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Jonathan McDowell

@planet4589.bsky.social
21K followers 2.1K following 4.7K posts

Astrophysicist Support the work of Jonathan's Space Report: www.gofundme.com/f/fund-jonathans-s…

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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Orbits for the Starlink Group 31-1 sats are now available on @celestrak.bsky.social showing them in a 262 x 275 km x 30.5 deg orbit.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
It turns out that the Space Force TIP message recording LINK's reentry on Sep 24 was incorrect. The Katalyst team inform me that the SWIFT reboost mission satellite sent its last data during reentry at 0638:12 UTC Sep 25. I have no explanation for the incorrect USSF data.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Starship deployed 26 Starlink V3 sats and then performed a deorbit burn at 2h12m; reentry underway
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Ship remains in 250? x 276 km orbit, has deployed 26 Starlink sats.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Starship orbit insertion at 276 km
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Ship had one engine out during ascent; on marginal-orbit trajectory, attempt to do full orbit insertion may be cancelled for this flight but still reviewing...
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Starship launch at 1248:59 UTC Sep 28
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I did a fun and well attended panel with Mark McCaughrean @markmccaughrean.bsky.social and Tanja Masson-Zwaan
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Did an interview at the ESA open day with @spacerocksofficial.bsky.social
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Nice to meet @eurospacehistory.bsky.social
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Met some old friends at ESA
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Walking past the high bays at ESTEC. Last time I was here Rosetta was in the thermal vac chamber! It's been a while..
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
ESA ESTEC Open Day
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I am on the Eurostar heading home from a weekend at ESTEC, the European Space Agency's center at Noordwijk near Amsterdam
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0039 UTC Sep 26 of Electron from Mahia with a Synspective StriX radar sat. LAUNCH at 1400 UTC Sep 26 of F9 from Vandenberg with a cluster of Space Force probable comm satellites. Hello Noordwijk, I am here!
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Reposted by Jonathan McDowell
European Space History @eurospacehistory.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
🚀 This weekend sees the #ESAOpenDays at ESA ESTEC in the Netherlands on 25/26 September! Are you going?😎 🚀 Here's a look back in time to one of ESA's first Open Days, on Sunday, 19 April 1970. www.esa.int/About_Us/ESA... @spacerocksofficial.bsky.social @nl.esa.int
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The LINK spacecraft, which failed in its mission to rescue the SWIFT observatory, reentered at 1438 UTC Sep 24 over the S Pacific on a track from Tonga towards French Polynesia
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Statement from the Center for Space Environmentalism about space weapons: www.spaceenvironmentalism.org/actions/posi...
spaceenvironmentalism.org
CSE Opposes The Militarization Of Outer Space
The recent confirmation by the United States that it has placed offensive weapons in orbit is cause for grave concern about the long-term integrity of the near-Earth space environment. It is a turning...
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Off to the Netherlands this weekend to participate in the ESA open day at ESTEC/Noordwijk
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Objects 100801 and 100802 cataloged as payloads deployed from tugs on the Transporter 16 and Transporter 17 missions (2026-067 and 2026-156). Not clear which sats yet, although MARS-1B and Torga (Lusiada-7) are likely candidates
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
LAUNCH at 1332 UTC Sep 23 of a CZ-8A from Hainan with the Xingwang Digui (SatNet LEO) group 26 sats LAUNCH at 0846 UTC Sep 24 of a CZ-6A from Taiyuan with three Yaogan 40 Group 04 sigint satellites
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I understand why DoD worries about releasing the high accuracy data, but I believe the downside to nat sec is outweighed by the overall US national interest in safe space travel and the data should just be made public, resolving the concerns raised here.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
From @thitch.bsky.social breakingdefense.com/2026/09/excl...
breakingdefense.com
EXCLUSIVE: SpaceX given unique access to classified DoD space tracking data, sources say - Breaking Defense
Commercial space monitoring firms are concerned SpaceX's ability to use the best DoD data could threaten the market, sources tell Breaking Defense.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
No elements have been released for object 2026-024J, but new data is available for 2024-024H. I now believe that 24J and 24H were actually the same object, and 24J will eventually be deleted from the catalog (1/n)
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0403 UTC Sep 20 of a CAS Space Lijian-1 from Jiuquan with 9 sats: the Diting 01A/B/C triad of commercial RF location-finding sats for Xingjan Jiuzhou Keji Imaging sats Pujiang-4 for SAST, Chaozhisuan-1 for Supercomputing Tech (Beijing), Pengcheng Nanke 1 for Pengcheng Labs [cont...]
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0147 UTC Sep 20 of Starlink Group 15-27 from Vandenberg
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
LAUNCH at 1050 UTC Sep 19 of the Hongtu 2-13 to 2-16 radar sats by Chang Zheng 2D from Jiuquan to a 516 x 531 km x 97.4 deg orbit
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0322 UTC Sep 19 of the StriX-10 radar sat by Rocket Lab Electron from Mahia to a 517 x 589 km x 38.2 deg orbit
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Back from alumni weekend at Churchill College, Cambridge - launch updates soon
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
McDowell being a grumpy old man again in conversation with @astrolisa.bsky.social about Reflect Orbital
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The Tianyi-51 and 52 SAR satellites launched yesterday are now cataloged in a 498 x 502 km x 55.0 deg orbit. The KZ-11 upper stage is in a 133 x 1823 km x 55.0 deg orbit, possibly the disposal burn wasn't oriented quite correctly.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Observations from Russia of a rocket launch seem consistent with launch of a Soyuz/Fregat from Plesetk at about 1650 UTC Sep 17, carrying another Glonass navigation satellite
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0240 UTC Sep 17 of a Kuaizhou-11 from Jiuquan with the Tianyi-51 and 52 C-band SAR radar sats
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0129 UTC Sep 17 of a Falcon 9 from Vandenberg with the USSF-29 (SBST TH-1) payload, an unknown number of Starshield sats, for the US Space Force
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0032 UTC Sep 17 of a Chang Zheng 12 from Hainan with the Xingwang (SatNet LEO) Group 25 internet satellites
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Reposted by Jonathan McDowell
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The costs have of course continued to head to orbit, so further donations are most welcome as I've had to dig deep into my retirement savings.... www.gofundme.com/f/fund-jonat...
gofundme.com
Donate to Fund Jonathan's Space Report Library Transition, organized by Jonathan McDowell
UPDATE: Good news! I have acquired a home for the library and renova… Jonathan McDowell needs your support for Fund Jonathan's Space Report Library Transition
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Exciting news: Jonathan's Space Library finally has electricity! The lights went on today. The shipping containers with the books should arrive in a few weeks.  "𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘢 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨 𝘳𝘰𝘢𝘥, 𝘨𝘦𝘵𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘢 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘮𝘺 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘯𝘦𝘢𝘳.....".
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I'm also looking forward to returning to Churchill College, Cambridge this weekend for an alumni event. The eight years I spent at Churchill were a high point in my life. (Also I was so much smarter then, gone steadily downhill ever since!) If you'll be there, let me know.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The Antibes conference should be fun. I haven't been to that part of France in a long time:
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I am deeply honored to be awarded this year's Loftus Space Sustainability Award by the International Association for the Advancement of Space Safety. I'm looking forward to meeting colleagues in the space sustainability community at the IAASS meeting in Antibes next month.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
So, USSF has space weapons now. In the current draft JSR, planet4589.org/latest.html , I describe a set of 17 USSF satellites that I am calling "USSF GEO Patrol". If @vsamsondc.bsky.social is correct that the space weapons are jammers, I think these are the likely candidates.
planet4589.org
Jonathan's Space Report - Latest Issue
Jonathan's Space Report | Latest Issue
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
LAUNCH at 1333 UTC Sep 16 of the Progress M-35 cargo ship from Baykonur
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Reposted by Jonathan McDowell
Tanja Banner @tanja-banner.de · 16/09/2026
E. Musk will eine Stadt auf dem Mond bauen, J. Bezos die Schwerindustrie dorthin auslagern – doch das könnte schwierig werden. Eine neue Studie von u.a. @planet4589.bsky.social zeigt, dass eine Millionenstadt auf dem #Mond langfristig nicht genug #Wasser hätte: www.fr.de/wissen/stadt...
fr.de
„Eine Milliarde Tonnen Wasser ist nicht viel“: Forscher zerlegen Musks Mondstadt-Plan mit neuer Studie
Die Milliardäre Elon Musk und Jeff Bezos wollen den Mond besiedeln – doch Forscher haben nachgerechnet und sehen ein massives Problem: Das Wasser wird knapp.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I talk smack about American space militarism to the @theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/science/2026...
theguardian.com
US confirms for first time it has deployed weapons in space
Analysts warn of an acceleration in high-risk arms race with Russia and China in Earth’s orbit
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
LAUNCH at 2200 UTC Sep 15 of a Yinli-1 from the DFHT barge in the East China Sea near 123.7E 31.2N, putting eight Qianfan Digui 26 zu sats and the EUHT Jishu Shiyan Weixing in orbit. (EUHT given in Latin characters, unclear what it stands for)
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The NRO/Lockheed/Motorola P-11 No. 5103 signals intelligence sat, FARRAH III (codename USA 32, NRO Mission 7348) launched in 1988 and retired sometime in the late 1990s, underwent a debris event on 2026 Sep 13 at 2113 UTC according to USSF Space-Track. It's in a 775 x 778 km x 85 deg orbit
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Reposted by Jonathan McDowell
DER SPIEGEL @spiegel.de · 15/09/2026
Kann die Menschheit auf dem Mond leben? Ja, sagt Jonathan McDowell – aber für die Expansion ins All braucht es Strom und Wasser. Der Astronom hat berechnet, ob genug davon da wäre.
spiegel.de
Raumfahrt: Warum die Träume von riesigen Mondsiedlungen scheitern dürften
Kann die Menschheit auf dem Mond leben? Ja, sagt Jonathan McDowell – aber für die Expansion ins All braucht es Strom und Wasser. Der Astronom hat berechnet, ob genug davon da wäre.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0626 UTC Sep 15 of a Landspace Zhuque-2E from Jiuquan with ten Qianfan internet satellites
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0121 UTC Sep 15 of ESA's Flex vegetation floruescence monitoring sat and the EU's Sentinel-3C ocean color and altimetry satellite, on a Vega-C from the Centre Spatial Guyanais
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
LAUNCH at 0121 UTC Sep 15 of ESA's Flex vegetation floruescence monitoring sat and the EU's Sentinel-3C ocean color and altimetry satellite, on a Vega-C from the Centre Spatial Guyanais
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