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Duncan Gibb

@duncangibb.net
2K followers 580 following 527 posts

clean heat, renewables, music, tennis Senior Associate at @regassistproj.bsky.social 🇨🇦 raised 🇩🇪 then 🇨🇵 now

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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 12/03/2026
The US has been at war with Iran for 47 years. But also the war just started. But also it's not a war.
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Robert Komaniecki @komaniecki.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
“Tourism boycotts do come up over one issue or another, but in my 37 years in the travel industry, I have never seen anything like what the Canadians have pulled off." The most successful travel boycott in modern history has already cost the USA economy $4.5 billion.
forbes.com
Canadian Visits To U.S. Fell By Double Digits In February
Canadians have increasingly bypassed U.S. travel for more than a year, and the boycott shows no sign of slowing down.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 10/03/2026
Love when my heating fuel price resembles Bitcoin
Chart showing the TTF gas price spiking to 55 EUR/MWh and hovering around that price before falling
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 09/03/2026
HELP WANTED: What makes a heat pump grant effective? Or any clean energy tech subsidy, for that matter? In an upcoming paper, my RAP colleagues and I are aiming to answer this question and many others related to effective support for heat pumps in Europe. 🔌💡
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 05/03/2026
Good to see a rebound in heat pump sales across Europe. Shipments are still lower than the manic years of 2022 and 2023, but the industry is maturing and it is beginning to feel more sustainable.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 04/03/2026
Landfill announces it has polished a single spoon www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
theguardian.com
X to ban users from earning revenue if they post unlabelled AI-generated war videos
Social media feeds have been flooded with fake battle scenes since start of Iran conflict
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Christian Odendahl @codendahl.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Happy to report that the EV revolution has made it to Miniaturwunderland (Germany’s most visited tourist attraction, which is not surprising once you have seen it).
Miniaturwunderland, EV charging station
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 18/02/2026
Summer Olympics:
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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
It's kinda annoying how solar panels were hung around the neck of the left as impractical pie in the sky treehugger shit *right* up until it started outcompeting every other energy source. Then suddenly, instead of going "hey the left was correct about solar" it's no longer a "left" idea!
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 16/02/2026
✍️ New article: Billions of people have access to far less electricity per day than is required to run an air conditioner for just one hour. For five months of the year, temperatures in South Sudan’s capital, Juba, climb above 35 degrees Celsius (95 degrees Fahrenheit).
Energy poverty: How long could the average person run an air conditioner every day?

Horizontal bar chart showing how many minutes a typical 1000W single-room air conditioner could be powered by the average per capita residential electricity use in various countries. Values by country: India 44 minutes; Sri Lanka 39 minutes; Pakistan 37 minutes; Zimbabwe 25 minutes; Nigeria 13 minutes; Kenya 10 minutes; Haiti 8 minutes; South Sudan 4 minutes; Rwanda 3 minutes; Chad 1 minute. Key insight: large disparities in residential electricity access, with even the highest-listed country able to run a 1000W air conditioner less than one hour per day. Footer data source text: Data source: Calculated based on International Energy Agency and UN World Population Prospects. Chart is licensed CC BY to Our World in Data
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 06/02/2026
sometimes I just have to say... bless the youtube algo www.youtube.com/watch?v=66yH...
youtube.com
Blur - Song 2, but every "woohoo" is done by Mario
YouTube video by ThePandemicLight
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 06/02/2026
🚨No 2025 heat pump rebound in France. Very similar market to 2024. 🟰 After dropping 40% in 2024, sales of air-to-water heat pumps stayed roughly flat. The 2025 rebound seen in other countries, such as Germany, did not happen in Europe's (still?) leading heat pump market.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 06/02/2026
Guess the market: Bitcoin or a certain kind of heating technology in France? Source: www.uniclima.fr/userfiles/20...
Chart showing a mystery collapse from 41,980 units sold in 2022 to 9,570 units sold in 2025.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 03/02/2026
Voilà: Gas consumption in France fell again. 350 TWh in 2025, down 3% from 2024. Household use fell 1.8%. Heat pumps are a main driver of this. But France is once again faced with tariff increases due to lower volumes. Long-term planning is needed. www.connaissancedesenergies.org/la-consommat...
Chart showing gas consumption in France reached a new low in 2025
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 02/02/2026
Here comes Germany's heat pump market. A big rally in 2025. Almost 300,000 heat pumps sold in 2025 for the second-highest sales volume ever, by far, and a 55% increase on 2024. It would appear that the market is settling after the frenzy of 2022/2023 and hopefully good things to come in 2026.
Chart of heat pump sales in Germany, showing a peak at around 350,000 units sold in 2023 and a rebound in 2025 of 299,000 units sold.
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 27/01/2026
HUGE moment for the EU car market as battery EVs overtake petrol cars for the first time ever But there's no "natural" demand for EVs amirite? Article by @mollylempriere.carbonbrief.org www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-evs...
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Big moment for Europe: in December, fully electric cars outsold petrol-only cars in the EU for the first time. This shows that clear, consistent policy works. Which is exactly why backtracking now would be a mistake. Rolling back targets or creating uncertainty would slow investment and innovation.
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Better Things Are Possible @internethippo.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Mafia goon: Nice house you got here...it'd be a shame if something happened to it Media outlets: Mafia goon rules out use of force. Expresses regret at the mere thought of it
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 21/01/2026
laugh, cry, I dunno
In a confusing moment, Trump blames "Iceland" for the drop on the US stock market yesterday.
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John Lubbock @jwsal.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
The biggest leverage that the US has over Europe is our dependence on imports of gas. This makes our transition to renewable energy and electrification of the grid more important than ever. The most important thing for UK security is building as much renewable capacity as possible immediately.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 09/01/2026
France's finance commission has cancelled a plan to decrease the excise tax on electricity and increase it on fossil gas. 👎 This is a strategically poor decision for the long term. And all this while France is about to unveil its "grand plan for electrification". Link: shorturl.at/KKLZc
shorturl.at
Projet de loi de finances pour 2026 (no 2247) Amendement n°CF2188
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Richard Lowes @richardlowes.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
I'm delighted to share our new Clean Heat Policy Tracker, an initiative led by @regassistproj.bsky.social via the Clean Heat Forum). www.raponline.org/toolkit/clea...
raponline.org
Clean Heat Policy Tracker
Table of Contents Acknowledgements The Clean Heat Policy Tracker 2025 was designed and authored by Duncan Gibb and Richard Lowes (Regulatory Assistance Project/Clean Heat Forum). Chiara Delmastro (Int...
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Julie MacArthur 🍁 @jlmacarthur.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
This is a really useful pivot to clean heat policy & away from electricity dominated analyses - first I've seen like it. 👏👏👏
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 29/09/2025
It's going to be a lot easier to decarbonize heating if we bring down electricity prices. That's the focus of Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)'s two papers out today: how to make electricity cheaper, especially for households. www.raponline.org/knowledge-ce...
raponline.org
Making electricity cheaper: Redistributing policy costs for affordable household heat electrification
Affordable electrification relies on affordable electricity. Nuanced price reform will best equip decision-makers for success.
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Louise Sunderland @louisesunderland.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
NEW RESEARCH #2: The future energy bill is an electricity bill. We must Make Electricity Cheaper for households, businesses and industry In a 2nd paper out today, @duncangibb.net, Sam Thomas & I look at reducing & redistributing tax & levies added to electricity prices. tinyurl.com/2nbvydp8
tinyurl.com
Making electricity cheaper: Redistributing policy costs for affordable household heat electrification
Affordable electrification relies on affordable electricity. Nuanced price reform will best equip decision-makers for success.
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
🚨 New publication alert ❓What's wrong with the EU's Renewable Energy Directive? ➡️ In short: it inadvertently promotes inefficient heating. Our latest research is now published in Sustainability. Full paper here 👇 www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17... More in 🧵 below.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 08/04/2025
Solar is king. From @ember-energy.org
Chart showing solar power reaching 2000 TWh in 2024 faster than other technologies in past years.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 21/01/2025
As heat pump sales appear to have struggled globally in 2024, it's a good time to focus on data. Pleased to join this in-person workshop on Thursday and talk about the Clean Heat Forum and moderate a session on the importance of data to policy. Register online here: www.iea.org/events/the-i...
iea.org
The importance of heat pump data for policy-making and innovation - Event - IEA
The importance of heat pump data for policy-making and innovation - Event listed by the International Energy Agency
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 09/01/2025
🎺Womp womp womp...
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Dan Schroeder @dvschroeder.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
What % of a country's electricity can come from wind+solar? @ember-energy.org hasn't yet published annual data for 2024, but when I add up their monthly data I get: UK: 41% w+s in 2024 Germany: 43% Spain: 46% A few small countries are > but they depend more on neighbors. Onward and upward! 🔌💡
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 30/12/2024
Now that the political winds have shifted and billions in energy crisis super profits added to their bank statements, It can't be surprising that oil majors backed away from their climate and clean energy commitments in 2024. Not that they were much to begin with. www.reuters.com/business/ene...
reuters.com
Big Oil backtracks on renewables push as climate agenda falters
Major European energy companies doubled down on oil and gas in 2024 to focus on near-term profits, slowing down - and at times reversing - climate commitments in a shift that they are likely to stick with in 2025.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 25/12/2024
You can also easily set up a recurring donation to Wikipedia. A few bucks isn't much from your wallet and goes a long way! Donate.wikimedia.org
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Leah Stokes @leahstokes.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
Watching how the media is covering Trump talking about taking over sovereign nations is disgusting.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 23/12/2024
I am going to put footnotes in my meeting minutes and there's nothing you can do to stop me.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 23/12/2024
With the collapse of the hydrogen hype bubble, we can only hope that it takes some pressure off the absurd and inefficient idea of "hydrogen for home heating". www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Bloomberg chart showing number of hydrogen project announcements by "annual hydrogen output" for 2019-2024. Each year was progressively higher (reaching about 80 million metric tons in 2023), before collapsing to around 20m metric tons in 2024.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 19/12/2024
European countries are still incentivizing fossil fuel boilers. In some, it may not be a subsidy but they still benefit from lower VAT. Only when all policy signals are properly aligned can we hope for a deep heating transition in Europe. Very nice research by EHPA. www.ehpa.org/news-and-res...
Just six countries out of 30 have lower VAT on heat pumps than on fossil fuel boilers.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 18/12/2024
Love being disabused of various notions, what fun
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 18/12/2024
Who gets the most out of a heat pump subsidy scheme? In France, the main subsidy programme helps one group of people most clearly: those who own and occupy a single-family home. 🧵 www.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/les-renovati...
statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr
Les rénovations énergétiques par geste aidées par MaPrimeRenov’ en 2023
Entre 2020 et 2023, 2,3 millions de dossiers MaPrimeRénov’ ont été déposés pour des rénovations par geste (i.e. hors rénovations d’ampleur), dont 505 000 en 2023. Environ deux tiers d’entre eux ont ét...
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 18/12/2024
The shrinking wedge in Asia is incredible. The persistant block in Sub-Saharan Africa is a bummer. Though I imagine the share has gone down with population growth...?
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 16/12/2024
Here comes Daikin's new propane heat pump. Manufactured in Poland, Czech Republic and Germany. Rated down to -28°C. www.coolingpost.com/products/dai...
coolingpost.com
Daikin introduces first domestic R290 heat pump - Cooling Post
BELGIUM: Daikin Europe has announced availability of the Altherma 4 H, its first range of residential heat pumps with R290 (propane) refrigerant. ...Read More...
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 16/12/2024
Here's my heat punks starter pack which keeps on growing. It has lots of people working on and thinking about heat pumps, geothermal heat, solar heat, district heating and the list goes on. Some EU, some US, some Canada. go.bsky.app/2PkVtJL
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Isabella M. Weber @isabellamweber.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
NEW PAPER: The 2022 fossil fuel price jumps caused an oil and gas profit explosion. We show the US reaped the largest profit increase (USD 275bn) of any country. Big Oil claims this benefits the American people. In fact, 51% went to the richest 1%, only 1% to the bottom 50%. A 🧵
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 12/12/2024
Imagine using a random number generator to determine the length of a prison sentence. A judge using GPT to interpret legal terms is not far off.
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
HOT OFF THE PRESS: Industrial electrification is THE key lever to decarbonise industry. But without policy support it won't happen at required speed. That's why we developed a 10-point action plan for Europe.🧵 Read our new @regassistproj.bsky.social report here: www.raponline.org/knowledge-ce...
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 11/12/2024
⚡️Austrian OMV company terminates contract with Gazprom Export. Austrian oil and gas company OMV has terminated its long-term gas supply contract with Russia's Gazprom Export, the OMV website reported on Dec. 11. The contract was initially set to last until 2040.
kyivindependent.com
Austrian OMV company terminates contract with Gazprom Export
Austrian oil and gas company OMV has terminated its long-term gas supply contract with Russia's Gazprom Export, the OMV website reported on Dec. 11.
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Duncan Gibb @duncangibb.net · 09/12/2024
Mother with drowning children meme. She loves the fossil fuels, the nuclear energy is slipping below the surface and renewables are way at the bottom of the pool, a skeleton in a chair.
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Julia Levin @jflevin.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Much anticipated study from the US Dept of Energy is likely to find that U.S. LNG shipments drive up domestic prices and are worse for the climate than coal www.eenews.net/articles/doe...
eenews.net
DOE study may conclude LNG worse for climate than coal, lobbyists say
The long-awaited study on the climate effects of liquefied natural gas could be released next week, according to people familiar with the process.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 07/12/2024
This is an absolutely incredible example of how, if you ever decide to engage with a right-wing media outlet, *how* you do it almost perfectly. Bravo @risingtideaus.bsky.social!
youtube.com
Sky News Host PANICS During Climate Activist Interview
YouTube video by fusion
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Stepping on Stepien @shamstepien.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
“All regions except South Australia are expected to experience system strength shortfalls over the next three years unless adequate investment or services are provided.” Surprise, surprise! More renewables mean a stronger grid, not a weaker one! reneweconomy.com.au/south-austra...
reneweconomy.com.au
South Australia has the most wind and solar and no baseload: So why is it the only state not fretting about a vulnerable grid?
South Australia has the highest wind and solar share in Australia and no baseload power – and is the only state in the main grid not facing a shortfall of “system strength.”
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