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Christian Möstl

@chrisoutofspace.bsky.social
934 followers 730 following 119 posts

Heliophysicist | Head, Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social | GeoSphere Austria geosphere.at/en/topics/disaster-pro… |☀️💥💨🌍 | erc.europa.eu HELIO4CAST | helioforecast.space | he / him

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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Amazing new reconstruction of sunspot number for the last ~1000 years by Saha et al. 2026: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Sunspot number since the year 971, showing several long minima and the recent, more regular solar cycles
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Congrats!!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Thank you - very ver faint though, this was a slow solar storm that caused a minor geomagnetic storm with a minimum 2026 Aug 8 2300 UTC of Dst -65 nT, exactly what we would expect for a borderline photographic aurora observation at mid latitudes.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Um diese Uhrzeit - wie hoch wird das noch, 41? Wirklich irre.
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Reposted by Christian Möstl
Jasmine 🌌🔭 @astrojaz.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
i’m obsessed with this very specific genre of photo
A color photograph looking outward through the interior of a spacecraft toward a thin crescent Earth suspended in space. Dark structural elements of the spacecraft frame the view, with the window opening forming an irregular border around the planet. The illuminated crescent floats near the center of the image against a deep black sky. Reflections from the spacecraft interior and faint alignment markings are visible on the window, emphasizing that the photograph was taken from inside the spacecraft.A color photograph of Earth’s curved horizon viewed through a circular spacecraft window. The dark window frame creates a round border around the scene, while Earth’s blue atmosphere, white cloud systems, and sunlit surface occupy the lower left portion of the view. The upper right portion fades into the blackness of space with a single bright point of light visible beyond Earth’s limb. The composition highlights both the spacecraft window and the planet beyond it.A color photograph showing the silhouette of Christina Koch inside a spacecraft looking toward Earth through a window. The astronaut’s profile appears in shadow on the left side of the image, with strands of hair illuminated by sunlight. Beyond the window, Earth fills much of the background with vivid blue oceans, swirling white clouds, and part of the African continent visible. The dark spacecraft interior frames the bright view outside, emphasizing the contrast between the cabin and the planet beyond.A color photograph of a half-illuminated Moon viewed through a spacecraft window. The thick, multi-layered window frame surrounds the left and lower edges of the image, with alternating white, black, and reddish sealing rings visible around the glass. The cratered lunar surface is sharply lit against the blackness of space and appears centered in the window. A smaller, bright crescent Earth is visible near the right edge of the frame, while scattered stars and a few small reflections on the window glass appear throughout the dark background.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
And here is the eclipse prediction by Predictive Science Inc. @predsci.bsky.social. eclipse.predsci.com#current-pred...
eclipse.predsci.com
PSI | Total Solar Eclipse | 2026
A data-assimilative, continuously running prediction model updated in near real time.
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Reposted by Christian Möstl
Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Here are a few quotes by @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social in the Austrian newspaper @derstandard.at on the Sivadas et al. paper: www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
derstandard.at
Sonnenstürme sind offenbar gefährlicher als gedacht
Einer aktuellen Studie zufolge wird das Risiko von geomagnetischen Stürmen, die etwa Blackouts verursachen können, unterschätzt. Schuld daran ist eine statistische Illusion
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
China's Tianwen-2 has first imaged asteroid Kamoʻoalewa, which is on a wide orbit around Earth 🌍 between 0.9 and 1.1 au, but tilted to the ecliptic by 8°. This is close to "distant retrograde orbits" for future space weather forecasting missions like @esa.int HENON. www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbbA...
Image by CNSA Tianwen-2 of asteroid Kamoʻoalewa
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
We had an amazing time at #solarwind17 in Bath / UK, learning about current solar wind science on all scales and presenting our work on solar storm forecasting and multispacecraft observations of their evolution. Plus a visit of Stonehenge and World Cup wins for England and Austria!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
At the #SolarWind17 conference in Bath UK this week (after going through London Paddington station) - first sessions about solar wind small-scale physics and turbulence, and a tutorial on getting funding from the @erc.europa.eu!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Klar gabs dann noch ein Tor wobei das die Geschichte mit dem Liverpool Torhüter war der nicht mehr fit to play war …
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Sehr spannend! Den Fallrückzieher von Bale 2018 im CL Finale gegen Liverpool würde ich noch hinzufügen (Tor zur 2:1 Führung) ⚽️
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Looking at the recent #solarstorms that are expected to arrive at Earth 🌍 around late Thu June 4 (from early June 3), I am quite skeptical on their geomagnetic storm potential. The flares were of short duration, there are no clear halo CMEs and all eruptions a going mainly to north/south in LASCO.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Fun and productive week @issibern.ch with an ISSI team working on the connection between heliospheric and magnetospheric data and models for improved #spaceweather forecasts. Bonus: the @science.esa.int launch of SMILE 🚀! teams.issibern.ch/space-weathe...
me at University of BernList of participants City of Bern Bear in Bärenpark
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Great that the @esa.int SMILE launch went so smooth, looking forward to the new images of the magnetopause and aurora! Always good to have another in situ monitor near Earth. I got to shortly comment on the technological effects of #spaceweather on Austrian national TV: on.orf.at/live?channel...
on.orf.at
ORF Live
Verpassen Sie nie wieder den Anfang einer Sendung: ORF 1, ORF 2, ORF III, ORF Sport + und ORF KIDS live sehen und bis zu 24 Stunden zurückspringen.
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Seán Doran @theseaning.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Earth eclipses the Sun as seen by Artemis II on Orion. Satellites showing off as usual...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Impressions from the @esa.int heliophysics modeling workshop this week at ESOC in Darmstadt - amazing to see a roundup of the #spaceweather modeling landscape, as well as the ESOC control rooms, and even a Rosetta/Philae spacecraft model in real size!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
This is a great website to see where #ARTEMIS2 currently is! artemistracker.com
artemistracker.com
Artemis II Mission Tracker
🚀 -2 days until Artemis II launch window opens! Track NASA's mission to the Moon in real-time 3D. Launch: Apr 1, 2026.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
With the awesome NASA Eyes on the Solar System visualization eyes.nasa.gov one can see that during the #ARTEMIS2 launch the Moon should be inside the magnetosphere, but then moves to the west of the Sun-Earth line as the mission progresses.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
The #solarstorm from March 30 has gone way off to the east of Earth (solar wind, left), so no problem for #ARTEMIS2. Fingers crossed🤞that during the 10 day journey to the moon a solar energetic particle (SEP) hazard does not occur - see data on the Jan 19 2026 event by the LRO spacecraft👇(right).
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
We've been featured on Austrian national TV ORF2 in "Mayrs Magazin" roaming around Austria's magnetic Conrad observatory and talking about solar storms, with @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social and Veronika Haberle. The @esa.int HENON and Vigil missions were mentioned too! on.orf.at/video/143147...
on.orf.at
Sonnenstürme könnten Stromnetze lahmlegen - Mayrs Magazin - Wissen für alle vom 13.03.2026
Die Sonne befindet sich aktuell auf dem Höhepunkt ihres elfjährigen Zyklus. Dadurch treten Sonnenstürme häufiger auf, die Satelliten beschädigen und sogar Stromnetze gefährden können. Forscher des Spa...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
spaceweather.com sometimes posts solar images from the #Mars Perseverance Rover camera MASTCAM-Z, in low but good enough resolution to see big sunspots (e.g. Feb 19 2026 below). Mars is currently on the opposite side of the Sun as seen from Earth. The images are here: mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mul...
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Dr. Ryan French @ryanjfrench.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
BREAKING: This is Richard Carrington, the first person to document solar flares on the Sun & suggest their influence on aurora at Earth. The largest solar storm on record, the Carrington Event, bares his name. But, there has been no photograph available of Carrington – until now!
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Sonja Hartl @sonjahartl7.eurosky.social · 19/01/2026
Crazy 21:36 UTC Jan 19, 2026 Location Koralpe Austria 46N #Aurora #spaceweather @vincentledvina.bsky.social
Aurora
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Es könnte sein dass es in der früh nochmal stärker wird - aber irgendwie muss man nunmal von den Wolken weg ...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This solar cycle is so funny because whenever you think you don't know exactly what to do for the next paper or project these things happen.
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Vincent Ledvina @vincentledvina.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Wow! Here is the current view over Falkenberg, Germany! Quite amazing red aurora from this mid-latitude location. Europe get outside! go.theauroraguy.com/webcams
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
At this point we can call ourselves lucky because if this field would point southward we would be in a 1989 Quebec storm category (Dst almost -600 nT)! If the Bz stays > 0, high and mid-latitude aurora is still likely, but damaging effects on technical infrastructure are probably not significant.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This is likely the strongest near-Earth #solarwind magnetic field I have ever seen in my career - 90.6 nT total field, and perfectly northward 61.7 nT Bz component. If this is the main flux rope, the north and west pointing field is consistent with the right handed source region - Bz would stay > 0!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Ohh nice! Congratulations! 🏅
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Austrian Space Weather Office @aswogeosphere.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
A press story is out today (german) on our forecast for the chances for #aurora nights at mid-latitudes in 2026. We predict another 1-2 possible nights in 2026, as we expect 20-30 #solarstorm impacts at Earth 🌍 in 2026. ☀️ Solar cycle 25 is not done yet! ☀️ science.apa.at/power-search...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
🤯 Very interesting study featured on spaceweather.com today about #solarstorms lowering satellite orbits and thus collision avoidance maneuvers are needed, in particular for satellite megaconstellations ➡️ #spaceweather may form a tipping point towards Kessler Syndrome. arxiv.org/abs/2512.09643
arxiv.org
An Orbital House of Cards: Frequent Megaconstellation Close Conjunctions
The number of objects in orbit is rapidly increasing, primarily driven by the launch of megaconstellations, an approach to satellite constellation design that involves large numbers of satellites pair...
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Reposted by Christian Möstl
ESA Operations @operations.esa.int · 08/12/2025
Check out the first poster in our new series: "Space Safety - in action!" Mission: Vigil Objective: Advanced warning of solar storms Unique feature: Location in deep space offers 'side-on' view of solar material heading towards Earth Launch: 2031 Download the poster at: www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
Stylised poster depicting spacecraft watching the Sun with Earth depicted below
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
(In German): A really nice story in Austrian newspaper @derstandard.at today on our duties as #spaceweather forecasters and researchers and myths surrounding our work. www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
derstandard.at
Astrophysiker: "Oft kommt die Frage nach Außerirdischen"
Christian Möstl leitet das Austrian Space Weather Office der Geosphere Austria. Er erklärt, wie Sonnenstürme entstehen und ob die Suche nach Aliens zum Job gehört
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
My take away so far from discussions on the #Airbus software updates due to potential #spaceweather induced electronics upsets: the Sun ☀️ seems not responsible for the incident on October 30 (no significant eruptions on that day), but solar energetic particles could lead to similar failures.
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Prof Jim Wild @jim-wild.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
An interesting #spaceweather story developing. Airbus has made a statement saying that “Analysis of a recent event involving an A320 Family aircraft has revealed that intense solar radiation may corrupt data critical to the functioning of flight controls” www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Flights disrupted as Airbus requests modifications to thousands of planes
About 6,000 plans are thought to be affected, about half the European aerospace giant's global fleet.
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
Amazing outcome of the ESA ministerial for space safety: especially ESA Vigil and the the mission concepts for distributed #spaceweather sensors like SHIELD and Aurora missions are all on track! www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
esa.int
Boost in funding expands Space Safety programme
The 2025 Ministerial Council (CM25) turned into an overwhelming success for ESA’s Space Safety programme. Member States committed to a budget of €955 million for the next three years – even more ...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
We will hear more details in the coming days but it also looks like ESA Space Safety - with a highly ambitious program - was very well funded, and besides the Asteroid mission to Apophis in 2029 (once in a lifetime chance), eager to hear more about the #spacewather missions to be designed and built!
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European Space Agency @esa.int · 24/11/2025
📺 Our Ministerial Council takes place this week, 26-27 November, in Bremen, Germany. Vital decisions will be made on Europe's future in space. You can follow events live on the days here! 👇 www.esa.int/About_Us/Min... Also check out our dedicated #CM25 website 👇 🔗 esa.int/CM25
esa.int
Follow CM25 online
The European Space Agency's Ministerial Council – more formally Council at Ministerial level – takes place in Bremen, Germany on 26 and 27 November 2025. 
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Note that the @ tag was not correct, this is the journal: www.frontiersin.org
frontiersin.org
Frontiers | Publisher of peer-reviewed articles in open access journals
Open access publisher of peer-reviewed scientific articles across the entire spectrum of academia. Research network for academics to stay up-to-date with the latest scientific publications, events, bl...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
I am part of a new paper has been published today in @frontiersmedia.bsky.social (Zhao et al. 2025) that gives an overview on the drag-based-models that have been developed to describe the #solarstorm evolution in the heliosphere www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.... #openaccess
frontiersin.org
Frontiers | Mathematical expressions of the drag-based models for predicting the arrival time of coronal mass ejection and their development and evolutionary processes
As one of the most violent solar activities, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are eruptions of the large-scale magnetized plasma from the Sun’s upper atmosphere...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
A new podcast (in german) is available on all platforms with Hannah Rüdisser @hannahruedisser.bsky.social and me talking about many aspects of space weather, like future @esaspaceweather.esa.int missions, Miyake Events and solar storm impacts on technology. 👇 geosphere.at/de/aktuelles...
geosphere.at
Folge 10: Die stürmische Seite der Sonne
Achtung! Achtung! Das ist eine Sturmwarnung aus dem Weltall! Ganz so wild geht es im Arbeitsalltag der beiden Astrophysiker:innen Christian Möstl und Hannah Rüdisser zwar nicht (immer) zu, aber sie ha...
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Finally, Petra van Lommel taught us how to do space weather communication to the public without scientific terms - use the terms light / rain / wind! Aurora chaser MaryBeth Kiczenski (photos) provided perspectives for us researchers and forecasters to improve tools to make chases more fun! (3/3)
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Then a discussion with @esa.int and NOAA on future data streams for #spaceweather, with sub-L1 measurements on distant retrograde orbits (ESA HENON and ESA SHIELD) attracting lots of attention. An ESA L3 mission concept may use Faraday rotation to remotely detect #solarstorm magnetic fields. (2/3)
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
Day 4 of #ESWW2025! @maikebauer.bsky.social + @lelouedecj.bsky.social presented posters on #solarstorm automatic detection and modeling to make life easier for forecasters. @hannahruedisser.bsky.social took part in a panel on the best practices and future use of AI in #spaceweather! 1/3
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
ARCANE with its ability to also detect high speed solar wind streams was also shown during the live #spaceweather forecast! Further, fascinating talks on geomagnetically induced currents in Sweden, Germany and New Zealand, and discussions on ESA space weather plans for the next few years. (2/2)
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Day 3 at #ESWW2025! @hannahruedisser.bsky.social presented our automatic solar storm detection method ARCANE, combined with our models for the storm magnetic field (3DCORE) and arrival time (ELEvo), showcasing their power for real time application. (1/2)👇
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Day 2 at #ESWW2025! @spacedavies.bsky.social rocked the stage with a talk on solar storm forecasts with sub-L1 monitors with @esa.int #SolarOrbiter. I participated in 2 panel discussion, on the role of validation, and the future of space weather modeling at ESA in the next 10-15 years. ☀️💥🤖
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Some impressions from day one at #ESWW2025 including first poster presentations and big congrats to long-time collaborator Erika Palmerio @erikapal.bsky.social for receiving the Alexander Chizhevsky Medal for early career scientists!
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Christian Möstl @chrisoutofspace.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Maria Federica Marcucci on the @esa.int M7 mission candidate "Plasma observatory", which would be an amazing mission to understand in high detail how the solar wind works on small scales and how it interacts with the 🌍 magnetosphere.
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