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Rasmus E. Benestad

@brasmus.bsky.social
1.2K followers 201 following 1.4K posts

Climate scientist, physicist, statistics nerd, and code developer. Contributor to RealClimate.org and leader of Tekna Klima. Working for the Norwegian Meteorological Institute.

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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they) @doctorvive.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
I pray for the day that these lines will cross. I pray that this day will come soon. For when it does, our climate politics will change forever. news.gallup.com/poll/708050/...
Americans' Beliefs That Global Warming Will Threaten Their
Way of Life Do you think that global warming will pose a serious threat to you or your way of
life in your lifetime? 70% said no in 1997, but 53% say no now. 24% said yes in 1997, but 45% say yes now.
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Joshua Basseches @joshuabasseches.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Thank goodness for groups like the Southern Environmental Law Center: subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2026...
subscriber.politicopro.com
POLITICO Pro: Greens challenge air permits for $10B Amazon data center
The Southern Environmental Law Center filed suit against two air permits issued by North Carolina officials for diesel-fired generators at an Amazon data center, arguing they violate the Clean Air Act...
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Sailor Michael @sailormichael.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
A tropical disturbance may develop in the Gulf this week www.wlox.com/2026/10/02/g...
wlox.com
A tropical disturbance may develop in the Gulf this week
This time of year, fronts can push far enough south and stall over warm waters, allowing tropical systems to form if conditions are right.
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Benjamin Cook @dustybowl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Missed this article, with great comments from @thirstygecko.bsky.social and Brad Udall (among others): www.sciencenews.org/article/unit...
sciencenews.org
Will the U.S. megadrought ever end?
For 27 years, the Southwest has been gripped by a historic drought. Scientists think it might be here to stay.
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in September 2026 shattered the previous September record and were only slightly lower than the all-time record set last month. September is typically the 6th warmest month for SSTs - but this September would have set a record in all but 1 other month. 🔥🔥🔥
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Guy Walton..."The Climate Guy" @climateguyw.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
If SEP 2026 is declared the hottest September in recorded history for the lower 48 states., for the first time there will be three back-to-back record months JUL, AUG, SEP- a big first thanks to climate change. @michaelemann.bsky.social @katharinehayhoe.com @zacklabe.com @bhensonweather.bsky.social
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Prof Bill McGuire @profbillmcguire.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Mind-boggling - just mind-boggling Now expected to peak at an extraordinary 4.2C in December
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Jamie MacKinnon🇨🇦 @jamiemackinnon.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The “strongest El Niño in a millennium” is is seeing ocean “surface temps over 6 °C warmer than normal.” This Week in Collapse: “One scientist said, “this record breaking El Niño will double the amount of sea level rise we’ve seen from climate change overnight.” #climate
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 05/10/2026
A common vaccine meant to ward off shingles may be doing something even more extraordinary: protecting the brain.
washingtonpost.com
Shingles vaccine may actually slow down dementia, study finds
Research has shown that the vaccine may reduce dementia risk. Now a study has found that vaccinated individuals are almost 30 percent less likely to die of dementia.
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
apropos of nothing: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
medrxiv.org
Frequent introductions and climate suitability drive increasing dengue risk in Florida
In recent years, detection of local dengue cases in Florida have increased in both frequency and geographical extent. From 2022 to 2024, consecutive outbreaks in Miami-Dade County were mainly caused b...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 23h
Kanskje man burde bytte ut styret med fplk som forstår seg på klima og energiomstilling? www.nrk.no/artikkel/fas...
nrk.no
Fasiten om oljegiganten får folk til å måpe. Hva tipper du?
Folk tror 30 prosent av Equinor sin produksjon er fornybar energi. Sannheten er 0,8 prosent. Se hvordan selskapets bruk av ord kan påvirke.
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Codfather #FBPE 🇫🇷🇪🇺 @codfather.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I'm with Carl Sagan on this:
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Dave Levitan @davelevitan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
You're gonna need a bigger chart
Chart showing the daily sea surface temperature for the Nino region of the Pacific, with a red line for 2026 shooting off above every other year in record-setting territory, with the latest spot right at the top of the chart
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...
theguardian.com
‘We want action’: Fijian climate activist sends message ahead of UN talks in Pacific
Lavenia Naivalu has seen the impact of the climate crisis first-hand and is determined to amplify Pacific voices at this year’s pre-Cop summit in Fiji
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
This is not normal, like so many other devastating weather events www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o.... So why don't we stop it?
theguardian.com
Bangkok at breaking point as floods turn streets into stagnant lakes
With 40 dead and a disaster declared across all 50 city districts, experts warn extreme flooding will only worsen across south-east Asia
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
worm @rfksbrainworm.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
If you ever wondered why visible light is those particular wavelengths, it's because life evolved to see in the narrow range where water is transparent
Diagram of absorption of emf by water. There's a gap right that dips in the 500 nm range
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Sam Burgess @oceanterra.org · 02/10/2026
Europe didnt just experience an exceptionally hot summer in 2026. It experienced a summer where multiple climate extremes reinforced each other. First - temperature records were broken at daily, monthly and seasonal scales across Europe Read more: climate.copernicus.eu/summer-revie...
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Does anyone have a bat phone to the University of Maine? We are gonna need a bigger Y-Axis. STAT! #elnino
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Abilu Tangwa. @abilutangwa.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
This is not a dying planet. This is a planet being killed. There is a difference. And there are killers. #ClimateJustice
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 01/10/2026
Records come and records go. But this is one for the ages. The preliminary Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly is now at a record 3.23°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This crushes the previous daily record set in 1982 by over 1.14°C. The Climate 8-ball is looking up.
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Extreme Temperatures Around the World @extremetemps.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
ABSOLUTE INSANITY GOING ON IN MIDDLE EAST Night Minimums up to 33C, world heat records for October smashed and re/smashed. And guess what ..it will get MUCH worse WEEKS of July-weather with Mins 30/35C and maxes >45C. BY FAR; THE MOST HEAT EXTREME EVENT THE WORLD HAS EVER SEEN
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 02/10/2026
This is pretty wild... the average global sea surface temperature (outside of the polar regions) is still above 70°F (21.1°C) through the end of September. This is significantly above the prior record. We'll cover this in our October climate briefing: climatecentral-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi... 🌊
Line graph time series of daily global mean sea surface temperatures from 1982 to 2026. This year is currently at record high for this time of year. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1, and the graphic is created by Climate Central at https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings.
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
1st time in satellite era, and likely much longer. Let’s keep the streak going! 🤞 (speaking to you, Gulf) Thanks, #elnino
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Nobozos @bozoboy66.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
“The many sorrows of our recent history suggest that we humans have a learning disability.” ― Carl Sagan
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I’ve argued that this El Niño event is likely the most deviant climate event we’ve witnessed. A magnitude I don’t think any climate scientist could have foreseen a year ago, even given our rapidly warming climate. Perhaps a Grey Swan event?
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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 02/10/2026
Another "need to extend the y-axis" moment... Average temperature in Central England for Jan-Sep for each year since 1772. It is 0.8°C higher in 2026 than any other previous year.
Timeseries of average Jan-Sep temperature for Central England with huge jump up in 2026
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
May heatwaves, deaths, ruined harvests: study of Europe’s summer paints grim picture for the future
EU Copernicus report shows surface air temperatures from June to August were 2.5C above decadal average
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Forget ‘superintelligence’: error-prone AI nearly sparked world war three this month | Timnit Gebru and Emily M Bender
The risks of AI aren’t what we think they are, as a recent security incident between China and the United States reveals
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Explosion of melt rates’: 20% of Swiss glaciers lost in five years
Alpine regions in Europe experiencing extreme glacier collapse due to heat-trapping effects of fossil fuel pollution
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Tokyo succumbs to ‘rain fatigue’ after a record 35 consecutive days of showers
The record rainfall has been blamed on a combination of climate change and El Niño, which has created a prolonged high pressure front in the Pacific
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
journals.plos.org
Adaptation as a catalyst for social change
Adaptation to climate change is currently characterised by ever-increasing costs to maintain the status quo with respect to climate hazards. This gap is worsened by the fiscal austerity that character...
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Reposted by Rasmus E. Benestad
Climate Tracker @climate.skyfleet.blue · 28/09/2026
Weekend Storms Knock Out Power for Hundreds of Thousands of Americans #Climate
heatmap.news
Weekend Storms Knock Out Power for Hundreds of Thousands of Americans
On auto emissions, labor vs. socialists, and EU H2 flub
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
It’s astonishing how far ahead the 2026 El Niño is. The red line is 2026. The other warmest El Niños are the colored lines. It’s not even playing in the same league. Some of this is of course due to this natural El Niño cycle on top of long-term ocean warming… 1/
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
www.aftenbladet.no/meninger/deb...
aftenbladet.no
Drivhuseffekten er et resultat av kvantefysikken
DEBATT: Det er vanskelig å putte jordens atmosfære inn i kontrollerte laboratorieeksperimenter, slik Bjørkum etterspør.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Nepal’s PM says flash flood was ‘warning to world’ as he scolds leaders at UN over climate change
Shah ⁠said ​Nepal’s recovery and reconstruction needs were estimated at about 10% of GDP, as he appealed for more international support
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Germany pledges to phase out fossil fuels for first time with target of 2045
Campaigners say plan marks notable shift away from oil and gas as previously pledges were only for carbon neutrality
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Morning science-art-cum-quiz. something to ponder about...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/... @nupinytt.bsky.social
theguardian.com
UK shares findings of damning climate crisis national security report suppressed under Starmer
El Niño poses critical threat to nations’ defences, says Ed Miliband in presentation to global foreign ministers
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
vimeo.com/user22831518...
vimeo.com
European Meteorological Society’s Showcases on Vimeo
Join the web’s most supportive community of creators and get high-quality tools for hosting, sharing, and streaming videos in gorgeous HD with no ads.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak
‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
World leaders address climate crisis before UN meet amid record-breaking El Niño
Prime ministers of Australia and Iceland discuss effects on their countries even as some shy away in face of war and inflation
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
Drought affects Guatemala’s Dry Corridor | EU Space Support Office
Guatemala has been affected by scarce rainfall during the 2026 wet season, coinciding with the development of El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. These dry conditions particularly affe...
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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Panama Canal ship traffic cut a second time, as climate change and El Niño reduce lake levels that supply water to the canal locks #climaterisk www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Panama canal traffic facing further cuts as drought from El Niño worsens
Planned daily reductions will further choke one of the world’s most important shipping lanes
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Maggie Nickson @maggie-nickson.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
www.upworthy.com/weatherman-h...
upworthy.com
Despondent weatherman goes off-script on live TV to explain why he 'can't' forecast anymore
A veteran meteorologist warns that federal budget cuts are degrading hurricane forecast accuracy.
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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
We all knew climate change was involved. The Himalayas are warming, permafrost is thawing, glaciers are retreating and mountain slopes are becoming more unstable. www.independent.co.uk/news/himalay...
independent.co.uk
Climate change made deadly Nepal glacier and rock collapse more likely, according to analysis
Human-caused global warming resulting in the Himalayan permafrost thawing was, in part, responsible for the catastrophic glacier and boulder collapse last month
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
2025 was among driest years on record for world’s rivers, study finds
Analysis of global resources reveals depletion in world’s water savings bank to 42% below normal levels last year
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 17/09/2026
Over 100 new cases of measles in Pennsylvania have been reported over the past week, according to the state’s health department. This brings the state’s total to 731 cases in 38 counties for the current outbreak, which started in late April.
washingtonpost.com
See the latest measles count for the Pennsylvania outbreak
The state’s measles outbreak continues to grow.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
The Hardangerjøkulen ice cap, Norway | EU Space Support Office
Hardangerjøkulen is a plateau glacier in southern Norway and, with an area of about 64 km², it is the country’s sixth-largest glacier. It is rapidly retreating and projected to disappear before the en...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/...
eea.europa.eu
European Climate Risk Assessment
The first European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA) identifies 36 climate risks that pose a threat to Europe’s energy and food security, ecosystems, infrastructure, water resources, financial stability...
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 15/09/2026
Breaking News! Code UFB!!! Yesterday's (preliminary) Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature just broke past 3.0°C above the 1991-2020 baseline! This marks the 108th consecutive daily record, is 1.07°C above the previous daily record set in 1997, and is 4.02σ above the baseline.
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