iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Prisonculture @prisonculture.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

This whole AI chatbot thing could not come at a worse time in this country. People are absolutely DESKILLED at building meaningful relationships and every suggestion that "YES, you DO have to talk to your neighbors" is met with rage from some corner. But relationships ARE humans' CURRENCY. The End.

14721199

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

GS points out that (data task force member) Chetty's alternative economic indicator series has performed rather poorly since the pandemic, highlighting the challenges in using non-representative data

Graph shows the divergence between Opportunity Insights employment series and NFP

1245

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

constitutional birthright citizenship survives by 1 vote. and to think people were worried about this beautiful institution.

444622643

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie @audrelawdamercy.blacksky.app · 30/06/2026

Kavanaugh, Thomas, Gorsuch, and Alito should be impeached www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25p...

supremecourt.gov

402298610

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

The New Yorker @newyorker.com · 14/04/2026

A toddler nearly died at an ICE detention facility in Dilley, Texas. After more than a week in intensive care, she was sent back. Sarah Stillman reports. www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...

newyorker.com

The Return of Family Detention

Under the Trump Administration, thousands of immigrant children have been detained, and many have suffered from medical neglect.

28558280

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Assume we have a strait opener

911263159

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 18/02/2026

Literal nightmare fuel as former NY Fed economist

4849

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

Good reporting by @theathletic.com on Steve Tisch’s relationship with Epstein www.nytimes.com/athletic/704...

Since the Department of Justice released more than 3 million emails last month, powerful individuals have had their dealings with Epstein scrutinized. But the Tisch-Epstein dynamic — revealed in dozens of unguarded emails exchanged between them in 2013 - stands out for how singularly focused it was on Epstein's ability to connect Tisch with young women.
There was scant talk about philanthropy or business opportunities present in many other Epstein relationships. Rather, Epstein, a convicted sex offender who was charged with sex trafficking before his
), merely plucked women trom
his orbit and delivered them to Tisch.

821184282

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

I mean, all of these analyses present correlation as causation. The entire year of this has made me feel like I was taking crazy pills. Their response has been “ah you’re obsessed with complex academic minutiae like this ivory tower idea that ‘correlation is not causation’”

720732

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

the fact that wapo is closing every single part of the newspaper that attracts readers in order to focus on vertical short form video and opinion columns makes it very clear that the bezos takeover isn't about business. it's not even about propaganda. it's about showing off his power and clout

121149197

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

Last week in Minnesota, I watched ordinary people risk their lives to protect their neighbors. In the process, they not only won a significant—though not final—victory against authoritarianism, they proved virtually every MAGA social theory wrong. (gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

Every social theory undergirding Trumpism has been broken on the steel of Minnesotan resolve. The multiracial community in Minneapolis was supposed to shatter. It did not. It held until Bovino was forced out of the Twin Cities with his long coat between his legs.

The secret fear of the morally depraved is that virtue is actually common, and that they’re the ones who are alone. In Minnesota, all of the ideological cornerstones of MAGA have been proved false at once. Minnesotans, not the armed thugs of ICE and the Border Patrol, are brave. Minnesotans have shown that their community is socially cohesive—because of its diversity and not in spite of it. Minnesotans have found and loved one another in a world atomized by social media, where empty men have tried to fill their lonely soul with lies about their own inherent superiority. Minnesotans have preserved everything worthwhile about “Western civilization,” while armed brutes try to tear it down by force.

261120153986

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Minnesota Star Tribune @startribune.com · 24/01/2026

Man shot by federal agent in south Minneapolis www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...

60806457

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

There’s video now. Worst thing I’ve ever seen. The entire ICE contingent needs to be arrested

802910647

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Craig Harrington @craigipedia.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

This is absolutely what the video shows. A person is wrestled to the ground by 6 ICE agents and then executed at point blank range.

111342384

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 02/01/2026

catholicism, the religion best-known for its embrace of the free market. many people do not know this but the Pope's primary job is to make needles large enough for the rich to get into heaven through

1642151

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social · 13/10/2025

the actual story here, which the media never talks about, is that police in this country have become a discrete right-wing political operation. the story isn't about cops leaving (they're lying about that), it's about the police trying to exert influence over elections.

557212145499

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 23/08/2025

Long before she joined the Fed, Lisa Cook stood out in a field dominated by white men. She talked about how her experience with racism informed her approach to economics. Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...

nytimes.com

Lisa Cook, Who Broke Ground at the Fed, Faces Attack by Trump

8398154

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

I'm already seeing centrists and leftists sniping at each other but the blame for this is 100% on the Republicans. This is what they do with power and it is imperative that we work together to keep them as far from it as possible, forever.

15458541273

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Maggie Astor @maggieastor.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

Breaking: The Trevor Project received a stop-work order last night on its contract with the national 988 suicide prevention hotline. The Trump administration is eliminating the option for LGBTQ callers to the hotline to press 3 and connect with someone who specializes in LGBTQ mental health.

25278314314

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Josh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

Just utter lawlessness from the Trump Administration, with no goal other than to punish institutions for refusing to bend the knee. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...

nytimes.com

Trump Administration Halts Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students

641630474

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Cathy Gao-Howard MD MS @catgaohow.bsky.social · 18/05/2025

Northwestern has not received any NIH funds since March. No written communication about why or what can be done. Thank you Ben Singer for raising awareness at #ATS2025

181458598

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Owen Melia @owenjmelia.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

Check out this video! This shows the solution to 200 different PDE problems modeling wave propagation in inhomogeneous media. Each PDE is solved with about 1 million unknowns. I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!

051

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Anyway, had a lot of fun working on this. Very grateful to all who helped, and to the authors whose work I'm building off of. And to the BEA for having great data and a good API! My code and data are available on Github, linked here.(11/11) github.com/jacobgosseli...

github.com

GitHub - jacobgosselin/HeterogeousSectoralProduction: Replication code for "Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks".

Replication code for "Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks". - jacobgosselin/HeterogeousSectoralProduction

000

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Lot of questions left. Note 2: (1) ES/SP govern how sectors respond to input price changes, so my estimates are relevant to anything that propagates through prices (distortions, price rigidities). (2) ES swings are big; why are sectors more/less sensitive to price changes in different years?(10/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

SP shifts raise [lower] the GDP effect of shocks to sectors as they become more[less] central suppliers: e.g. between 1997 and 2023 GDP effect of “Paper products” shocks fell and GDP effect of “Computer and electronic products” shocks rose due to changes in their importance as input suppliers(9/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Temp. het. raises[lowers] the GDP effect of shocks in years where sectors are less[more] able to substitute: e.g. generating GDP distribution from realistic sector-level TFP shocks, diff btwn using 1st and 3rd qtile of sector-level ES across years is same as diff btwn 3rd qtile and CD(8/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

I quantify the effect of heterogeneity of ES and year-to-year changes of SP in a GE model of multi-sector production. Find that sec. het. of ES raises[lowers] effect of shocks to sectors whose customers are less[more] able to substitute: e.g. "chemical products" shocks 10% worse.(7/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Having SP shifts lets me test ext. validity. Sum abs. value of shifts by industry-year: magnitude of changes in sectoral production which shifted relative demand for inputs. Show that this measure is dynamically correlated with weighted patents; reassuring that I'm not just picking up noise.(6/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

More precise->can get granular estimates. Sector-level ES shows complementarity but a lot of heterogeneity! Sector-year level ES shows a lot of heterogeneity in both directions. Plus, this approach gives residual structural meaning: SP shifts. Similar to preference shocks in demand literature(5/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

I estimate ind-yr ES, and annual changes in SP, with exp. share shifts and prices from BEA. Past work used IVs to estimate all prod. parameters. IVs ignore novel industry-input-year variation of data. I only estimate 2 parameters, so can use ind-yr FEs: more variation->more precise estimates(4/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

In production models, (1) is determined by share parameters (SP) which govern relative importance of inputs, (2) is determined by elasticity of substitution (ES) across inputs. Main existing estimates in US assume ES is uniform and constant, and SP are constant(3/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Common answer to this question is Hulten's thm: sales share gives GDP effect to first order. But first order is misleading if sector is "essential"/shocks are moderate. Full effect depends on (1) how important are shocked sectors as suppliers and (2) how easily can sectors substitute inputs(2/11)

100

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

First WP is up! Looks at classic micro-to-macro question: What happens to GDP when an individual sector is negatively shocked? Presents novel estimation of sector-yr parameters governing propagation, for 66 ind. from 97-23. Finds sectoral/temporal heterogeneity which changes answer(1/11) #EconSky

arxiv.org

Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks

The effect of a negative sectoral shock on GDP depends on how important the shocked sector is as a direct and indirect supplier and how easily sectors can substitute inputs. Past estimates of the para...

142

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

If Books Could Kill @ifbookspod.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Episode 36: You Are A Badass Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.

podcasts.apple.com

You Are A Badass

Podcast Episode · If Books Could Kill · 01/23/2025 · 59m

13474367

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Shengwu Li @shengwuli.bsky.social · 14/01/2025

The lesson of mechanism design is not that we should all do central planning, but that all systems (even market prices) are constrained by incentives and private info. And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.

2334

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

going to keep saying: a society that wants to keep its basic functioning going should probably punish baldfaced lying

292227337

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

Macroeconomists cautiously proposing the idea that... problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior

816919

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Ben Moll @benmoll.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

New paper: benjaminmoll.com/challenge/

316142

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Can't left/right split it goes against the natural order of the board (cut into 2 2X8 ft slices to fit in the car on the way back from Home Depot)

010

Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Tough optics on my half of the home office whiteboard this AM

130

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

gabe schoenbach @gabey.zip · 21/11/2024

it is snowing in chicago(!)

061

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

Erin Reed @erininthemorning.com · 21/11/2024

"If a woman doesn't look woman enough to a Republican, they want to be able to inspect your genitals to use a bathroom? It's disgusting. Everyone should reject it completely... they're endangering women, they're endangering girls of all kind, and everyone should reject it. It's gross." - AOC

9316068913091

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 19/11/2024

This is really getting quite remarkable • BlueSky user numbers have doubled in the past week and now total 3.5 million across US & UK 🚀 • Number of people deleting their X/Twitter account remains way up And the next chart is particularly notable...

13357331386

Reposted by Jake Gosselin

James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

things are about to get really dumb, huh

1102259191