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Esa T. Juntura

@esatjuntu.bsky.social
402 followers 445 following 83 posts

Finnish tech professional, into tech,Signal: environmental and social issues. Hobbies playing with dog, gaming, reading history, novels, movies, rock, green 💚🇫🇮🇪🇺🇺🇦🇵🇸 Signal: esat.69 he/him

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Reposted by Esa T. Juntura
Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
- Attacking the ICC - Palling around with Russia - Broadcasting executions
static.klipy.com
Are We The Baddies? Meme
ALT: Are We The Baddies? Meme
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🔥 HOT OFF THE PRESS For the first time ever, @iea.org has published a dedicated Electrification Report. An absolute treasure trove of data. Here are the key takeaways that stood out to me when I peer-reviewed it. 🧵
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Christian Zauner @chrizau.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Sorry,but "good news" could only be strictly enforced global plans for immediate deep emission cuts, achieving at least global net-zero emissions ASAP (i.e. before 2050) and deliver sustained net-negative CO2 emissions. See page 4 of the report. Is there anybody out there who wants to achieve that?
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Fionna O’Leary @fascinatorfun.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
“Hitler could have been stopped” What lesson can we learn from this?
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Kees van der Leun @sustainable2050.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
We're currently on one of the faster tracks that lead to an early AMOC collapse according to this paper, adding a little over +2.5 ppm/year. Reducing the increase in atmospheric CO2 to +0.5 ppm/year would stave off the collapse. That requires something like 80% emission reduction. And rapidly, too.
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Media Tell The Truth @mediatellthetruth.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
The science was right. In 1988, Dr Syukuro Manabe predicted the Mediterranean region, North Africa and Southern California would all dry out in summers due to rising levels of greenhouse gases. In 2021 he won the Nobel Prize in Physics with two others for reliably predicting global heating.
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Oras Tynkkynen @orastynkkynen.vihreat.fi · 14/07/2026
EU:n toimettomuus Israelin rikosten edessä on lannistavaa ja tyrmistyttävää. Edes vaatimaton kauppakielto laittomien siirtokuntien kanssa ei edennyt, vaikka kannatusta sille neuvostossa onkin.
hs.fi
Israel | EU:n ulkoministerit: Kauppa laittomien siirtokuntien kanssa lopetettava
Asian valmistelu jatkuu, eikä EU:lla ei ole yksimielisyyttä päätöksenteko­tavasta.
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Esa T. Juntura @esatjuntu.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Tähän tarvitaan muutos. X ei missään nimessä saisi olla virallinen viestintäkanava.
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Henry Mance @henrymance.ft.com · 11/07/2026
Europe’s slow electrification is a ‘major mistake’ www.ft.com/content/fbeb...
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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
You don't hear politicians arguing that there's no point in casting ballots because you're just one vote! Why do they apply that faulty logic when it comes to national carbon emissions?
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Ville Niinistö @villeniinisto.vihreat.fi · 26/06/2026
Asiantuntijaraportti varoittaa eurooppalaisten yhteiskuntien häiriönsietokyvyn ja ruokaturvan vaarantumisesta, ellei Euroopan unioni onnistu pysäyttämään ja kääntämään luonnonvaraisten pölyttäjien katoa ja tukemaan tarhattujen mehiläisten elinolosuhteita. www.uef.fi/fi/artikkeli...
uef.fi
Kansainvälinen asiantuntijaraportti varoittaa Eurooppaa uhkaavasta kriisistä, ellei pölyttäjäkatoa onnistuta pysäyttämään
Tuoreessa tiekartassa esitetään keinoja luonnonvaraisten pölyttäjäkantojen elvyttämiseksi ja tarhattujen mehiläisten suojelemiseksi.
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Antti Kääriäinen @antti.kaariainen.info · 24/06/2026
50-70 year prison sentences for using fireworks and vandalizing a van in a demonstration. 30 years for moving a box of political leaflets. Sounds pretty much like Soviet Union or China, not a western democracy. www.justice.gov/opa/pr/leade...
justice.gov
Leader of Antifa Cell Members in North Texas Sentenced to 100 Years in Prison for Terrorist Attack on ICE Facility
Today, the Justice Department announced that eight North Texas Antifa Cell operatives were sentenced for their roles in rioting, using weapons and explosives, providing material support to terrorists,...
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Sami Eerola @eerolasami.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Tarkistin kuukausi sitten Wikipediassa keskustelua siitä syyllistyykö Israel kansanmurhaan. Termiä vastustavat sanovat että Israel syyllistyy etniseen puhdistukseen. Tarkistin mika on ero? Etnisessä puhdistuksessa ei haluta hävittää koko kansa, ainoastaan se osa joka on halutussa maa-alueessa
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Lunabelle @lunabelle.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
Just seen and saved this. Pretty much sums it up properly.
Iran deal - Obama (excellent diplomacy) v trump (dreadful bankrupted a casino moron).
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Eric Rawlins @erawlins.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
This is what we all get after a century of continuous and increasing pollution, caused by burning oil.
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 01/06/2026
This piece asks the question & answers it: a massive, generational, unforgivable failure of journalism.
independent.co.uk
What’s really happening with the climate should terrify us all
We’ve been trapped into thinking of climate change as part of the culture wars – where being worried about what’s happening to the planet is somehow woke, writes Alan Rusbridger. It’s time the media s...
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Modesty Blasé @hollylalarebel.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Petteri Orpon hallituksen ministeri Rantanen haluaa neuvotella Talebanin kanssa afgaanien palautuksista. Lue uudestaan.
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Ilmatieteen laitos - Finnish Meteorological Institute @ilmatieteenlaitos.fi · 12/06/2026
Helsingin kesäkuukausien keskilämpötila nousee tulevina vuosikymmeninä kaikkialla kaupungissa. Ihmisten kokema kuumarasitus on suurinta tiiviisti rakennetuilla alueilla. Rannikkoalueilla meri hillitsee lämpenemisen vaikutuksia. www.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi/uutinen/4ONC...
ilmatieteenlaitos.fi
Helsingin kesät lämpenevät – kuumuus kuormittaa erityisesti
Helsingin kesäkuukausien keskilämpötila nousee tulevina vuosikymmeninä kaikkialla kaupungissa. Ihmisten kokema kuumarasitus on suurinta tiiviisti rakennetuilla alueilla, mutta rannikkoalueilla meri
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Dana Bergstrom @danambergstrom.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
This is not “very strange” but a very shouty WTF! 🧵 Temps should below freezing -mean air temp Esperanza for June about -11°C, not +15°C 😱 Conditions should be frigid!!!! 🥶 It’s approaching midwinter ffs! Days are very short this far north in the Antarctic Peninsula ( ~5 hrs) 1/
theguardian.com
Record winter temperatures in Antarctic raise fears over speed of climate breakdown
Temperatures above 15C ‘very strange’ say scientists, as snow melts and rain falls on glaciers in usually frozen region
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Sami Eerola @eerolasami.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Coincidentally this was the tactic that the US used to conquer native land. First the setlers came and took land from natives. The native retaliated, then the setlers called for the US army to help then. Repeat and the continental US is born
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 07/06/2026
We've crossed 1.5°C.
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Emmanuel Jacob @emmanueljacob.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
On 6 June 1944, Allied forces landed in Normandy during D-Day, launching the liberation from Nazi occupation. Today, we remember the courage and sacrifice of all those who served and those who never returned. Their commitment to freedom, democracy, and peace continues to inspire us. Lest we forget.
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 30/05/2026
I’m a climate scientist. Let me fix this headline. “Nearly a century ago, scientists showed that burning fossil fuels warms the planet. Today, we know human emissions account for over 100% of the warming. Yet dark money and disinformation still work to keep Americans addicted to fossil fuels.”
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Carbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 29/05/2026
NEW – AI boom means US is now ‘investing more’ in fossil-fuel power than China | @joshgabbatiss.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/Sg9ye9N
Annual investment in fossil-fuel power in China and the US, $bn. The figure for 2026 is an IEA estimate, based on current trends. Source: IEA.
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Lauri Myllyvirta @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
New from me: China made a dramatic change to its carbon emissions numbers in the 15th five-year plan, erasing half of the previously reported emissions growth from 2020 to 2025. In absolute terms, the change is equal to the total emissions of Germany or South Korea.
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Tanja Suni @tanjasuni.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
1/ Miksi sosialidemokraattiset puolueet Euroopassa todellakin pelkäävät vasemmalle menoa, vaikka se on koko sodanjälkeisen ajan ollut ainoa tie menestykseen? Erinomainen kysymys. Pidempi lanka siitä, mitä olen ymmärtänyt. 🧵
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Lauri Myllyvirta @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
New from us: China's total power sector emissions fell in 2025 and clean power generation saw a record increase, but which provinces made the most progress and which slid back? 🧵
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Jufo Peltomaa @jufopeltomaa.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Jutun kaavio kuvaa tilannetta tragikoomisen hyvin. Metsähallitukselle ei riitä, että heillä on jo tuo koko neliön vasen tumma osa hakattavaksi, vaan nyt pitäisi EU-sääntöjen vastaisesti päästä hävittämään myös nuo vähäiset oikean laidan metsät. (Vars. luonnonmetsiähän on Suomessa jäljellä enää 1-2%)
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Eric Rawlins @erawlins.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
"Niin vain kovasta vastuksesta huolimatta yhteisövero pienenee 20 prosentista 18 prosenttiin vuoden 2027 alussa. Todellinen lasku parista pienestä prosenttiyksiköstä seuraakin, kun valtion verotulot pienenevät tämän muutoksen myötä peräti 830 M€. Vanha raha 6 – Uusi raha 0."
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Palma Polyak @palmapolyak.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Europeans vs the rest of social media on any given #Eurovision night BANGARANGA 💃🏻🕺❤️🇪🇺
meme/photo of Taron Egerton sitting next to Richard Madden in a car — where one is dressed very plainly and the other is in this huge flamboyant pink feather outfit
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John Gibbons 🇵🇸 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 @thinkorswim.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
This really is quite something. In the 15 years @carbonbrief.org have tracked UK media, 2025 was first ever year where more newspaper editorials opposed #climate action than supported it. Meanwhile, the *actual* climate crisis deepens by the month. Go figure.
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Jari Taponen @jaritaponen.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
1) Tässä on konkreettinen esimerkki siitä, miksi olen ollut huolissani poliisin rikostiedustelulakihankkeen epämääräisyydestä. Vappuna Sisä-Suomen poliisi arvioi onnistuneensa mielensoitusten turvaamisessa Tampereella.
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Greenpeace International 🌍 @greenpeace.org · 03/05/2026
The #Gaza doctrine is expanding in #Lebanon: systematic, deliberate, and total destruction of civilian life and infrastructure, carried out with complete impunity. Governments of the world must hold the Israeli authorities to account. act.gp/4eXmu1J
act.gp
A message from Lebanon: The Israeli Government’s impunity will not end without action - Greenpeace International
Governments must hold the Israeli government accountable under international law, impose arms embargoes and meaningful sanctions that create genuine political and economic consequences.
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Sarah Longwell @sarahlongwell25.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
Here’s Trump threatening violence, calling for his political enemies’ executions, celebrating the deaths of people he didn’t like, and otherwise casually promoting political violence. There was also the small matter of Jan. 6 and subsequent pardons for violent felons.
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Oras Tynkkynen @orastynkkynen.vihreat.fi · 24/04/2026
Jos olisi pakko valita, kumpaan laittaisit veronmaksajien rahaa: Turpeenpolttoon vai koulutukseen? Fossiilisten polttoaineiden verojen alentamiseen vai ihmisiä auttaville järjestöille? Fossiilienergian tukemiseen rekoissa ja maataloudessa vai terveyspalvelujen maksujen pitämiseen kohtuullisina?
yle.fi
Orpon hallitus antoi kehysriihessä lisää rahaa ympäristölle haitallisiin tukiin, vaikka niistä olisi saatu isot säästöt
Hallitus laittaa rahaa muun muassa turpeelle, polttoaineen hiilidioksidiveron alentamiseen ja maakuntalentoihin.
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Simon Price @simonprice.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
It's easy to succumb to outrage fatigue. But this was four days ago. 2,000 killed. 1.2 million displaced. Entire villages demolished. A 40km 'buffer zone' (10% of Lebanon's territory) annexed. It's barely raised a resigned shrug, but it meets the criteria for war crime. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Satellite images reveal scale of Israeli demolitions as Lebanese villages destroyed
BBC Verify analysis found more than 1,400 buildings had been destroyed since 2 March.
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
Palantir put out a 22-point summary of their CEO's book The Technological Republic. It's pitched as a defence of the West, but if you read it through the VDA framework, verification, deliberation, accountability, what it's actually doing looks rather different. twitter-thread.com/t/2045574398...
Opening text of a thread by Palantir from X
Because we get asked a lot.

The Technological Republic, in brief.

1. Silicon Valley owes a moral debt to the country that made its rise possible. The engineering elite of Silicon Valley has an affirmative obligation to participate in the defense of the nation.

2. We must rebel against the tyranny of the apps. Is the iPhone our greatest creative if not crowning achievement as a civilization? The object has changed our lives, but it may also now be limiting and constraining our sense of the possible.

3. Free email is not enough. The decadence of a culture or civilization, and indeed its ruling class, will be forgiven only if that culture is capable of delivering economic growth and security for the public.

4. The limits of soft power, of soaring rhetoric alone, have been exposed. The ability of free and democratic societies to prevail requires something more than moral appeal. It requires hard power, and hard power in this century will be built on software.
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Pekka67 @amyf67.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
Näin kertoo eläköitynyt Lapin keskussairaalan ylilääkäri.
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Atte Harjanne @atteharjanne.vihreat.fi · 16/04/2026
Uusi mallinnus synkistää ennustetta AMOC-keikahduksen todennäköisyydestä. Keikahdus olisi planetaatinen katastrofi, mutta Suomi olisi erityisen surkeassa asemassa. Meidän etu on kaikin tavoin varmistaa, ettei AMOC romahda. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought
Scientists say finding is ‘very concerning’ as collapse would be catastrophic for Europe, Africa and the Americas
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Mikko Räkköläinen @mrakkol.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
"They found an estimated slowdown of 42% to 58% in 2100, a level almost certain to end in collapse. [...] A collapse would shift the tropical rainfall belt on which many millions of people rely to grow their food [and] plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts."
theguardian.com
Critical Atlantic current significantly more likely to collapse than thought
Scientists say finding is ‘very concerning’ as collapse would be catastrophic for Europe, Africa and the Americas
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Joseph Cox @josephcox.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
New from 404 Media: the FBI was able to extract incoming Signal messages from a phone even though the app was deleted. Why? Because parts of messages were stored in the iPhone's internal notification database. Shows how secure chat data can come from unexpected places www.404media.co/fbi-extracts...
404media.co
FBI Extracts Suspect’s Deleted Signal Messages Saved in iPhone Notification Database
The case was the first time authorities charged people for alleged “Antifa” activities after President Trump designated the umbrella term a terrorist organization.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 08/04/2026
Putting aside Sam Altman just continuing to emit huge lies constantly, this is an amazing example of what I mean when I talk about how GenAI is replacing *extremely low energy* digital tasks with *WAY WAY HIGHER ENERGY* replacements that *do not even work* Why TF is anyone using ChatGPT as a timer!
gizmodo.com
Sam Altman Says It'll Take Another Year Before ChatGPT Can Start a Timer
An $852 billion company, ladies and gentlemen.
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David Rothkopf @djrothkopf.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
So, judging from this, it seems like Donald Trump's true national security advisor, the only one he actually listens to, is: Bibi Netanyahu. @alonpinkas.bsky.social
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bree bird 🇨🇦 @goose.ski · 28/03/2026
i wish the double-tap part would get more attention, because the admin will split hairs over whether the initial strike on the school (if they didn’t know it was a school) could constitute a war crime, but that second strike 40 minutes later — to kill medics and rescue personnel — is indisputably so
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Human Rights Watch @hrw.org · 24/03/2026
Israel’s attacks in Lebanon—and the threat of more to come—have caused more than a million people to flee their homes. Governments should urgently act to end the potential forced displacement of civilians in Lebanon, ensure their right to return, and prevent further attacks on Lebanese civilians.
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Admirable Women @admirablewomen.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Minna Canth (b. #OTD 1844) is Finland's first major female author writing in Finnish & its first significant feminist voice. She championed women's rights, social justice & education. Today is Minna Canth Day in #Finland, an official flag-flying day, and the Day of Equality. #WomensHistoryMonth
A gorgeous classic black-and-white studio portrait of Minna Canth (1844–1897), the pioneering Finnish writer, playwright, journalist, businesswoman, and early feminist known as Finland's first major female author in the Finnish language. Photographed in her mid-40s to early 50s (likely 1880s–1890s), she is seated in a three-quarter view against a neutral backdrop with subtle architectural columns, gazing to the right of the camera with a calm, intelligent, and resolute expression—lips gently closed, eyes sharp and thoughtful. Her light hair is neatly styled into an elegant, voluminous updo with a small decorative bow or ribbon at the crown. She wears a dark, high-necked Victorian-era dress of rich satin or silk with puffed sleeves, intricate ruching and pleating at the bodice, a fitted waist, and a full skirt adorned with vertical striped panels. Her hands rest composed in her lap, one lightly overlapping the other, conveying dignity, strength, and quiet determination. The soft studio lighting highlights the fine textures of her dress and the delicate features of her face, capturing Canth during the height of her career—when she was challenging societal norms through realist plays and stories on women's rights, poverty, alcoholism, and social injustice, while managing a family business as a widowed mother of seven and becoming a foundational figure in Finnish literature and feminism.
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
1/ Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations. Elite troops and F-35 jets with live ammunition were sent, and runways were to be blown up to prevent an invasion. ⬇️
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