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Christian Möstl

@chrisoutofspace.bsky.social
930 followers 730 following 119 posts

Heliophysicist | Head, Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social | GeoSphere Austria geosphere.at/en/topics/disaster-pro… |☀️💥💨🌍 | erc.europa.eu HELIO4CAST | helioforecast.space | he / him

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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Amazing new reconstruction of sunspot number for the last ~1000 years by Saha et al. 2026: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Sunspot number since the year 971, showing several long minima and the recent, more regular solar cycles
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Jasmine 🌌🔭 @astrojaz.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
i’m obsessed with this very specific genre of photo
A color photograph looking outward through the interior of a spacecraft toward a thin crescent Earth suspended in space. Dark structural elements of the spacecraft frame the view, with the window opening forming an irregular border around the planet. The illuminated crescent floats near the center of the image against a deep black sky. Reflections from the spacecraft interior and faint alignment markings are visible on the window, emphasizing that the photograph was taken from inside the spacecraft.A color photograph of Earth’s curved horizon viewed through a circular spacecraft window. The dark window frame creates a round border around the scene, while Earth’s blue atmosphere, white cloud systems, and sunlit surface occupy the lower left portion of the view. The upper right portion fades into the blackness of space with a single bright point of light visible beyond Earth’s limb. The composition highlights both the spacecraft window and the planet beyond it.A color photograph showing the silhouette of Christina Koch inside a spacecraft looking toward Earth through a window. The astronaut’s profile appears in shadow on the left side of the image, with strands of hair illuminated by sunlight. Beyond the window, Earth fills much of the background with vivid blue oceans, swirling white clouds, and part of the African continent visible. The dark spacecraft interior frames the bright view outside, emphasizing the contrast between the cabin and the planet beyond.A color photograph of a half-illuminated Moon viewed through a spacecraft window. The thick, multi-layered window frame surrounds the left and lower edges of the image, with alternating white, black, and reddish sealing rings visible around the glass. The cratered lunar surface is sharply lit against the blackness of space and appears centered in the window. A smaller, bright crescent Earth is visible near the right edge of the frame, while scattered stars and a few small reflections on the window glass appear throughout the dark background.
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Here are a few quotes by @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social in the Austrian newspaper @derstandard.at on the Sivadas et al. paper: www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
derstandard.at
Sonnenstürme sind offenbar gefährlicher als gedacht
Einer aktuellen Studie zufolge wird das Risiko von geomagnetischen Stürmen, die etwa Blackouts verursachen können, unterschätzt. Schuld daran ist eine statistische Illusion
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
China's Tianwen-2 has first imaged asteroid Kamoʻoalewa, which is on a wide orbit around Earth 🌍 between 0.9 and 1.1 au, but tilted to the ecliptic by 8°. This is close to "distant retrograde orbits" for future space weather forecasting missions like @esa.int HENON. www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbbA...
Image by CNSA Tianwen-2 of asteroid Kamoʻoalewa
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
We had an amazing time at #solarwind17 in Bath / UK, learning about current solar wind science on all scales and presenting our work on solar storm forecasting and multispacecraft observations of their evolution. Plus a visit of Stonehenge and World Cup wins for England and Austria!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
At the #SolarWind17 conference in Bath UK this week (after going through London Paddington station) - first sessions about solar wind small-scale physics and turbulence, and a tutorial on getting funding from the @erc.europa.eu!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Looking at the recent #solarstorms that are expected to arrive at Earth 🌍 around late Thu June 4 (from early June 3), I am quite skeptical on their geomagnetic storm potential. The flares were of short duration, there are no clear halo CMEs and all eruptions a going mainly to north/south in LASCO.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Fun and productive week @issibern.ch with an ISSI team working on the connection between heliospheric and magnetospheric data and models for improved #spaceweather forecasts. Bonus: the @science.esa.int launch of SMILE 🚀! teams.issibern.ch/space-weathe...
me at University of BernList of participants City of Bern Bear in Bärenpark
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Great that the @esa.int SMILE launch went so smooth, looking forward to the new images of the magnetopause and aurora! Always good to have another in situ monitor near Earth. I got to shortly comment on the technological effects of #spaceweather on Austrian national TV: on.orf.at/live?channel...
on.orf.at
ORF Live
Verpassen Sie nie wieder den Anfang einer Sendung: ORF 1, ORF 2, ORF III, ORF Sport + und ORF KIDS live sehen und bis zu 24 Stunden zurückspringen.
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Seán Doran @theseaning.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Earth eclipses the Sun as seen by Artemis II on Orion. Satellites showing off as usual...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Impressions from the @esa.int heliophysics modeling workshop this week at ESOC in Darmstadt - amazing to see a roundup of the #spaceweather modeling landscape, as well as the ESOC control rooms, and even a Rosetta/Philae spacecraft model in real size!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
The #solarstorm from March 30 has gone way off to the east of Earth (solar wind, left), so no problem for #ARTEMIS2. Fingers crossed🤞that during the 10 day journey to the moon a solar energetic particle (SEP) hazard does not occur - see data on the Jan 19 2026 event by the LRO spacecraft👇(right).
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
We've been featured on Austrian national TV ORF2 in "Mayrs Magazin" roaming around Austria's magnetic Conrad observatory and talking about solar storms, with @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social and Veronika Haberle. The @esa.int HENON and Vigil missions were mentioned too! on.orf.at/video/143147...
on.orf.at
Sonnenstürme könnten Stromnetze lahmlegen - Mayrs Magazin - Wissen für alle vom 13.03.2026
Die Sonne befindet sich aktuell auf dem Höhepunkt ihres elfjährigen Zyklus. Dadurch treten Sonnenstürme häufiger auf, die Satelliten beschädigen und sogar Stromnetze gefährden können. Forscher des Spa...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
spaceweather.com sometimes posts solar images from the #Mars Perseverance Rover camera MASTCAM-Z, in low but good enough resolution to see big sunspots (e.g. Feb 19 2026 below). Mars is currently on the opposite side of the Sun as seen from Earth. The images are here: mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mul...
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Dr. Ryan French @ryanjfrench.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
BREAKING: This is Richard Carrington, the first person to document solar flares on the Sun & suggest their influence on aurora at Earth. The largest solar storm on record, the Carrington Event, bares his name. But, there has been no photograph available of Carrington – until now!
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Sonja Hartl @sonjahartl7.eurosky.social · 19/01/2026
Crazy 21:36 UTC Jan 19, 2026 Location Koralpe Austria 46N #Aurora #spaceweather @vincentledvina.bsky.social
Aurora
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This solar cycle is so funny because whenever you think you don't know exactly what to do for the next paper or project these things happen.
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Vincent Ledvina @vincentledvina.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Wow! Here is the current view over Falkenberg, Germany! Quite amazing red aurora from this mid-latitude location. Europe get outside! go.theauroraguy.com/webcams
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This is likely the strongest near-Earth #solarwind magnetic field I have ever seen in my career - 90.6 nT total field, and perfectly northward 61.7 nT Bz component. If this is the main flux rope, the north and west pointing field is consistent with the right handed source region - Bz would stay > 0!
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
A press story is out today (german) on our forecast for the chances for #aurora nights at mid-latitudes in 2026. We predict another 1-2 possible nights in 2026, as we expect 20-30 #solarstorm impacts at Earth 🌍 in 2026. ☀️ Solar cycle 25 is not done yet! ☀️ science.apa.at/power-search...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
🤯 Very interesting study featured on spaceweather.com today about #solarstorms lowering satellite orbits and thus collision avoidance maneuvers are needed, in particular for satellite megaconstellations ➡️ #spaceweather may form a tipping point towards Kessler Syndrome. arxiv.org/abs/2512.09643
arxiv.org
An Orbital House of Cards: Frequent Megaconstellation Close Conjunctions
The number of objects in orbit is rapidly increasing, primarily driven by the launch of megaconstellations, an approach to satellite constellation design that involves large numbers of satellites pair...
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ESA Operations @operations.esa.int · 08/12/2025
Check out the first poster in our new series: "Space Safety - in action!" Mission: Vigil Objective: Advanced warning of solar storms Unique feature: Location in deep space offers 'side-on' view of solar material heading towards Earth Launch: 2031 Download the poster at: www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
Stylised poster depicting spacecraft watching the Sun with Earth depicted below
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
(In German): A really nice story in Austrian newspaper @derstandard.at today on our duties as #spaceweather forecasters and researchers and myths surrounding our work. www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
derstandard.at
Astrophysiker: "Oft kommt die Frage nach Außerirdischen"
Christian Möstl leitet das Austrian Space Weather Office der Geosphere Austria. Er erklärt, wie Sonnenstürme entstehen und ob die Suche nach Aliens zum Job gehört
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
My take away so far from discussions on the #Airbus software updates due to potential #spaceweather induced electronics upsets: the Sun ☀️ seems not responsible for the incident on October 30 (no significant eruptions on that day), but solar energetic particles could lead to similar failures.
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Prof Jim Wild @jim-wild.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
An interesting #spaceweather story developing. Airbus has made a statement saying that “Analysis of a recent event involving an A320 Family aircraft has revealed that intense solar radiation may corrupt data critical to the functioning of flight controls” www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Flights disrupted as Airbus requests modifications to thousands of planes
About 6,000 plans are thought to be affected, about half the European aerospace giant's global fleet.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
Amazing outcome of the ESA ministerial for space safety: especially ESA Vigil and the the mission concepts for distributed #spaceweather sensors like SHIELD and Aurora missions are all on track! www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
esa.int
Boost in funding expands Space Safety programme
The 2025 Ministerial Council (CM25) turned into an overwhelming success for ESA’s Space Safety programme. Member States committed to a budget of €955 million for the next three years – even more ...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
We will hear more details in the coming days but it also looks like ESA Space Safety - with a highly ambitious program - was very well funded, and besides the Asteroid mission to Apophis in 2029 (once in a lifetime chance), eager to hear more about the #spacewather missions to be designed and built!
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European Space Agency @esa.int · 24/11/2025
📺 Our Ministerial Council takes place this week, 26-27 November, in Bremen, Germany. Vital decisions will be made on Europe's future in space. You can follow events live on the days here! 👇 www.esa.int/About_Us/Min... Also check out our dedicated #CM25 website 👇 🔗 esa.int/CM25
esa.int
Follow CM25 online
The European Space Agency's Ministerial Council – more formally Council at Ministerial level – takes place in Bremen, Germany on 26 and 27 November 2025. 
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
I am part of a new paper has been published today in @frontiersmedia.bsky.social (Zhao et al. 2025) that gives an overview on the drag-based-models that have been developed to describe the #solarstorm evolution in the heliosphere www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.... #openaccess
frontiersin.org
Frontiers | Mathematical expressions of the drag-based models for predicting the arrival time of coronal mass ejection and their development and evolutionary processes
As one of the most violent solar activities, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are eruptions of the large-scale magnetized plasma from the Sun’s upper atmosphere...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
A new podcast (in german) is available on all platforms with Hannah Rüdisser @hannahruedisser.bsky.social and me talking about many aspects of space weather, like future @esaspaceweather.esa.int missions, Miyake Events and solar storm impacts on technology. 👇 geosphere.at/de/aktuelles...
geosphere.at
Folge 10: Die stürmische Seite der Sonne
Achtung! Achtung! Das ist eine Sturmwarnung aus dem Weltall! Ganz so wild geht es im Arbeitsalltag der beiden Astrophysiker:innen Christian Möstl und Hannah Rüdisser zwar nicht (immer) zu, aber sie ha...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Day 4 of #ESWW2025! @maikebauer.bsky.social + @lelouedecj.bsky.social presented posters on #solarstorm automatic detection and modeling to make life easier for forecasters. @hannahruedisser.bsky.social took part in a panel on the best practices and future use of AI in #spaceweather! 1/3
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Day 3 at #ESWW2025! @hannahruedisser.bsky.social presented our automatic solar storm detection method ARCANE, combined with our models for the storm magnetic field (3DCORE) and arrival time (ELEvo), showcasing their power for real time application. (1/2)👇
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Day 2 at #ESWW2025! @spacedavies.bsky.social rocked the stage with a talk on solar storm forecasts with sub-L1 monitors with @esa.int #SolarOrbiter. I participated in 2 panel discussion, on the role of validation, and the future of space weather modeling at ESA in the next 10-15 years. ☀️💥🤖
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Some impressions from day one at #ESWW2025 including first poster presentations and big congrats to long-time collaborator Erika Palmerio @erikapal.bsky.social for receiving the Alexander Chizhevsky Medal for early career scientists!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
🇬🇧UK Space Weather meeting in Sheffield, day 3 starts with a session on new 🛰️ missions, including @craig.deforest.org on @punch-mission.bsky.social, Jorge Amaya on a new fleet of @esa.int spacecraft and a possible later far-side ☀️ mission (near L3), and Jonathan Eastwood on ESA HENON for sub-L1 data.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Some impressions from the UK 🇬🇧💂‍♂️ Space Weather and Space Environment Meeting III in Sheffield this week - I talked about research to operations to research at @aswogeosphere.bsky.social and the usage for spacecraft measuring solar storm magnetic fields closer to the Sun ☀️ (so called sub-L1 monitors).
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
This #solarstorm from late Aug 30 2025 will arrive at 🌍 noon to late Monday Sep 1. Depending on its internal magnetic field, it has the potential for #aurora in central Europe and maybe #GNSS errors. Parker Solar Probe will tell us in hindsight if its field was predictable from 0.5 au.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
The new AI foundation-type model, based on Solar Dynamics Observatory data, arxiv.org/abs/2508.141... is also featured @wired.com www.wired.com/story/ibm-an...
wired.com
IBM and NASA Develop a Digital Twin of the Sun to Predict Future Solar Storms
The tool models the sun using AI, and its developers say it can anticipate solar flares 16 percent more accurately and in half the time of current prediction systems.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
This is a really great summary of the current state of #AI. For my scientific work 🧑‍💻 its useful to (1) quickly summarize fields that I am not familiar with and (2) to give me templates for coding. Both are great tools ⚒️ but a far cry from AGI/ASI. www.theatlantic.com/technology/a...
theatlantic.com
AI Is a Mass-Delusion Event
Three years in, one of AI’s enduring impacts is to make people feel like they’re losing it.
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Dr. Jessie Christiansen @aussiastronomer.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
WELCOME TO THE FAMILY, ALPHA CEN A b!!! First hinted at in Wagner+21, now Chas Beichman, Aniket Sanghi and team have published new JWST images of alpha Cen A showing another hint of this Saturn-sized planet candidate! exoplanetarchive.ipac.caltech.edu/overview/alp...
Screenshot of the NASA Exoplanet Archive homepage for the alpha Cen system.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
This years @erc.europa.eu Advanced Grant results are out! In solar system sciences and #heliophysics there are projects on solar coronal heating, stellar convection and icy moons. Otherwise in #astrophysics topics like planet formation, black holes and dark matter were selected.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
What a week for #heliophysics 🔥: first #solarstorm imaged with NASA @punch-mission.bsky.social, @esa.int Solar Orbiter provides the first view of the solar south pole, and @esa.int Proba-3 demonstrates formation flying and imaging the inner solar corona.
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European Space Agency @esa.int · 16/06/2025
Breaking space news: We have made our own solar eclipse in space! 🌘 Today, we release the first images from our Proba-3 mission, which flies two spacecraft in precise formation to create artificial solar eclipses in orbit. Learn more ➡️ www.esa.int/Enabling_Sup...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
Highly fascinating that for the @esa.int gravitational wave observatory #LISA (launch ~2035), #spaceweather effects need to be studied. Kind of logical, due to the superhigh sensitivity of the observations. 2035 is the max of solar cycle 26, and we might know its strength in the early 2030s. paper👇
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
This is a new tool to look at @science.esa.int #SolarOrbiter imaging data (or data from other missions) and the field of views of different instruments. hpa.esa.int/hpa/#/home
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Erin Reed @erininthemorning.com · 01/06/2025
This morning we drove to Bozeman Pride for @zoandbehold.bsky.social to speak, then went down to Yellowstone and saw incredible sights. Then, on the drive back to Missoula at 1AM, the heavens erupted. Naked eye visible aurora. The northern lights told us Happy Pride :)
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Unprocessed Level 0 data from @punch-mission.bsky.social are now available at: punch.space.swri.edu/punch_scienc... code tools: github.com/punch-missio... documentation: punchbowl.readthedocs.io/en/latest/
github.com
GitHub - punch-mission/punchbowl: Science processing code for the PUNCH mission
Science processing code for the PUNCH mission. Contribute to punch-mission/punchbowl development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
The @egu.eu General Assembly week in #Vienna 🇦🇹 May 3-8 2026 may overlap with the @eurovision.tv Song Contest 2026 week! Could be more likely though that the #ESC happens one week later, with the final on Saturday May 16. If the #ESC goes to #Graz, visitors @aswogeosphere.bsky.social are welcome! 😀
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
Theoretically the special theory of relativity was invented in Switzerland 🇨🇭 😆 - when at an @issibern.ch teams meeting, pay a visit to the Einstein Haus in downtown Bern, where he lived in 1905 when he invented special relativity!
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Tomorrow is the anniversary of the 10-11 May 2024 geomagnetic superstorm! Our paper in @agu.org Space Weather led by Eva Weiler demonstrates the solar source of 5 interacting #solarstorms and the possibility to better predict such events with sub-L1 monitors in the future. 🧵👇 doi.org/10.1029/2024...
Aurora over the Sonnblick Observatory in Austria on 11 May 2024Solar storms observed by STEREO-A in May 2024The solar source active region of the geomagnetic superstorm in May 2024Simulations of the solar storms at the GeoSphere Austria
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