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Rasmus E. Benestad

@brasmus.bsky.social
1.2K followers 200 following 1.4K posts

Climate scientist, physicist, statistics nerd, and code developer. Contributor to RealClimate.org and leader of Tekna Klima. Working for the Norwegian Meteorological Institute.

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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 14h
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Tokyo succumbs to ‘rain fatigue’ after a record 35 consecutive days of showers
The record rainfall has been blamed on a combination of climate change and El Niño, which has created a prolonged high pressure front in the Pacific
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
journals.plos.org
Adaptation as a catalyst for social change
Adaptation to climate change is currently characterised by ever-increasing costs to maintain the status quo with respect to climate hazards. This gap is worsened by the fiscal austerity that character...
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Climate Tracker @climate.skyfleet.blue · 28/09/2026
Weekend Storms Knock Out Power for Hundreds of Thousands of Americans #Climate
heatmap.news
Weekend Storms Knock Out Power for Hundreds of Thousands of Americans
On auto emissions, labor vs. socialists, and EU H2 flub
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
It’s astonishing how far ahead the 2026 El Niño is. The red line is 2026. The other warmest El Niños are the colored lines. It’s not even playing in the same league. Some of this is of course due to this natural El Niño cycle on top of long-term ocean warming… 1/
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
www.aftenbladet.no/meninger/deb...
aftenbladet.no
Drivhuseffekten er et resultat av kvantefysikken
DEBATT: Det er vanskelig å putte jordens atmosfære inn i kontrollerte laboratorieeksperimenter, slik Bjørkum etterspør.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Nepal’s PM says flash flood was ‘warning to world’ as he scolds leaders at UN over climate change
Shah ⁠said ​Nepal’s recovery and reconstruction needs were estimated at about 10% of GDP, as he appealed for more international support
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Germany pledges to phase out fossil fuels for first time with target of 2045
Campaigners say plan marks notable shift away from oil and gas as previously pledges were only for carbon neutrality
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Morning science-art-cum-quiz. something to ponder about...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/... @nupinytt.bsky.social
theguardian.com
UK shares findings of damning climate crisis national security report suppressed under Starmer
El Niño poses critical threat to nations’ defences, says Ed Miliband in presentation to global foreign ministers
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
vimeo.com/user22831518...
vimeo.com
European Meteorological Society’s Showcases on Vimeo
Join the web’s most supportive community of creators and get high-quality tools for hosting, sharing, and streaming videos in gorgeous HD with no ads.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak
‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
World leaders address climate crisis before UN meet amid record-breaking El Niño
Prime ministers of Australia and Iceland discuss effects on their countries even as some shy away in face of war and inflation
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
Drought affects Guatemala’s Dry Corridor | EU Space Support Office
Guatemala has been affected by scarce rainfall during the 2026 wet season, coinciding with the development of El Niño conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. These dry conditions particularly affe...
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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Panama Canal ship traffic cut a second time, as climate change and El Niño reduce lake levels that supply water to the canal locks #climaterisk www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Panama canal traffic facing further cuts as drought from El Niño worsens
Planned daily reductions will further choke one of the world’s most important shipping lanes
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Maggie Nickson @maggie-nickson.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
www.upworthy.com/weatherman-h...
upworthy.com
Despondent weatherman goes off-script on live TV to explain why he 'can't' forecast anymore
A veteran meteorologist warns that federal budget cuts are degrading hurricane forecast accuracy.
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Prof Ian Hall @ianhall.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
We all knew climate change was involved. The Himalayas are warming, permafrost is thawing, glaciers are retreating and mountain slopes are becoming more unstable. www.independent.co.uk/news/himalay...
independent.co.uk
Climate change made deadly Nepal glacier and rock collapse more likely, according to analysis
Human-caused global warming resulting in the Himalayan permafrost thawing was, in part, responsible for the catastrophic glacier and boulder collapse last month
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
2025 was among driest years on record for world’s rivers, study finds
Analysis of global resources reveals depletion in world’s water savings bank to 42% below normal levels last year
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 17/09/2026
Over 100 new cases of measles in Pennsylvania have been reported over the past week, according to the state’s health department. This brings the state’s total to 731 cases in 38 counties for the current outbreak, which started in late April.
washingtonpost.com
See the latest measles count for the Pennsylvania outbreak
The state’s measles outbreak continues to grow.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
The Hardangerjøkulen ice cap, Norway | EU Space Support Office
Hardangerjøkulen is a plateau glacier in southern Norway and, with an area of about 64 km², it is the country’s sixth-largest glacier. It is rapidly retreating and projected to disappear before the en...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/...
eea.europa.eu
European Climate Risk Assessment
The first European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA) identifies 36 climate risks that pose a threat to Europe’s energy and food security, ecosystems, infrastructure, water resources, financial stability...
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 15/09/2026
Breaking News! Code UFB!!! Yesterday's (preliminary) Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature just broke past 3.0°C above the 1991-2020 baseline! This marks the 108th consecutive daily record, is 1.07°C above the previous daily record set in 1997, and is 4.02σ above the baseline.
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Tim Baxter @timinclimate.naruresearch.com.au · 16/09/2026
Melbourne's start to spring has been so unreasonably warm that I now feel crazy because tonight the temperature is exactly average for this time of year. Literally the 50th percentile.
Screenshot of Is It Hot Right Now with a bell curve showing that the average temperature today was precisely in line with the historical average.
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Only .02° from the all-time El Niño record anomaly! Today we got to +3°C departure from the 1991-2020 average in the main (3.4) region. The record is 3.02°C in 2015… so conceivably we could break that in the next day or two. 1/
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
El Niño strengthening into unseen territory. The Niño3.4 region just reached a +3.0 °C anomaly (relative to the 1991–2020). Such a warmth has never been observed in September, and it's only a few hundredths of a degree away from the 2015 all-time record.
Nino3.4 temperature anomaly in different years. The values in 2026 are above the previous years' temperatures and close to 2015 all-time record.
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Sydney EV @sydneyev.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Meanwhile, welcome to an El Niño event that has now smashed the ocean temps to 3.0 degrees above normal… As they say, we better buckle up, shits about to get wild.
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The Final Report @firehorse249791.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
A powerful heat dome — which will become the strongest on the planet Wednesday — will tower 3.7 miles above Tennessee, drawing extreme heat and humidity into the central U.S. “I don’t even know what to say anymore,” meteorologist Pete Delkus said. www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026...
washingtonpost.com
It’s almost fall, but this record heat dome didn’t get the memo
The strongest heat dome on the planet will soon tower 3.7 miles above Tennessee, drawing extreme heat and humidity into the central United States from the Gulf of Mexico.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
This is in good agreement with results we published in PLOS Climate a few years back (DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000029) and the follow-up in npj (DOI:10.1038/s41612-024-00794-z) @skepticalscience.bsky.social
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
skepticalscience.com/atmosphere-s... @met.no
skepticalscience.com
The Atmosphere Just Set a Water Vapor Record
This is a re-post from The Climate Brink by Andrew Dessler
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
Successful launch of Copernicus Sentinel-3C | EU Space Support Office
The Copernicus Sentinel-3C satellite was successfully launched on 15 September 2026 at 03:21 CEST from Europe’s Spaceport in Kourou, French Guiana, aboard a Vega-C rocket.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
eu-space.europa.eu/components/e...
eu-space.europa.eu
Western Europe affected by warmest summer on record
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has just published its latest monthly Climate Bulletin, which focuses on key climate trends for August 2026. The summer of 2026 has been the warmest on reco...
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Alt National Park Service @altnps.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
NOAA just announced that this summer was the hottest on record in the United States.
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Covering Climate Now @coveringclimatenow.org · 13/09/2026
The public is, largely, still not making the connection between climate change and extreme weather events, especially heavy rainfall. At the same time, “fewer journalists are doing the kind of reporting that could help close this gap.” By @kileyprice.bsky.social ⬇️ buff.ly/VZH84Hb
insideclimatenews.org
Many People Aren’t Connecting the Dots Between Climate Change and Extreme Weather - Inside Climate News
Scientific evidence has never been stronger. Why aren’t more people making the link?
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
www.nrk.no/artikkel/hve...
nrk.no
Hvem stjal kjedsomheten?
Før bygde vi olabiler, gikk oss vill i fjellet og kjedet oss i hjel på bensinstasjoner.
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Ocean anomalies up to +14°F! While El Niño drives global weather patterns, its biggest impacts are arguably local in #Peru, #Ecuador and the #Galápagos Islands. The extreme warmth along the coast is disrupting one of the most productive ocean ecosystems on Earth. 1/
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The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 13/09/2026
A 40-year-old woman from Pennsylvania, died from complications associated with measles, the local coroner’s office said. Jefferson County Coroner Greg Furlong, who was elected coroner as a Republican, said the woman was unvaccinated.
washingtonpost.com
Pennsylvania woman dies of measles-related complications, local coroner says
The 40-year-old woman, who was from Jefferson County was unvaccinated, according to the coroner.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Warning: our democracy won’t survive the death of reading. Read on if you still can | John Harris
While fascists protest in UK ports and purvey nonsense and poison online, ever fewer people have the perspective or analytical tools to challenge them, says Guardian columnist John Harris
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 12/09/2026
According to data from NOAA, this summer (June-July-August) was the warmest on record for the #Arctic region. The largest departures were found across parts of western Siberia, with the record warmth extending into the Kara Sea basin toward Severnaya Zemlya.
Line graph time series of Arctic mean surface temperature anomalies for each June-August period from 1850 through 2026. There is a long-term increasing trend and large year-to-year variability. The mean surface temperature anomaly averaged for June-August 2026 was 1.78°C for the Arctic. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1901-2000 climate baseline. Data from NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI NOAAGlobalTemp v6.1.0.
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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
It’s astonishing to see this, even though we saw it coming months ago. White = 10°F + above normal in the El Niño regions. Its immense! In the air, a regional warming of 10° is no big deal. But in the ocean it’s immense! Think about how hard it is/ how long it takes to cool/ heat your pool. 1/
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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 13/09/2026
Nearing the yearly low for Arctic ice -- no Blue Ocean Event this year. Current extent is about 4,464,000 square kilometers, which ranks 10th lowest for the date, about 126,000 square kilometers above the record low for the date, set in 2012.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 13/09/2026
Evolution of August #Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies during the satellite-era... A summary of last month can be found from @nsidc.bsky.social at nsidc.org/sea-ice-toda... *SST data set (OISSTv2.1) is only available since about 1982
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
www.smithsonianmag.com/history/one-...
smithsonianmag.com
One Weather Forecast Changed the Course of WWII. Here's the Real Story Behind 'Pressure,' a Drama About the Meteorologist Who Convinced the Allies to Delay D-Day
A new movie starring Andrew Scott and Brendan Fraser dramatizes the tense 72 hours before the Allied invasion of Normandy, revealing how meteorology helped determine Operation Overlord's success
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Reviewing IPCC AR7 draft reminds me of a paper I submitted to GMD in an open review. My director rang me because a colleague in Bergen had been offended and said (s)he would try to get it rejected. It was rejected and I posted it on arxiv.org/abs/2411.02856. Was is a victim of cancellation?
arxiv.org
A Norwegian Approach to Downscaling
A comprehensive geoscientific downscaling model strategy is presented outlining an approach that has evolved over the last 20 years, together with an explanation for its development, its technical asp...
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
The next step is to answer the question what is the meaning of life as in The Hitchiker's Guide to the Universe www.theguardian.com/science/2026...
theguardian.com
‘Immature playground boasting’: Mathematicians uneasy at OpenAI’s latest scalp
As OpenAI model cracks Millennium Prize Problem that puzzled experts for decades, many feel shocked at pace of change
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Hoodlum 🇺🇸 @nothoodlum.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
This should be on the front page of every newspaper tomorrow.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Utløst av en idiot som nok har gjort oljeselskapene en bjørnetjeneste. Verden lærer om risiko forbundet med fossile energikilder. Hvor går den fremtidige utviklingen? www.theguardian.com/world/2026/s...
theguardian.com
Saudi Arabia shuts down oil pipeline, blaming drones from Iraq
Riyadh has increased its use of the East-West pipeline since the start of the Middle East war to bypass the closure of the strait of Hormuz
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Miaganga @miaganga.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 10/09/2026
🚨 Last month was easily the hottest August on record globally. In fact, it was over 0.1°C warmer than the prior record (2023/2024)! This was estimated to be about 1.65°C warmer than a pre-industrial (1850-1900) average Summary by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social at climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-...
Orthographic map showing 2-m air temperature anomalies in August 2026 relative to a 1981-2010 baseline. This visualization shows North and South America. Most all areas are warmer than average.Orthographic map showing 2-m air temperature anomalies in August 2026 relative to a 1981-2010 baseline using ERA5 data. This visualization shows Africa, Europe, and western Asia. Most areas are warmer than average.Orthographic map showing 2-m air temperature anomalies in August 2026 relative to a 1981-2010 baseline using ERA5 data. This visualization shows Australia, Antarctica, and Asia. Most areas are warmer than average, except for parts the Antarctic.
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Rasmus E. Benestad @brasmus.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Perhaps we get what we deserve? www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
World must reject climate culture wars or face economic ruin, says UN’s Stiell
Warning by United Nations climate chief comes as EU data shows August 2026 was joint hottest month ever
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Zonie Maloney @katehydeut.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
People vs Palantir International Civil Disobedience Call to Action #NationalNursesUnion #Palantir #ICE #NeverForget www.nationalnursesunited.org/press/nurses...
nationalnursesunited.org
Nurses hold nationwide civil disobedience actions to demand ‘Palantir Out!’
Hundreds of registered nurses – joined by patients and community allies – mobilized to demand hospitals and elected officials immediately cut ties with artificial intelligence giant Palantir. The nurs...
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Ketil Isaksen @ketilisaksen.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
August 2026 was the warmest August on record globally - climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-...
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