Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 13/10/2026Cool study! Do the data show evidence for high percentiles warming faster or slower than the median? Theory predicts amplified warming of hot dats, so would be cool if the obs actually show it (theory prediction: www.nature.com/articles/s41...) 120
Reposted by Mike ByrneSimon Lee @simonleewx.com · 12/10/2026Save the date: the 12th UK National Climate Dynamics Workshop is coming to @uniofstandrews.bsky.social! 22 & 23 June 2027 www.rmets.org/event/12th-u...rmets.org12th UK National Climate Dynamics Workshop12th UK National Climate Dynamics Workshop 1158
Reposted by Mike ByrneLaura Suarez-Gutierrez @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Fully funded PhD Vacancy! 🔥 How extreme could worst-case fire weather become? Join us at Wageningen University in the Netherlands to work on emerging fire weather risks with me and Guido van der Werf. Find out more: www.wur.nl/en/vacancy/p... Deadline October 30th 087
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 12/10/2026Atmospheric circulation over land in a changing climate 💨🌎🌡️ PhD @uniofstandrews.bsky.social w/ Chris Taylor and @simonleewx.com suitable for quant students (physics, math, meteorology). Pls share! iapetus.ac.uk/studentships... @earthscista.bsky.social @iapetusdtp.bsky.social @ukceh.bsky.social 01211
Reposted by Mike ByrneAGU Advances @aguadvances.bsky.social · 30/09/2026🌟 Editor's Pick! 🌟 “NASA’s MERRA-2 reanalysis of past weather and climate reveals substantial shifts in extreme heat seasonality over the past 45 years.” 🔗 eos.org/editor-highl... #AGUPubs @eos.orgeos.orgSeasonality is Changing for Extreme Dry and Humid Heat Events - EosNASA’s MERRA-2 reanalysis of past weather and climate reveals substantial shifts in extreme heat seasonality over the past 45 years. 123
Reposted by Mike ByrneSam Burgess @oceanterra.org · 02/10/2026Europe didnt just experience an exceptionally hot summer in 2026. It experienced a summer where multiple climate extremes reinforced each other. First - temperature records were broken at daily, monthly and seasonal scales across Europe Read more: climate.copernicus.eu/summer-revie... 3237133
Reposted by Mike ByrneEd Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 02/10/2026Another "need to extend the y-axis" moment... Average temperature in Central England for Jan-Sep for each year since 1772. It is 0.8°C higher in 2026 than any other previous year. 27829
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 01/10/2026www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...bbc.co.uk'Hotter and hotter and hotter' - Europe's new climate in seven chartsTemperature records were smashed in June - and scientists warn this is a sign of things to come. 021
Reposted by Mike ByrneJustin S. Mankin @jsmankin.bsky.social · 25/09/2026"Pricing El Niño is not the same as preventing its loss of life. Yet, many of those acting on its forecasts are using them to move money, not people, out of harm’s way." My editorial for Science on why hedging El Niño is not the same as adapting to it: www.science.org/eprint/DU6FR...science.orgHedging El Niño isn’t the same as adapting to itRecord-setting warm waters slosh eastward across the tropical Pacific, forming El Niño. This recurrent climate pattern reconfigures severe weather worldwide, and with it, the global economy. Scientist... 17329
Reposted by Mike Byrneumsonst.bsky.social @umsonst.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Globally, heatwave onset advanced by 3.29 ± 0.12 days per decade, ending was delayed by 5.41 ± 0.12 days per decade and the heatwave season lengthened by 8.71 ± 0.17 days per decade. #climate #earthnature.comEarlier and faster heatwave onset on land under a warming climate - Nature Climate ChangeHeatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense with global warming. Here the authors assess changes in their timing, finding that the heatwave season expands and that many regions see a fa... 064
Reposted by Mike ByrneRage Against the Miocene @organiccarbon.bsky.social · 17/09/2026www.theguardian.com/science/2026...theguardian.comClimate crisis likely behind devastating Nepal-Tibet floods that killed more than 1,300, first study findsScientists say global heating was a destabilising factor in collapse of 200,000 sq metre glacier in August 0108
Reposted by Mike ByrneDavid Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 08/09/2026🧵CO₂ removal (CDR) is back in the news, but just because the UNEP report says we need CDR, it doesn't mean we'll have CDR. Many challenges will take decades of research and negotiation to solve. Here are some examples: Technological: We currently don't have any durable CDR method that scales. 22425161
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 09/09/2026I've been (pleasantly) surprised by the prevalence of bagpipes and haggis during my time in Scotland 🐑 130
Reposted by Mike ByrneWorld Meteorological Organization @wmo-global.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Today is #CleanAirDay. But findings of the 🆕 WMO Air Quality & Climate Bulletin show that an increase in pollution from wildfires and heatwaves could slow efforts to improve air quality and protect human and ecosystem health. ↪️ bit.ly/3UBN1cV 18443
Reposted by Mike ByrneOliver Morton, Eater of Sun @eaterofsun.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Happy to have played a small part in helping this piece into print. www.economist.com/by-invitatio...economist.comThe world may have less time than it thinks on climate changeIf it is affecting circulation patterns that determine how and where anticyclones form, it could accelerate alarmingly, warns Tim Palmer 0245
Reposted by Mike ByrneRoshan Jha @roshanjha.bsky.social · 29/08/2026New study: dry-air entrainment intensifies moist heat extremes in higher latitudes in summer; continental drying could worsen this in future climates through increased lower free tropospheric dryness with @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social doi.org/10.1029/2026GL122678doi.orgEntrainment‐Based Framework for Understanding Extratropical Moist Heat ExtremesDry-air entrainment in the lower free troposphere intensifies extratropical moist heat extremes Entrainment-based framework explains breakdown of moist convective neutrality during extratropical ... 062
Reposted by Mike ByrneMatt Luongo @luongomatt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Hiatus v2?? Check it out! Our recent work, led by Shang-Ping Xie & Ayumu Miyamoto, suggests that internal variability has strongly influenced satellite-era (~1980-present) tropical Pacific SST trends. www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....pnas.orgPNASProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans... 274
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Counterintuitively, mixing of dry air into convecting plumes amplifies moist heat extremes. This "entrainment" effect strengthens as climate warms and dries, increasing human heat stress. Details in our new paper, led by @roshanjha.bsky.social: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com 075
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Glacial collapse is more likely because of climate change. Glaciers are particularly vulnerable due to rapid warming in mountainous regions. This "elevation dependent warming" is caused by sfc albedo and Planck feedbacks (info: wcd.copernicus.org/articles/5/7...) www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c6...bbc.co.ukNepal-Tibet: More than 350 killed in Nepal as rising lake raises fear of new flood - follow liveThe US Geological Survey says "glacial collapse" triggered the wall of water and mud that tore through Nepal and Tibet. Hundreds of people are still missing. 053
Reposted by Mike ByrneBeni Stocker @stineb.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Is the European 2026 drought unprecedented in the last millennium? An answer based on the recently published Master thesis work by Patricia Helpap: geco-group.org/post/pcwd_20...geco-group.orgIs the European 2026 drought unprecedented in the last millennium? | Geocomputation and Earth ObservationPatricia Helpap recently published her Master thesis work in AGU Advances (Helpap et al., 2026). She contrasted the droughts of the recent past (2000-2024) versus an extended context, covering the pas... 012
Reposted by Mike ByrneErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 21/08/2026Projection has become reality 22 years ago, Christoph Schär et al. published a landmark paper in Nature explaining that the 2003 heatwave was a harbinger of things to come. The study featured an iconic figure - shown in countless lectures - illustrating how outlandish the event was at the time 219076
Reposted by Mike ByrneEd Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 21/08/2026With the looming El Nino, what does this mean for UK weather? Likely wet? The major El Nino events of the last 50 years have all been coincident with a wet UK in late autumn into winter. The wetter winter part did not occur during the 1877-78 El Nino, which we think was the largest event on record. 35420
Reposted by Mike ByrneWorld Meteorological Organization @wmo-global.bsky.social · 15/08/2026The past month was the joint warmest July on record – tying with July 2024 – according to @NOAA. From record-high temperatures to drought to monsoons and hurricanes, this map illustrates recent weather and climate events around the world. Read more: bit.ly/4xzcZfg 01511
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 14/08/2026New study showing hot days over tropical land are projected to warm faster than the average day (bad news for climate impacts) 🌡️🔥🥵 Amplified warming of hot days is explained by the drier-get-drier theory (see: www.nature.com/articles/s41...) agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.comProjections of Earth's Hottest Surface Temperatures in CMIP6CMIP6 captures the broad spatial pattern of p99(Tmax) versus Berkeley Earth, supporting projections of record-like heat Tropical extremes amplify: TDM and TDX warm ∼30%–40% faster than TTL in SSP... 12411
Reposted by Mike ByrneUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) @ukceh.bsky.social · 14/08/2026The UK Hydrological Summary for July looks back at an unprecedented month. It was the driest July in both England and Wales, and third driest of any month for England (in records from 1890). Low flows in many catchments, reservoir stocks decline, dry soils... Full summary tinyurl.com/53ejhrpd 196
Reposted by Mike ByrneRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 14/08/2026With record-breaking heatwaves, France just had both its warmest June and July on record. Systematic collection of weather data basically began in Western Europe, giving Europe the longest thermometer-based histories in the world. After more than 250 years, we have changed the climate. 🧪 4202100
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 10/08/2026Warming temperatures + decreasing relative humidity = more water being sucked from soil / reservoirs = DROUGHT. Simple physics. Europe + UK are on the frontline because they are warming so rapidly – it will get worse until 'net zero' is reached. That's my TED talk 🌍 www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cw...bbc.co.ukUK weather: More than two-thirds of England now in drought with conditions set to worsenThe National Drought Agency adds the East Midlands, Kent, East Sussex, and other parts of England to the areas officially in drought conditions. 13118
Reposted by Mike ByrneWorld Weather Attribution @wwattribution.bsky.social · 31/07/2026Human-induced climate change made the extreme fire weather that fuelled the recent destructive wildfires at least twice as likely in France and at least 20 times more likely in Spain, according to our new study. 39061
Reposted by Mike ByrneProf Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Wildfires: why media coverage doesn’t always make the climate connection A fire is an event. Climate change is the story behind the event. Journalism has to tell both. theconversation.com/wildfires-wh...theconversation.comWildfires: why media coverage doesn’t always make the climate connectionA wildfire can be explained by today’s barbecue, yesterday’s wind direction, a dry spring, four decades of land use change, or a century of emissions. 04918
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 29/07/2026www.nbcnews.com/science/clim...nbcnews.comWhy Europe, the world’s fastest-warming continent, was primed to burn this summerThe continent has warmed twice as fast as the rest of the globe over the last 30 years. The fires in France and Spain are a consequence of the extreme heat, which dried out vegetation. 032
Reposted by Mike ByrneKate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Scientists warned you about: ♨️ more/longer/hotter heatwaves (hot planet=hot weather) 🌀 stronger storms (warm water=hurricane food) 🌧️ downpours (warm air holds more water vapor) 🌵 droughts (warm air is thirstier) 🔥 fire weather (hotter, drier) 🌊 sea level rise (land ice melts, warm water expands) 10313125
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 27/07/2026relevant to wildfire risk in a warming climate (+ lots of other things) 000
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 27/07/2026New preprint on the physics of land humidity using 'water tagging' simulations. Key pt: land specific humidity changes primarily controlled by water advected from ocean regions, but relative humidity changes closely tied to local processes (e.g., soil moisture) essopenarchive.org/doi/abs/10.2...essopenarchive.org 1135
Reposted by Mike ByrnePaulo Ceppi @pauloceppi.bsky.social · 26/03/2026Cloudiness has been declining globally for the last two decades. Why is this and how does it matter for global warming? Read our new article to find out! 👇 doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-4153-2026 And see the @carbonbrief.org post summarising the key findings buff.ly/oLxKacOdoi.orgEmerging low-cloud feedback and adjustment in global satellite observationsAbstract. From mid-2003 to mid-2024, a global decrease in low-cloud amount enhanced the absorption of solar radiation by 0.22±0.07 W m−2 per decade (±1σ range), accelerating the energy imbalance trend... 13512
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 17/07/2026Wildfires are an increasing threat to the Scottish Highlands www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...bbc.co.ukWildfire still burning as helicopter waterbombs CairngormsMore than 50 firefighters are spending a third day tackling the blaze which started in heathland near Nethy Bridge. 031
Reposted by Mike ByrneValérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social · 16/07/2026AI in scientific publishing: Slower, worse, and more expensive | Science www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...science.orgAI in scientific publishing: Slower, worse, and more expensiveThere’s a saying in the management world, popularized by NASA administrator Daniel Goldin in the 1990s, that the goal of technological improvements is to make products faster, better, and cheaper. Alt... 19238
Reposted by Mike ByrneMetJam @metjam.co.uk · 15/07/2026"The average hottest day of the year has warmed by over 4.5°C in a swathe from Kent to Lincolnshire for the most recent decade, 2016-2025, compared to 1961-1990" From the State of the UK Climate in 2025, first published yesterday. 54024
Reposted by Mike ByrneNational Centre for Atmospheric Science @ncas-uk.bsky.social · 07/07/2026#NERC is seeking views on the capabilities, infrastructure, technologies and skills required to sustain and grow UK atmospheric science. We’re asking NCAS colleagues and collaborators to contribute to the review: ncas.ac.uk/help-shape-t... 002
Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 06/07/2026The inaugural EUCLIDYAN workshop was hosted by the Max Planck Institute in March. It was a fantastic event, establishing new collaborations and a new community of European climate dynamics researchers. We will host EUCLIDYAN #2 @earthscista.bsky.social in 2027 🌍 mpimet.mpg.de/en/communica...mpimet.mpg.deConnected Across Europe: The EUCLIDYAN Initiative on Climate DynamicsEUCLIDYAN connects European research groups studying climate dynamics in a unique way: The initiative focuses on young researchers—and on personal connections that encourage scientific collaboration. 041
Reposted by Mike ByrneLeo Hickman @leohickman.carbonbrief.org · 24/06/2026++BREAKING++ Leading climate scientists in the UK have written to senior editors in broadcast media - and OFCOM and IPSO: "To express our concern about recent media coverage of extreme weather, climate change and net-zero and to urge you…to inform public audiences of the scientific links" 441588792
Reposted by Mike ByrneMet Office - weather and climate @metoffice.gov.uk · 24/06/2026Temperatures have continued to climb this afternoon, and we now have a new provisional June record of 36.0 °C, recorded at both Wisley, Surrey and Gosport in Hampshire 15528
Reposted by Mike ByrneProf. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf.bsky.social · 24/06/2026How average and extreme summer temperatures are changing in Western Europe. Graph: Robert Rohde. This will continue until we reach net zero emissions, whether you like it or not: it’s physics. @rarohde.bsky.social 8353192
Reposted by Mike ByrneECMWF @ecmwf.int · 22/06/2026An ECMWF study on heat stress has been published in @nature.com Climate Change today: Heat stress seasons are lengthening, with more frequent and severe compound events. This poses an escalating threat to health, livelihoods and economic productivity globally. ➡️ www.nature.com/articles/s41... 02111
Reposted by Mike ByrneRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 22/06/2026People will die this week. The next few days will bring record-breaking heat to France, a country ill-prepared for widespread temperatures over 40 °C (104 °F). For the French: stay hydrated, stay in the shade, exercise due caution, and seek help if you need it. 31432181
Reposted by Mike ByrneErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 22/06/2026An amazing workshop with plenty of novel and exciting new research. Very timely research, given the ongoing heatwave. Thank you very much @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social, @gabihegerl.bsky.social and Jack Scheff for organizing it. 062