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Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris | Substack

Tomorrow, Strength In Numbers will release the latest findings from our September survey with Verasight on voters' worries about ICE being deployed to the polls, and other "election security" measures proposed by the president. Get it in your inbox: www.gelliottmorris.com/welcome/

gelliottmorris.com

Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a…

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i don't know if the screencap came from @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social directly but that's where i got it from

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ken paxton is cutting ads against ken paxton fiftyplusone.news/forecast/sen...

fiftyplusone.news

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Shot, chaser. This is why you subscribe to Strength In Numbers, folks!! www.gelliottmorris.com/welcome

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I can't wait to get my 'goodies' from the government

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this changes everything. republicans to 60 seats in iowa

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Iran, prices, ICE, and Epstein are the biggest stories of 2026

I have built a novel dataset of news headlines that get shared by the press that updates daily and stretches back to 2016. Looking at data over the last month, Trump's first-ever midterm convention failed to change the news agenda. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-09-28...

gelliottmorris.com

In a new database of news headlines stretching back to 2016, I show Trump's midterm convention failed to change news agendas

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anachron @anachron2.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

i am not sure an ad that says "paid for by the U.S. government" is going to have the effect the president wants it to have...

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Reposted by G Elliott Morris

we need a watto origin story first

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100 episodes for the 100-year darkness

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I would also watch a standalone story about the origins and politics of the mining guild

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Enough with the skywalkers already. Do the Thrawn ascendancy trilogy you cowards

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Vast majority of them are already voting for Republicans

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the 1960 congressional map was wild

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chernobyl should be number 1. it is not close

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Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats

Yes, this is true in both observational data (correlating the impact of media coverage of deportations on Trump's approval rating) and a survey experiment we ran last year (priming voters about deportation of Kilmar Abrego Garcia) www.gelliottmorris.com/p/kilmar-abr...

gelliottmorris.com

Public opinion on immigration has shifted — and pundits need to catch up

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Reposted by G Elliott Morris

Ryan Enos @ryanenos.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

More than 1 in 4 *Trump voters* say the country is worse off than it was four years ago.

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(if not clear, yes, I'm talking about X) bsky.app/profile/mlow...

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The entire US politics and news industries spend a large chunk of their waking hours on a platform designed to inflate the importance of that 18%. It's a big problem, and why you get stuff like Tammy Duckworth saying she's against impeachment because she wants to "find a compromise" on USAID $

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didn't the head of polymarket last year say he couldn't read books? tells you all you need to know

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well "kids don't need to know long division because they will learn how to move sets of transistors around on a die" is certainly *a* take. it is also not the kind of thing I want to hear from the head of the highest valued company on earth

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LIVE SOON: The polls are getting better and better for Democrats

Weekly podcast live stream happening shortly. Talking about our new poll at SIN (with some previously unreleased results), the latest forecast at FPO, and the polls for DEMs and REPs open.substack.com/live-stream/...

open.substack.com

Starting Sep 24 at 2:00 PM EDT

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Party ID or reg? Including leaners?

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I’m not dismissing it, we have put it in our models! I called it an outlier because that’s what the Times called it in their writeup

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FiftyPlusOne - Latest Political Polls and Averages

Much is being made of the new NYT poll in Maine, which is an outlier and shows Collins leading. But the NYT polls in MI and NH actually have better numbers for Dems than the averages there. So forecasts may not move much in aggregate fiftyplusone.news/averages#sen...

fiftyplusone.news

A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.

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Why is economic sentiment so low when GDP growth is positive? There’s no reasonable explanation, the only possible conclusion is that people are all just doing a mass hysteria (/s)

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