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Guido Grosse

@grosseguido.bsky.social
818 followers 240 following 76 posts

Permafrost researcher and curious Arctic explorer, observer of rapid change. Spent some years in Alaska and Siberia, now at AWI Potsdam.

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Reposted by Guido Grosse
Armando Sepúlveda Jáuregui @armandosepulveda.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Happy to be part of this great community effort! ABCFlux v2 brings together CO2 & CH4 observations from 1,000+ Arctic–boreal terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems, providing a unique resource to understand carbon cycling in a changing climate essd.copernicus.org/articles/18/...
essd.copernicus.org
ABCFlux v2: Arctic–boreal CO2 and CH4 monthly flux observations and ancillary information across terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems
Abstract. Measurements of surface-atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) fluxes have been relatively sparse across the Arctic tundra and boreal biomes, causing significant uncertainties in ...
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Reposted by Guido Grosse
Alfred Wegener Institute @awi.de · 02/09/2026
More info: www.awi.de/en/about-us/...
awi.de
Blind Spots at Antarctic Coasts Limit Sea Level Projections
The Antarctic coastal zone is not simply the edge of the continent. It is a tightly coupled system where the ice from the ice sheet extends over the seabed, initially resting on it and further ou...
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Reposted by Guido Grosse
The Conversation U.S. @us.theconversation.com · 28/08/2026
A lake that took a thousand years to form can disappear in hours when permafrost thaws.
theconversation.com
Disappearing lakes, old photos and AI are helping scientists map Arctic permafrost thaw in near-real time
The abrupt disappearance of a lake is one clear sign that the ice below is melting, and a clue to wider permafrost changes.
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Ingmar Nitze in our #permafrost remote sensing group at #awi developed this new online tool as part of the Google Permafrost Discovery Gateway project allowing to assess arctic lake drainage in near-real time: arcticdata.io/catalog/port...
arcticdata.io
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Very nice article with interview of Anna Liljedahl (UAA) and Ingmar Nitze (AWI) in The Conversation on permafrost changes, loss of Arctic lakes, and using big data and AI to track such changes: theconversation.com/disappearing...
theconversation.com
Disappearing lakes, old photos and AI are helping scientists map Arctic permafrost thaw in near-real time
The abrupt disappearance of a lake is one clear sign that the ice below is melting, and a clue to wider permafrost changes.
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Reposted by Guido Grosse
Earth Observation Lab @humboldteolab.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Simone Stuenzi, @smstuenzi.bsky.social, postdoc at the EOLab, and colleagues from @awi.de, @vuamsterdam.bsky.social and @uio.no, use process-based permafrost modeling, satellite time-series, and field data to study canopy-ground thermal dynamics, addressing a blind spot in Earth system models.
A photograph of Simone Stuenzi standing in an open boreal forest. The ground is covered in green grass and scattered fallen logs, with sparse, tall, thin trees in the background under a cloudy sky. Field gear sits on the ground nearby.A flowchart diagram titled "Fig. 8. Study workflow." It illustrates how bioclimatic classification, climate data extraction, field observations, and canopy density assessments feed into process-based modelling (using the CryoGrid model) to calculate soil organic carbon exposure and assess permafrost carbon vulnerability.
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Earth Observation Lab @humboldteolab.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
How do trees keep permafrost frozen? Research by @smstuenzi.bsky.social shows forest cover cools the ground surface and can reduce active layer thickness by up to 60 percent compared to open ground. The forest canopy regulates ground temperature through complex, multi-directional processes.
A diagram titled "Fig. 5. Forest canopy regulation," showing a wheel of interacting pathways through which boreal forest canopies influence permafrost. Key factors highlighted include canopy shading, reflectivity, evapotranspiration, photosynthetic activity, snow interactions, hydrology, active layer depth, regional climate, and canopy height.
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
We have a new paper out in Nature Climate Change by @smstuenzi.bsky.social on Boreal Forest - #Permafrost interactions and its role in carbon cycling. Here wrapped in a great story map how this matters for climate change:
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Brendan O’Neill @permafrostee.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Here are some (n)ice wedge polygons on Prince Patrick Island, Canada
Patterns ground in a tundra satellite imagery.
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Duane Froese @tephrafan.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Permafrost is the most exceptional archive of natural history on Earth, and is increasingly at risk with climate change. We wrote a short piece in The Conversation making the case for why these archives matter, and why we need to preserve them in a warming world theconversation.com/earths-deep-...
theconversation.com
Earth’s deep memory is thawing with the Arctic permafrost, degrading records of our ancient world
Permafrost holds an extraordinary molecular record of ancient life — and we are only now learning to read it, just as warming begins to erase it.
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Nature Geoscience @natgeosci.nature.com · 06/07/2026
⚒️ Perspective: Permafrost thaw alters iron-organic carbon interactions, impacting carbon cycling through microbial processes and hydrological changes across Arctic landscapes www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Schematic illustration of the scales of iron–organic carbon interactions in permafrost regions
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Agristok @agristok.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
PhD Funded Position in Earth Observation and Remote Sensing at ETH Zurich, Switzerland Explore the fully funded PhD opportunity in Earth Observation and Remote Sensing at ETH Zurich. Work on cutting-edge Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) research to monitor Arctic permafrost changes using advanced…
agristok.net
PhD Funded Position in Earth Observation and Remote Sensing at ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Explore the fully funded PhD opportunity in Earth Observation and Remote Sensing at ETH Zurich. Work on cutting-edge Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) research to monitor Arctic permafrost changes using advanced satellite technologies.
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Norman J. Steinert @njsteinert.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Many climate models omit the permafrost carbon–climate feedback. In this new paper we show that inlcuding it can increase Earth system tipping risks, especially in overshoot scenarios with peak temperatures below 3°C or peak cumulative emissions of below 2000 PgC. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org
Permafrost carbon–climate feedback amplifies Earth system tipping risks
Permafrost carbon–climate feedback amplifies Earth system tipping risks, Steinert, Norman J, Munday, Gregory, Sandstad, Marit, Sanderson, Benjamin M, Wunderling, Nico
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Our PeTCaT project website is online now 💫😀: www.petcat.earth Learn more about how we tackle several critical knowledge gaps in #permafrost carbon cycling and get to know the team behind this large 5-yr research endeavor supported by the Schmidt Sciences Virtual Institute of the Carbon Cycle.
petcat.earth
PeTCaT: Rapid Permafrost Thaw Carbon Trajectories
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
Thaw slumps are a rapid permafrost disturbance in regions with high ground ice contents. Thaw slump numbers and growth rates increased in Arctic Canada, but what about Siberia? We show rapid acceleration of thaw slumping in West Siberia associated with winter warming: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Rapid increase in West Siberia’s retrogressive thaw slumps since 1964 associated with Arctic winter warming - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Rapid increase in West Siberia’s retrogressive thaw slumps since 1964 associated with Arctic winter warming
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Many years in the making, this new synthesis puts a more accurate number on soil organic C and N stocks stored away in Arctic river deltas large and small: Fuchs et al have collected soil data from these deltas and estimate a pool of ~57.7 billion tons of carbon. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Large stocks of permafrost soil organic carbon and nitrogen in Arctic river deltas - Nature Communications
This study estimates that Arctic deltas contain vast amounts of soil organic carbon (57.7 Pg) and soil nitrogen (3.8 Pg). This highlights the importance of these vulnerable permafrost landscapes at th...
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
phys.org/news/2026-06...
phys.org
Arctic river deltas face rising climate pressure while holding vast frozen carbon reserves
Many rivers flow into the Arctic Ocean north of the Arctic Circle—including the Lena in Siberia and the Mackenzie River in Canada. The deltas of these large and small rivers store large amounts of car...
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Reposted by Guido Grosse
Alfred Wegener Institute @awi.de · 03/06/2026
Thawing permafrost, erosion and rising sea levels are causing permanent changes to Arctic river deltas. This puts important carbon sinks and unique ecosystems under increasing pressure. In a study, AWI researchers are investigating the impact of these changes on the Arctic and the global climate. 🌍
Arctic river deltas in Canada
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Informationsdienst Wissenschaft - idw @idw-online.de · 03/06/2026
Arctic river deltas at risk from mounting pressures For the first time, AWI researchers have performed a detailed calculation of the amount of carbon stored in permafrost in Arctic river deltas. In a new study in the journal Nature Communication... weiterlesen
Kobuk Delta in Alaska - Copyright Alfred-Wegener-Institut / Guido Grosse
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Frau Büüsker @uedio.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
www.sueddeutsche.de/projekte/art...
sueddeutsche.de
Archiv der Erde: Was passiert, wenn der Permafrost taut?
Bergdörfer, die verschüttet werden. Flüsse, die rosten. Tsunamis im Himalaja und in den Alpen. Und vielleicht schlummert im Boden das nächste Penicillin.
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anil oza @aniloza.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
wow — the preprint host, arxiv, is banning authors for a year if they submit papers with hallucinated citations 🤖
Twitter thread from Thomas Dietterich, reading "Attention 
@arxiv
 authors: Our Code of Conduct states that by signing your name as an author of a paper, each author takes full responsibility for all its contents, irrespective of how the contents were generated. 1/
3:03 PM · May 14, 2026
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Thomas G. Dietterich
@tdietterich
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1h
If generative AI tools generate inappropriate language, plagiarized content, biased content, errors, mistakes, incorrect references, or misleading content, and that output is included in scientific works, it is the responsibility of the author(s). 2/
Thomas G. Dietterich
@tdietterich
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1h
We have recently clarified our penalties for this. If a submission contains incontrovertible evidence that the authors did not check the results of LLM generation, this means we can't trust anything in the paper. 3/
Thomas G. Dietterich
@tdietterich
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The penalty is a 1-year ban from arXiv followed by the requirement that subsequent arXiv submissions must first be accepted at a reputable peer-reviewed venue. 4/
Thomas G. Dietterich
@tdietterich
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1h
Examples of incontrovertible evidence: hallucinated references, meta-comments from the LLM ("here is a 200 word summary; would you like me to make any changes?"; "the data in this table is illustrative, fill it in with the real numbers from your experiments") end/"
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Dr. Merritt Rae Turetsky @queenofpeat.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Last fall, this deep sinkhole appeared at one of our field sites, with ground collapse happening in just a few weeks. This is what abrupt permafrost thaw looks like, with implications for soil stability, erosion, and methane emissions. Will be curious to see what happens here this summer.
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Dr. Suzette Flantua @suzetteflantua.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
We just published a global synthesis of mountain glacier extent during the last ice age! #LGM www.nature.com/articles/s41... @natureportfolio.nature.com Led by marvellous ECR Augusto Lima @ac-lima.bsky.social mountainsinmotion.w.uib.no @mohnfoundation.bsky.social @bjerknes.uib.no #UIB-BIO 🧵👇
Global map indicating in white the ice scheets during the LGM, in blue the mountain glaciers, and in green global countries
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Ketil Isaksen @ketilisaksen.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Svalbard is thawing in April, and it’s not supposed to. 2026 ground temperatures at 0.2m depth in Svalbard spiking to 0°C in April, far exceeding the 1998-2025 median and maximum
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Bringing #thermokarst lakes into global models is important for projecting #permafrost thaw in vast #Arctic lowlands. However, their rapid dynamics are challenging to model at scale. Reinken et al take a stochastic modeling approach and test various lake regimes: tc.copernicus.org/articles/20/...
tc.copernicus.org
Stochastic modelling of thermokarst lakes: size distributions and dynamic regimes
Abstract. Thermokarst lakes are among the most common and dynamic landscape features in ice-rich lowland permafrost regions. They influence carbon, water and energy fluxes between atmosphere and land ...
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esaclimate @esaclimate.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Annett Bartsch has dedicated her career to understanding what's happening with ice beneath the surface. As Science Lead of ESA CCI+ Permafrost, she uses satellite data to track ground temperature changes across Arctic lowlands and mountain regions. Join her webinar: tinyurl.com/k6mhk53z
Quote card with Annett Bartsch portrait and text: ‘Monitoring permafrost from space is challenging, but we can reveal the expanse of thaw, exploiting various types of satellite records"
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Charles Thistlethwaite @charlest.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
New laboratory experiments from the University of Leeds shows that thawing permafrost can become 25 to 100 times more permeable, allowing greenhouse gases to escape into the atmosphere much more easily than when frozen. www.earth.com/news/thawing...
earth.com
Study shows thawing permafrost releases much more greenhouse gas than expected
Thawing permafrost emissions could accelerate climate change as Arctic soils become 25x to 100x more permeable, releasing much more gas.
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Tabea Rettelbach @tabea-rettelbach.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
If you're interested in the long-term development of polygonal ice-wedge terrain in Alaska after a tundra fire, then check out my newly published paper (or the TLDR version below 🙂) doi.org/10.1088/1748...
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European Geosciences Union (EGU) @egu.eu · 05/03/2026
Interested in getting a European postdoctoral #grant, but hesitant to apply? This #webinar is for you! Together with Sílvia Poblador and Elsa Abs, they will share the best application tips! 💻: How to get a European postdoctoral grant 🕔: Wednesday, 11 Mars 2026 @17:00 CET 🔗 : egu.eu/6WAGBT
Image description: A laptop in the background. Text reads: ''How to get a European postdoctoral grant,' scheduled for Wednesday, 11 March 2026 at 17:00 CET. Includes a 'REGISTER NOW' button and the EGU logo."
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
In her new paper, Tabea uses computer vision and graph analysis on high-resolution airborne lidar DEMs of fire-affected areas in Western Alaska to investigate the post-fire development of microtopography and surface hydrology in ice-wedge polygon landscapes. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Ice wedge polygon patterns at different stages after fire
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Qiusheng Wu @giswqs.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
📢 Call for Papers | Special Issue in Remote Sensing of Environment We are excited to announce a forthcoming special issue in Remote Sensing of Environment focused on the rapidly evolving area of Geospatial Foundation Models and their transformative potential for environmental remote sensing.
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EGU Cryospheric Science Division @egu-cr.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
New year - new team! Today we would like to introduce you to the new chief editor team of our #cryoblog: please say hi to Mack and Leah! 🥳❄️ @mack-baysinger.bsky.social @leahsmuhle.bsky.social We would also like to say thanks to our outgoing chief-editor team! 💙 blogs.egu.eu/divisions/cr...
blogs.egu.eu
Introducing the new chief editors of the cryo blog
New year, new team! We have some changes in our editorial team and would like to introduce our new chief editors to you today – please say hi to Mack and Leah! Mack and Leah will be taking over the ro...
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Alfred Wegener Institute @awi.de · 19/01/2026
AWI researchers have reorganized the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost (GTN-P) database and made it publicly accessible. Since the 1990s, the GTN-P has collected high-quality data to monitor global permafrost changes and its role in the climate system. www.gtn-p.org
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Alfred Wegener Institute @awi.de · 16/01/2026
In 2025, the AWI and University of Bremen secured extensive data sets from the USA. Now, the @dfg.de has approved around €860,000 in funding to systematically identify endangered data and secure it for the long term with the help of the PANGAEA data platform. ☁️📊 www.awi.de/en/about-us/...
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Qiusheng Wu @giswqs.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
Introducing the Maxar Open Data Plugin for QGIS 🚀 The Maxar Open Data Program provides free high-resolution satellite imagery to support global disaster response and recovery. To date, it has released around 150,000 images totaling ~14 TB, all freely accessible through the AWS Open Data Program.
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
PhD position with focus on modelling of ground ice formation and rapid thaw processes in permafrost landscapes now open in our PeTCaT project. The position is at VU Amsterdam: workingat.vu.nl/vacancies/ph...
workingat.vu.nl
Vacancy — PhD on process-based and data-driven modeling of rapid permafrost thaw
Are you enthusiastic about climate research in the Arctic and keen to find out how the rapidly changing permafrost landscapes have developed since the last ice age and how they will respond to ongoing...
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Qiusheng Wu @giswqs.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
🎁 A New Year’s gift to the geospatial community: a brand-new QGIS plugin that unlocks access to 80+ petabytes of satellite imagery and geospatial datasets with zero coding required.
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Quanta Magazine @quantamagazine.org · 29/12/2025
Paleoclimatologist Jessica Tierney recently published a global temperature record covering almost the past half-billion years. According to her model, 50 million years ago, inland temperatures approached 122 degrees Fahrenheit. www.quantamagazine.org/climate-extr...
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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
As long correctly predicted by global #climate models... "New report finds the Arctic continues to warm faster than the planet as a whole" www.npr.org/2025/12/16/n...
npr.org
New report finds the Arctic continues to warm faster than the planet as a whole
This year's Arctic Report Card from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration finds that the northernmost part of the Earth is warming faster than the global average, leading to melting glac...
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Rick Thoman @alaskawx.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
We’ve got a piece in The Conversation about the 2025 Arctic Report Card and the implications of 20 years of tracking rapid Arctic change. #Arctic #akwx #Climate theconversation.com/from-record-...
theconversation.com
From record warming to rusting rivers, 2025 Arctic Report Card shows a region transforming faster than expected
The 20th anniversary of the annual report tracks how sea ice, snow cover and many other vital signs of the Arctic have changed, and the impact that’s having on people and wildlife.
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The Associated Press @apnews.com · 23/11/2025
Storms that battered Alaska’s western coast this fall have brought renewed attention to low-lying Indigenous villages left increasingly vulnerable by climate change.
bit.ly
Alaska Native villages have few options and little US help as climate change devours their land
Storms that battered Alaska’s western coast this fall have brought renewed attention to low-lying Indigenous villages left increasingly vulnerable by climate change.
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Nina published her new inventory of retrogressive thaw slumps in West Siberia, covering the Yamal, Gydan, and Tazovsky peninsulas. Thaw slumps evolve by rapidly melting ground ice in very ice-rich permafrost. The dataset is based on high-res sat data and manual verification. doi.org/10.5194/essd...
doi.org
High-resolution inventory and classification of retrogressive thaw slumps in West Siberia
Abstract. Permafrost thaw disrupts ecosystems, hydrology, and biogeochemical cycles, reinforcing climate change through a positive permafrost-carbon feedback loop. Thaw can be gradual, deepening the a...
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Thomas Opel @thomasopel.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Die @zeit.de hat über einen See in Alaska berichtet, der aufgrund der Degradation von #Permafrost ausgelaufen ist und über damit zusammenhängende Forschung des @awi.de sowie Kooperationspartnern (Geschenk-Link): www.zeit.de/2025/44/klim....
zeit.de
Klimawandel: Und plötzlich war kein See mehr da
In Alaska verschwindet binnen Stunden ein See. Der Grund: tauender Permafrost. Forscher wollen nun wissen, wann das System kippen könnte und ganze Landschaften verändern.
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Rick Thoman @alaskawx.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
I’ve got a short piece up in The Conversation on the catastrophic flooding in Southwest Alaska from ex-typhoon Halong and the challenges of recovery work. #akwx #ExtremeWeather #Alaska #AlaskaSky theconversation.com/typhoon-leav...
theconversation.com
Typhoon leaves flooded Alaska villages facing a storm recovery far tougher than most Americans will ever experience
‘As the storm approached Alaska, everything went sideways,’ leaving people no time to evacuate and little time to prepare. An Alaska meteorologist explains what happened and the challenges ahead.
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Dr. Evan J. Gowan @evangowan.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
There aren't very many proxies of past sea level during the Last Glacial Maximum (27,000-19,000 ybp). Jones et al present a sediment core from Beringia that transitioned from being a lake to being submerged by the ocean during the early parts of the deglaciation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
tandfonline.com
Sea-level driven isolation of glacial plant refugia revealed by submerged lake sediment from the Bering Land Bridge and St. Matthew Island
Bering Land Bridge (BLB) climate and vegetation during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) remains largely understudied, given challenges associated with collecting records from the submerged BLB. Previ...
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 12/10/2025
The many uses of #driftwood: the first large-scale mapping of Arctic coastlines. #AWI Press release for Carl‘s paper using AI to map driftwood abundance along the North American arctic coast with Planet satellite imagery. www.awi.de/en/about-us/...
awi.de
Multitalent Treibholz: Erste großflächige Kartierung an arktischen Küsten - AWI
Driftwood plays a key role in Arctic coastal ecosystems: it stores carbon, stabilises coastlines and provides a habitat for animals. At the same time, it can offer clues regarding climate change in the Arctic region, providing information on the likes of storm surges, coastal erosion and shifting fluvial dynamics. Despite the crucial role it plays, there is still a lot that we do not know about the large-scale distribution patterns of driftwood. Now, for the first time, researchers from the Alfred Wegener Institute have systematically mapped driftwood deposits along an 11,000 kilometre stretch of coastline in Alaska and North West Canada, using satellite imagery and AI-powered evaluation methods. The result is the largest database ever produced, with researchers able to identify over 19,000 stable driftwood deposits. The findings will soon be published in the Scientific Reports journal.
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Rick Thoman @alaskawx.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Water level in northwest Alaska available through AOOS data dashboard. #AlaskaSky #akwx #ExtremeWeather
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Unser neues #permafrost Projekt PeTCaT @awi.de ist offiziell gestartet: Wir werden in den kommenden 5 Jahren mit einem großartigen internationalen Team zum schnellen Permafrosttauen forschen und einige der wichtigsten Fragen zum Permafrost-Kohlenstoff-Feedback beantworten: www.awi.de/ueber-uns/se...
awi.de
„PeTCaT“ untersucht den Einfluss von Treibhausgasen aus schnell tauendem Permafrost - AWI
Permafrost in der Arktis speichert große Mengen an organischem Kohlenstoff in gefrorenen Böden und tieferen Ablagerungen. Doch die Arktis erwärmt sich besonders schnell und lässt diese Speicher auftauen. Die Folge: Immer mehr Treibhausgase aus den Böden gelangen in die Atmosphäre. Wo und wie schnell Permafrost auftaut, ist erst wenig erforscht, ebenso wie die Prozesse, die das Tauwetter antreiben. Das internationale Projekt PeTCaT will insbesondere die Wissenslücken um schnelle Tauprozesse schließen. Unter der Leitung des Alfred-Wegener-Instituts werden Forschende aus Deutschland, den USA, Kanada, den Niederlanden und Schweden einen neuartigen Datensatz aufbauen, mit dem sie die möglichen Entwicklungen und Einflüsse von Treibhausgasen aus tauendem Permafrost projizieren können. Gefördert wird das Projekt von der gemeinnützigen Organisation Schmidt Sciences.
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Guido Grosse @grosseguido.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
I am happy to announce that we received major funding from Schmidt Sciences under their VICC program to study rapid #Permafrost Thaw Carbon Trajectories (PeTCaT). The 5-year project led by my team @awi.de partners with an international team to quantify how rapid thaw contributes to climate change.
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Dave in AK @bikewritedave.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
UAF people and Fairbanks residents:
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