOFLOW 🧪🌊 www.nature.com/articles/s41... 33712
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyShane Elipot @selipot.bsky.social · 16/04/2026A nice coverage by @cnn.com of our article published last week in Science Advances on the weakening on the AMOC www.cnn.com/2026/04/16/c...cnn.comA vital system of Atlantic Ocean currents is weakening and closer to collapse than thought, new studies find | CNNNew research provides alarming evidence this ocean circulation is slowing and could be heading toward a shutdown, which would have catastrophic impacts on the planet’s weather and climate. 0136
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyKim Cobb @kimcobb.bsky.social · 10/04/2026Two postdoc fellowships now open at @brown.edu Dept of Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences. One in ocean sciences (apply.interfolio.com/183855) and one in any field of geoscience (apply.interfolio.com/183852). Deadline May 1. 13325
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyArs Technica @arstechnica.com · 24/03/2026The Trump administration's newest approach to block the development of offshore wind is to pay companies to walk away from lease sites they had paid for under the Biden administration.arstechnica.comUS to pay TotalEnergies $1 billion to stop developing offshore wind in USPayment reimburses the company for two leases, one for a massive 3 GW wind farm. 94423
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyMegan Ranney MD MPH @meganranney.bsky.social · 16/03/2026On top of the slowdown in grantmaking I wrote about last week - this is another deeply worrisome trend for scientists, physicians, patients, families, and basically anyone who wants new treatments and new tools to promote health. 🆘🧪🥼 open.substack.com/pub/elizabet...open.substack.comI Wrote Research Funding Announcements for NIH for 22 Years. This Year They’ve Published 14How NIH went from 756 funding announcements to 14 in two years — and what it means for every disease that depends on federal research 4190111
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJacob Wenegrat @roguewave.bsky.social · 12/03/2026🌊 3 year postdoc position in our group here at UMD Studying interactions of internal waves and deep boundary currents, cross-scale energy fluxes, and Lagrangian observations of topographic wakes. Full info: wenegrat.github.io/misc/Submeso... Thanks for looking!wenegrat.github.io 077
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 03/01/2026“LLL-pilled” is a great term. It feels like there are few people who remain rational about LLMs. 000
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyShannon Stirone @shannonstirone.bsky.social · 31/12/2025Folks who aren’t in the space world won’t understand but let me say this—the magnitude of damage this administration has done to NASA and science research has set us back decades. It will take many many generations to get us back to where we were before Trump. And that’s assuming it’s funded 27017
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 11/12/2025I think about this quote from @georgemonbiot.bsky.social a lot: “The idea that some people may freely poison others is one of the most astonishing but least contested aspects of modern life.”theguardian.comWe are being poisoned every day, so why do we keep voting for more pollution? Ask a lobbyist | George MonbiotThe dirty industries that dominate politics deceive us into accepting dangerous pollutants such as ammonia as part of life, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot 3646272
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 17/11/2025Which floor contains the reception area, store and restaurant? 120
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyRyan Packer @typewriteralley.bsky.social · 28/10/2025Next week's council elections in Kirkland really do deserve more regional attention. An anti-growth advocacy group is promoting a full slate of candidates who are pledging to "protect neighborhoods." The outcome could tip the city in a very reactionary direction. www.theurbanist.org/2025/10/28/k...theurbanist.orgKirkland Council Elections Could Tip City in Reactionary Direction » The Urbanist# In four different races, Kirkland voters face a choice between pro-growth candidates interested in fostering additional types of housing throughout the city, and candidates looking for the city to b... 24219
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyKatie Mack @astrokatie.com · 03/10/2025As a theoretical cosmologist, I'm frequently asked "what is the benefit of the work you're doing for people's lives?" Nothing I work on makes money or cures disease. There are a few different answers one can give, at various levels of "convincing" / "actually relevant to why the work is done." 1/🧵 511046256
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyAdam Sharp @adamcsharp.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Happy International Coffee Day! A German word that describes a coffee substitute, usually made from barley malt, is Muckefuck. It essentially means "rotting wood mulch" and can also describe any weak coffee. So next time someone makes you a bad coffee feel free to say "What the Muckefuck is this?" 52783218
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyNASAWATCH @nasawatch.bsky.social · 26/09/2025JPLers got a layoff update email this morning. JPLers are also being warned that as many as 4,000 of the 5,500 JPLers could be gone by 15 Oct and that there will be a mandatory return to the office for teleworkers who are still employed by 31 Oct nasawatch.com/personnel-ne...nasawatch.comJPLers Get Layoff Update LetterJPLers got this email this morning from JPL Human Resources 2146
Jeffrey J. Early @jeffreyearly.bsky.social · 07/09/2025There’s adding engine noises to your EV, or there’s this… 010
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyUncle Duke @uncleduke1969.bsky.social · 03/09/2025wife: i wonder what he did me: probably perjury wife: perjury? me: lion under oath wife: … me: in a sealed courtroom wife: … me: plus, he had fishy alibi wife: are you almost done? me: fin 933978
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyCarl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 06/08/2025RFK Jr and his GOP enablers are determined to undermine safe, effective mRNA vaccine technology that offers our best defense against future pandemics.apnews.comRFK Jr. pulls $500 million in funding for vaccine developmentThe Department of Health and Human Services plans to cancel contracts and pull funding for some vaccines being developed to fight respiratory viruses like COVID-19 and the flu. 56790234
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyDavid Roberts @volts.wtf · 24/07/2025Most Americans really have no clue how far the US is being left behind. 782093862
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyRobert "The Bobby Yaga" McNees @mcnees.bsky.social · 16/07/2025Look, speaking as a physicist, it is hard for me to put into words how batshit crazy this is. 801550247
Reposted by Jeffrey J. EarlyJohn Timmer @jtimmer.bsky.social · 12/07/2025If you were wondering about the lack of opposition to massive research cuts from the investor class, and you think "surely they can't be so stupid that they fail to realize that most startups that get launched arise from government-funded, fundamental research", well, maybe it's time to think again. 19518142
