Reposted by Jake HNick Kodama 🌳👻 @nickkodama.bsky.social · 16/09/2026She's A-10 but her weakness is SAMs 0302
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 09/09/2026That’s tough, as Versailles needed to either be much tougher or conversely, softer. But I would say that Germany keeps the Sudetenland and the German speaking parts of Danzig. Perhaps keep the conscription ban, but no other army restrictions. But increase the Rhineland demilitarized zone. 001
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 17/08/2026If you haven’t seen it, I would really recommend “the fall guy” for happy gosling action. 120
Reposted by Jake HReconstructionist @unavaleable.bsky.social · 02/08/2026i wonder if he realizes that the more he does these empty threats the weaker his position gets 822914
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 31/07/2026The best you can say is once they realized Fine was going to loose they went all out against Kat, but that’s very different from “buy” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/19/u...nytimes.comWhat One Key Loss in Illinois Signals for Pro-Israel Lobby in MidtermsThe historically bipartisan American Israel Public Affairs Committee faces headwinds among Democrats angered by the country’s current government and war in Gaza. 030
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 29/07/2026FWIW here is video of alleged interceptions in Jordan bsky.app/profile/ship... 020
Reposted by Jake Hae @aelkus.bsky.social · 28/07/2026btw if your sci-fi universe assumes the ability to genetically engineer super soldiers i think it is frankly safe to say that there ends up being a way to biomod out male-female strength differences of individual troops 1216814
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 26/07/2026This article is fascinating, (if true) I’m honestly surprised it was published. Admitting you’re low on missile defense in the NYT is a choice. There is nothing preventing 🇮🇷 from “going first” so to speak. The assumption is that 🇺🇸 acts and 🇮🇷 reacts is unquestioned. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/25/u...nytimes.comTrump Holds Off on Major War Escalation Against Iran as Advisers Raise Concerns (Gift Article)Among the worries is that expanded hostilities could dangerously drain the diminished stockpile of air defense munitions in the Middle East. 054
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 22/07/2026I agree it’s ahistorical, but within the film itself, I think it’s 1. Guilt over Sinon, 2. It’s not Xenia he breaks, but could be considered roughly analogous, insofar as both the Trojan horse and guest right requires the application of good faith and gift exchange to work 010
Reposted by Jake Hjamelle @jamellebouie.net · 15/06/2026miller and vance appear to genuinely want bodies in the streets — and are willing to pull the trigger, no pun intended — in a way that trump simply isn’t for whatever reason 671615171
Reposted by Jake HJames @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 10/06/2026I mean using military force to impose your political terms is the exact definition of war. You can't have a ceasefire while also using military force to impose your will on an adversary. I can feel my brain bleeding 27956129
Reposted by Jake HDevlin Burgess @devlinburgess.bsky.social · 19/11/2025The important thing to understand about all of this is that all of the Third Reich's actions were undertaken *because* of their antisemitism. It was the core of their worldview. Their other genocidal projects existed *because* if their imagined war with an eternal Judeo-Bolshevik conspiracy. /1 13312
Reposted by Jake HLiberal Currents @liberalcurrents.com · 27/05/2026“It is a simple, factual claim, that since 1948, a defining feature of the Israeli state has been its rule over a large subject population, distinguished from the Jewish majority ethnically and religiously, and governed by military law outside the constraints of civil protection.”liberalcurrents.comIsrael Is a State Like Any Other, and Commits Atrocities Like Any Other WouldIsrael acts like any other apartheid ethno-dictatorship, but receives a level of deference from the American government and press and public quite unlike any other. 1135385
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 25/05/2026What’s unfortunate is that they filmed a scene that get’s us at least part of the way there, but they cut it to push back leia’s introduction. m.youtube.com/watch?v=CxLb...m.youtube.com"Leia and the Resistance" | Star Wars: Episode VII | The Force Awakens | Deleted SceneYouTube video by Muzahidul Islam 020
Reposted by Jake HFaytuks Network @faytuksnetwork.bsky.social · 24/05/2026“US and Iran agree in principle to a deal, then disagree on every single clause.” a European official speaking to Faytuks Network says 115522
Reposted by Jake HFaytuks Network @faytuksnetwork.bsky.social · 24/05/2026What a timeline. t.co/uehfUsxyWn 011425
Reposted by Jake HPatrick Wyman @patrickwyman.bsky.social · 22/04/2026Whole generation got their brains pickled by the idea that politics is a process of patient triangulation and consensus-building instead of a knife fight that decides how pain, suffering, and resources are distributed throughout society 219735
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 18/04/2026I was going to say. Don’t insult ‘the Human Can-Opener’ like that! 030
Reposted by Jake H"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 14/03/2026Oh, I forgot to add, even if you impose a hard blockade on Iran's coasts, they can bring in key weapons and components via land borders with Pakistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, via the Caspian Sea, etc. Can they run all their trade that way? No. Import the chips for shaheds? Yeah, probably. 103269
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 09/04/2026Man, I get why Lucasfilm doesn’t want to pull the trigger on Mara, but it’s sad to me that people (not you) often reduce her down to just “Luke Skywalker’s Wife.” There’s a really fascinating core to the character outside of Luke in general, and specifically outside of any romantic attachment. 290
Reposted by Jake H"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 08/04/2026So apparently the ceasefire deal includes Iran continuing to charge tolls (split with Oman) on transit through the Strait, as reported by the NYT, AP and others. If that's true, I have a hard time seeing this as anything other than a capitulation by Trump. Just abject surrender. 561144230
Reposted by Jake HWill Code For Pizza @markshatraw.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Netanyahu no more "manipulated" Trump into blowing things up than somebody walking into the kitchen and saying "who wants pizza" right now would "manipulate" me into eating pizza 0514
Reposted by Jake HAlex Wellerstein @wellerstein.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Threatening the destruction of "a whole civilization" is just explicitly a threat of genocide. Even if it is just a bargaining tactic, even if it is just bluster, it is a threat of genocide. Everyone who has furthered, and continues to further, the aims of this regime is morally culpable. 726075
Reposted by Jake HRuth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 07/04/2026The president of the United States is now threatening to commit genocide. 1222879
Reposted by Jake HJameel Jaffer @jameeljaffer.bsky.social · 07/04/2026These are orders given "under a black flag," and US military personnel should refuse to carry them out. 291133331
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Any aircrew who are scheduled to participate in this operation, who maintain any sort of Conscience or morality should simply refuse to fly. Say no. 001
Reposted by Jake HMike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 05/04/2026Orders that are illegal to give but probably legal to follow continues to be a very large grey area that this place isn't great at parsing 1246178
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 05/04/2026The administration and the military brass are going to make that argument sure, but I think we as a people need to reject it. 000
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 05/04/2026No disagreement with the quoted post, but even if every strike was on a dual use “war supporting” target it would be hard to see how the attacks Trump’s threatening could be considered in any way proportionate under LOAC: www.justsecurity.org/91319/the-pr...justsecurity.orgThe Principle of Proportionality in the DoD Law of War ManualTwo key issues in Department of Defense Law of War Manual on harm to non-combatants. 121
Reposted by Jake H"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 05/04/2026"But we've blown up so much stuff, how can you say we're losing?" Victory and defeat in war are judged by strategic outcomes, not by how much stuff exploded. The Iran now controls the strait; we haven't collapsed the regime, removed their HEU or stopped drone/missile strikes. 219618
Reposted by Jake HTravis @someforeignfield.bsky.social · 03/04/2026So it seems in the last 24 hours: -F-15E shot down over Iran, 2 pilots ejected, 1 rescued and 1 TBD -Blackhawk rescue helicopter hit but safely escaped Iranian territory -A-10 shot down over Hormuz, pilot rescued Very little hard info thus far on any of these incidents. 59123
Reposted by Jake HAdam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 01/04/2026So what this describes is ethnic cleansing www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/w... 8556472132
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 20/03/2026It’s hard to tell the effectiveness of the Iranian strategy atm because we don’t know the outcome yet but: adapt more of a counterforce strategy. By hitting airbases/military targets you inflict greater casualties/costs and disrupt 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 operations, which somewhat protects your TELs/missles/Drones. 000
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 20/03/2026It’s interesting, we’ve been fairly lucky regarding the (relatively) small # of KIA’s so far, but the article mentions using a-10s and helos to clear the strait, which brings up the question of IRI Manpads. The war is already unpopular, and if Iran can take some larger bites out of us… 010
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 20/03/2026It’s interesting, we’ve been fairly lucky regarding the (relatively) small # of KIA’s so far, but the article mentions using a-10s and helos to clear the strait, which brings up the question of IRI Manpads. The war is already unpopular, and if Iran can take some more severe bites out of us… 241
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 06/03/2026Also, how much of the decrease in “fires” is due to us destroying the TEL’s/missiles/drones on the ground, and how much is it Iran Keeping their powder? Those numbers can’t really tell us that. 043
Reposted by Jake HRobert Black @hurricanexyz.bsky.social · 01/03/2026Imagine if we had done this, consistently, from 1945 onward 71233
Reposted by Jake HRobert Black @hurricanexyz.bsky.social · 01/03/2026Personally I think that America should make itself into a friend to democracy everywhere Yes even when that means getting a government that's less friendly to us personally than the dictators we're currently propping up 1236341
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 01/03/2026I mean, given the build up over the last few weeks Iran could’ve preempted and likely caused mass casualties/damage. I’d expect that whomever we try this again next might roll the dice and say: “the only way the Americans truly negotiate is if they are bleeding from being punched in the face.” 010
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 01/03/2026Perhaps that’s a price Xi is willing to pay, but he’d almost certainly go for the blockade first. 020
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 01/03/2026A few years back CSIS did wargame out a Taiwan Alone scenario and, while successful, the PLA suffered 70,000 casualties in ground combat alone at D+70 csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/... 120
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 01/03/2026The only reason I see Xi going for in 2027-2028 is if he thinks Trump would allow it, and even then it’s still a massive operation with many tens of thousands of PLA casualties against Taiwan alone. 110
Reposted by Jake HCaitlin Talmadge @proftalmadge.bsky.social · 19/02/2026A few thoughts on possible US-Iran conflict (1/11): 612255
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 19/02/2026In the current negotiations, I’m pretty sure that’s exactly what the US is planning on doing anyways, or at least eliminate Iran’s ability to project power outside its borders. If I was Iran i’d at least consider rolling the dice, and causing enough pain to hopefully get a better deal. 3/3 022
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 19/02/2026To get better terms in any subsequent negotiation then they would otherwise. The only reasons I can think of Is that they aren’t sure the US will actually attack, or they think the US would escalate any attack and attempt to destroy the regime. But given that the Iranians aren’t folding 2/3 120
Jake H @jakehufstader.bsky.social · 19/02/2026 I’m curious why that isn’t on the table? If Iran isn’t going to give the U.S. what it wants then there will be war. Iran doesn’t appear to be giving the U.S. what it wants; Ergo, war. Given this it would make tactical sense to strike first and inflict as many costs as possible on the U.S 1/3 210
