Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.the-downballot.comMassive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since WatergateThere’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote 13401129
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Learned this morning on The Downballot's Discord that actor Robert Duncan McNeill, AKA Tom Paris of "Star Trek: Voyager," is running as a Democrat for a seat on the Wasatch County, UT Council!parkrecord.comWasatch County Council candidate Robert McNeill values transparency, accountability - Park RecordHeber City resident and hopeful political newcomer Robert Duncan McNeill is stepping in as the Democratic candidate for Wasatch County Council at-large Seat A. 23613
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 19/09/2026It is so on-brand for Democrats to spend crucial time ahead of an election debating a divisive resolution that wouldn't actually do anything. Oh wait, this is the GOP. 000
Reposted by Jeff SingerG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 18/09/2026I appreciate Matthew Yglesias owning up to his worldview that calling out attacks on democracy is "resistance maximalism." A lot of people in the mainstream press aren't as honest about the institutional bias toward both-sidesing democracy for fear of alienating Republicans, but he just says it! 2625346
Reposted by Jeff Singerrbnyc.bsky.social @rbnyc.bsky.social · 18/09/2026He's a college freshman and saying the vibes are the worst he has ever seen. Fair, but he hasn't seen very much. 1132
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Mike Rogers making a college freshman campaign chair of at least four counties is unusual, but lots of young people in politics prove to be strong leaders. But most of them don't go on social media to complain about how bad things are going. 513234
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 17/09/2026In this day and age, I don't think any candidate should WANT to be called "the prototype of a United States Senator." www.detroitnews.com/story/opinio... 000
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Deep thought: Ballot measure numbers should be like hurricane names. If they're big enough, the name gets retired. Otherwise, heaven help you if you're a California campaign that randomly gets assigned the number Proposition 8. 3466
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 10/09/2026After the MO Supreme Court reinstated the 2022 map a week ago today, we reverted our pres-by-CD calculations to feature those numbers instead. We left them in place this week, which proved to be the right call based on SCOTUS' stay this AM. Find them here! www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downba... 03310
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 10/09/2026A good question I don't know the answer to. Most states hold elections for governor and mayor of their capital city at different times, with Rhode Island being an exception. In California, for example, governor races are in midterm years while Sacramento elects its mayor in presidential cycles. 3165
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 08/09/2026Despite some high-profile misses (which we should expect sometimes!), election polls remain a very useful tool. But there's a *lot* of sketchy polling out there. To help us—and everyone else—separate wheat from chaff, The Downballot has updated our criteria for which polls we'll report on and why.the-downballot.comHow The Downballot reports on and analyzes pollsPolling can be very useful, but we have strict requirements for what we will—and won’t—include 38728
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 02/09/2026In the months after the 2024 election a lot of Democrats said/did a lot of things to fight the last war that poisoned them with the base, like Seth Moulton’s transbashing and Angie Craig’s vote for the Laken Riley Act. Didn't work out well for either. 312421
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 28/08/2026If you see people tweeting about the "runoff" for U.S. Senate in Mississippi ... show them this. 020
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 28/08/2026In light of the new poll showing GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith up 44-38 on Democrat Scott Colom, a reminder that there will be *NO* runoff for #MSSen, no matter what. To repeat: There are *NO* general election runoffs for regularly scheduled elections for federal offices in Mississippi. 45219
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 27/08/2026GOP strategist in June: "If the Republicans are smart, they’ll make Platner the poster boy for the 2026 midterms." Two months later, Republicans in tough races in Ohio and across the country aren't even distancing themselves from Max Miller especially hard.thehill.comRepublicans embrace Platner as midterm boogeymanRepublicans are embracing Graham Platner, the controversial Democrat aiming to oust Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), as a new boogeyman in their fight to hold on to the Senate this fall. Platner, a pr… 18218
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 21/08/2026I have every Morning Digest going back to August 2014 in my inbox, and this is the first time the word "urine" has been in any of them. 2325
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 10/08/2026There's finally a Republican Trump won't dump no matter what, and its Max Miller. 042
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Hey, did you know winning a general election for Senate is "the hard part"? 1543232
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 06/08/2026Andy Ogles sounds like the Borg here. www.politico.com/news/2026/08... 1123
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 17/07/2026The Downballot's best-of-breed quarterly fundraising charts are out! We have complete 2Q data for more than 750 candidates for both the Senate and House. Find it all here!the-downballot.comThe Downballot's 2Q 2026 Senate and House fundraising reports roundupWe have complete data on more than 750 candidates for Congress 42011
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 09/07/2026Folks, a *very* exciting announcement: The Downballot has just published updated 2024 presidential results by congressional district for every state with a new map this year! That's 10 states in all, covering a full one-third of the House. Please dive in!the-downballot.comThe Downballot releases presidential results for every new House district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics10 state have new maps for the midterms. We have data for all of them. 6584197
Reposted by Jeff SingerQuinn Yeargain @yeargain.bsky.social · 09/07/2026I think the "insiders are replacing Platner" attack is dumb, but if Maine Democrats are worried about it, the 4D chess move would be to try to convene a special legislative session to change the law for filling vacancies to require a NEW, SPECIAL primary, knowing full well Republicans will block it. 37815
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 16/06/2026To unlock our complete primary preview, *and* every upcoming preview (many more to come!), *and* support our work, you can upgrade to a paid subscription right here! www.the-downballot.com/subscribethe-downballot.comSubscribe to The DownballotCovering every election, from kickoff to call. Click to read The Downballot, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers. 071
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 16/06/2026Georgia is also on our minds. Trump and Brian Kemp are behind the same candidate for governor, but he has to overcome a massive spending blitz from his billionaire opponent. Lots more on all these races, and more, in our primary preview. 0175
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 15/06/2026In the history of the Swing State Project, Daily Kos Elections, and The Downballot, we've never quite had a headline like this!the-downballot.comMorning Digest: Flesh-eating parasite attacks district where GOP governor has stalled on calling special election"If this isn’t cause for calling a special election, I don’t know what is," says Democratic candidate 03110
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 09/06/2026Polls start closing for tonight's primaries in about 40 mins in South Carolina. We've got previews of every key race—around 20 in all—in all four states that are on the docket:the-downballot.comDo South Carolina Republicans love Trump more than they hate Lindsey Graham?Tuesday will test whether conservatives will hold their noses if Trump tells them to 45219
Reposted by Jeff SingerDavid Nir @davidnir.com · 04/06/2026A frustrating false choice. As we've shown—with actual maps!—Democrats can target many Republican seats while respecting the VRA, even if SCOTUS no longer does. www.the-downballot.com/p/how-democr...the-downballot.comHow Democrats can fight new GOP gerrymanders—while still respecting the VRADemocrats could target more than 20 Republican districts before 2028 4351129
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 04/06/2026Or as stephenwolf.bsky.social has demonstrated, Democrats can counter Republican gerrymandering AND respect the VRA. www.nytimes.com/2026/06/04/u... 14715
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 02/06/2026Get up to speed on *every* major primary taking place tonight in California, New Jersey, Iowa, South Dakota, New Mexico *and* Montana with our one-of-a-kind preview!the-downballot.comThe biggest primary night of the year is hereWe preview more than 30 races across the country, from California to New Jersey 1246
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 01/06/2026Grab a jumbo iced tea and settle in with our behemoth preview of *all* of Tuesday's top primaries, featuring more than 30 races across half a dozen states. We've got everything from #CAGov to #MTSen to #IA02 and even New Mexico's land commissioner!the-downballot.comThe biggest primary night of the year is hereWe preview more than 30 races across the country, from California to New Jersey 05022
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 27/05/2026Not sure anything I've ever written aged as badly as what I said when Ken Paxton was indicted for securities fraud in 2015: "Paxton is refusing to step down so far, but it’s hard for a state’s top law enforcement official to continue serving when he’s accused of breaking his own state’s laws."dailykos.comMorning Digest: Why Texas’ attorney general is facing life in prisonProsecutors charge Texas AG Ken Paxton with first-degree felony securities fraud—get the latest on his refusal to resign. 1524
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 26/05/2026Sen. John Cornyn is the heavy underdog vs. Ken Paxton in tonight's GOP primary runoff, and there's far more to watch in Texas. A Dem congressman *will* lose in Houston, GOP meddles to boost toxic candidate in Dem race, a notorious far-right extremist could win another key primary ... and much more.the-downballot.comJohn Cornyn searches for an upset in brutal Republican primary runoffWe preview a Texas-sized election night across the Lone Star State 13612
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 20/05/2026A must-read new piece from @stephenwolf.bsky.social: How Democrats can counter Republican gerrymandering while still respecting the Voting Rights Act.the-downballot.comHow Democrats can fight new GOP gerrymanders—while still respecting the VRADemocrats could target more than 20 Republican districts before 2028 46736
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 19/05/2026We've previewed the key races to watch tonight from coast to coast. They include, but are *not* limited to: A closely watched primary for the nation's most Democratic House seat; key primaries for governor in Georgia and Oregon, and a pair of general elections for the Georgia Supreme Court.the-downballot.comLiberals could make major inroads into Georgia's Supreme Court on TuesdayPlus, we preview nearly 30 primaries in five states ahead of a very busy primary night 04215
Reposted by Jeff SingerQuinn Yeargain @yeargain.bsky.social · 15/05/2026I posted a legal theory on Bluesky on Friday night and by the end of the weekend, Hakeem Jeffries was talking about it with Virginia Democrats. 832148
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 14/05/2026Love this! Thank you, Dylan! 0162
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 14/05/2026We covered the Georgia GOP's new law that would make elections for DA and other offices nonpartisan—in just five blue counties around Atlanta. Oh, and all the DAs are Black women. But the precise way the law ensnares these counties hasn't gotten much attention. www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-di... 313867
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 12/05/2026Feel confident saying that this is the most watched Legal Marijuana Now Party primary *ever*. 000
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 07/05/2026A small piece of good news out of Alabama amidst all that's happening. Montgomery is replacing its longtime Confederate-inspired flag.alreporter.comCity of Montgomery adopts new official city flagThe redesign followed a public contest and review process, replacing a 1952 banner with symbolism tied to Montgomery’s history, unity and progress. 051
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 06/05/2026NEW: We've got the first polling on how Americans feel about the Voting Rights Act—and SCOTUS' decision to gut it—since Callais was handed down. The bottom line: They think we still need the VRA. Complete data at the link.the-downballot.comAmericans still believe in the Voting Rights Act—and a plurality opposes the Supreme Court's decision gutting itExclusive new polling shows the court's conservative majority just issued yet another unpopular decision 37730
Jeff Singer @jeffsinger.bsky.social · 05/05/2026Mississippi Legislative Black Caucus chair on special session to redraw Supreme Court being in old capitol building: "It’s a slap in the face to the 1.2 million African Americans in this state to be meeting in the place that established the 1890 Constitution that disenfranchised African Americans."mississippitoday.orgMississippi House to debate redistricting in Old Capitol where Jim Crow, secession were passed - Mississippi TodayThe House chamber in the current Capitol is undergoing renovations, so House leaders chose to move to the Old Capitol Museum for the special session. The Senate still plans to meet in the current Capi... 13213
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 05/05/2026The 2026 primary season is back, and The Downballot previews what to watch in Indiana & Ohio! • Trump redistricting revenge tour targets 7 Indiana GOP senators • 80-year-old congressman is about to find out if Republicans want generational change • Top ICE official wants to take on vulnerable Demthe-downballot.comTrump's redistricting revenge tour lands in the Hoosier StateWe preview all of Tuesday's top primaries in Indiana and Ohio 23215
Reposted by Jeff SingerStephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social · 29/04/2026Democrats could block new 2028 GOP congressional gerrymanders by flipping the governor's offices or state houses in Georgia and Texas this fall. The other states are likely too red, too gerrymandered, or lack state elections this year, but Georgia and Texas have very favorable demographic trends 619577
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 29/04/2026NEW: Now that the Supreme Court has rendered the last remaining pillar of the VRA toothless, Republicans in eight states are free to gerrymander more than a dozen congressional districts that had been designed to remedy discrimination against Black and Latino voters. We catalog them all here -->the-downballot.comWith the VRA gutted, the GOP could target over a dozen Black and Latino House districtsThe assault would be devastating for minority voting rights—and for Democrats 13241163
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 28/04/2026Republican Rep. Mike Carey seemed to be in for another easy general election in Ohio until last week, when one of the most influential Democratic super PACs booked $1.8 million to flip his 15th District. Democrats will choose their nominee next Tuesday in seat Trump would have won 55-45.the-downballot.comMorning Digest: An unexpected move shows Democrats are targeting an unexpected districtNew ad reservations point to a contested House race in central Ohio 24912
Reposted by Jeff SingerThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 23/04/2026The NYT waits until the 20th paragraph to credit the @njglobe.bsky.social, which first broke this story last month and re-upped it last week. Politico didn't credit them at all. (We credited them in our first sentence.)nytimes.comConcern Grows Over Republican Congressman’s Mysterious Absence 712934
Reposted by Jeff SingerAcyn @acyn.bsky.social · 22/04/2026Reporter: What do you make of Republicans saying that Virginia— AOC: Wah wah wah. We have asked Republicans for 10 years to ban partisan gerrymandering. And for 10 years, Republicans have said no. What they’re just mad at is that they have been accustomed to a Democratic Party that rolls over. 437226585799
Reposted by Jeff SingerG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 22/04/2026Support for impeaching Trump is at 55%, according to a new Strength In Numbers/ @Verasight.io poll, with 37% of adults opposed. Crucially 1 in 5 of Trump’s own voters support impeachment. Read and share: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-04-22...gelliottmorris.comNew poll: 55% support impeaching TrumpSupport for impeachment rivals levels during Donald Trump's first presidency, when he was impeached twice, and for impeaching Richard Nixon after the Watergate scandal 9332421022
