iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 29/01/2026

🎧 New Emergency episode! @markhleonard.bsky.social welcomes @jamescrabtree.bsky.social live from India, to unravel the recent EU-India trade deal. Together, they explore India’s strategic pivot amid US tariffs, the potential for deeper defence and tech ties. Listen now! bit.ly/467RWVM

bit.ly

The EU-India mega-deal – European Council on Foreign Relations

Mark Leonard welcomes James Crabtree to unpack the landmark EU-India trade deal

054

Reposted by James Crabtree

Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 03/12/2025

As the United States becomes “a more erratic and occasionally troublesome” partner for New Delhi, India should align more closely with Europe, argue @jamescrabtree.bsky.social and Rudra Chaudhuri.

foreignaffairs.com

The India Trump Made

How American bullying is shaping Indian foreign policy.

2165

Reposted by James Crabtree

Daniel Drezner @dandrezner.bsky.social · 26/12/2025

<— Honored to have been a guest on @gideonrachman.bsky.social’s last FT podcast of 2025, also featuring @leslievinjamuri.bsky.social and @jamescrabtree.bsky.social. www.ft.com/content/1e62...

ft.com

Transcript: 2025 — a year of chaos and confusion

Gideon Rachman talks to Leslie Vinjamuri, Dan Drezner and James Crabtree

1338

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 03/12/2025

As Putin arrives in Delhi new @foreignaffairs.com w/ Rudra @carnegieendowment.org on — 🇮🇳 🇷🇺🇺🇸😕 & — 🇮🇳🇪🇺💪 "Trump’s approach is producing precisely the outcome it sought to prevent: a more multialigned India, less susceptible to bludgeoning pressure from US" www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...

030

Reposted by James Crabtree

Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 12/10/2025

Very interesting piece from @jamescrabtree.bsky.social on how Trump's desire for the Nobel Peace Prize has upsides - as in the push for the Gaza ceasefire - yet is also being studied in Islamabad, Beijing and beyond as a diplomatic opportunity worth gaming out foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/10/t...

foreignpolicy.com

Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Obsession Isn’t Over

His vanity is reshaping geopolitics and opens a way to game U.S. policy.

0248

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR Asia @ecfrasia.bsky.social · 25/09/2025

🌏 What are the primary threats to undersea cables in today’s security environment and how can Europe & the Indo-Pacific work together to enhance monitoring & protection of this infrastructure? These questions were addressed at panel III of our Manilna conference. @ecfr.eu @jamescrabtree.bsky.social

022

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 23/09/2025

🚨 EMERGENCY WEBINAR 🚨 With Nirupama Rao, Tom Wright, Lindsey Ford, Manisha Reuter, and me! 📅 India: 7:30 PM - 8:30 PM IST Europe: 4:00 PM - 5:00 PM CEST UK: 3:00 PM - 4:00 PM BST USA: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM EDT 🔗 Register eu01web.zoom.us/webinar/regi... @ecfr.eu

033

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR Asia @ecfrasia.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Trump’s attacks on India have prompted New Delhi to reassess its diplomatic strategy – in his latest paper, @jamescrabtree.bsky.social discusses India’s back-up plan in a shifting world and the emerging potential for EU-India relations. ➡️ buff.ly/ncSI3Cb

053

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 11/09/2025

American hostility towards India should not drive New Delhi to shift away from the West entirely. Europe provides a promising pathway—one that can help India balance its risks without rapidly escalating tensions with China, writes @jamescrabtree.bsky.social bit.ly/3JWyGlU

ecfr.eu

Pivot to Europe: India’s back-up plan in Trump’s world

Tensions with Trump will prompt India to seek rapprochement with Beijing, but the underlying competitive dynamics in China-India relations are unlikely to change. Against this backdrop…

031

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 10/09/2025

🚨 NEW REPORT ALERT 🚨 New paper for @ecfr on India's global position as its ties with the US crumble. Basic argument is that Europe, not Russia or China, is the next best option for a rebalance.

061

Reposted by James Crabtree

Andrew Martin @andrewmartin.bsky.social · 31/08/2025

I DID NOT need this quote from @jamescrabtree.bsky.social's newsletter. (or maybe I did, I'm not sure. In any case, it's an excellent newsletter)

111

Reposted by James Crabtree

Niko Jaakkola @nikoecon.bsky.social · 30/08/2025

This @gideonrachman.bsky.social podcast with @jamescrabtree.bsky.social is a remarkable indictment of Trump & his wrecking years and years of US Indo-Pacific diplomacy. Astounding how he is allowed to shoot his own country in the foot.

ft.com

Taiwan’s Trump problem

Are the sands shifting for US policy in the Indo-Pacific region?

093

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 28/08/2025

Latest @foreignpolicy.com. Xi and Putin will court Modi this weekend. I doubt very much India will take the bait, for good reason. Thoughts welcome as ever. Gift link — foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/27/i...

020

Reposted by James Crabtree

Alice Hancock @alicemhancock.bsky.social · 08/07/2025

💥Rotterdam (Europe’s largest port) is preparing for a potential conflict with Russia by reserving space for military ships. Another great spot by @andybounds.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/0c42...

ft.com

Europe’s biggest port readies for potential war with Russia

Rotterdam has started reserving space for Nato supply ships and planning military exercises

02718

Reposted by James Crabtree

Will Davies @will-davies.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

the correct political economy take on Oasis is that their career perfectly mirrored left-neoliberalism: 1994-2009 was the period between Blair's abandoning of Clause Four, and the dawn of post-GFC austerity

3195

Reposted by James Crabtree

Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 28/06/2025

Leaving @ecfr.eu’s #ACM25 in Warsaw after two days of ideas and discussion. The mood among the European foreign-policy crowd: somewhere between pessimism and realism. A gloomy consensus that mounting global disorder will demand cannier policymaking.

172

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 27/06/2025

In Warsaw for two days of discussion at the @ecfr.eu council meeting, kicked off by @radek-sikorski.bsky.social, eloquent on "security Europe".

072

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

The lesson of global oligarchy: if billionaires fight with autocrats, the autocrats win. My latest in @foreignpolicy.com on Musk's grim road ahead if he doesn't back down. Gift Link — foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/09/e...

020

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

5 thought on 🇮🇳🇵🇰 for 🇪🇺 from @jankaoertel.bsky.social & me, for @ecfr.eu. 1. 🇵🇰 military action overnight marks new escalation, with drone attacks on major cities. Likely 🇮🇳 will feel compelled to respond again to maintain escalation dominance, as @shashj.bsky.social notes ecfr.eu/article/esca...

ecfr.eu

Escalation in South Asia: Europe’s core interests amid crisis between India and Pakistan

This week, tensions between India and Pakistan have led to direct combat and fatalities. As the confrontation escalates, Europeans will likely have to take clear sides and re-assess the role of Chines...

142

Reposted by James Crabtree

Stanley Pignal @spignal.bsky.social · 28/04/2025

You have to wonder what Mark Carney's other two wishes were after rubbing that bottle

1684404635

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

Essay in @nytimes just up on Trump's tariff attack on "factory Asia" — and why it should now raise serious questions about long-term future of US security guarantees in the Indo-Pacific too. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/o...

155

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

In Delhi this week to speak at a few interesting events. A balmy 41 degrees yesterday. Good to see Stalinism is alive and well.

030

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 09/04/2025

Looking forward to my marquee panel in Delhi today. Come and marvel as I manage a mere six panelists in 50 minutes, which by local standards, should be a doddle.

000

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 28/02/2025

As EU-India talks continue in New Delhi, security and defence cooperation is in focus. Could India join PESCO? With global uncertainty rising, a new EU-India defence partnership is on the table. Read more from @jamescrabtree.bsky.social 📝 🔗 buff.ly/4h08hhX

buff.ly

In the wake of Trump: The EU’s chance to redefine its India relationship

As Ursula von der Leyen prepares to bring her team of European commissioners to New Delhi this week, she should seize the moment to deepen ties with her Indian counterparts. With Donald Trump in the…

071

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

New @asiasociety.org report from me for on Trump / Southeast Asia. Most in SEA want US to keep playing a role in Asia, fearing PRC domination. But as one official put it to me recently: if we now must provide tribute to the US, maybe we should stick with the tributary system we already know?

13317

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

A glorious sunny day in Berlin, & a v timely @ecfr.eu meeting on Japan / Europe ties, and what to do variously with our strategic competitors, not just in Beijing but Washington. Excellent first panel with Michito Tsuruoka, Eva Pejsova, & Alexandra Sakaki, all chaired by Elli-Katharina Pohlkamp.

022

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

Off to Berlin to chair a timely @ecfr.eu Asia event about Europe and Japan. I'm told that if I hear a faint whoosh on arrival at the airport, I shouldn't be alarmed - just the sound of hitherto stiff German fiscal taps being turned on.....

030

Reposted by James Crabtree

Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 02/03/2025

Also the collective GDP of the EU + UK + Norway is around $24 trillion compared to $2 trillion for Russia. We have vastly more resources if we choose to use them.

582021500

Reposted by James Crabtree

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

My latest in @foreignpolicy.com ignPolicy. Trump was meant to be tough on China. You can see some operational signs of that shift. But at the strategic level, his early period in power looks broadly positive for Beijing. Link outside paywall 👇 foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/18/t...

052

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR Asia @ecfrasia.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

"It is hard to imagine a better time to re-energise Europe’s and India’s historically lacklustre ties." - @jamescrabtree.bsky.social discusses the potential of European-Indian relations following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. @ecfr.eu

buff.ly

In the wake of Trump: The EU’s chance to redefine its India relationship

011

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

Lots of grim news in the world, but hard to imagine a better external context to push Europe and India to fix up their historically lacklustre relationship. My latest @ecfr commentary on the big 🇪🇺🇮🇳 trip this week...... ecfr.eu/article/in-t...

ecfr.eu

In the wake of Trump: The EU’s chance to redefine its India relationship

020

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

"Some in Washington argue that America can conduct a ‘reverse Kissinger’ that detaches Moscow from its quasi-alliance with Beijing. The analogy is historically uninformed and strategically illiterate." @nigelgould-davies.bsky.social on US "diplomatic surrender" www.iiss.org/online-analy...

iiss.org

America’s strategic diplomatic surrender

America is pre-emptively ceding fundamental and long-held positions to Russia in the hope of ending a war it is not fighting. This is likely to make it less, not more, secure.

031

Reposted by James Crabtree

Mujtaba Rahman @mijrahman.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

‼️🇫🇷🇬🇧 France's Europe Minister Benjamin Haddad has just confirmed on TV that Macron will go to Washington to see trump early next week. Still not clear whether this will be a joint meeting with Starmer but the likelihood is that they will see him separately

3378

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

052

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 10/02/2025

At interesting ECFR breakfast with @jyshapiro.bsky.social and @markleonard.bsky.social Presenting this striking poll - on how positive most of the world, beyond core US allies, view Trump's return. ecfr.eu/publication/...

010

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

China’s military is building a massive complex in western Beijing that US intelligence believes will serve as a wartime command centre far larger than the Pentagon, according to current and former American officials.

021

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Since Trump’s first year in office global trade roughly steady approx 60% of global GDP. B But this figure disguises US share of trade flows following and Asia, Europe and the Middle East rising. Interesting on global trade shifts from Ruchir Sharma www.ft.com/content/07ea...

ft.com

The world is moving on to trade without the US

Many nations have been responding to Trump tariffs not by retaliating but by courting other trade partners

021

Reposted by James Crabtree

ECFR @ecfr.eu · 20/01/2025

The return of Donald Trump could shake the fundamentals of US relationships in the Indo-Pacific. Here’s how Europeans should act, argue @ellipohlkamp.bsky.social , @jamescrabtree.bsky.social , and @alexlipke.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/3CwAVIT

121

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

Interesting discussion on Musk and Trump just now on @ChannelNewsAsia, bouncing off this Foreign Policy piece. foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/01/t...

000

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

FT interview with Anwar, notes how the US has lost ground to China in Malaysia and Southeast Asia more generally. www.ft.com/content/1870...

010

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 19/01/2025

Sunrise in Braunwald, Switzerland.

050

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

China's car exporters have rocketed up since the pandemic. But only two of its automobile companies – BYD and Li Auto – are profitable. 30 or more are loss-making. Via @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social mailings.cer.eu/publications...

000

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

Striking new map of the world, taken from the latest US "AI diffusion" rules on semiconductors. Splits EU and NATO in two. Lots of vital US partners — not least India — as well countries like Singapore in Tier 2. will now be intense pressure on Trump's team from these countries to widen Tier 1.

020

Reposted by James Crabtree

Michael McFaul @mcfaulmike.bsky.social · 06/01/2025

I just joined here! Follow me.

4423349

James Crabtree @jamescrabtree.bsky.social · 03/01/2025

My contribution to the @foreignpolicy.com lookahead to 2025, on America's oligarch. People keep predicting what might happen if Musk and Trump fall out. Seems to me much important to think through what might happen if they don't. foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/01/t...

1145

Reposted by James Crabtree

Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan @london.gov.uk · 01/01/2025

“In London, everyone is different. But that means anyone can fit in.” Beautifully put. Thank you, Paddington. ❤️

531739330