iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

GS points out that (data task force member) Chetty's alternative economic indicator series has performed rather poorly since the pandemic, highlighting the challenges in using non-representative data

Graph shows the divergence between Opportunity Insights employment series and NFP

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Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

constitutional birthright citizenship survives by 1 vote. and to think people were worried about this beautiful institution.

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Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie @audrelawdamercy.blacksky.app · 30/06/2026

Kavanaugh, Thomas, Gorsuch, and Alito should be impeached www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25p...

supremecourt.gov

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The New Yorker @newyorker.com · 14/04/2026

A toddler nearly died at an ICE detention facility in Dilley, Texas. After more than a week in intensive care, she was sent back. Sarah Stillman reports. www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...

newyorker.com

The Return of Family Detention

Under the Trump Administration, thousands of immigrant children have been detained, and many have suffered from medical neglect.

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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Assume we have a strait opener

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 18/02/2026

Literal nightmare fuel as former NY Fed economist

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Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

Good reporting by @theathletic.com on Steve Tisch’s relationship with Epstein www.nytimes.com/athletic/704...

Since the Department of Justice released more than 3 million emails last month, powerful individuals have had their dealings with Epstein scrutinized. But the Tisch-Epstein dynamic — revealed in dozens of unguarded emails exchanged between them in 2013 - stands out for how singularly focused it was on Epstein's ability to connect Tisch with young women.
There was scant talk about philanthropy or business opportunities present in many other Epstein relationships. Rather, Epstein, a convicted sex offender who was charged with sex trafficking before his
), merely plucked women trom
his orbit and delivered them to Tisch.

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

I mean, all of these analyses present correlation as causation. The entire year of this has made me feel like I was taking crazy pills. Their response has been “ah you’re obsessed with complex academic minutiae like this ivory tower idea that ‘correlation is not causation’”

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Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

the fact that wapo is closing every single part of the newspaper that attracts readers in order to focus on vertical short form video and opinion columns makes it very clear that the bezos takeover isn't about business. it's not even about propaganda. it's about showing off his power and clout

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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

Last week in Minnesota, I watched ordinary people risk their lives to protect their neighbors. In the process, they not only won a significant—though not final—victory against authoritarianism, they proved virtually every MAGA social theory wrong. (gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

Every social theory undergirding Trumpism has been broken on the steel of Minnesotan resolve. The multiracial community in Minneapolis was supposed to shatter. It did not. It held until Bovino was forced out of the Twin Cities with his long coat between his legs.

The secret fear of the morally depraved is that virtue is actually common, and that they’re the ones who are alone. In Minnesota, all of the ideological cornerstones of MAGA have been proved false at once. Minnesotans, not the armed thugs of ICE and the Border Patrol, are brave. Minnesotans have shown that their community is socially cohesive—because of its diversity and not in spite of it. Minnesotans have found and loved one another in a world atomized by social media, where empty men have tried to fill their lonely soul with lies about their own inherent superiority. Minnesotans have preserved everything worthwhile about “Western civilization,” while armed brutes try to tear it down by force.

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Minnesota Star Tribune @startribune.com · 24/01/2026

Man shot by federal agent in south Minneapolis www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...

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Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

There’s video now. Worst thing I’ve ever seen. The entire ICE contingent needs to be arrested

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Craig Harrington @craigipedia.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

This is absolutely what the video shows. A person is wrestled to the ground by 6 ICE agents and then executed at point blank range.

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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 02/01/2026

catholicism, the religion best-known for its embrace of the free market. many people do not know this but the Pope's primary job is to make needles large enough for the rich to get into heaven through

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Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social · 13/10/2025

the actual story here, which the media never talks about, is that police in this country have become a discrete right-wing political operation. the story isn't about cops leaving (they're lying about that), it's about the police trying to exert influence over elections.

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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 23/08/2025

Long before she joined the Fed, Lisa Cook stood out in a field dominated by white men. She talked about how her experience with racism informed her approach to economics. Now, she is Trump’s latest target in his effort to exert more control over the central bank. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/23/b...

nytimes.com

Lisa Cook, Who Broke Ground at the Fed, Faces Attack by Trump

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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 03/07/2025

I'm already seeing centrists and leftists sniping at each other but the blame for this is 100% on the Republicans. This is what they do with power and it is imperative that we work together to keep them as far from it as possible, forever.

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Maggie Astor @maggieastor.bsky.social · 18/06/2025

Breaking: The Trevor Project received a stop-work order last night on its contract with the national 988 suicide prevention hotline. The Trump administration is eliminating the option for LGBTQ callers to the hotline to press 3 and connect with someone who specializes in LGBTQ mental health.

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Josh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

Just utter lawlessness from the Trump Administration, with no goal other than to punish institutions for refusing to bend the knee. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...

nytimes.com

Trump Administration Halts Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students

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Cathy Gao-Howard MD MS @catgaohow.bsky.social · 18/05/2025

Northwestern has not received any NIH funds since March. No written communication about why or what can be done. Thank you Ben Singer for raising awareness at #ATS2025

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Owen Melia @owenjmelia.bsky.social · 19/03/2025

Check out this video! This shows the solution to 200 different PDE problems modeling wave propagation in inhomogeneous media. Each PDE is solved with about 1 million unknowns. I'll share more about how this works and why I think it's interesting later. For now, it's mesmerizing to look at!

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Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

First WP is up! Looks at classic micro-to-macro question: What happens to GDP when an individual sector is negatively shocked? Presents novel estimation of sector-yr parameters governing propagation, for 66 ind. from 97-23. Finds sectoral/temporal heterogeneity which changes answer(1/11) #EconSky

arxiv.org

Heterogeneity in Sectoral Production and the Macro Effect of Sectoral Shocks

The effect of a negative sectoral shock on GDP depends on how important the shocked sector is as a direct and indirect supplier and how easily sectors can substitute inputs. Past estimates of the para...

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If Books Could Kill @ifbookspod.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Episode 36: You Are A Badass Do you want to take control of your life? It’s a two-step process: (1) defeat your evil subconscious and (2) go into massive amounts of debt.

podcasts.apple.com

You Are A Badass

Podcast Episode · If Books Could Kill · 01/23/2025 · 59m

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Shengwu Li @shengwuli.bsky.social · 14/01/2025

The lesson of mechanism design is not that we should all do central planning, but that all systems (even market prices) are constrained by incentives and private info. And we should account for that when studying the welfare consequences of interventions.

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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 02/12/2024

going to keep saying: a society that wants to keep its basic functioning going should probably punish baldfaced lying

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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

Macroeconomists cautiously proposing the idea that... problems that Fields medalists can occasionally handle *(in special cases) are perhaps not the best as-if models of agents' dynamic behavior

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Ben Moll @benmoll.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

New paper: benjaminmoll.com/challenge/

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Jake Gosselin @jaketg.bsky.social · 24/11/2024

Tough optics on my half of the home office whiteboard this AM

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gabe schoenbach @gabey.zip · 21/11/2024

it is snowing in chicago(!)

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Erin Reed @erininthemorning.com · 21/11/2024

"If a woman doesn't look woman enough to a Republican, they want to be able to inspect your genitals to use a bathroom? It's disgusting. Everyone should reject it completely... they're endangering women, they're endangering girls of all kind, and everyone should reject it. It's gross." - AOC

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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 19/11/2024

This is really getting quite remarkable • BlueSky user numbers have doubled in the past week and now total 3.5 million across US & UK 🚀 • Number of people deleting their X/Twitter account remains way up And the next chart is particularly notable...

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James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

things are about to get really dumb, huh

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Itai Sher @itaisher.bsky.social · 17/11/2024

This is so misguided. And it’s backwards. Broad intuitions aren’t just always true. There are assumptions required to make them true. And mathematics uncovers what those assumptions are.

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ciara mountains @ciaramountains.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

First quote log check on bluesky

A notes app note that reads:
““I have big ‘second JFK shooter’ vibes in these photos”
-Jake
9/15/2024

“If I was a bounty hunter in a world run by snakes…”
-Nick
10/23/2024

“I’m in a sexual prison, I’m not coming out today”
-Claire (wedding day)
10/26/2024

“I can’t decide if I want to be professional, or cute”
-Gabe
11/14/2024”

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ePrint Updates @eprint.ing.bot · 20/05/2024

Enhancing Watermarked Language Models to Identify Users (Aloni Cohen, Alexander Hoover, Gabe Schoenbach) ia.cr/2024/759

Abstract. A zero-bit watermarked language model produces text that is indistinguishable from that of the underlying model, but which can be detected as machine-generated using a secret key. Unfortunately, merely detecting AI-generated spam, say, as watermarked may not prevent future abuses. If we could additionally trace the text to a spammer’s API token or account, we could then cut off their access or pursue legal action.

We introduce multi-user watermarks, which allow tracing model-generated text to individual users or to groups of colluding users. We construct multi-user watermarking schemes from undetectable zero-bit watermarking schemes. Importantly, our schemes provide both zero-bit and multi-user assurances at the same time: detecting shorter snippets just as well as the original scheme, and tracing longer excerpts to individuals. Along the way, we give a generic construction of a watermarking scheme that embeds long messages into generated text.

Ours are the first black-box reductions between watermarking schemes for language models. A major challenge for black-box reductions is the lack of a unified abstraction for robustness — that marked text is detectable even after edits. Existing works give incomparable robustness guarantees, based on bespoke requirements on the language model’s outputs and the users’ edits. We introduce a new abstraction to overcome this challenge, called AEB-robustness. AEB-robustness provides that the watermark is detectable whenever the edited text “approximates enough blocks” of model-generated output. Specifying the robustness condition amounts to defining approximates, enough, and blocks. Using our new abstraction, we relate the robustness properties of our message-embedding and multi-user schemes to that of the underlying zero-bit scheme, in a black-box way. Whereas prior works only guarantee robustness for a single text generated in response to a single prompt, our schemes are robust against adaptive prompting, a stronger and more natural adversarial model.

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