Reposted by Felix PretisZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 01/09/2026The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/... 7234115
Reposted by Felix PretisProf Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Permafrost is thawing deeper and it’s happening worldwide. A new study of 156 monitoring sites found that the active layer, the soil that thaws each summer, increased significantly at many sites from 2000–2024. www.nature.com/articles/s43...nature.comLong-term monitoring of active layer thickness confirms global permafrost degradation - Communications Earth & EnvironmentActive-layer thickness increased at 55% and 38% of Arctic and Antarctic sites, and >90% in European, Asian, and South American mountains, driven by increasing thawing degree-days and rainfall, acco... 8255159
Reposted by Felix PretisUVic Faculty of Social Sciences @uvicsocialsciences.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Arctic permafrost thaw accelerating! New research @felixpretis.bsky.social @uvic.ca #climate #arctic #permafrost #economics news.uvic.ca/2026/global-...news.uvic.caResearchers find global loss of permafrost accelerating - UVic NewsAn international team of researchers has found accelerating permafrost degradation across the Arctic, Antarctic and high-mountain regions. 011
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 26/08/2026New paper out: 156 permafrost monitoring sites, 25 years of field measurements, "demonstrating worldwide permafrost degradation during the first quarter of this century". www.nature.com/articles/s43...nature.comLong-term monitoring of active layer thickness confirms global permafrost degradation - Communications Earth & EnvironmentActive-layer thickness increased at 55% and 38% of Arctic and Antarctic sites, and >90% in European, Asian, and South American mountains, driven by increasing thawing degree-days and rainfall, acco... 121
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 21/08/2026The 10th Conference on Econometric Modelling of Climate Change wins the award for best view from a lecture room! Great to see everyone in Aalborg for the 10 year anniversary! climateaau.github.io/emcc-x-progr... 050
Reposted by Felix PretisMark Carney @mark-carney.bsky.social · 01/07/2026The world wants more Canada. At Eurovision 2027, that’s exactly what they will get 🇨🇦 32795163
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 13/04/2026Great to see more use of break detection to identify effective policies - for agricultural emissions in Europe: "the most effective [...] being mixes addressing N2O emissions, primarily through improved fertilizer management and more efficient nitrogen use." www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comPolicy mixes and major emission reductions in European agricultureGreenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture are a major driver of climate change. Although various policies have been implemented to reduce agricu… 135
Reposted by Felix PretisPatrick Klösel @patrickkloesel.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Glad to have had the chance to present our work on climate policy mixes & green innovation at the @uvic.ca Economics Department & talk about econometrics w @felixpretis.bsky.social this week. Vancouver Island is such a beautiful place. On a good day, you can see as far as the Olympic National Park! 261
Reposted by Felix PretisKatie Mack @astrokatie.com · 02/04/2026"The real threat is a slow, comfortable drift toward not understanding what you're doing. Not a dramatic collapse. Not Skynet. Just a generation of researchers who can produce results but can't produce understanding." 312027636
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Austria's newly famous tool-using cow - maybe it should have been a co-author? "Flexible use of a multi-purpose tool by a cow" - www.cell.com/current-biol...cell.comFlexible use of a multi-purpose tool by a cowOsuna-Mascaró and Auersperg report flexible, multipurpose tool use in a cow, expanding the known range of mammalian tool users and underscoring overlooked cognitive capacities in livestock. 012
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 05/01/2026“if you take carbon out of the ground, you must put it back” - Our OpEd with Andrew Weaver @ajwvictoriabc.bsky.social and Myles Allen in the Calgary Herald. 031
Reposted by Felix PretisCalgary Herald @calgaryherald.com · 03/01/2026Opinion: Decarbonized oil is Canada’s climate opportunity calgaryherald.com/opinion/colu... 011
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 04/12/2025Grizzly hunting won't reduce attacks - article in @thenarwhal.ca cites our working paper in which we 'find little evidence that lethal control interventions lead to significant long-run reductions in human-black bear conflict' (albeit for black bears): papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....thenarwhal.caGrizzly hunting won’t reduce attacks, experts say | The NarwhalAfter recent attacks in B.C. and Alberta, some are calling to re-open the grizzly hunt — but experts say there’s no evidence it would reduce conflicts 030
Reposted by Felix PretisGlen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 25/11/2025The costs of Direct Air Capture will not fall as much as hoped. "Efforts to reduce carbon emissions should therefore* continue at pace, says the research team." *Therefore is problematic here, as it implies that if DACCS was cheap less reductions are needed. No, no, no. ethz.ch/en/news-and-... 1/ 66720
Reposted by Felix PretisAlistair Munro @alistair-munro.bsky.social · 20/11/2025Call for papers: HISTORY OF CLIMATE ECONOMICS Details at: journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/19... Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Deadline for abstracts : January 15th, 2026journals.openedition.orgHistory of Climate EconomicsEditors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Call for Papers In 2018, the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Eco... 0811
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 15/11/2025Drought influences human-wildlife conflict in California, very cool paper! Results seem consistent with our work on human-wildlife conflict in BC: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comDo Lethal Control Interventions Reduce Human-Wildlife Conflict? Evidence from Black Bears in British Columbia<div> <span>Lethal control is a common intervention in response to human-wildlife conflict, yet its effectiveness in reducing future conflict is unclear. We as 021
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 15/11/2025Fascinating study! I wouldn't mind a domesticated raccoon. 030
Reposted by Felix PretisAndrew B. Martinez @andrewbmartinez.bsky.social · 15/11/2025My paper examining the accuracy of hurricane damage nowcasts is now out in the International Journal of Forecasting. Open access link (until Jan 3) is here: tinyurl.com/4eztf7xxshorturl.at 111
Reposted by Felix PretisKen Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 04/11/2025Experience curves indicate that successful technologies reduce in cost by ~20% for each doubling of cumulative production. However, we find that past learning rates are not very predictive of future learning rates, throwing many energy tech cost projections into doubt. doi.org/10.1016/j.ad... 1145
Reposted by Felix PretisJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 07/10/2025I sat down for a nice long chat on the Nick Standlea Show about the economics of AI: How it's changing our labor market, who it's going to help and hurt, how policy can help, and what each of us can do to stay relevant. Posted to my (fledgling) youtube channel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=oful...youtube.comThe AI Revolution Is an Ownership Problem, Not a Tech Problem — Economist Justin WolfersYouTube video by The Nick Standlea Show 1726566
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 24/09/2025Working on econometrics and climate? 🌦️ The Econometrics Journal & EMCC call for papers for a new special issue on 'Econometric Modeling of Climate Change and the Green Transition' - submit by February 28th, 2026. More information on the EMCC website: sites.google.com/view/emcccon... #Econskysites.google.comEMCC - Call for papers - The Econometrics JournalThe Econometrics Journal and EMCC call for papers for a new special issue on Econometric Modeling of Climate Change and the Green Transition with a submission deadline of February 28, 2026. We welcom... 064
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 29/08/2025Thanks to all the attendees and presenters for making the trip to Victoria for the 9th Conference on Econometric Modelling of Climate Change tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic! See you next year in Aalborg! #EconSky 030
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 16/08/2025"Going deep: Can CO2 be locked away below the seafloor?" - great overview on our Solid Carbon project for offshore geological CO2 storage by the team at New Frontiers (who are kindly funding the research): sshrc-crsh.canada.ca/funding-fina... #Econskysshrc-crsh.canada.caSocial sciences and humanities research councilMoran is the nominated principal investigator for “Solid Carbon: The Ocean’s Rock-solid Sociotechnical Climate Solution,” a groundbreaking project that was recently awarded $24 million from the New Frontiers in Research Fund (NFRF). 051
Reposted by Felix PretisDr. Julia K. Baum @baumlab.bsky.social · 05/08/2025Attention Climate Solutions Scholars! @uvic.ca seeks its next Canada Excellence Research Chair 🇨🇦: www.uvic.ca/research-inn... You: world class scholar, looking to make a move Us: #5 in world for climate action, collegial, stunning location (B.C.) w award-winning climate policy Pls share widely!uvic.caCanada Excellence Research Chair - University of Victoria - University of VictoriaFind information about applying to be Canada Excellence Research Chair at the University of Victoria 05444
Reposted by Felix PretisMarshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 22/07/2025Excited to announce a new funding opportunity for research on "what works" in climate adaptation. We are specifically looking for strong causal designs that tell us what interventions work (or don't) to reduce impacts of a changing climate. Plz share + apply! seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4seedfunding.stanford.eduEvaluation of climate adaptation interventions using observational data | Stanford Seed Funding 12011
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 07/07/2025The preliminary programme for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change at the University of Victoria, 2025 is now available online! Looking forward to seeing everyone in Victoria in August! #EconSky tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic 024
Reposted by Felix PretisTrevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 22/05/2025How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation? My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/05/22/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli 16527
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 08/05/2025Interesting meta analysis on the social cost of carbon - quite surprising to see authors themselves be variables in a regression! 200
Reposted by Felix PretisJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 29/04/2025"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages. 201371263
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 14/04/2025Only 4 more days to submit! The abstract submission deadline for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change is coming up on April 17th! #EconSky 012
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 01/04/2025Today the BC carbon tax has been removed. It's unfortunate that a simple climate policy had become so politicized. Talk about ironic timing: our paper on the CO2 response to carbon pricing just came out in the April issue of Energy Economics. Hot off the press, cold in the policy grave. #Econskysciencedirect.comCarbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissionsUsing newly constructed sector-specific carbon price data, we study the response of CO2 emissions to carbon pricing policies for a cross-country panel… 74420
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Heads (and elbows) up: The call for abstracts for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (University of Victoria, BC, Canada – Aug. 27-28, 2025) is open until April 17th! #Econsky Looking forward to seeing you in August! More info at: www.tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic 0146
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 14/03/2025Thanks to the Canadian New Frontiers in Research Fund for supporting our Solid Carbon project on offshore geological carbon storage solidcarbon.ca! @uvic.ca Many open economic questions to be explored - reach out if you're working on the economics of carbon storage and removal! #EconSkysolidcarbon.caA rock-solid climate solution – SolidCarbonSolidCarbon - Solid Carbon can remove carbon emissions and safely secure them forever. 092
Reposted by Felix PretisNoah Kaufman @noahqkaufman.bsky.social · 11/03/2025In Nature Climate Change, @chrisbataille.bsky.social and I describe three common situations when energy/economic models are detrimental to climate policymaking efforts 🧵 rdcu.be/ecSMXrdcu.beAvoiding misuses of energy-economic modelling in climate policymakingNature Climate Change - Energy-economic models are increasingly being used to inform climate mitigation policies. This Comment describes three situations where models misinform policymakers and... 56926
Reposted by Felix PretisGrant McDermott @gmcd.bsky.social · 06/02/2025Like Vincent says, this is a big release with a shedload of new features. Same small footprint, though ;-) Here’s quick rundown of some of my favourites... #rstats #dataviz 25120
Reposted by Felix PretisVincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 05/02/2025{tinyplot} 0.3.0 is out! 🚨 It's a lightweight #Rstats 📦 to draw beautiful and complex plots, using an ultra-simple and concise syntax. This is a massive release! @gmcd.bsky.social @zeileis.org and I worked hard to add tons of new themes and plot types. Check it out! grantmcdermott.com/tinyplot/ 17488112
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 30/01/2025Gridded GDP estimates over time - looks like a very useful dataset! 040
Reposted by Felix PretisOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 30/01/2025Check out this great new video about Our World in Data from @socsci.ox.ac.uk featuring our founder, @maxroser.bsky.social! www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCz6EIcSFQ8youtube.comOur World in Data: Transforming data into global impactDeveloping innovative ways to bring data to life can be a catalyst for global impact.When Professor Max Roser started bringing together a library of datasets... 35017
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 30/01/2025Call for papers now open! The 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change will take place at the University of Victoria, BC, Canada on Aug. 27-28th 2025. Submit your abstracts by April 17th! #econsky Looking forward to seeing you in Victoria! More info at: www.tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic 1106
Reposted by Felix PretisJournal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social · 29/01/2025Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Sea level rise risks, adaptation strategies, and real estate prices in Singapore" By Sumit Agarwal, Yu Qin, Tien Foo Sing, & Changwei Zhan www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 1135
Reposted by Felix PretisSara Wray Enns @sarawrayenns.bsky.social · 27/01/2025I have the privilege of presenting some of my work at the CWEC/CFÉC brown bag tomorrow. Presenting a synthetic control study of the socio-economic impacts of the Inuvik-Tuktoyktuk Highway. 041
Reposted by Felix PretisPaul Bruno @paul-bruno.com · 03/01/2025Inference with a single treated cluster www.restud.com/inference-wi...restud.comInference with a single treated cluster - The Review of Economic StudiesI introduce a generic method for inference about a scalar parameter in research designs with a finite number of heterogeneous clusters where only a single cluster received treatment. This situation is... 2308
Reposted by Felix PretisCyril Brunner @brunncy.bsky.social · 17/11/2024How long does CO₂ have to be stored in #CarbonDioxideRemoval #CDR? At least 35 years? 100 years? Longer?🤔 In a new study, @hausfath.bsky.social, @retoknutti.bsky.social & I find that for #netzero CO₂, anything less than 1000 years is not enough to neutralize warming.🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s43... 823591
Reposted by Felix PretisJohn Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 18/12/2024"Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)" Everything David Spiegelhalter writes is worth reading. In this case though he does imply that other things definitely do exist, which remains to be proved. www.nature.com/articles/d41...nature.comWhy probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is. 1133
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 17/12/2024A great resource for a regression-based (and my favourite) solution to staggered treatment! 010
Reposted by Felix PretisFlorian Ederer @florianederer.bsky.social · 16/12/2024I 💕 that my favorite newspaper @derstandard.at used content from @instrumenthull.bsky.social's iconic meme page for their interview with @dacemoglumit.bsky.social. Read the full interview here: www.derstandard.at/story/300000... 0131
Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 11/12/2024Save the date: 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) will be at the University of Victoria BC, Canada, Aug. 27-28, 2025. Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky 1138
Reposted by Felix PretisArpit Gupta @arpitrage.bsky.social · 29/11/2024Behavioral economics: people cannot add or subtract Macroeconomics: *maybe* people cannot deal with the fact that the entire cross sectional distribution is a state variable 716828