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Corey Cusimano

@cusimano.bsky.social
227 followers 215 following 16 posts

Assistant Professor of Marketing at Yale University. I study how people think about thinking, and how people think about justice. Website: www.coreycusimano.net

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Reposted by Corey Cusimano
vincentholst.bsky.social @vincentholst.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
In 2023, @nature.com published 'Papers and patents are becoming less disruptive over time', receiving world-wide media attention. Our Matters Arising, published after a 32 month delay (more on that soon), shows that the reported decline can largely be attributed to dataset artefacts. 🧵
The average CD_5 index per year for Web of Science. The original Park et al. decline (top curve) becomes essentially flat (bottom curve) when removing papers with CD_5=1. Those papers largely correspond to dataset artefacts.
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Andrew Shtulman @andrewshtulman.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Why do children claim unusual events are impossible? In a new paper with Goulding, Ronfard (@samuelronfard.bsky.social), and Friedman (@orifriedman.bsky.social), we synthesize two decades of research on children's possibility judgments and propose some answers. www.sciencedirect.com/science/chap...
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Open Mind @openmindjournal.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
No Evidence of Experimenter Demand Effects in Three Online Psychology Experiments
direct.mit.edu
No Evidence of Experimenter Demand Effects in Three Online Psychology Experiments
Abstract. Experimenter demand effects occur when participants alter their behavior to align with perceived study hypotheses, threatening internal validity. Concern about demand effects is pervasive…
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Tania Lombrozo @tanialombrozo.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
What do rubber ducks have to do with learning and AI? You can find out in my TEDx talk, released today as an Editor’s Pick at the YouTube TED Channel! www.youtube.com/watch?v=cbiy...
youtube.com
How you can learn in a world of information overload | Tania Lombrozo | TEDxNewEngland
YouTube video by TEDx Talks
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Corey Cusimano @cusimano.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
I love this paper. I went in skeptical and came out convinced.
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Open Mind @openmindjournal.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Luck and Intentional Action: A Causal Account
direct.mit.edu
Luck and Intentional Action: A Causal Account
Abstract. Can you perform an action intentionally if there was only a small chance your action would succeed? Researchers studying the folk concept of intentional action have documented complex…
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Stephen Spiller @spillersas.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
“Widely-Used Measures of Overconfidence Are Confounded With Ability” papers.ssrn.com/abstract=446... Now accepted at Management Science! 🤓📄🧵 1/
Title: Widely-Used Measures of Overconfidence Are Confounded With Ability

Abstract: Measures of overconfidence are used both to assess biases in people's beliefs regarding their own abilities and to identify correlates of those biases. Proposed correlates of overconfidence include narcissism, social status, (low) task anxiety, savings, planning, and many more. Research on these correlates typically explicitly or implicitly claims the associations with overconfidence are not attributable to ability (i.e., latent inputs enabling successful task performance, including inputs that vary across people, states, or contexts). I argue that several typical approaches used to measure overconfidence are not sufficient to support such claims. This argument follows from two underappreciated properties of these measures of overconfidence. First, performance is an imperfect measure of ability: accounting for performance does not sufficiently account for ability. Second, self-evaluations of performance should reflect ability in addition to performance: because performance is ambiguous, people should incorporate prior beliefs about their ability. These properties imply multiple commonly-used measures of overconfidence are confounded with ability. I support these analytical results by reexamining previously-published findings. In the first analysis, I find overconfidence predicts subsequent performance, consistent with measures of overconfidence serving as a signal of ability. In the second set of analyses, I find some purported associations between overconfidence and other constructs could be attributed to ability instead. I close with recommendations to recognize and reduce the potential for mistaken inferences. When research indicates that differences in overconfidence are associated with other behaviors, beliefs, or evaluations, researchers should account for the possibility that differences in ability could provide a sufficient explanation.
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Tania Lombrozo @tanialombrozo.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
I wrote a book! It's called WHY WE ASK WHY, and it's about the human drive to explain, combining psychology, philosophy, and stories. It will be released on October 6, but it's currently available for pre-order from Barnes & Noble at 25% off with code PREORDER25.
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Gabor Brody @gaborbrody.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Can infants or other animals represent "mutually exclusive possibilities"? In a new paper in JEP:G, we argue for specifying: in thinking or seeing? We show that in object perception (shared with infants and many animals), the answer is yes. (w Peter Mazalik & Roman Feiman) osf.io/preprints/ps... /1
osf.io
OSF
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Joseph Sommer @bayesandbounds.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Thrilled this is out! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 🧵 Do we have 2 kinds of beliefs? Some beliefs seem insensitive to evidence and rarely guide behavior, etc. To explain this, several theories divide belief into 2 types. I argue the explanation isn't in the *mind* but in the *world*
tandfonline.com
In the Mind or in the World? Types of Beliefs and the Locality of Evidence
People’s beliefs appear to be divisible into two distinct types. Some beliefs refer directly to the observable world, readily guide behavior, and are easily revised when challenged. Others, includi...
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tadegquillien.bsky.social @tadegquillien.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Our new paper with @maxtaylordavies.bsky.social introduces a resource-rational model of Theory of Mind. The model can explain many of the successes and failures of mindreading in human adults and children, and non-human primates. 🧵 royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
royalsocietypublishing.org
Factive mindreading reflects the optimal use of limited cognitive resources
Abstract. The capacity to represent the mental states of other individuals, known as ‘mindreading’ or ‘theory of mind’, is key to successful social predict
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Ioannis Evangelidis @ievangelidis.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
New paper alert! (doi.org/10.1093/jcr/...) How much does a no-choice option really change what people choose in surveys and experiments?
doi.org
Validate User
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Eric Schwitzgebel @eschwitz.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
You think you know what belief is? No! At best you have an accidentally true opinion, unless you've read Jonathan Lewis-Jong's and my edited collection, The Nature of Belief, hot off the press at OUP. (Also available open access at OUP's website.)
Book cover: The Nature of Belief, edited by Jonathan Lewis-Jong and Eric Schwitzgebel
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George Wu @geowu.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
I'm delighted that our paper, "Risk Matters Less When Options Are Apples-to-Oranges: The Translate-and-Accommodate Model" (Evan Weingarten, Yuval Rottenstreich, and George Wu) has just been accepted at Psychological Review. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... 1/N
papers.ssrn.com
<p><span>Risk Matters Less When Options Are Apples-to-Oranges: </span><span>The Translate-and-Accommodate Model</span></p>
<div> <div> <div> <p><a rel="nofollow"><span>Risk aversion for moderate-likelihood gains is perhaps the best-known stylized fact from decision r
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Experimental Philosophy @xphilosopher.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
People sometimes say that an outcome was caused by two things. We might say Amy got sick because (a) There was cilantro in the soup *and* (b) Amy is allergic to cilantro Beautiful new theory of causal selection from @tadegquillien.bsky.social that explains why we sometimes select two causes
direct.mit.edu
Plural Causes
Abstract. Causal selection is the process underlying our intuition that an outcome happened because of a given event, or that an event is the cause of an outcome. When a forest catches fire after a li...
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Society for Philosophy and Psychology @socphilpsych.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Not all authors are equal: Moral judgments of plagiarism from AI and human sources 
‼️Recent work from Calahndra Brake, Kang Lee & Ori Friedman
direct.mit.edu
Not All Authors Are Equal: Moral Judgments of Plagiarism From AI and Human Sources
Abstract. Generative AI tools are increasingly being used for creative and academic work. How do people morally evaluate plagiarism involving AI-generated content, and do they judge it differently tha...
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Oleg Urminsky @olegurminsky.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
When you collect data online, are the results from humans or AI? In a project led by Booth PhD student Grace Zhang, we estimate the prevalence of AI agents on commonly used survey platforms: osf.io/preprints/ps... 🧵
osf.io
OSF
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Andrey Chetverikov @achetverikov.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Recently, van der Stigchel and colleagues posted a provocative commentary suggesting that we should be wary of bots in online behavioral data collection (🧵by @cstrauch.bsky.social here: bsky.app/profile/cstr...). But should we? Here is my response letter osf.io/preprints/ps.... 1/5
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Rafael M Batista @rafmbatista.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
New working paper I’ve got out (w/ Tom Griffiths @cocoscilab.bsky.social ) Still a work in progress, but we’re excited about the idea and are currently working to extend it. Thanks, Gary, for sharing it!
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joshuaconfer.bsky.social @joshuaconfer.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Why do otherwise rational people disagree about the same evidence? Our new paper finds that group membership is a deeply rooted influence on how we form beliefs, leading even preschoolers to bias their evidential standards and form inaccurate beliefs. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Ioannis Evangelidis @ievangelidis.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
New paper (forthcoming in Cognition): Context-dependent effects of branches in decisions under risk authors.elsevier.com/a/1mXL%7E2Hx... Key finding: when people choose between risky options, they’re more likely to pick the one with more distinct probabilistic outcomes (“more pathways to winning”).
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sjdm-tweets @sjdm-tweets.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Today's SJDM Featured Paper is: Dietvorst, B. J. (in press). Understanding people's preferences for predictions: People prioritize being right over minimizing how wrong they are in expectation. Management Science. doi.org/10.1287/mnsc...
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tagerai.bsky.social @tagerai.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
A thread on our recent paper (w/Raihan Alam @raihanalam) in PNAS on why punishment often fails and what it means for crime, cooperation, democracy, and the rule of law. I’m super excited for it, it’s the lab’s most extensive experimental work to date. Check it out! 1/ www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
pnas.org
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
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Tomer Ullman @tomerullman.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Officially out in the current issue of Trends in Cognitive Sciences: "Physics versus graphics as an organizing dichotomy in cognition" www.cell.com/trends/cogni...
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Society for Philosophy and Psychology @socphilpsych.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
🚨From Jay Naborn & Jonathan E. Bogard: The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Max Kleiman-Weiner @maxkw.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
Excited by our new work estimating the empowerment of LLM-based agents in text and code. Empowerment is the causal influence an agent has over its environment and measures an agent's capabilities without requiring knowledge of its goals or intentions.
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Michael Inzlicht @minzlicht.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Major new paper by finds implicit measures like the IAT are no better than asking people directly about their biases. After decades of avoiding self-reports, turns out our sophisticated replacement tools work no better than what we abandoned. New post!
open.substack.com
The Great Implicit Bias Bamboozle
Where were you when you first learned about implicit bias?
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Corey Cusimano @cusimano.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
What makes people feel entitled to rewards—the effort they put into their work or the outcomes they achieve? Out now in PNAS; with Jin Kim and Jared Wong: Achievement. Effort seems to matter very little (if at all). www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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tadegquillien.bsky.social @tadegquillien.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Our new paper with Max Taylor-Davies introduces a resource-rational model of Theory of Mind. The model can explain many of the successes and failures of mindreading in human adults and children, and non-human primates. 🧵
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Ike Silver @ikesilver.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Really proud of this new work out @psychscience.bsky.social. Led by the amazing but bluesky-less Amanda Geiser and with @deborahsmall.bsky.social. We show that when comparing moral wrongs, people are (much) more willing to “scale up” than to “scale down” condemnation and punishment…
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Experimental Philosophy @xphilosopher.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Our incredibly short (5 page) paper on intuitions about consent — with Joanna Demaree-Cotton and @rosesomm.bsky.social We find cases where people agree that both: (a) There’s a sense in a which a person clearly consented (b) In deeper sense, she did not consent at all osf.io/63d8s
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Tania Lombrozo @tanialombrozo.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Are you a junior faculty member interested in spending 2-4 weeks at Princeton Psych? Please apply for our Microsabbatical program! It’s a fully funded visit for professional development and creating long-term collaborations. psych.princeton.edu/diversity/mi...
psych.princeton.edu
Microsabbaticals at Princeton Psychology
Microsabbaticals at Princeton Psychology provide a several-week-long visit to our department for early-career faculty from groups that are historically under-represented in academia. The program focus...
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Experimental Philosophy @xphilosopher.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
There hasn’t been nearly enough appreciation for this amazing paper by Clark Barrett and @rebeccasaxe.bsky.social Anthropologists have observed people in certain cultures blaming agents for behavior without regard to mental states (intent, knowledge, etc.). Why does this happen?
saxelab.mit.edu
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Tobias Gerstenberg @tobigerstenberg.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
New paper in Psychological Review! In "Causation, Meaning, and Communication" Ari Beller (cicl.stanford.edu/member/ari_b...) develops a computational model of how people use & understand expressions like "caused", "enabled", and "affected". 📃 osf.io/preprints/ps... 📎 github.com/cicl-stanfor... 🧵
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Tim Crane @timcrane.bsky.social · 11/02/2025
The MIT Open Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science is a growing resource, expertly edited and designed, with high quality contributors (OK OK I am one of them) oecs.mit.edu
oecs.mit.edu
Open Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science
The Open Encyclopedia of Cognitive Science is a new, multidisciplinary guide to understanding the mind: a freely-available, growing collection of peer-reviewed articles introducing key topics to a bro...
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koenfucius @koenfucius.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
When someone only has one sensible option available, do they have a choice at all? @cusimano.bsky.social and @tanialombrozo.bsky.social explore how we experience freedom: buff.ly/4gj0njy
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todd gureckis @toddgureckis.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
Our paper on if you can incentivize rule induction in humans with money is finally out (answer is: it appears to be a very weak/0-ish effect in contrast to the huge effect of financial incentives on rote, repetitive tasks). credit to pamop, ben newell & dan bartels psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...
psycnet.apa.org
APA PsycNet
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Corey Cusimano @cusimano.bsky.social · 18/01/2025
Good opportunity to work with some amazing scholars!
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ana gantman @anagantman.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
what counts as breaking a rule? you might think this q is easy, but people actually integrate signals from morality, legality, punishability, and normativity to figure it out, new preprint w/ @jowylie.bsky.social & dries bostyn osf.io/preprints/ps... #psychscisky #cognition #socpsyc #philsky
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Erika Kirgios @erikakirgios.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
How do job seekers react when orgs quantify their diversity commitments? In a 🚨new paper🚨 with @ikesilver.bsky.social & Edward Chang, we explore competing predictions about how women and racial minorities react to measurable goals vs. vague, values-focused commitments.
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Cognitive Endurance as Human Capital,” by Brown(@clbrown.bsky.social), Kaur, Kingdon, and Schofield: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
Validate User
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Experimental Philosophy @xphilosopher.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Classic thought experiments have convinced many philosophers that second-order desires have a special significance But our intuitions about these thought experiments are driven not by the second-order desires but by something unrelated and much more fundamental Blog post: xphi.net/2024/12/19/s...
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