iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I just showed this ad to my wife who has no idea who Ken Paxton is, and she asked me: “Does Ken Paxton not want the children to be found?? Is that what they’re trying to say?”

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 06/10/2026

And now the Congressional Leadership Fund has followed suit in #NE02 x.com/JakeSherman/...

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Tough exercise. Ask me tomorrow and I’d probably swap out half of these.

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

The other day, @jeffsinger.bsky.social called TX-Sen the GOP’s Verdun. Losing it would shake the party’s morale to its very core.

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 04/10/2026

NEW: Republicans are flooding key races with a massive deluge of money … but it’s not translating to a similar advantage on the airwaves. In a special Sunday piece, we explain why. And perhaps most notable, the GOP spending spree has yet to register in the polls.

the-downballot.com

Why the GOP's spending advantage is nowhere near as big as it looks

New data shows Republicans are getting very poor bang for their buck

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

"To Serve Man" (The Twilight Zone, 1962)

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 03/10/2026

More details on this poll: Pollster: Impact Research Field dates: Sept. 28 – Oct. 1 Sample size: 500 LVs #WI01 voted Trump+5 in 2024 but Steil won by 10 against a touted Dem recruit.

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 01/10/2026

More details on this poll: Pollster: Normington Petts Field dates: Sept. 24-28 Sample size: 400 LVs Per our calculations, #TX15 went for Trump by 18 points in 2024. x.com/cjwarnke/sta...

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

I made this meme in early 2026 and it's finally happening

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Mola Rahm... prepare to meet the DCCC... IN HELL!

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Doing good > doing no harm > doing less harm > voting straight ticket GOP

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 24/09/2026

This is such good work

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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

STOP QUOTE TWEETING THE POLL ACCOUNTS THAT NEVER LINK BACK TO THE POLLS THEY'RE MENTIONING thank you

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026

In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

the-downballot.com

Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate

There’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 19/09/2026

South Dakota’s Republican secretary of state, Monae Johnson, just endorsed the Democrat running to succeed her, Terrence Davis. Johnson lost the GOP nod at a party convention in June to Heather Baxter, a member of the state Freedom Caucus who wants to hand-count all ballots.

dakotawarcollege.com

A Personal Statement from Monae L Johnson, South Dakota Secretary of State: Why I Am Supporting Terrence Davis. (Guest Column)

A Personal Statement from Monae L. Johnson, South Dakota Secretary of State: Why I Am Supporting Terrence Davis A personal statement on judgment, competen

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Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Rigging the Electoral College isn’t the goal of illegally excluding noncitizens—this map is a minor tradeoff for turbocharging gerrymandering 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯 Texas, Florida, etc. Excluding noncitizens from redistricting would let the GOP pack more Dem votes into fewer seats—making the rest whiter & more GOP

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 18/09/2026

New analysis: Expert handicappers like the Cook Political Report are probably underestimating Democratic odds of winning the House by about 30 points. That's based on an analysis of their historical ratings, not polls or other models. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-09-18...

gelliottmorris.com

The race raters are lowballing the Democrats

Based on my analysis of their historical ratings, Cook, Inside Elections and Sabato’s Crystal Ball are probably underestimating Democrats' House win probability by about 30 percentage points

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

The broader point here is that Canada can no longer count on Trump being a mere aberration. He won't be President forever, but there will be future GOP presidents, and they may follow in his footsteps. The old bilateral relationship can be repaired somewhat, but it can't be rebuilt.

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 17/09/2026

Ouch www.nytimes.com/2026/09/17/u...

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

How are they allowed to do that when "No Going Back" is literally their name 🤔

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

As always, don't trust projections.

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

For comparison's sake, we learned the final numbers in Lethbridge-West around 11:20pm last December, and that by-election had a similar amount of advance ballots to tally. (Posting because I'm debating whether or not to go to sleep!)

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

For comparison's sake of a tiny subsample, special ballots went 52.3% NDP and 47.4% UCP in 2023 in Calgary-Shaw. Tonight they are 63.4% NDP, 25.2% UCP, 7% "Tory", and 4.1% Liberal.

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Honestly, doing a "single poll projection" with such wild subsample results like this (Liberal near-sweep of BC! Tory near-sweep of Alberta!) just strikes me as an exercise in comment bait.

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Mary Peltola @marypeltola.com · 12/09/2026

Happy to help, Dan.

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Watching this guy be shamed into silence was extremely satisfying.

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

"He may have terrible hygiene. Yeah, I smell it too. He might not tip his waitress. He may have borrowed your car and returned it with a few dents."

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

What's his plan, exactly? To cast a level one spell against Talarico?

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James Lambert @hellofasandwich.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

When your "best" foot forward on a challenging issue is completely incoherent messaging like this, just fucking pack it in, man. What the hell is this.

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