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Christian Czymara

@christian.czymara.com
843 followers 704 following 122 posts

Migration scholar at the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), @knaw-nl.bsky.social and @rug.nl czymara.com

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Reposted by Christian Czymara
Marcos Echevarria-Eirea @marcoseche.bsky.social · 13h
Announcing Round 1 of the 𝐌𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐏𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧 𝐓𝐢𝐤𝐓𝐨𝐤 (𝐌𝐏𝐏𝐓𝐢𝐤𝐓𝐨𝐤) dataset! It provides manually collected TikTok handles for MPs and parties in 17 Western democracies (elected as of December 2025). Dataset: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/mp... Preprint: doi.org/10.31235/osf... 1/3
dataverse.harvard.edu
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cemas_io @cemas.io · 24/09/2026
Seit dem 7. Oktober 2023 kann ein Anstieg des Antisemitismus an Hochschulen weltweit beobachtet werden, der oft unter dem Deckmantel von Menschenrechten artikuliert wird. Unser neuer Blogartikel zeichnet diese Entwicklung nach und nimmt den „gebildeten Antisemitismus“ in den Blick.
cemas.io
Antisemitismus an Hochschulen seit dem 7. Oktober 2023
Antisemitismus wird oft fälschlicherweise als Problem politischer Ränder oder bildungsferner Milieus gesehen. Dabei hat er gerade in der gebildeten Mitte eine lange Tradition. Seit dem 7. Oktober 2023...
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Nico Lange @nicolange.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
In Kyjiw brennt nach einem direkten russischen Drohnentreffer das Gebäude der Nationalen Akademie der Wissenschaften im Stadtzentrum. Menschen klettern aus den Fenstern, um nicht zu verbrennen. Ein russisches Kriegsverbrechen reiht sich an das andere.
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Frau Nora @fraunora.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Am 29. und 30. September 1941 werden über 33.000 ukrainische Jüdinnen und Juden - Männer, Frauen, Kinder - in der Nähe von Kyjiw, in Babyn Jar erschossen. Der sogenannte "Holocaust by bullets" ist immer noch wenig bekannt.
de.wikipedia.org
Massaker von Babyn Jar – Wikipedia
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Hanna Herbst @hhumorlos.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
bin seit heute auf linkedIn und ich hasse, dass ich in einer welt leben muss, in der es linkedIn gibt.
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NOS @nieuws.nos.nl · 27/09/2026
Student in Maastricht geschorst na delen filmpje over deelname aan Hamas-aanslag
nos.nl
Student in Maastricht geschorst na delen filmpje over deelname aan Hamas-aanslag
De universiteit neemt de beslissing uit bezorgdheid over de veiligheid van studenten en medewerkers.
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 28/09/2026
🚨 BREAKING: Russia targeted central Kyiv, striking the building of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine.
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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
📄 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social: “From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection” 👥 with @krausewe.bsky.social and @aigneranna.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
doi.org
Redirecting
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📄 New working paper w. Alex De Juan, @felixhaass.bsky.social & Henry Thomson: We study Weimar Germany in 1932 to ask whether far right electoral success pacifies extremist movements - or can fuel violence when mandates do not translate into power. osf.io/preprints/so...
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Christian Czymara @christian.czymara.com · 23/09/2026
It's going great:
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Christian Czymara @christian.czymara.com · 21/09/2026
Excited to share that I've joined the Journal of Computational Social Science @springernature.com as an Associate Editor. If you work on #social, #political, or #demographic questions using #CSS methods, please consider submitting: link.springer.com/journal/42001
link.springer.com
Journal of Computational Social Science
Journal of Computational Social Science is an interdisciplinary journal focusing on research across social sciences, physics, biology, management science, ...
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Informationsdienst Wissenschaft - idw @idw-online.de · 17/09/2026
Heidelberger Forschungsprojekt gibt NS-Opfern Namen und Geschichte zurück 983 Einträge, 84 bislang recherchierte Lebensgeschichten: Die neue Internetseite „Erinnerte Opfer“ macht die Schicksale von Menschen sichtbar, deren Körper während... weiterlesen
Im sogenannten Leichenjournal wurden seit 1816 die Einlieferungen von Verstorbenen in die Heidelberger Anatomie verzeichnet. Ihre Körper wurden für Lehre und Forschung verwendet. - Copyright Fotos: Anatomie Heidelberg, Universität Heidelberg
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Lars Leszczensky @leszczensky.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
📢 New paper! How can we recruit hard-to-reach ethnoreligious minorities for survey research? We examine the opportunities — and challenges — of using targeted Facebook & Instagram ads, based on our recruitment of young Muslims in Germany. 📱🔎 #SurveyResearch #Migration
doi.org
Opportunities and challenges of using targeted advertisements on social media to sample ethnoreligious minorities: the example of recruiting young Muslims in Germany via Facebook and Instagram
Targeted ads on social media allow researchers to recruit hard-to-reach or small populations such as ethnoreligious minorities. Seeking to guide researchers in dealing with the corresponding opport...
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Ansgar Hudde @hudde.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
📊Wie außergewöhnlich ist die Unbeliebtheit von Friedrich Merz?📊 Sehr außergewöhnlich. Seit 1977 startete kein Kanzler seine Amtszeit mit so niedrigen Werten, und bei keinem ging die Kurve danach so steil bergab. DIE ZEIT hat die Grafik dazu zum Titelthema der aktuellen Ausgabe gedruckt.
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social
localmanifestoproject.de
German Local Manifesto Project
Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.
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Altmetric @altmetric.com · 08/09/2026
Update: The academic flight from Twitter is now complete and appears permanent. April 2023, after the pandemic research surge, we recorded 2,234,307 posts sharing research on Twitter. As of April this year, "X" had 896,741 posts about research. That's a 60% drop in traffic.
Graph showing cumulative research sharing across platforms, including Twitter - April 2023Graph of April 2026 cumulative research sharing including "X". One third of what it was.
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Mark Rubin @markrubin.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
"How can funders avoid crossing the Szilard point?" The Szilard point is "the threshold at which the total cost of competing for a grant equals (or surpasses) the value of the available funding."
nature.com
Point of no returns: researchers are crossing a threshold in the fight for funding
With so little money to go round, the costs of competing for grants can exceed what the grants are worth. When that happens, nobody wins.
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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Nach der Wahl ist vor der Wahl. Nach Sachsen-Anhalt richtet sich der Blick auf Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. In knapp zwei Wochen wird dort gewählt. Einige Dynamiken ähneln Sachsen-Anhalt, andere sind deutlich anders. Ein kurzer Thread zur Ausgangslage in MV. bsky.app/profile/dawu...
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
@christinajuen.bsky.social & I are very happy to see our first publication of our @dfg.de project published in Party Politics. GLMP provides a new dataset for studying local party politics in 🇩🇪: 2,307 manifestos from 306 political actors in 248 municipalities (1989-2024) doi.org/10.1177/1354...
doi.org
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP): A new data source for studying local party politics - Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen, 2026
Local politics remains comparatively understudied in political science, partly due to limited data on party competition at the municipal level. This research no...
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Christian Czymara @christian.czymara.com · 03/09/2026
Effects of #terror attacks on #hatespeech are well documented. My new study of comparative #twitter data from 11 attacks shows that's only part of the picture: Users also post about #tolerance and #solidarity, particularly in later days. Social Sciences & Humanities Open 🔓: doi.org/10.1016/j.ss...
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Johannes B. Gruber @jbgruber.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
New #rstats 📦: mediacloud2 (happy about name recommendations). Since the exitsting R packages were stale and I needed data, I wrote a new package. MediaCloud is an amazing resource for getting news media data, especially if you rehydrate the articles (e.g., through paperboy).
jbgruber.github.io
MediaCloud API (v4) Wrapper
A simple wrapper for version 4 of the MediaCloud API, which provides programmatic access to the MediaCloud archive of online news content (<https://www.mediacloud.org>).
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Krsto Lazarević @krstorevic.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Und wir wissen aus anderen Studien, dass es AfD-Wählenden finanziell gar nicht so schlecht geht. Im Grunde sind es ähnliche Gruppen, bei denen schon die NSDAP vor knapp 100 Jahren stark war: Kleinbürgertum, Handwerker, Selbstständige, (ehemals) protestantische Mittelschicht. Eher ländlich.
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Krsto Lazarević @krstorevic.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Diese Zahlen, die gerade so rumgehen, sagen übrigens gar nichts darüber aus, wie es AfD-Wählenden finanziell tatsächlich geht. Es handelt sich um eine Selbsteinschätzung und sie zeigt nur, dass AfD-Wählende sich zu kurz gekommen fühlen.
Von denen die ihre finanzielle Lage selbst als schlecht einschätzen wählten in Sachsen-Anhalt 65 Prozent die AfD. 8 CDU, 9 Linke, 3 SPD, 1 FDP, 4 Grüne, 6 BSW, 4 Andere
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Claire Burchett @cburchett.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
My 2nd PhD publication is out today in @pop-jrnl.bsky.social ! 🎉 We know the far right largely claims to be "anti"-antisemitic, but this paper looks at how a party's online community responds when it encounters these narratives. Do individuals agree? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Another familiar pattern in the Saxony-Anhalt state election: "New" socio-structural divides along education and gender tend to be larger among younger voters (see: doi.org/10.1080/0140...). Same is again probably true of urban vs. rural, representing a broader pattern of generational realignment.
doi.org
How education, generation and gender jointly structure green and radical right voting
This article refines our understanding of the socio-structural basis of voting for green and radical right parties by studying how formal education, generation and gender interact. Given the emerge...
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
📣 New op-ed in Süddeutsche Zeitung: What the data say about the “Brandmauer” I summarize key findings from a study with @anninahermes.bsky.social across 57 democracies ➡️ Far-right parties don’t get weaker in government, they get stronger (~6 points by the next election) tinyurl.com/4j6jaud2
sueddeutsche.de
Demokratie: Wenn die Rechte mitregiert, wird sie nicht geschwächt – im Gegenteil
Eine Untersuchung von 57 Ländern zeigt: Wenn die Rechte in Verantwortung kommt, gewinnt sie dazu. Daraus lässt sich für Deutschland lernen.
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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
You can literally see how Ariely* manually changed data to produce the results he wanted Truly remarkable level of fraud from one of the most famous social scientists *I bet Ariely will use the Gino dog-ate-my-homework defense that a mysterious RA selectively manipulate the data did it. I doubt it
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Vor den Wahlen in Sachsen-Anhalt haben @cendt.de und ich diskutiert, was aktuelle Daten über die Stärke der AfD in Ost und West verraten. Sehen wir Zeichen einer Angleichung? Erreicht die AfD im Westen bald ein ähnlich hohes Niveau? Ich habe dazu ein bisschen was gerechnet. Ein Thread🧵
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Gordon Hodson @gordonhodsonphd.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
#AcademicSky #PsychSciSky #MetaScience Article worth reading, & sharing w/ your student researchers. Can't get this out of my head: "Bishop’s law: The better designed a study is, the more likely it is to obtain a null result" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Meimoun & @lakens.bsky.social
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Christian Czymara @christian.czymara.com · 03/09/2026
Effects of #terror attacks on #hatespeech are well documented. My new study of comparative #twitter data from 11 attacks shows that's only part of the picture: Users also post about #tolerance and #solidarity, particularly in later days. Social Sciences & Humanities Open 🔓: doi.org/10.1016/j.ss...
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Johannes Breuer @johannesbreuer.com · 01/09/2026
New discussion paper led by @hroggenkamp.bsky.social and @mvreiss.bsky.social published in Nature Human Behavior: "Improving computational reproducibility in the social sciences" doi.org/10.1038/s415...
doi.org
Improving computational reproducibility in the social sciences - Nature Human Behaviour
Code underlying published findings in the social sciences often fails to reproduce reported results when others re-run it on the original data. This Comment proposes four recommendations to strengthen...
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Johannes B. Gruber @jbgruber.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
rollama 0.3.1 just hit CRAN! 🥳 Highlight of the new version is that it now supports batch annotation of images with structured outputs. Screenshot from the updated vignette below:
Annotating Several Images with Structured Output

You can combine this setup with the structured output workflow to get a systematic classification of images. First, define the schema for the fields you want back for each image:

```r
animal_schema <- create_schema(
  dog = type_boolean(),
  cat = type_boolean(),
  human = type_boolean(),
  bird = type_boolean()
)
animal_schema
#> <rollama structured output schema>
#> ├─object: <NULL> (required)
#> └─properties
#>   ├─boolean: <dog>  (required)
#>   ├─boolean: <cat>  (required)
#>   ├─boolean: <human>  (required)
#>   └─boolean: <bird>  (required)
``
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Dariia Mykhailyshyna @dariia.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Something changed in Kyiv this week. For 4.5 years Russia mostly attacked at night. Since Thursday, Aug 27, it’s drones all day. Today is day four of near-constant attacks. The alert goes on, goes off, ten minutes later it’s on again. Explosions several times an hour. 🧵 #UAView
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Thomas Lux @thomaslux.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Sociology in the tradition of Karl Mannheim says that what you live through in your impressionable years tends to leave a lasting imprint. But which events do people themselves count as formative for their lives? Our data visualization in Socius answers this. 1/6 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Miriam Hurtado Bodell @mhbodell.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
When online discourse shifts after focus events, is it because people start talking differently or because different people participate in discussions? @anmen.bsky.social and I answer this question in a new OA article published in Poetics! 🎉 doi.org/10.1016/j.po...
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RRResRobot @rrresrobot.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
A. C. May and C. S. Czymara. “Careless Whisper: Political Elite Discourses Activate National Identities for Far-Right Voting Preferences”. In: Nations and Nationalism 30.1 (2024), pp. 90-109. dx.doi.org/10.1111/nana.12985.
a decorative image (abstract, wordcloud, or summary) illustrating this reference
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Anastasia Menshikova @anmen.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
How does the latte-drinking-liberals idea play out in the Swedish multi-party context? Find out in our article recently published in Journal of CSS: link.springer.com/article/10.1... Created together with brilliant @felixlennert.bsky.social, Elida Izani Ibrahim & @mhbodell.bsky.social!
link.springer.com
Partisan tastes or ideological divides? Everyday interests and political identities in a multi-party system - Journal of Computational Social Science
Everyday interests expressed in leisure, media consumption, or cultural practices, increasingly intersect with political orientations, making them strong signals of individuals’ political identities. ...
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Macartan Humphreys @macartan.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Replicate everything? Interested in thoughts on this idea: shiny2.wzb.eu/ipi/replicate/ At @wzb.bsky.social we've been developing a protocol for replication files for empirical papers to: ✅be readable by machines ✅keep humans in the loop
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Mark Rubin @markrubin.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
“Contrary to the common assumption that journals reject null results, we found that most projects halt during early data analysis or presentation stages.”   New work by @bartekmacka.bsky.social et al.   Open Access: doi.org/10.1007/s112...
The “file drawer problem” – where study results remain unpublished – distorts scientific evidence and wastes resources, yet its impact on experimental philosophy has remained unexplored. We conducted the first dedicated survey of experimental philosophers to investigate the prevalence, causes, and potential solutions to research attrition in this field. Contrary to the common assumption that journals reject null results, we found that most projects halt during early data analysis or presentation stages. The primary drivers for this attrition are resource constraints and competing priorities rather than statistical non-significance or rejection during peer review. Although researchers are highly aware of the file drawer problem, they view “not publishing in a timely manner” as a relatively acceptable practice compared to other questionable research practices. While the adoption of open-science tools like preprints is growing, few researchers utilize micropublications to share result-independent findings. Participants cited the “extra effort” required to share results as a primary barrier. We conclude that the file drawer in experimental philosophy is often populated by “homeless” data that lack the coherent narrative required for traditional publication. To address this, we recommend adopting low-friction dissemination formats, such as standardized templates and brief reports.
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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
I have read this Response to my Comment and have written a Rejoinder, showing three things: 1. The multiverse is many correlated tests. 2. The randomization inference is wrong. 3. The trichotomous moderator reaffirms my point. I also enumerate 7 misleading claims, now in print in the APSR.
A Rejoinder to ‘Still Instrumentally Inclusive’ (Turnbull-Dugarte & López Ortega)
Daniel de KadtCornell University, Department of Governmentdekadt@cornell.edu
2026-08-01
Abstract Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega’s “Still Instrumentally Inclusive” (the Response) answers my replication (the Comment) of their 2024 American Political Science Review paper (the Article) with, among other things, a multiverse of 2,970 analyses based on eighteen different weighting schemes, randomization inference, and a trichotomous moderator. As I show in this rejoinder, each is undermined by bona fide errors in their code, their writing, and their interpretation. First, the multiverse is just many correlated variants of the same test. This is in large part due to the weighting schemes which suffer multiple problems (some due to code errors, some intrinsic), and are largely correlated variations on one weighting scheme. Second, due to code errors the randomization inference compares a weighted statistic against an unweighted null and, in the two heterogeneity tests, permutes the interaction column rather than treatment assignment column. Every permutation p-value the Response reports is therefore computed against the wrong reference distribution; when they are recomputed correctly, two of the five it reports as significant are no longer so, and they are the two the Response emphasizes. Third, the trichotomous moderator is erroneously described as terciles, but it is in fact based on non-tercile cutpoints. The key subgroup effect reported in the Response thus rests on comparing just thirty high-weight control respondents against thirty-one high-weight treated respondents, and ends up reaffirming my original point that the heterogeneity in study 2 is with respect to weights, and not immigration sentiment as their theory predicts. I close by documenting seven claims in the Response that are untrue or misleading.
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/07/2026
New blog post! Odds ratios are...a bit weird. Here I explain two problems (interpretation, non-collapsibility) and provide some simple recommendations for improved reporting. www.the100.ci/2026/07/30/r...
the100.ci
Reviewer notes: Odds ratios are really odd
When psychological researchers investigate binary outcomes, they routinely report odds ratios to quantify the strength of an effect or an association. This is quite understandable given that psycholog...
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Jasmin Arémi @jasminaremi.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Die Furzgrundel ist Fisch des Jahres 2026. Na, das passt doch zum Jahr!
oe1.orf.at
Die Furzgrundel - Fisch des Jahres 2026 | DO | 09 07 2026 | 8:55
Der Biologe Gerhard Käfel erzählt, wie sehr der Europäische Schlammpeitzger natürliche flache Gewässer braucht.
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Georgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🔔🔔 Russian polls have shown ~75% support for the war in Ukraine since February 2022, essentially flat. New working paper with Kirill Chmel and @nikitasavin.bsky.social shows that number is stable partly because it stopped measuring what people actually think. 🧵 ssrn.com/abstract=711...
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Theo Priestley @theopriestley.net · 28/07/2026
Fucking hell as if receiving automated rejection letters for jobs wasn't bad enough.
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Carsten Schwemmer @cschwem2er.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
1/6 What happens when you tell an AI browser: “Fill out this survey”? It fills out the survey. In our new study, led by @rtopinkova.bsky.social, we tested three consumer-facing agentic browsers without lengthy prompts, custom code, or technical fine-tuning.
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Aliakbar Akbaritabar @akbaritabar.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Exciting new contributions on scientific mobility and collaboration! The literature on scientific mobility and collaboration has long been paradoxical about whether scholars form collaboration ties before moving to an institution, or if they start collaborating after relocating.
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Jisu Kim @jiisu.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
🔊 We are hiring! PhD vacancy: Migration Narratives in Digital Societies How do online migration debates become politically consequential? Where: Utrecht University Deadline for application: 20th August 2026 Starting date: 1 October 2026 For more details: www.uu.nl/en/organisat...
uu.nl
PhD: A Multimodal Analysis of Emotion, Narrative, and Migration Politics Online
What Moves Us? - How do emotionally charged migration narratives shape public debate and political engagement?
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Mattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 24/07/2026
Since paper here is nested in journal, those 2 sources of variance can be IMO combined to represent between paper variability. And even w/ this, we get a generalizability score (reliability) of 0.31 for 2 judges and 0.40 for 3 judges. You'd need 11 (!) judges to get a reliability > 0.7! 1/
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Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
🏛️ These patterns extend beyond electoral politics. We find similar ideological biases within intelligence agencies and the police, suggesting that institutional responses to extremism are also shaped by partisanship. (5/7)
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Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
📘 Excited to share that our new Cambridge Elements book, Downplaying Extremism? (with @rdancygier.bsky.social & @homola.bsky.social ), is now out—and available open access: doi.org/10.1017/9781.... A short thread 👇 (1/7)
doi.org
Downplaying Extremism? How the State Approaches Right-Wing and Left-Wing Extremist Threats
Cambridge Core - Political Philosophy - Downplaying Extremism? How the State Approaches Right-Wing and Left-Wing Extremist Threats
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