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Bart Bonikowski

@bartbonikowski.bsky.social
5.6K followers 2K following 163 posts

Assoc Prof of Sociology and Politics at NYU studying nationalism, populism, and radical-right politics using surveys, experiments, and computational text analysis. Affiliate Faculty at NYU's Center for Data Science.

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Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Another installment in a series of papers on perceived AI labor market shocks and political preferences, co-authored with my superstar team of collaborators (@sborwein.bsky.social, Beatrice Magistro, @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social, and Peter Loewen). See post below for links to our previous work.
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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
AI is poised to reconfigure the economy and politics. In POQ, Borwein et al. find that while some are supportive of AI, a plurality perceive AI as a threat, and these perceptions are easily connected to reactionary policy preferences. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
“.. What we are talking about is nothing short of the sitting president of the United States looting from the Treasury for his own gain,” she said. @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/5733...
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Max Kennerly @maxkennerly.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Just imagine the level of criminality that compels a President who was already personally granted full immunity by Supreme Court for anything related to 'official acts' to think that's not enough, he must *also* have his DOJ release all civil claims against him, two of his kids, and his company.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
The Roberts Court, the Trump White House, and the national GOP are acting like this is their one big shot. Either they secure the lasting end of US Constitutional democracy, or they’re in very serious trouble from the backlash. And they’ve already gone so far that there’s no other possibility.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 12/05/2026
Trump: "We have a man who is doing a great job. I knew it! Because he kept me out of jail for years. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche. He kept me out of jail."
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Paul Waldman @paulwaldman.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Looks like it's time for this piece again: paulwaldman.substack.com/p/democrats-...
paulwaldman.substack.com
Democrats Need to Treat the Supreme Court Like the Villain It Is
The Court is out of control, and we'll never see reform unless we build the case for it. Starting now.
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Jay Willis @jaywillis.net · 30/04/2026
What do conservatives always say when liberals criticize a Supreme Court decision? "Get Congress to pass a law," right? That is EXACTLY what happened here. In 1982, Congress explicitly overruled a Court case that narrowly interpreted the VRA. Today, Sam Alito said, nope, we were right all along.
In 1982, when Congress passed a series of amendments strengthening the Voting Rights Act of 1965, lawmakers wanted to make one thing very clear: that minority voters seeking to prove violations of the Voting Rights Act do not have to prove that lawmakers intentionally discriminated against them based on race. Instead, under a provision of the law known as Section 2, Congress said, it is enough for voters to show that a given policy—a redistricting plan, for example—has the effect of making it more difficult for them to actually participate in democracy. 

At the time, Congress had good reason to be specific. Two years earlier, the Supreme Court in City of Mobile v. Bolden had held that a facially neutral electoral map did not violate the Voting Rights Act, even though it had the practical effect of reducing Black voting strength. In the 1982 amendments, Congress explicitly overruled Bolden; in its final report on the bill, the Senate Judiciary Committee affirmed that requiring challengers to prove discriminatory intent would impose an “inordinately difficult burden,” and would make it too easy for racist lawmakers to disguise their true motivations by leaving a “false trail” of non-discriminatory justifications.In Louisiana v. Callais, which the Supreme Court decided on Wednesday, the six conservative justices took it upon themselves to reimpose the “inordinately difficult burden” Congress lifted five decades ago. In his opinion for the majority, Justice Samuel Alito strains to present Callais as faithful to the law passed by Congress: His opinion, he says, merely “updates” the tests that courts use to evaluate Section 2 claims, and “realigns” that framework with the text of the Voting Rights Act. 

In reality, what Alito and the majority have done is make it functionally impossible for voters to prove that a given map is an illegal racial gerrymander, no matter how discriminatory the map’s real-world impact. Their opinion in Callais preserves only a husk of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, leaving intact the ability of minority voters to cast ballots while simultaneously guaranteeing lawmakers’ power to ensure that those ballots are meaningless. Going forward, the same racist lawmakers whom Congress sought to bind in 1982 will be freer than ever to draw lines that gerrymander their Black and brown constituents out of electoral existence.
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Sebastian Karcher @adam42smith.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Have now read this. Caveat is obvious (transparently declared) CoI as lead author is at prolific. Related issue is that some of their methods rely on prolific's proprietary AI detection tools working. But there are enough other indicators to convince me that _right now_ online panels are fine 1/3
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Let me also note that the Germans had a generation traumatized by war and the Great Depression. The Americans had… a Black president and #metoo
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
For almost a century generations of scholars and thinkers have tried to understand why the Germans sleepwalked into disaster. Future generations will focus on a different case.
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Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
If you’ve never called your congressional reps before, do it right now.
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shauna @goldengateblond.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
happy 10-year anniversary to this razor-sharp political prognostication
Donald the Dove, Hillary the Hawk
By Maureen Dowd
April 30, 2016
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Judd Legum @juddlegum.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Whatever happens, this is a deeply shameful episode in American history that will leave a permanent stain on the country. Repeatedly vowing to commit war crimes against millions of innocent civilians is beyond the pale.
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Jon Steinman @jonsteinman.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Pro tip to Trump’s cabinet and enablers in Congress: “I was just following orders” is not a viable defense at a war crime proceeding.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
At this moment, America has a clear choice about what sort of country it wants to be. There is no going back.
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Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
This genocidal maniac needs to be removed from office today. Not only is he openly announcing unprecedented war crimes, but he is directly risking the lives of all Americans. He poses a grave danger to the world and to our country. Republicans, obey your oath and do your job.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Doing a virtual @asn-org.bsky.social panel on "Populism and Nationalism" with @bartbonikowski.bsky.social & Maria Snegovaya, moderated by Zsuzsa Csergo, next week.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
This is a brilliant thread that should be read (and shared) by anyone interested in Hungarian politics. Read it whole! And give Gabriela a follow!
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KOJAMF🤘🖤🤘 @kojamf.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Elizabeth Banks
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Senator Andy Kim @kim.senate.gov · 23/03/2026
Americans don’t want ICE in our airports or in our communities. We just want Republicans to agree to fund TSA so workers can be paid and these lines can go down. Trump is trying to intimidate us. It’s time Republicans agree to fund TSA instead of voting it down every time.
cnn.com
Live updates: ICE agents deployed to airports as TSA wait times grow | CNN
Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents are heading to 13 airports today to help with crowd management as travelers at some airports wait in hours-long security lines amid the DHS shutdown. Follow ...
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Andy Craig @andycraig.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
I'll give Schumer this one: this is a good and factually correct explainer of what the bill would actually do, why it's insane, and how Republicans are lying about it. The only thing I'd add that he doesn't mention is it's not even possible, logistically, to implement this year in time for November.
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Katherine Alejandra Cross @quinnae.com · 08/03/2026
None of the horrors of the past two months would've occurred under a Harris Administration; that's just a fact. But there were so many people who needed to renew their "Fell For It Again" awards for believing in Donald The Dove/Dem Lady's the Real Warmonger.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Just a reminder that Trump didn't just bumble us into an unnecessary war -- he deliberately created the conditions that he's now screaming about
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Excellent analysis of the current situation in Costa Rica. 🇨🇷 HT @franroblesr.bsky.social 🙏
nacla.org
The Rise of Rodriguismo in Costa Rica
Costa Ricans elected Laura Fernández, a continuity candidate whose predecessor presided over a political project that breaks with the country’s democratic traditions.
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Ed Yetagain @edyetagain.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
The people who needed their own half time show are the same people who needed their own water fountains.
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Sherrilyn Ifill @sifill.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
I get tired of saying it, but I’ll say it again: the nature of oppression in America is that they workshop it first on Black, Latino, Asian & Native people. But it is always, in the end, coming for everyone.
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Radley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
"I'm coming to Boston and I'm bringing hell with me." --Homan in February "Do I expect violence to escalate? Absolutely." -- Tom Homan in March "I actually thought about getting up and throwing that man a beating right there in the middle of the room" -- Homan in July, referring to a D congressman
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Arnout van de Rijt @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
My colleague Kevin Munger asked me and a bunch of editors to sit and think through AI and peer review. Our take: osf.io/9sxnc/files/... We envision an increased (!) involvement of humans in the evaluation of social science.
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Nicholas Slayton @nslayton.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
ICE never stopped LA operations and seems to have stepped up this month if anything
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 27/01/2026
if bovino is out and conservatives are turning on noem then there is a real opportunity to demand that miller resign too.
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Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
The killing of Alex Pretti and the grotesque lying was an overreach by the administration. They've paid a price and had to pull back a bit. But it's when there's some disarray that the democratic opposition needs to intensify the offensive, and turn a marginal tactical success into a major victory.
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
In the early 1930s the SA was roughing people up, creating chaos in neighborhoods, seeking to terrorize with the occasional killing. By the late 1930s it had been supplanted by the SS, which was much better trained.
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Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
This essay by @aselrod.bsky.social is devastating but persuasive. A must-read. A one-off electoral victory (which itself is not a given) is unlikely to save the Republic. And the international order is irreversibly altered for the worse. www.liberalcurrents.com/after-trump-...
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Max Berger @maxberger.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
If every Democrat voted NO on funding ICE, it would not have passed the House. But, 7 House Democrats voted to fund Trump's lawless, masked goons, so it passed. Hakeem Jeffries refused to whip his members to vote against ICE funding. Genuinely unforgivable.
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Julian Sanchez @normative.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Even after Trump is gone, the world will remember that he threatened to forcibly seize the territory of a peaceful democratic ally, and our institutions failed to immediately remove him. That makes US dangerously unreliable, not just one senile gangster.
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Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Paul Musgrave on the end of unipolarity: short, eloquent, and devastating. open.substack.com/pub/musgrave...
open.substack.com
The Old World Order is Dead
Unipolarity was given, not taken
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Julia Carrie Wong @joolia.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
a heavily armed paramilitary force with legal immunity is occupying a city and going door to door kidnapping non-white adults and children in furtherance of an explicitly white nationalist political project
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Dominique Baker @bakerdphd.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
So all colleges and universities will bring back the DEI stuff they cut when obeying in advance right...............................................................................................................................................right?
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
The single best theory of the last few months
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Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
I know that many of us are hoping against hope that the current ethno-nationalist, authoritarian, and anti-democratic crisis will pass. Living our lives, resisting as we can, waiting for elections. This speech by Canadian PM Carney is a wake-up call for us as much as it is for our (former) allies.
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Melissa Stewart @melissastewart.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Also, the fact that this isn’t a leading headline on either NYTimes or WaPo is rather astonishing. Our closest ally is saying the international rules based order, such as it was, is over. The days of propping up American hegemony, are over. Our allies are choosing to reimagine the future without us.
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Hunter Walker @hunterw.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Trump's many, many blatantly racist remarks about Somalis and other immigrants did not provoke a single direct question from the White House press corps. talkingpointsmemo.com/news/trump-m...
talkingpointsmemo.com
Trump Marks First Year In Office With Unhinged Racist Rant Targeting ‘Very Low IQ’ Somalis
President Donald Trump spent the first anniversary of his second term on...
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
This is the most astonishing graph of what the Trump regime has done to US science. They have destroyed the federal science workforce across the board. The negative impacts on Americans will be felt for generations, and the US might never be the same again. www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
This line graph illustrates the percentage change in agency staff levels from the previous year for nine major U.S. federal scientific and health organizations between the fiscal years 2016 and 2025. The agencies tracked include the CDC, Department of Energy, EPA, FDA, NASA, NIH, NIST, NOAA, and NSF. For the majority of the timeline between 2016 and 2023, the agencies show relatively stable fluctuations, generally staying within a range of +5% to -5% change per year. However, there is a dramatic and uniform plummet starting in the 2024–25 period. Every agency depicted shows a sharp downward trajectory, with staffing losses ranging from approximately -15% to over -25%. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) shows the most significant decline, dropping to roughly -26%, while the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) shows the least severe but still substantial drop at approximately -15%.
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Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
I’m fully on board with the idea of governors bringing in the national guard to protect their citizens from rogue ICE agents.
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Sherrilyn Ifill @sifill.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
I’m glad to see Bill say this. But when after a century of just the type of abuse we saw today - relentless and cruel, ensnaring our children and intimidating our communities - young Black people said in frustration, anger, and demand for change “defund the police” - so many of you denounced them.
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All In with Chris Hayes @allinwithchris.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
@chrislhayes.bsky.social: “A 37-year-old American citizen, the mother of a young child is dead tonight. She was shot in the face by an agent of the federal government, and that government has spent the day telling despicable lies about her.”
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