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Felix Pretis

@felixpretis.bsky.social
913 followers 343 following 38 posts

Associate Professor, Dept. of Economics, University of Victoria, British Columbia. Associate member at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Working on climateeconometrics.org. Personal website: www.felixpretis.org

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Reposted by Felix Pretis
Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 01/09/2026
The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/...
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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Permafrost is thawing deeper and it’s happening worldwide. A new study of 156 monitoring sites found that the active layer, the soil that thaws each summer, increased significantly at many sites from 2000–2024. www.nature.com/articles/s43...
nature.com
Long-term monitoring of active layer thickness confirms global permafrost degradation - Communications Earth & Environment
Active-layer thickness increased at 55% and 38% of Arctic and Antarctic sites, and >90% in European, Asian, and South American mountains, driven by increasing thawing degree-days and rainfall, acco...
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UVic Faculty of Social Sciences @uvicsocialsciences.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Arctic permafrost thaw accelerating! New research @felixpretis.bsky.social @uvic.ca #climate #arctic #permafrost #economics news.uvic.ca/2026/global-...
news.uvic.ca
Researchers find global loss of permafrost accelerating - UVic News
An international team of researchers has found accelerating permafrost degradation across the Arctic, Antarctic and high-mountain regions.
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
New paper out: 156 permafrost monitoring sites, 25 years of field measurements, "demonstrating worldwide permafrost degradation during the first quarter of this century". www.nature.com/articles/s43...
nature.com
Long-term monitoring of active layer thickness confirms global permafrost degradation - Communications Earth & Environment
Active-layer thickness increased at 55% and 38% of Arctic and Antarctic sites, and >90% in European, Asian, and South American mountains, driven by increasing thawing degree-days and rainfall, acco...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The 10th Conference on Econometric Modelling of Climate Change wins the award for best view from a lecture room! Great to see everyone in Aalborg for the 10 year anniversary! climateaau.github.io/emcc-x-progr...
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Mark Carney @mark-carney.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
The world wants more Canada. At Eurovision 2027, that’s exactly what they will get 🇨🇦
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Great to see more use of break detection to identify effective policies - for agricultural emissions in Europe: "the most effective [...] being mixes addressing N2O emissions, primarily through improved fertilizer management and more efficient nitrogen use." www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Policy mixes and major emission reductions in European agriculture
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture are a major driver of climate change. Although various policies have been implemented to reduce agricu…
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Patrick Klösel @patrickkloesel.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Glad to have had the chance to present our work on climate policy mixes & green innovation at the @uvic.ca Economics Department & talk about econometrics w @felixpretis.bsky.social this week. Vancouver Island is such a beautiful place. On a good day, you can see as far as the Olympic National Park!
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Katie Mack @astrokatie.com · 02/04/2026
"The real threat is a slow, comfortable drift toward not understanding what you're doing. Not a dramatic collapse. Not Skynet. Just a generation of researchers who can produce results but can't produce understanding."
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Austria's newly famous tool-using cow - maybe it should have been a co-author? "Flexible use of a multi-purpose tool by a cow" - www.cell.com/current-biol...
cell.com
Flexible use of a multi-purpose tool by a cow
Osuna-Mascaró and Auersperg report flexible, multipurpose tool use in a cow, expanding the known range of mammalian tool users and underscoring overlooked cognitive capacities in livestock.
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
“if you take carbon out of the ground, you must put it back” - Our OpEd with Andrew Weaver @ajwvictoriabc.bsky.social and Myles Allen in the Calgary Herald.
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Calgary Herald @calgaryherald.com · 03/01/2026
Opinion: Decarbonized oil is Canada’s climate opportunity calgaryherald.com/opinion/colu...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
Grizzly hunting won't reduce attacks - article in @thenarwhal.ca cites our working paper in which we 'find little evidence that lethal control interventions lead to significant long-run reductions in human-black bear conflict' (albeit for black bears): papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
thenarwhal.ca
Grizzly hunting won’t reduce attacks, experts say | The Narwhal
After recent attacks in B.C. and Alberta, some are calling to re-open the grizzly hunt — but experts say there’s no evidence it would reduce conflicts
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Reposted by Felix Pretis
Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
The costs of Direct Air Capture will not fall as much as hoped. "Efforts to reduce carbon emissions should therefore* continue at pace, says the research team." *Therefore is problematic here, as it implies that if DACCS was cheap less reductions are needed. No, no, no. ethz.ch/en/news-and-... 1/
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Alistair Munro @alistair-munro.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Call for papers: HISTORY OF CLIMATE ECONOMICS Details at: journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/19... Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Deadline for abstracts : January 15th, 2026
journals.openedition.org
History of Climate Economics
Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Call for Papers In 2018, the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Eco...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
Drought influences human-wildlife conflict in California, very cool paper! Results seem consistent with our work on human-wildlife conflict in BC: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
Do Lethal Control Interventions Reduce Human-Wildlife Conflict? Evidence from Black Bears in British Columbia
<div> <span>Lethal control is a common intervention in response to human-wildlife conflict, yet its effectiveness in reducing future conflict is unclear. We as
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
Fascinating study! I wouldn't mind a domesticated raccoon.
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Andrew B. Martinez @andrewbmartinez.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
My paper examining the accuracy of hurricane damage nowcasts is now out in the International Journal of Forecasting. Open access link (until Jan 3) is here: tinyurl.com/4eztf7xx
shorturl.at
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Ken Caldeira @kencaldeira.com · 04/11/2025
Experience curves indicate that successful technologies reduce in cost by ~20% for each doubling of cumulative production. However, we find that past learning rates are not very predictive of future learning rates, throwing many energy tech cost projections into doubt. doi.org/10.1016/j.ad...
Fig. 2. Learning rates for technologies in the Performance Curve Database are seldom constant. (b) Past learning rate (i.e., the learning rate for the first half of points in the data series) versus future learning rate (i.e., the learning rate observed in the second half of the points in the data series) for the same technologies. The past learning rate is not a good predictor of the future learning rate as measured by the Pearson correlation coefficient for the learning exponent of 0.12 and not significantly different from 0 at the 5% confidence level. Outliers (not shown) include nuclear electricity (−109,−32), offshore gas pipeline (−59,13), crude oil (−87,55), and motor gasoline (−29,64).
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
I sat down for a nice long chat on the Nick Standlea Show about the economics of AI: How it's changing our labor market, who it's going to help and hurt, how policy can help, and what each of us can do to stay relevant. Posted to my (fledgling) youtube channel here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=oful...
youtube.com
The AI Revolution Is an Ownership Problem, Not a Tech Problem — Economist Justin Wolfers
YouTube video by The Nick Standlea Show
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
Working on econometrics and climate? 🌦️ The Econometrics Journal & EMCC call for papers for a new special issue on 'Econometric Modeling of Climate Change and the Green Transition' - submit by February 28th, 2026. More information on the EMCC website: sites.google.com/view/emcccon... #Econsky
sites.google.com
EMCC - Call for papers - The Econometrics Journal
The Econometrics Journal and EMCC call for papers for a new special issue on Econometric Modeling of Climate Change and the Green Transition with a submission deadline of February 28, 2026. We welcom...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
Thanks to all the attendees and presenters for making the trip to Victoria for the 9th Conference on Econometric Modelling of Climate Change tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic! See you next year in Aalborg! #EconSky
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
"Going deep: Can CO2 be locked away below the seafloor?" - great overview on our Solid Carbon project for offshore geological CO2 storage by the team at New Frontiers (who are kindly funding the research): sshrc-crsh.canada.ca/funding-fina... #Econsky
sshrc-crsh.canada.ca
Social sciences and humanities research council
Moran is the nominated principal investigator for “Solid Carbon: The Ocean’s Rock-solid Sociotechnical Climate Solution,” a groundbreaking project that was recently awarded $24 million from the New Frontiers in Research Fund (NFRF).
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Dr. Julia K. Baum @baumlab.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
Attention Climate Solutions Scholars! @uvic.ca seeks its next Canada Excellence Research Chair 🇨🇦: www.uvic.ca/research-inn... You: world class scholar, looking to make a move Us: #5 in world for climate action, collegial, stunning location (B.C.) w award-winning climate policy Pls share widely!
uvic.ca
Canada Excellence Research Chair - University of Victoria - University of Victoria
Find information about applying to be Canada Excellence Research Chair at the University of Victoria
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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Excited to announce a new funding opportunity for research on "what works" in climate adaptation. We are specifically looking for strong causal designs that tell us what interventions work (or don't) to reduce impacts of a changing climate. Plz share + apply! seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4
seedfunding.stanford.edu
Evaluation of climate adaptation interventions using observational data | Stanford Seed Funding
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
The preliminary programme for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change at the University of Victoria, 2025 is now available online! Looking forward to seeing everyone in Victoria in August! #EconSky tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic
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Trevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
How much did the carbon tax actually impact inflation? My latest for @TheHubCanada: thehub.ca/2025/05/22/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Interesting meta analysis on the social cost of carbon - quite surprising to see authors themselves be variables in a regression!
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Reposted by Felix Pretis
Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
Only 4 more days to submit! The abstract submission deadline for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change is coming up on April 17th! #EconSky
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Today the BC carbon tax has been removed. It's unfortunate that a simple climate policy had become so politicized. Talk about ironic timing: our paper on the CO2 response to carbon pricing just came out in the April issue of Energy Economics. Hot off the press, cold in the policy grave. #Econsky
sciencedirect.com
Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions
Using newly constructed sector-specific carbon price data, we study the response of CO2 emissions to carbon pricing policies for a cross-country panel…
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Heads (and elbows) up: The call for abstracts for the 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (University of Victoria, BC, Canada – Aug. 27-28, 2025) is open until April 17th! #Econsky Looking forward to seeing you in August! More info at: www.tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Thanks to the Canadian New Frontiers in Research Fund for supporting our Solid Carbon project on offshore geological carbon storage solidcarbon.ca! @uvic.ca Many open economic questions to be explored - reach out if you're working on the economics of carbon storage and removal! #EconSky
solidcarbon.ca
A rock-solid climate solution – SolidCarbon
SolidCarbon - Solid Carbon can remove carbon emissions and safely secure them forever.
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Noah Kaufman @noahqkaufman.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
In Nature Climate Change, @chrisbataille.bsky.social and I describe three common situations when energy/economic models are detrimental to climate policymaking efforts 🧵 rdcu.be/ecSMX
rdcu.be
Avoiding misuses of energy-economic modelling in climate policymaking
Nature Climate Change - Energy-economic models are increasingly being used to inform climate mitigation policies. This Comment describes three situations where models misinform policymakers and...
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Grant McDermott @gmcd.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Like Vincent says, this is a big release with a shedload of new features. Same small footprint, though ;-) Here’s quick rundown of some of my favourites... #rstats #dataviz
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
{tinyplot} 0.3.0 is out! 🚨 It's a lightweight #Rstats 📦 to draw beautiful and complex plots, using an ultra-simple and concise syntax. This is a massive release! @gmcd.bsky.social @zeileis.org and I worked hard to add tons of new themes and plot types. Check it out! grantmcdermott.com/tinyplot/
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Gridded GDP estimates over time - looks like a very useful dataset!
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 30/01/2025
Check out this great new video about Our World in Data from @socsci.ox.ac.uk featuring our founder, @maxroser.bsky.social! www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCz6EIcSFQ8
youtube.com
Our World in Data: Transforming data into global impact
Developing innovative ways to bring data to life can be a catalyst for global impact.When Professor Max Roser started bringing together a library of datasets...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Call for papers now open! The 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change will take place at the University of Victoria, BC, Canada on Aug. 27-28th 2025. Submit your abstracts by April 17th! #econsky Looking forward to seeing you in Victoria! More info at: www.tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic
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Journal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social: "Sea level rise risks, adaptation strategies, and real estate prices in Singapore" By Sumit Agarwal, Yu Qin, Tien Foo Sing, & Changwei Zhan www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Sara Wray Enns @sarawrayenns.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
I have the privilege of presenting some of my work at the CWEC/CFÉC brown bag tomorrow. Presenting a synthetic control study of the socio-economic impacts of the Inuvik-Tuktoyktuk Highway.
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Paul Bruno @paul-bruno.com · 03/01/2025
Inference with a single treated cluster www.restud.com/inference-wi...
restud.com
Inference with a single treated cluster - The Review of Economic Studies
I introduce a generic method for inference about a scalar parameter in research designs with a finite number of heterogeneous clusters where only a single cluster received treatment. This situation is...
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Cyril Brunner @brunncy.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
How long does CO₂ have to be stored in #CarbonDioxideRemoval #CDR? At least 35 years? 100 years? Longer?🤔 In a new study, @hausfath.bsky.social, @retoknutti.bsky.social & I find that for #netzero CO₂, anything less than 1000 years is not enough to neutralize warming.🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s43...
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John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
"Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)" Everything David Spiegelhalter writes is worth reading. In this case though he does imply that other things definitely do exist, which remains to be proved. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)
All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
A great resource for a regression-based (and my favourite) solution to staggered treatment!
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Florian Ederer @florianederer.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
I 💕 that my favorite newspaper @derstandard.at used content from @instrumenthull.bsky.social's iconic meme page for their interview with @dacemoglumit.bsky.social. Read the full interview here: www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
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Felix Pretis @felixpretis.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Save the date: 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) will be at the University of Victoria BC, Canada, Aug. 27-28, 2025. Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
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Arpit Gupta @arpitrage.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Behavioral economics: people cannot add or subtract Macroeconomics: *maybe* people cannot deal with the fact that the entire cross sectional distribution is a state variable
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