Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 19/09/2026I always thought jeans were a great APC example. Very clear period effects (including non-linearities) but also age effects (I’m not going to wear anything ripped or super short anymore, no matter what) and cohort effects with clear mechanism (I’m still wearing what was fashionable when I was 20) 4322
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 02/10/2026If you want to learn the ABC, D & E, of Survey and Questionnaire design, check out this neat little course that our colleague Peter King has put together in collaboration with the White Rose DTP and @srmleeds.bsky.social: wrdtp.ac.uk/methods-reso...wrdtp.ac.ukSurvey & Questionnaire Design: The ABCDE Framework 0105
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 25/09/2026@jpinasanchez.eurosky.social Kind of Cars & Crime relevant even! 111
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Now out at JQC by my PhD student John Hall and Justin Nix: "[NYPD] Pursuit escalation produced clear and attributable collision harms while providing no credible evidence of crime reduction." link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comThe Fast and the Spurious: A Causal Evaluation of NYPD’s Pursuit Policy, 2022–2025 - Journal of Quantitative CriminologyObjectives This study examines the consequences of the New York City Police Department’s late-2022 operational shift that sharply expanded vehicle pursuits. We evaluate whether the surge in pursuits a... 2124
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 21/09/2026Excited to share our new programme of Social Research Methods at Leeds @srmleeds.bsky.social, @emrinke.bsky.social & Jade Parker. Speakers include: Peter King, @janselby.bsky.social, @rsolymosi.bsky.social, @rjbeecham.bsky.social, Martina Feilzer, Sam Langton, Ieva Skyte, and Ana Manzano. 1117
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 10/09/2026For those at Eurocrim, come see our panel at 9AM tomorrow (Friday). Novel data, novel methods, diverse topics. I'll be presenting a crime against multilevel modeling that I've been thinking about for a few years. Come gaze into the abyss! 100
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearKieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 07/09/2026Writing some scientific workflow slides for this week’s MPTC class. 1526975
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearZora Hauser @zorahauser.bsky.social · 03/09/2026"Wir sehen heute Probleme, die wir vor zehn Jahren noch nicht wahrgenommen haben – was aber nicht heißt, dass sie damals nicht bereits bestanden" Zusammen mit P. Neumann habe ich für @internationalepolitik.de über org. Kriminalität in Europa gesprochen 👇 internationalepolitik.de/de/deutschla...internationalepolitik.de„Deutschland war lange ein Paradies für Geldwäsche“Zora Hauser und Peter R. Neumann im Gespräch 043
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJose Pina-Sánchez 🇪🇺 @jpinasanchez.eurosky.social · 02/09/2026New short article with @ianloader.bsky.social and @alextrinidad.eurosky.social, 'On the importance of subjective perceptions of safety: Limits of the 2026 UK road safety strategy'. We predict that the new strategy will fail to encourage active travel, serena.sharepress.it/tema/article... 1177
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Oregon State University's School of Public Policy is hiring a tenure track assistant prof in Crime, Law, and Deviance. This is the program that started my academic career; I did my undergrad and master's here and the foundation of my quant methods training. Great department and lovely place to live.oregonstate.wd501.myworkdayjobs.comAssistant Professor: Sociology - Crime, Law, and DevianceDepartment: College of Liberal Arts Special Instructions to Applicants: When applying you will be required to attach the following electronic documents: 1) A Curriculum Vitae 2) A Cover letter indicat... 001
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJim Waterson @jim.londoncentric.media · 25/08/2026Hahaha fucking helllllllll just read this. So many thoughts. Like “this is how you actually do money laundering, not on Oxford Street” and “British deference to small businesses being honest and taxpaying is the problem”. (Writes a small business owner.) www.theguardian.com/news/ng-inte...theguardian.comThe other Post Office scandal: how organised crime launders money on the high streetThe long read: Hundreds of millions of pounds of dirty money are being deposited at post offices every year. So why are the police reluctant to investigate the scale of the problem? 20307125
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearChristiaan Monden @cmonden.bsky.social · 17/08/2026Do you have some exciting research ideas? Apply for a three-year postdoc position in sociology at Nuffield College starting September 2027. Apply by 21/9. www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...nuffield.ox.ac.ukPostdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Sociology (two posts) - Nuffield College Oxford University 02933
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearDavid Buil-Gil @davidbuil.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Are you around Manchester on 7 October? We've invited @iainbrennan.bsky.social to deliver a public seminar at @criminologyuom.bsky.social titled “Focused deterrence: Evaluating America's most successful violence intervention in an English context”. Registrations: eventbrite.co.uk/e/prof-iain-... 21212
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearIUSSP @iussp.bsky.social · 22/06/2026N-IUSSP: Change is the only constant: living arrangements in the United States, 1850–2021, by Ginevra Floridi and Albert Esteve www.niussp.org/family-and-h... #demography #populationstudiesniussp.orgChange is the only constant: living arrangements in the United States, 1850–2021 - N-IUSSPLiving arrangements are the reflection of demographic and social change. Using historical census data from the United States, Ginevra Floridi and Albert Esteve summarise 170 years of change in househo... 031
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearMatt Ashby @mattashby.com · 12/08/2026How much violence is there in London compared to the US? The Economist website covers our research on benchmarking crime in London against other global cities. www.economist.com/graphic-deta...economist.comIs Europe safer than America?A novel dataset provides some surprising answers 0127
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Yeah, no kidding. That strip is not safe with how people were driving on it even the little bit I've seen. 030
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearNick Huntington-Klein @nickchk.com · 30/07/2026One of my empirical-work econ takes is that I think academia should be *more* open to publishing work based on best-we-can-do weak data, as long as there's really no other way to address the question and that work is very clear about what it can and can't actually say. 318529
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearInstitute of Criminology, University of Cambridge @cambcriminology.bsky.social · 30/07/2026We remember Professor Andrew von Hirsch, whose work shaped thinking on punishment, justice and criminal responsibility. A valued member of the Institute of Criminology and the Faculty of Law, he leaves an enduring legacy in his ideas, teaching and generosity. www.crim.cam.ac.uk/news/andreas... 023
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearEvelina Akimova @evakimova.bsky.social · 22/07/2026📄 New paper in PNAS! Using data from ~40,000 Norwegian trios, we extend evocative gene–environment correlation to family demography. Accounting for parental PGIs, most traits showed no associations, but children's ADHD PGI predicted parental separation. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...pnas.orgPNASProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans... 0154
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 20/07/2026New paper out now 🥳 When psychologists discuss generalisability, they often refer to vague notions of representativeness. We provide an accessible intro to the total survey error framework as a tool to reason about this more rigorously. w @taymalsalti.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci > 1027997
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Interesting criminologically relevant work theorizing and empirically examining state vs. crime group control of territory in Latin American cities. Politics work like this (and work on social order broadly) is underappreciated in modern criminology's social ecology and control subfield. 031
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearSociology at Oxford @sociologyoxford.bsky.social · 16/07/2026💡🚨 We’re seeking a Postdoc for a project on the socio-economic factors driving youth hacking & cybercrime! We’re looking for someone with a strong mixed-methods background in cybercrime, criminology, sociology, education or related fields. Apply ➡️ my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru... 077
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 16/07/2026Have a little editorial on a recent field experiment by MacDonald and crew on street cleanings to reduce gun violence that had (predictably) null results. Here I argue for more analytical and mechanistic theory in interventions against crime and violence. ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/... 020
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 30/06/2026Yeah, that is the subtext in many places, e.g., "Theory should and sometimes even does provide a guide to what assumptions are reasonable to make" 010
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 30/06/2026Now at JDLCC: @oliveiratr.bsky.social and I's accessible (but opinionated) guidance on testing theories with reciprocal effects using panel models. We argue for centering theory, making sure your data can answer your question, and defaulting to robust estimators. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 2127
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 20/06/2026Very unfortunate. Much of the work I've done with my colleagues and mentors over the last few years was based on data collected using NCGVR funding. 030
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearEuropean Network for Open Criminology @opencriminology.bsky.social · 16/06/2026📢 Nominations are open for the 2026 Open Criminology Award! Recognising outstanding contributions. 🆕 New for 2026: 🏆 ECR Award (€1,500) 🏆 Established Researcher Award (€2,000)* 📅 Deadline: 16 July 2026 🔗 esc-enoc.github.io/open-crim-aw... #OpenCriminology #OpenScience *Subject to final agreement.esc-enoc.github.ioOpen Criminology Award – European Network for Open CriminologyThis document describes the terms of reference of the Open Criminology Awards of the European Network for Open Criminology (ENOC) 098
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 07/06/2026static.klipy.comSimpsons Old Man Yells at CloudAlt: Simpsons Old Man Yells at Cloud 020
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 07/06/2026A journal article has finally pushed me over the threshold of writing comments in all caps. Utter exasperation. 110
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Agreed! This applies only to specific lag choices. Duebtonspace and the audience, we discuss continuous time only for a paragraph in the paper and largely defer to that lit, including at least one paper you are on! 110
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearAmy Nivette @nivette.bsky.social · 01/06/2026New preprint! Manuel Eisner and I argue that we need to take the specification of time more seriously in criminological research! We offer an overview of concepts of time, specifying temporal processes and effects, and how to improve our empirical knowledge. 👇👇 osf.io/preprints/so...osf.ioOSF 152
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Yes, we raise continuous time models like this in the paper! 110
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 01/06/2026For those interested: clanfear.github.io/CSSS_2026-04...clanfear.github.ioReciprocal relationships, reverse causality, and temporal ordering 181
Charles C. Lanfear @clanfear.bsky.social · 08/05/2026It took a dozen German airport security staff only 20 minutes to crack the case of my one man shoe tree smuggling operation. 000
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/04/2026They're looking for people with strong quant skills (psych/sociology/related fields) to work on subjective well-being across the lifecourse at Uni Lausanne! 1 PhD position + 1 Postdoc position career5.successfactors.eu/career?caree... career5.successfactors.eu/career?caree...career5.successfactors.euOpportunités de carrière : PhD Position in Subjective Well-Being Across the Life Course (22762) 03328
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearThiago R. Oliveira @oliveiratr.bsky.social · 29/04/2026I’m teaching a longitudinal data analysis course at the @methodsmcr.bsky.social Summer School this summer. Reach out if you’re interested 032
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 22/04/2026Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...journals.sagepub.comModels as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model... 11366131
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearJohann Koehler @jkoehler.bsky.social · 16/04/2026🚨New paper klaxon!🚨 How does a police department manage to claim that it's "making progress"? And how does it do so even when people complain about its poor performance, corruption, or whatever else? sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13... @chicagopolice.bsky.social 155
Reposted by Charles C. LanfearSociological Science @sociologicalsci.bsky.social · 16/04/2026NEW: Tony Cheng, Johann Koehler, "Making Progress in the Chicago Police Department, 1862–2024" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...sociologicalscience.com 043