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Filippo Pavanello

@fpavanello.bsky.social
131 followers 160 following 2 posts

AP @ ifo Institute and @lmu.de| PhD Econ @unibo.it | Affiliate CMCC, EIEE, and @cesifo.org. Studying adaptation to climate change. Website: fpavanello.github.io

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Reposted by Filippo Pavanello
Stephen Jarvis @stephenjarvis.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Have been very much out of office on a hiking trip for the past two weeks but now I’m back I’m excited to share a bit more about this new research. Short version: electricity demand for heating and cooling (particularly on peak days) looks set to rise basically everywhere in coming decades. (1/n)
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Giacomo Falchetta @giacfalk.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
theconversation.com/cooling-pove...
theconversation.com
Cooling poverty is making extreme heat more dangerous for millions
Some parts of the world are warming far faster than other, but even within the same city some neighbourhoods are exposed and suffer more than others.
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Climate Adaptation: Issue 2 Issue 2 of our VoxDevLit on Climate Adaptation by Namrata Kala (MIT) & Co-Editors Clare Balboni (LSE) & Eddy Zou (LSE) is out now!➡️ voxdev.org/voxdevlit/cl...
voxdev.org
Climate Adaptation: Issue 2
AbstractIn this review, we summarise the literature on weather and climate adaptation in developing countries. First, we document the effects of climate change and extreme events on economic outcomes....
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Joseph Shapiro @joseph-s-shapiro.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
🚨New paper🚨 Understanding Support for Inefficient Environmental Policy Instruments Why do governments use costly enviro standards, not more efficient pollution taxes or cap & trade? Voters misunderstand some economic principles joseph-s-shapiro.com/research/Env... 1/🧵
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Guido Imbens @imbens.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Don’t Do Difference In Differences (DDDID), cheers, guido
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Forthcoming in AER: Insights: "Cool Cities: The Value of Urban Trees" by Lu Han, Stephan Heblich, Christopher Timmins, and Yanos Zylberberg.
aeaweb.org
Cool Cities: The Value of Urban Trees
(Forthcoming Article) - As urban populations grow, more people face extreme heat, increasing demand for natural cooling. Urban trees offer various amenities, including cooling benefits, yet their economic value is hard to quantify. This paper estimates the implicit value of urban trees by exploiting the Emerald Ash Borer infestation caused by an invasive beetle that kills ash trees in Toronto as an exogenous shock. We find that a onepercentage- point increase in a postcode’s tree cover raises property prices by 1.13% and reduces exposure to extreme heat, pollution, and energy consumption. These findings underscore trees as a cost-effective, practical strategy for mitigating urban warming.
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 16/02/2026
✍️ New article: Billions of people have access to far less electricity per day than is required to run an air conditioner for just one hour. For five months of the year, temperatures in South Sudan’s capital, Juba, climb above 35 degrees Celsius (95 degrees Fahrenheit).
Energy poverty: How long could the average person run an air conditioner every day?

Horizontal bar chart showing how many minutes a typical 1000W single-room air conditioner could be powered by the average per capita residential electricity use in various countries. Values by country: India 44 minutes; Sri Lanka 39 minutes; Pakistan 37 minutes; Zimbabwe 25 minutes; Nigeria 13 minutes; Kenya 10 minutes; Haiti 8 minutes; South Sudan 4 minutes; Rwanda 3 minutes; Chad 1 minute. Key insight: large disparities in residential electricity access, with even the highest-listed country able to run a 1000W air conditioner less than one hour per day. Footer data source text: Data source: Calculated based on International Energy Agency and UN World Population Prospects. Chart is licensed CC BY to Our World in Data
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Max Roser @maxroser.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
'Four minutes of air conditioning' The new, excellent essay by my colleague @hannahritchie.bsky.social on energy poverty. ourworldindata.org/four-minutes...
ourworldindata.org
Four minutes of air conditioning
Billions of people have access to far less electricity per day than is required to run an air conditioner for just one hour.
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SSRN @ssrn.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
This paper by Pavanello & Valenti shows Italy’s heat warning system cut heat-related deaths by over 57%. Emphasizes the power of information in climate health policies. spkl.io/63322AWDhs #ClimateChange #PublicHealth #Heatwaves
Mortality, Temperature, and Public Adaptation Policy: Evidence from Italy
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
why I have trust issues
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 18/12/2025
Welcome Prof. Ian Sue Wing! 🎉 We’re excited to introduce him as a new network member. He conducts research and teaching on the economic analysis of energy and environmental policy. 🌍 His work: people.bu.edu/isw/ LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/ian-sue-w... More details: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/ne...
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 11/12/2025
Welcome Dr. Jacqueline Adelowo! 🎉 We’re excited to introduce her as a new network member. Her research lies at the intersection of energy, environmental, and climate economics. 🌍 #Welcome Learn more: www.jadelowo.com LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/jadelowo/ 🔗 www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/ne...
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Developing countries face the joint challenges of reducing poverty and adapting to a changing climate, while in some cases also needing to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. Read our VoxDevLit on Climate Adaptation to learn more: ow.ly/4ejQ50Xu01g
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Introduction - Climate Adaptation
Developing countries face the joint challenges of reducing poverty and adapting to a changing climate, while in some cases also needing to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. From 1990 to 2015, the global extreme-poverty rate (as measured by the $2.14 per day benchmark) fell steadily, but in recent years this progress has slowed, and in some instances reversed (World Bank 2020). Currently, 60% of the world’s population lives in a place where a hotter year causes lower GDP growth, and by 2100, 75% will (Acevedo et al. 2017). Therefore, even if the ambitious global target of limiting...
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Alessandro Tavoni @atavoni.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
🚨Hey #EconJobMarket 🚨We are hiring 2 Post-Doctoral Researchers🚨 See full posting here: econjobmarket.org/positions/12... 📅 Deadline: 15 January 2026
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Hannah Farkas @hannah-farkas.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
I’m on the #EconJobMarket! I study labor, extreme weather adaptation, and inequality. My JMP addresses an under-studied aspect of the labor market: schedule unpredictability among hourly workers in the service sector. 🧵👇
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Alessandro Sardone @sardonealessandro.com · 13/11/2025
On the 2025/26 #EconJobMarket with my paper “Road to Net Zero: Carbon Policy and Redistributional Dynamics in the Green Transition”. I study how EU carbon pricing affects GDP, inflation and inequality in a two agent New Keynesian DSGE model. 1/3 #EJM #EnvironmentalMacro @iwh-halle.bsky.social
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 13/11/2025
📣 Call for Papers out now: CESifo Area Conference on Energy and Climate Economics 2026 📆24 - 25 April 2026 ⏳Submit by 6 January 2026 Organizer: @auffhammer.bsky.social Keynote: @carolynfischer.bsky.social (World Bank & @rff.org) More info & submission link 👉 www.ifo.de/w/3aeed9b8
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 13/11/2025
📣 Call for Papers out now: CESifo Junior Workshop on Energy and Climate Economics 2026 📆23 April 2026 ⏳Submit by 6 January 2026 Organizer: @auffhammer.bsky.social @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social & Karen Pittel, ifo Institute More info & submission link 👉 www.ifo.de/w/95d5e393
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CESifo @cesifo.org · 10/11/2025
📢 We are excited to announce that Ian Sue Wing will be joining us as a guest researcher from November 9th to 15th! 🔍 For more information about his research on climate and environmental policy, visit his website: people.bu.edu/isw/ 🔗 Learn more about his visit here: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/gu...
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John Cawley @johncawley.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
New data on the #EconJobMarket as of Nov 2. Based on total # of job listings on JOE, this year continues to be even weaker (by 11%) than during COVID (2020). 1/many #EconSky
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Emanuele Campiglio @emacampiglio.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
🚨 We are hiring a 4-year Post-Doctoral Researcher position 🚨 See full posting here: econjobmarket.org/positions/12... 📅 Deadline: 15 January 2026 #EconJobMarket
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IWH_Halle @iwh-halle.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
✨ New IWH #DiscussionPaper ✨ 📰 “Road to Net Zero: Carbon Policy and Redistributional Dynamics in the Green Transition” 🎓 By Alessandro Sardone (@sardonealessandro.com) 👉 Read the full paper here #freeAccess: www.iwh-halle.de/en/publicati... #GreenTransition #Climate #ClimateChange #NetZero #EU
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Economics LMU Munich @econmunich.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
🚨JOB ALERT🚨 We are hiring assistant professors in Economics (any field) @lmumuenchen.bsky.social @econmunich.bsky.social Target date for applications: November 24! More info at: econjobmarket.org/positions/11... #EconSky #EconJobMarket #EJME
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NBER @nber.org · 17/10/2025
Taking the literature as a whole, the global consequences of unmitigated climate change are likely to be substantial, unequal, harmful in aggregate, and potentially destabilizing, from Solomon Hsiang www.nber.org/papers/w34357
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NBER @nber.org · 07/10/2025
Deviations from moderate temperatures kill hundreds of thousands each year in the US and EU, with limited evidence on which interventions work to reduce these burdens, from Burke, Wilson, Avirmed, Wallstein, Martins, Behrer, Callahan, Childs, Choi, French, Gould... www.nber.org/papers/w34313
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Richard Tol @richardtol.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
Some more words on Energy Economics open.substack.com/pub/richardt...
open.substack.com
Autopsy
Lessons for editors
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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
🆕 Why did air conditioning catch on so quickly in Mexico? Today on VoxDev, Lucas Davis (Haas) & Paul Gertler (UC Berkeley School of Public Health) discuss how falling electricity prices and rising energy efficiency led to increased air conditioning adoption in Mexico: ow.ly/elql50X5qLZ
ow.ly
Why did air conditioning catch on so quickly in Mexico?
Air conditioning adoption in Mexico has grown much faster than earlier forecasts, with nearly one million more units installed than predicted, largely due to falling electricity prices and rising energy efficiency that lowered the cost of cooling.
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Noise reduction benefits from EV adoption in the US estimated at $77.3 billion, concentrated among low-income families in urban areas www.nber.org/papers/w34298
nber.org
The Traffic Noise Externality: Costs, Incidence and Policy Implications
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Emanuele Campiglio @emacampiglio.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Please see below the Fall calendar of events of the Bologna Environmental Economics Group (BEEG). All events are open to everyone—looking forward to seeing you there!
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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Out today in JAERE! We measure water pollution released at India's industrial clusters. Does it hurt agriculture? Surprisingly: Not by much Come for how we published a paper of null results & with no regression tables Stay for new ways to proxy for crop yields & map hydrological relationships 🧵
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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Excellent coverage of our study out today on climate impacts on wildfire smoke and related health impacts.
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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
We are excited to announce the release of the Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas, an effort to map ongoing and future environmental hazards and their impacts on society, and to provide up to date evidence on what policies and interventions work to reduce impacts: adaptationatlas.org. Quick thread
adaptationatlas.org
Environmental Hazard Adaptation Atlas | ECHO Lab | Stanford University
Studying the impacts of environmental change on human health and well-being
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Richard Tol @richardtol.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
All is not well at Elsevier richardtol.substack.com/p/fraud-and-...
richardtol.substack.com
Fraud and cover-up
Fraud and cover-up
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
DOE's embarrassment of a "climate science" report is 150 pages where as this response from the scientific community is 500. My take: It takes much more effort to refute nonsense than it does to generate it, a tax on the time of all who care about fact and accuracy sites.google.com/tamu.edu/doe...
sites.google.com
DOEresponseSite
On July 29, 2025, the Department of Energy (DOE) published a report from its Climate Working Group (CWG). This report features prominently in the EPA's reconsideration of its 2009 Endangerment Finding...
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Richard Tol @richardtol.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Our reponse to that DOE report drive.google.com/file/d/1PwAR...
drive.google.com
Climate_Experts_Review_of_DOE_CWG_Report.pdf
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Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 02/09/2025
The Department of Energy hired five academics to raise doubts about climate change. 85+ climate experts (organized by @andrewdessler.com) reviewed their report. Our conclusion, detailed in 450 pages of analysis: it is biased, full of errors, and not fit to inform policy making.
sites.google.com
DOEresponseSite
On July 29, 2025, the Department of Energy (DOE) published a report from its Climate Working Group (CWG). This report features prominently in the EPA's reconsideration of its 2009 Endangerment Finding...
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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
We at @stanforddoerr.bsky.social are excited to announce a new PhD program in Global Environmental Policy, accepting applications this fall for Sept 2026 start. We're looking for folks with interest in social sciences, data science, and enviro science and who have strong quant training 1/
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Journal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Climate and migration in the United States" By @patrickbaylis.bsky.social, Prashant Bharadwaj, Jamie T. Mullins, & Nick Obradovich www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... #econsky #publiceconomics
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AEA Data Editor @aeadata.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
🪅DHS (not that one) Program website active again, and accepting requests for data access dhsprogram.com/Who-we-are/N... (via @ipums.bsky.social )
dhsprogram.com
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NBER @nber.org · 12/08/2025
Air conditioning adoption in Mexico has accelerated, significantly exceeding predictions, from Lucas W. Davis and Paul Gertler www.nber.org/papers/w34101
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
Cool example of retrospective model evaluation in economics - AC penetration in Mexico rose faster than predicted 12 years ago. Important to account for evolving technologies, as well as incomes and temperature. Prediction is hard, particularly about the future! www.nber.org/papers/w3410...
nber.org
Why Did Air Conditioning Adoption Accelerate Faster Than Predicted? Evidence from Mexico
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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lorenzo sileci @elchinosauro.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
quality research you can also show off at the dinner table in scorched-earth mediterranean summer 🔥 killer work by my mates @giacfalk.bsky.social and @fpavanello.bsky.social!!! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
The impact of air conditioning on residential electricity consumption across world countries
We provide a first globally-relevant assessment of the electricity consumption consequences of households’ adaptation to ambient heat through air cond…
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Malin Wiese @malinwiese.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
This is the starter pack so far: go.bsky.app/8qnJEtg
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Emanuele Campiglio @emacampiglio.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
New article out on European Economic Review! "Warning words in a warming world: Central bank communication and climate change", with @jdeyris.bsky.social, @davideromelli.bsky.social and G. Scalisi. Available open access here: doi.org/10.1016/j.eu... Speech dataset here: cbspeeches.com
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Richard Waite @waiterich.bsky.social · 26/07/2025
Global emissions from heating are about 4x those from cooling. Air conditioning is an important and lifesaving adaptation to climate change. Decarbonize the grid.
Graph showing global carbon emissions from heating vs cooling. Heating is about 4 billion tonnes CO2e/year; cooling is about 1. Source https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/co2-heating-cooling
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 20/07/2025
Very pleased that our local projections dif-in-dif paper is now out in the Journal of Applied Econometrics. Joint with @dgirardi.bsky.social, Jorda, and Taylor. It's a tool that we think many applied economists will find useful (indeed many already have). 🧵
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Hannah Ritchie @hannahritchie.bsky.social · 18/07/2025
I always find survey results like this staggering (almost to the point of unbelievability). The US was spending around 1% of its federal budget on foreign aid. The average guess among 1,000+ surveyed Americans was 26%. 15% thought it was over half of the budget (?!) www.kff.org/global-healt...
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Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
We study how trade policy can reduce global emissions. Unilateral carbon border taxes have limited efficacy at cutting foreign emissions. By contrast, coordinated trade penalties under a climate club prove highly effective. buff.ly/NEE3Uy8
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POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 09/07/2025
Climate change supercharged last week’s European heat wave and tripled the death toll, a group of scientists said today.
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Climate change tripled recent heat deaths in Europe, scientists say
Global warming caused an additional 1,500 deaths in 12 cities during last week’s heat wave, an analysis found.
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Congratulations to Environmental Research: Climate @iopp-environment.bsky.social on receiving its first Impact Factor of 5.4! ERCL is non-profit, open access and has no article charges through 2025. Consider for your interdisciplinary climate research! iopscience.iop.org/journal/2752...
iopscience.iop.org
Environmental Research: Climate - IOPscience
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